PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s4

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

60.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2820

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0339

actual -0.2077

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.001203	0.000657992	-45.28%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-21	oos	0.001207	0.000606434	-49.74%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.002105	+5.88%	–	pending	–	–	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003343	+2.35%	–	pending	–	–	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003678	+1.10%	–	pending	–	–	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003967	+0.37%	–	pending	–	–	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.004716	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.004936	-2.65%	0.001203	-76.29%	1.5091	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004796	-1.20%	0.001207	-75.14%	1.4939	✓	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004378	+1.18%	0.001988	-54.06%	0.7814	✗	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004924	-0.23%	0.003266	-33.82%	0.4154	✓	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005555	-2.64%	0.003638	-36.25%	0.3387	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004898	+1.34%	0.003952	-18.24%	0.1378	✗	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.005049	+1.48%	0.004829	-2.92%	0.0083	✓	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005471	+0.62%	0.005071	-6.74%	0.0981	✗	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005494	+0.70%	0.004854	-11.03%	0.0342	✗	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005879	-1.05%	0.004327	-27.17%	0.1790	✓	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.00571	-0.19%	0.004935	-13.74%	0.0662	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005887	-1.25%	0.005705	-4.29%	0.1164	✗	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005918	-0.70%	0.004834	-18.89%	0.1032	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006717	-3.28%	0.004975	-28.36%	0.1935	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007169	-4.53%	0.005437	-27.59%	0.1051	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.007695	-4.80%	0.005456	-32.51%	0.3282	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.006884	-4.76%	0.005941	-17.80%	0.2524	✓	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.007804	-5.64%	0.005721	-30.82%	0.3376	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.007998	-6.13%	0.005961	-30.03%	0.3177	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008396	-5.99%	0.005959	-33.27%	0.3467	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010316	-5.72%	0.006944	-36.54%	0.4007	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012222	-6.42%	0.007509	-42.50%	0.4926	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010479	-5.53%	0.008083	-27.13%	0.2498	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.009658	-4.95%	0.007228	-28.86%	0.2596	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.009686	-4.92%	0.00827	-18.82%	0.1211	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008548	-4.95%	0.00852	-5.27%	0.0432	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008431	-4.85%	0.00893	+0.78%	0.0191	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009432	-5.48%	0.010942	+9.64%	0.1094	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.007805	-3.48%	0.01306	+61.51%	0.4148	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007335	-2.55%	0.011093	+47.38%	0.3110	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007287	-2.45%	0.010161	+36.02%	0.2011	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.00878	-4.66%	0.010187	+10.62%	0.0464	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007662	-3.43%	0.008994	+13.35%	0.1050	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008053	-4.09%	0.008861	+5.54%	0.0455	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.007832	-4.30%	0.00998	+21.94%	0.1959	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006352	-5.75%	0.008086	+19.97%	0.2437	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.006516	-7.21%	0.007527	+7.20%	0.1720	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.008767	-4.90%	0.00747	-18.97%	0.1230	✓	1.00