PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s4

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 132

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 44 predictions shown

direction hit

48.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1145

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0037

actual -0.0441

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001409	0.001436	+1.87%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.002024	+1.80%	0.001409	-29.10%	0.3515	✗	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003293	+0.81%	0.001988	-39.13%	0.5560	✗	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003659	+0.59%	0.003266	-10.21%	0.1057	✗	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.00397	+0.47%	0.003638	-7.96%	0.1173	✗	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.004823	-0.12%	0.003952	-18.17%	0.1937	✓	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.005056	-0.29%	0.004829	-4.76%	0.0165	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004854	-0.01%	0.005071	+4.47%	0.0177	✗	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004351	+0.55%	0.004854	+12.18%	0.1855	✓	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004947	+0.24%	0.004327	-12.32%	0.2039	✗	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005671	-0.61%	0.004935	-13.50%	0.0408	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004859	+0.53%	0.005705	+18.04%	0.1226	✓	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.005003	+0.56%	0.004834	-2.84%	0.0527	✗	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005455	+0.31%	0.004975	-8.51%	0.1356	✗	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005474	+0.33%	0.005437	-0.33%	0.0763	✓	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005924	-0.30%	0.005456	-8.18%	0.0359	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.00572	-0.01%	0.005941	+3.85%	0.0487	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.00594	-0.36%	0.005721	-4.03%	0.0015	✓	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005962	+0.05%	0.005961	+0.04%	0.0937	✗	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006893	-0.73%	0.005959	-14.18%	0.1584	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007432	-1.03%	0.006944	-7.52%	0.0495	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.007989	-1.16%	0.007509	-7.10%	0.1333	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007177	-0.71%	0.008083	+11.82%	0.1234	✗	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008184	-1.04%	0.007228	-12.59%	0.1263	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008412	-1.26%	0.00827	-2.93%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008799	-1.47%	0.00852	-4.60%	0.0328	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010793	-1.36%	0.00893	-18.38%	0.1932	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012882	-1.37%	0.010942	-16.22%	0.1597	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010962	-1.18%	0.01306	+17.73%	0.1750	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.010051	-1.08%	0.011093	+9.17%	0.1200	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.010073	-1.11%	0.010161	-0.26%	0.0133	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008901	-1.03%	0.010187	+13.26%	0.0701	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008771	-1.02%	0.008994	+1.50%	0.0260	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009857	-1.23%	0.008861	-11.21%	0.1109	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.008037	-0.61%	0.00998	+23.42%	0.1589	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007514	-0.18%	0.008086	+7.43%	0.0707	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007467	-0.04%	0.007527	+0.76%	0.0006	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.00912	-0.97%	0.00747	-18.88%	0.1658	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.00791	-0.32%	0.009209	+16.06%	0.1344	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008346	-0.60%	0.007935	-5.49%	0.0444	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008136	-0.58%	0.008396	+2.59%	0.0307	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006764	+0.36%	0.008184	+21.42%	0.1818	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.007019	-0.04%	0.00674	-4.01%	0.0179	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009174	-0.49%	0.007021	-23.84%	0.2653	✓	1.00