PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s4

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

Track record at +1d

assessed

201

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

51.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0534

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0055

actual -0.0030

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09683	0.096589	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.095688	-0.27%	0.09683	+0.92%	0.0104	✗	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.086388	-0.08%	0.09595	+10.98%	0.1120	✗	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.089304	-0.10%	0.086455	-3.29%	0.0335	✓	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.092427	-0.14%	0.089395	-3.42%	0.0295	✓	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.09618	-0.21%	0.09256	-3.96%	0.0391	✓	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.098623	-0.27%	0.09638	-2.54%	0.0269	✓	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.102872	-0.33%	0.098895	-4.18%	0.0360	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.106634	-0.44%	0.10321	-3.63%	0.0424	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.108419	-0.51%	0.1071	-1.72%	0.0037	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.112163	-0.62%	0.10897	-3.45%	0.0396	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.112104	-0.63%	0.11286	+0.04%	0.0107	✗	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.112304	-0.60%	0.11281	-0.15%	0.0064	✗	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.111788	-0.58%	0.112985	+0.48%	0.0151	✗	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.112127	-0.65%	0.112445	-0.36%	0.0052	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.113688	-0.53%	0.112855	-1.26%	0.0191	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.114741	-0.49%	0.114295	-0.87%	0.0048	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.114853	-0.34%	0.1153	+0.05%	0.0005	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.115906	-0.43%	0.115245	-1.00%	0.0019	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.115817	-0.42%	0.11641	+0.09%	0.0062	✗	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.117226	-0.40%	0.1163	-1.19%	0.0095	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.116096	-0.46%	0.117695	+0.91%	0.0191	✗	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.115592	-0.42%	0.11663	+0.48%	0.0086	✗	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.11493	-0.39%	0.116075	+0.60%	0.0106	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.12186	-0.38%	0.115385	-5.68%	0.0583	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.122216	-0.39%	0.12233	-0.29%	0.0011	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.120425	-0.36%	0.12269	+1.51%	0.0198	✗	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.118504	-0.32%	0.12086	+1.67%	0.0186	✗	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.113572	-0.26%	0.11888	+4.40%	0.0457	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.120485	-0.28%	0.11387	-5.75%	0.0642	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.117798	-0.27%	0.12082	+2.29%	0.0238	✗	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.115161	-0.28%	0.118115	+2.27%	0.0529	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.116467	-0.34%	0.11549	-1.18%	0.0088	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.114056	-0.15%	0.11687	+2.31%	0.0262	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.108987	+0.08%	0.11423	+4.89%	0.0784	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.109462	+0.15%	0.1089	-0.37%	0.0037	✗	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.107719	+0.26%	0.1093	+1.74%	0.0184	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.11347	+0.15%	0.107435	-5.17%	0.0735	✗	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.11091	+0.28%	0.113295	+2.43%	0.0308	✓	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.117457	+0.07%	0.110605	-5.77%	0.0634	✗	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.114578	+0.07%	0.117375	+2.51%	0.0245	✓	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.109848	+0.17%	0.1145	+4.41%	0.0464	✓	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.117691	-0.16%	0.10966	-6.97%	0.0847	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.125207	-0.39%	0.117875	-6.22%	0.0614	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.131222	-1.00%	0.125695	-5.17%	0.0471	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.127328	-0.24%	0.13255	+3.85%	0.0333	✗	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.125943	-0.15%	0.12763	+1.19%	0.0162	✗	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.123886	-0.02%	0.12613	+1.79%	0.0187	✗	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.129077	-0.03%	0.12391	-4.03%	0.0495	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.13625	-0.22%	0.12911	-5.45%	0.0406	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.148399	-0.24%	0.13655	-8.21%	0.0835	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.158345	-0.17%	0.14876	-6.22%	0.0677	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.173218	-0.41%	0.15862	-8.80%	0.0850	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.181491	-0.47%	0.17393	-4.61%	0.0444	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.186111	-0.57%	0.18234	-2.58%	0.0192	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.20137	-0.68%	0.187175	-7.68%	0.0824	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.2025	-0.73%	0.20275	-0.60%	0.0060	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.210465	-0.80%	0.20398	-3.86%	0.0292	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.218128	-0.80%	0.21216	-3.51%	0.0296	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.22937	-0.79%	0.219885	-4.89%	0.0381	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.22809	-0.57%	0.2312	+0.78%	0.0159	✗	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.251217	-0.43%	0.2294	-9.08%	0.0960	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.255317	-0.58%	0.25231	-1.75%	0.0099	✗	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.31417	-0.79%	0.25681	-18.90%	0.2041	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.441511	-1.47%	0.31667	-29.33%	0.3965	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.38602	-1.09%	0.44811	+14.82%	0.1463	✗	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.393	-1.16%	0.39028	-1.85%	0.0315	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.350318	-1.20%	0.39762	+12.14%	0.1294	✗	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.346932	-1.09%	0.354585	+1.09%	0.0212	✗	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.297865	-0.78%	0.35075	+16.84%	0.1706	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.321114	-0.84%	0.300195	-7.30%	0.0676	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.32708	-0.92%	0.323825	-1.91%	0.0080	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.302225	-0.83%	0.330115	+8.32%	0.0946	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.272779	-0.74%	0.304755	+10.90%	0.1275	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.298245	-0.84%	0.2748	-8.63%	0.0808	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.281501	-0.89%	0.300765	+5.89%	0.0659	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.277311	-0.86%	0.284025	+1.54%	0.0135	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.269497	-0.87%	0.279705	+2.89%	0.0428	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.255013	-0.81%	0.27185	+5.74%	0.0549	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.255992	-0.95%	0.257085	-0.52%	0.0052	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.262348	-1.19%	0.25844	-2.66%	0.0145	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.239899	-0.81%	0.2655	+9.77%	0.0892	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.243438	-1.09%	0.24187	-1.73%	0.0054	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.243641	-1.43%	0.24613	-0.42%	0.0421	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.209918	-0.89%	0.24718	+16.70%	0.1520	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.180444	-0.44%	0.2118	+16.86%	0.1596	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.179906	-0.49%	0.18124	+0.25%	0.0053	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.189939	-0.85%	0.180795	-5.62%	0.0291	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.179856	-0.44%	0.19156	+6.04%	0.0540	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.178984	-0.44%	0.180655	+0.49%	0.0074	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.171349	-0.34%	0.17977	+4.55%	0.0572	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.169866	-0.30%	0.17194	+0.92%	0.0218	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.17631	-0.32%	0.170375	-3.67%	0.0304	✓	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.173388	-0.28%	0.176875	+1.73%	0.0079	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.17187	-0.23%	0.17387	+0.93%	0.0066	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.172314	-0.22%	0.17227	-0.25%	0.0011	✓	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.16985	-0.16%	0.1727	+1.52%	0.0071	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.168679	-0.11%	0.17012	+0.74%	0.0069	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.169282	-0.10%	0.168865	-0.35%	0.0074	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.174838	-0.14%	0.16945	-3.22%	0.0281	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.16508	-0.12%	0.175085	+5.94%	0.0278	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.170733	-0.15%	0.165275	-3.35%	0.0158	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.169024	-0.11%	0.170995	+1.05%	0.0119	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.173765	-0.13%	0.16921	-2.75%	0.0239	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.169468	-0.09%	0.173995	+2.58%	0.0193	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.172091	-0.06%	0.16962	-1.50%	0.0213	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.189351	-0.15%	0.172195	-9.19%	0.0881	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.189714	-0.15%	0.18963	-0.19%	0.0037	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.172435	-0.03%	0.19	+10.15%	0.0947	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.183925	-0.10%	0.172495	-6.31%	0.0671	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.179055	-0.08%	0.184115	+2.75%	0.0236	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.167923	-0.03%	0.17919	+6.68%	0.0571	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.165901	-0.02%	0.167965	+1.23%	0.0006	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.159097	+0.02%	0.16593	+4.31%	0.0308	✓	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.16318	-0.04%	0.15907	-2.56%	0.0130	✓	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.154198	+0.01%	0.16325	+5.89%	0.0534	✓	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.150857	+0.01%	0.154175	+2.21%	0.0236	✓	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.144199	+0.06%	0.150835	+4.67%	0.0453	✓	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.144239	+0.04%	0.14411	-0.05%	0.0021	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.138829	+0.09%	0.14418	+3.95%	0.0481	✓	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.141903	+0.04%	0.1387	-2.21%	0.0158	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.138758	+0.08%	0.14184	+2.30%	0.0277	✓	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.142579	+0.04%	0.13865	-2.72%	0.0312	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.14483	+0.03%	0.14252	-1.57%	0.0117	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.14453	+0.06%	0.14479	+0.24%	0.0015	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.151223	+0.04%	0.144445	-4.44%	0.0487	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.157499	+0.04%	0.151155	-3.99%	0.0343	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.164788	+0.02%	0.15744	-4.44%	0.0410	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.184088	-0.07%	0.16476	-10.56%	0.1087	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.190011	-0.07%	0.18421	-3.12%	0.0331	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.195777	-0.08%	0.19015	-2.95%	0.0343	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.19156	-0.05%	0.195935	+2.23%	0.0191	✗	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.198517	-0.14%	0.191665	-3.59%	0.0350	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.175824	+0.02%	0.1988	+13.09%	0.1186	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.179974	-0.00%	0.17579	-2.33%	0.0230	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.188687	-0.10%	0.179975	-4.71%	0.0452	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.177921	-0.04%	0.18887	+6.11%	0.0601	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.173454	+0.01%	0.178	+2.64%	0.0233	✓	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.174936	+0.01%	0.17343	-0.85%	0.0085	✗	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.187983	-0.16%	0.17492	-7.10%	0.0742	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.206474	-0.42%	0.18829	-9.19%	0.0924	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.193925	-0.44%	0.20735	+6.45%	0.0682	✗	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.19669	-0.59%	0.19479	-1.55%	0.0110	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.200889	-1.19%	0.19786	-2.68%	0.0173	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.199926	-1.49%	0.20331	+0.18%	0.0166	✗	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.180166	-0.85%	0.20295	+11.69%	0.1196	✗	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.176019	-1.40%	0.181715	+1.79%	0.0317	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.154026	+0.10%	0.17852	+16.02%	0.1475	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.160412	+0.09%	0.15387	-3.99%	0.0427	✗	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.172423	-0.15%	0.16026	-7.19%	0.0756	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.179325	-0.17%	0.17268	-3.87%	0.0373	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.191051	-0.32%	0.17963	-6.27%	0.0612	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.188427	-0.21%	0.191655	+1.50%	0.0190	✗	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.196596	-0.40%	0.18882	-4.34%	0.0461	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.199723	-0.40%	0.19739	-1.56%	0.0116	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.199921	-0.34%	0.200525	-0.04%	0.0049	✗	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.205916	-0.46%	0.200605	-3.03%	0.0266	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.199036	-0.30%	0.206865	+3.62%	0.0374	✗	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.20293	-0.33%	0.19963	-1.95%	0.0183	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.218916	-0.49%	0.20361	-7.45%	0.0759	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.249396	-0.72%	0.219995	-12.42%	0.1388	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.253154	-0.77%	0.2512	-1.54%	0.0037	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.253059	-0.75%	0.25513	+0.07%	0.0002	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.271776	-0.82%	0.25496	-6.96%	0.0736	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.269195	-0.79%	0.27403	+0.99%	0.0141	✗	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.287028	-0.98%	0.27135	-6.39%	0.0454	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.280989	-1.00%	0.28986	+2.12%	0.0344	✗	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.271668	-0.99%	0.28383	+3.44%	0.0451	✗	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.265028	-0.91%	0.27438	+2.59%	0.0246	✗	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.279986	-1.29%	0.26746	-5.70%	0.0422	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.262709	-1.05%	0.283635	+6.83%	0.0844	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.2497	-1.05%	0.26549	+5.21%	0.0717	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.25988	-1.06%	0.25235	-3.93%	0.0304	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.250082	-1.08%	0.26266	+3.89%	0.0528	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.277236	-1.20%	0.25282	-9.90%	0.0799	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.309477	-1.34%	0.28061	-10.55%	0.0947	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.346705	-2.23%	0.31369	-11.54%	0.1041	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.31229	-3.94%	0.35463	+9.08%	0.1207	✗	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.218705	-0.91%	0.3251	+47.29%	0.3973	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.205898	-0.94%	0.22072	+6.19%	0.0693	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.20354	-0.94%	0.20786	+1.17%	0.0210	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.200318	-0.82%	0.205465	+1.73%	0.0359	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.230685	-1.24%	0.20197	-13.53%	0.1339	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.223133	-1.29%	0.23358	+3.33%	0.0217	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.217194	-1.38%	0.22605	+2.64%	0.0336	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.188085	-1.03%	0.22024	+15.89%	0.1305	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.178296	-0.97%	0.19005	+5.55%	0.0894	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.244397	-1.58%	0.18005	-27.49%	0.2877	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.281798	-5.20%	0.24832	-16.46%	0.1519	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.178932	-1.02%	0.29724	+64.42%	0.5032	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.177557	-1.03%	0.18078	+0.76%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.173909	-1.03%	0.17941	+2.10%	0.0347	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.183118	-1.12%	0.17572	-5.11%	0.0921	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.170436	-1.14%	0.18519	+7.41%	0.1154	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.159916	-1.14%	0.17241	+6.58%	0.0740	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.166905	-1.11%	0.16176	-4.16%	0.0479	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.17282	-1.09%	0.16878	-3.41%	0.0336	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.169676	-1.08%	0.17473	+1.87%	0.0409	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.169591	-0.91%	0.17153	+0.22%	0.0321	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.190554	-1.20%	0.17115	-11.26%	0.1052	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.163794	-0.95%	0.19287	+16.64%	0.1383	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.143185	-0.74%	0.16536	+14.63%	0.1390	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.