PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s4

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

65.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3523

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0846

actual -0.1645

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.093761	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.09373	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.090634	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.081917	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.084215	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.086899	-6.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.090109	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.092004	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.095589	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.098513	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.09972	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.102272	-9.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.101945	-9.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.101743	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.100938	-10.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.100175	-11.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.100821	-11.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.101083	-12.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.100833	-12.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.100674	-13.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.099859	-14.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.100451	-14.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.098983	-15.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.09786	-15.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.096599	-16.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.101344	-17.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.10091	-17.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.098801	-18.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.096535	-18.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.092242	-18.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.098507	-18.47%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.0037	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.096264	-18.50%	0.099215	-16.00%	0.0201	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.094404	-18.26%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.0255	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.095277	-18.48%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.0940	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.096087	-15.88%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.0663	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.094244	-13.46%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0168	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.094981	-13.10%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0523	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.094663	-11.89%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0866	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.10011	-11.64%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0542	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.098613	-10.84%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.1249	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.104593	-10.89%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0723	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.103141	-9.92%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.1353	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.100058	-8.76%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1648	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.106893	-9.32%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0883	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.112544	-10.46%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0189	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.117697	-11.21%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0161	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.114731	-10.11%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0239	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.114332	-9.35%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0410	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.110685	-10.67%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0737	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.112984	-12.49%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0481	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.12005	-12.08%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.0081	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.129866	-12.70%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.0747	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.137668	-13.21%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.1441	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.152699	-12.21%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.2545	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.160238	-12.12%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.3123	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.164252	-12.25%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.2745	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.1801	-11.17%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.3686	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.178967	-12.26%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.3737	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.186311	-12.18%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.4250	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.191417	-12.95%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.4983	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.202141	-12.57%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.4877	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.199418	-13.07%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.4927	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.226412	-10.26%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.6620	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.230952	-10.07%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6481	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.287481	-9.22%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9303	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.395138	-11.82%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4430	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.349679	-10.40%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3126	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.354045	-10.96%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.3683	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.315397	-11.05%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2285	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.314321	-10.39%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2338	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.273966	-8.74%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0461	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.292955	-9.53%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1566	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.296834	-10.08%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.1940	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.276307	-9.33%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0688	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.251902	-8.33%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9127	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.273492	-9.07%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9509	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.258836	-8.87%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9367	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.255972	-8.49%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9415	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.249259	-8.31%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9266	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.236501	-8.01%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8546	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.236341	-8.55%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7524	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.241223	-9.14%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.6935	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.222882	-7.85%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5746	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.224906	-8.62%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4784	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.225443	-8.79%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4161	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.1972	-6.89%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2272	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.171637	-5.30%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0252	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.170588	-5.65%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0061	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.178873	-6.62%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0252	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.17007	-5.86%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1416	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.169071	-5.95%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1996	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.162107	-5.72%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2435	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.161091	-5.45%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3442	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.167157	-5.49%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3739	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.164676	-5.29%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.6169	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.163964	-4.82%	0.44811	+160.12%	1.0054	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.164712	-4.63%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8663	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.163237	-4.05%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.9016	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.162763	-3.61%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7886	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.163402	-3.57%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7821	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.168299	-3.88%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5972	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.159217	-3.67%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.6967	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.164365	-3.88%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.6997	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.163369	-3.45%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6223	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.167587	-3.68%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4892	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.163835	-3.41%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.5946	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.166252	-3.45%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5165	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.181027	-4.54%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4292	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.181279	-4.59%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.4015	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.166243	-3.62%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4334	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.175883	-4.47%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3826	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.171323	-4.39%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4307	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.161486	-3.86%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.3943	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.159794	-3.70%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4101	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.153657	-3.40%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4286	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.157092	-3.77%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2715	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.149149	-3.26%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1722	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.146035	-3.18%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.1988	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.139721	-3.05%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.2957	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.139518	-3.23%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2410	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.134741	-2.85%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2644	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.137249	-3.24%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2155	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.134178	-3.23%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2297	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.137852	-3.28%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2346	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.139942	-3.35%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2127	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.140117	-3.00%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.2012	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.146192	-3.28%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1576	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.151282	-3.91%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1197	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.157159	-4.61%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0792	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.173738	-5.68%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0196	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.178566	-6.09%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0171	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.183493	-6.35%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.0957	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.179654	-6.27%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0502	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.184765	-7.06%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0888	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.166239	-5.43%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0403	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.16946	-5.84%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0020	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.176252	-6.68%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0221	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.166608	-6.40%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1294	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.163306	-5.84%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1481	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.164256	-6.10%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0463	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.173509	-7.85%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0588	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.188172	-9.25%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0503	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.175741	-9.78%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0427	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.175946	-11.08%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0621	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.177596	-12.65%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1258	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.177221	-12.68%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.0961	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.161118	-11.33%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.0641	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.157372	-11.85%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.0615	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.138783	-9.81%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0358	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.144285	-9.97%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0131	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.155304	-10.06%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1440	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.162068	-9.78%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1592	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.17361	-9.42%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2458	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.171518	-9.16%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2075	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.17989	-8.87%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2562	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.183718	-8.38%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2820	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.184957	-7.80%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2432	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.191868	-7.25%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2358	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.185824	-6.92%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1537	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.190387	-6.49%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0687	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.205555	-6.56%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1308	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.234557	-6.63%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.3014	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.237247	-7.01%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3267	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.237495	-6.85%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.3031	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.254945	-6.96%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5531	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.253028	-6.75%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5242	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.267792	-7.61%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.4892	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.262019	-7.68%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5217	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.253727	-7.53%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5366	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.248678	-7.02%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5156	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.261251	-7.89%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4585	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.245543	-7.51%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.2998	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.233306	-7.55%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2850	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.243026	-7.48%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2697	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.234558	-7.22%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1834	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.256875	-8.46%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2523	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.281921	-10.13%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4534	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.308137	-13.11%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.5661	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.282755	-13.03%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6276	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.207575	-5.96%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2566	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.195614	-5.89%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1246	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.193625	-5.76%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0749	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.191501	-5.18%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0219	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.220044	-5.80%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1170	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.211446	-6.46%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0844	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.20564	-6.63%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0462	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.177597	-6.55%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0827	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.169899	-5.64%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1810	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.22894	-7.80%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1410	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.25298	-14.89%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.2555	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.168701	-6.68%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.2106	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.167109	-6.86%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.3187	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.163713	-6.83%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3806	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.170095	-8.15%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2759	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.158951	-7.81%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4329	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.148627	-8.12%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4832	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.155277	-8.00%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.5079	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.160651	-8.06%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4486	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.15811	-7.82%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4445	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.157321	-8.08%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3628	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.175767	-8.87%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3194	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.151616	-8.31%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3891	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.131932	-8.54%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4888	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.