QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s4

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

83.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3251

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0254

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.00725	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007593	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.007961	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008162	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008392	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008371	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008493	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008335	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.0086	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008621	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009142	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009159	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.008914	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.008926	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.008968	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009595	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.009803	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010502	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.010691	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010236	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.009687	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.009801	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010193	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.010725	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010321	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010685	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.009879	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.00965	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.009726	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009645	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.00944	-2.73%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.1611	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008197	-4.18%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0434	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008308	-4.62%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0114	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008291	-4.70%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0319	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008001	-7.40%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0530	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008031	-7.38%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0464	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008121	-8.08%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0400	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.00823	-5.51%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0390	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008417	-5.69%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0004	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009406	-4.17%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.0778	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009762	-3.44%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.0811	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010331	-2.91%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1244	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.01122	-0.75%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.2155	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011188	+0.43%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.2050	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.01294	+0.82%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3647	✗	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.011181	+3.67%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1737	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011285	+3.92%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1623	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.010176	+4.53%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0139	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008763	+5.32%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2260	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.00768	+2.60%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.2812	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.00822	+3.39%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.1462	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008941	+4.57%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.1047	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.009242	+4.43%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.0998	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009471	+5.58%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.1359	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009949	+5.39%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0258	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.011283	+7.25%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0377	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010779	+7.63%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.0882	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011821	+6.21%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.2125	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.012267	+5.62%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.2351	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.012219	+4.44%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.2720	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.012212	+3.67%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.3036	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.01263	+5.51%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.4122	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.012014	-0.30%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.3940	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011429	-5.07%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.3837	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.010902	-9.00%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.3657	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.010615	-8.89%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3374	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.010519	-9.16%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3259	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010311	-8.75%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3459	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.01044	-9.22%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3190	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.010417	-9.89%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2198	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.009977	-9.22%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.1395	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.01012	-9.15%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.0875	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.010629	-9.15%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.0831	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.010859	-8.94%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1088	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.010744	-9.33%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0391	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.01075	-9.36%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.1384	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.01058	-9.72%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1165	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.010357	-9.86%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.1996	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.010451	-10.10%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.3815	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.010256	-9.72%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.4398	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011076	-9.80%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.4560	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011067	-9.66%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4007	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.01069	-8.64%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3228	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011288	-7.82%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3463	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012299	-7.11%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.3845	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013029	-6.87%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3514	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013153	-6.05%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.4007	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.014747	-6.07%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.3780	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.01438	-5.52%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.3152	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014059	-4.88%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2748	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.0159	-5.86%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3716	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016002	-5.43%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3646	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.01621	-5.23%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3377	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016417	-5.89%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3394	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016094	-5.94%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.2952	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017196	-6.67%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.3872	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017258	-7.02%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.3919	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.018404	-7.98%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.4827	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016405	-5.04%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.3409	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018017	-5.82%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.4303	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013355	-0.85%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1957	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016808	-1.85%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.4117	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.026299	-15.84%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.8097	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013418	+2.04%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.1183	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013784	+1.88%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.1522	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.013084	+2.94%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0966	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.012439	+3.88%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0595	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.013133	+3.82%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.1335	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.01335	+3.69%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.1382	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012873	+4.45%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.1248	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.012649	+5.32%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0289	✓	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011773	+6.16%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.0417	✓	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.015253	+3.13%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.2718	✗	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010708	+5.19%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.1536	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009629	+5.70%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.3238	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010777	+5.35%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.2640	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009995	+5.10%	0.014	+47.21%	0.3387	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.010219	+5.63%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.4317	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.010091	+6.11%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4136	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.011088	+6.10%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.2918	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011723	+6.58%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.3697	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012866	+6.42%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.2797	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.01287	+5.97%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.2937	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.012509	+6.91%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.3350	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.013352	+6.52%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.2505	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.014127	+5.74%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.2690	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.01314	+6.14%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.3450	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012919	+7.26%	0.02	+66.04%	0.4367	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.013747	+6.73%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.2277	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.014213	+6.07%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.2969	✓	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.01455	+5.86%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0775	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.015566	+4.82%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.0954	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.01618	+4.32%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.6581	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.016123	+4.53%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.2041	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017582	+3.15%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2620	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.018464	+2.75%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3739	✗	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.018289	+2.69%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.4235	✗	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.018328	+2.22%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3686	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019743	+0.68%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.4257	✗	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.020004	+0.17%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4850	✗	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020869	-0.67%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5542	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021192	-1.57%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6561	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021508	-2.46%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.4109	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.021649	-3.50%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.8111	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020734	-3.43%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8704	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.02146	-4.02%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.7879	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020339	-3.61%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.8035	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.020735	-4.27%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.8112	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.021837	-5.49%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.9094	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.02094	-5.33%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7554	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.021802	-5.72%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7355	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.020997	-5.38%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.5992	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.02299	-6.26%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.6659	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.0235	-6.19%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7359	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.025252	-6.75%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7422	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.024299	-6.78%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6459	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.025911	-7.30%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.7850	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.026538	-7.37%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8358	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.026478	-6.88%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.7648	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.02664	-6.18%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7364	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.026906	-4.35%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7287	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.027336	-6.16%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6542	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.026907	-4.89%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.5842	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027227	-3.83%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.6074	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027113	-2.86%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.4978	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028054	-4.15%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4577	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028093	-4.51%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2193	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.028814	-4.90%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2007	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029038	-3.27%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.1041	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029206	-3.67%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1427	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.029314	-5.07%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1124	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.028524	-6.11%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1170	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.029827	-5.70%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2038	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.030092	-5.90%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2322	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.030926	-7.41%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3312	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.031864	-8.54%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3222	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.031465	-8.21%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.3622	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.032469	-7.78%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.3646	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.032735	-6.26%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3115	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.033449	-7.23%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4084	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.033116	-7.18%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.3528	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.035082	-5.62%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4370	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.034003	-5.23%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.2908	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.032333	-6.94%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.2708	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.031533	-6.93%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.1733	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.032382	-8.37%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.2561	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.033094	-6.20%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.1848	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.