ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s4
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +7d
assessed
80
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
38.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4760
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0259
actual -0.1949
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.040844 | -4.27% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.039868 | -5.46% | – | pending | – | – | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.022455 | +4.78% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.021958 | +5.31% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.029034 | +4.93% | – | pending | – | – | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.03449 | +3.92% | – | pending | – | – | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.031087 | +5.82% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.035417 | +5.23% | 0.042665 | +26.76% | 0.1514 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.037969 | +4.76% | 0.04217 | +16.35% | 0.1098 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.038307 | +4.86% | 0.02143 | -41.34% | 0.5838 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053811 | +0.05% | 0.02085 | -61.23% | 0.9093 | ✗ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.059888 | -2.22% | 0.02767 | -54.82% | 0.7345 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.058505 | -2.16% | 0.033189 | -44.50% | 0.5411 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.043867 | +3.41% | 0.029376 | -30.75% | 0.4108 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.050464 | +0.16% | 0.033658 | -33.20% | 0.3716 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.051782 | -3.03% | 0.036243 | -32.13% | 0.3147 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.062496 | -7.68% | 0.036532 | -46.03% | 0.4730 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.08613 | -8.07% | 0.053783 | -42.60% | 0.4378 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.098123 | -7.50% | 0.061248 | -42.26% | 0.4430 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.071091 | -8.84% | 0.059795 | -23.33% | 0.1427 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.078617 | -8.86% | 0.04242 | -50.82% | 0.5791 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.081968 | -8.87% | 0.050383 | -43.99% | 0.4833 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.05897 | -11.82% | 0.0534 | -20.15% | 0.1217 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.061656 | -13.12% | 0.067695 | -4.61% | 0.0663 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.082346 | -10.37% | 0.093694 | +1.99% | 0.1052 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.064583 | -11.77% | 0.106073 | +44.90% | 0.4923 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.06722 | -11.36% | 0.077989 | +2.84% | 0.1437 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.052259 | -14.73% | 0.086255 | +40.73% | 0.4956 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.056775 | -14.12% | 0.089951 | +36.06% | 0.4700 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.051477 | -15.57% | 0.066876 | +9.69% | 0.2919 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.069776 | -12.35% | 0.070965 | -10.85% | 0.0538 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.047946 | -13.37% | 0.09187 | +65.99% | 0.6104 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.048752 | -12.56% | 0.073202 | +31.29% | 0.3680 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.034462 | -12.65% | 0.075834 | +92.22% | 0.7497 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.044253 | -12.28% | 0.06129 | +21.49% | 0.2256 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.025774 | -9.71% | 0.066113 | +131.59% | 0.8393 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.01504 | -6.45% | 0.06097 | +279.23% | 1.2683 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.01319 | -7.20% | 0.079604 | +460.04% | 1.6953 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.014028 | -8.62% | 0.055348 | +260.55% | 1.3174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.0155 | -10.07% | 0.055756 | +223.50% | 1.2300 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.01774 | -9.83% | 0.039451 | +100.52% | 0.7529 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001721 | +5.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 3.46e-7 | -69.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 5.70e-8 | -92.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 5.70e-7 | -61.34% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010333 | -1.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009338 | -0.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010017 | -1.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010426 | -1.18% | 0.000001625 | -84.60% | 1.8572 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010798 | -1.12% | 0.00000113 | -89.65% | 2.2704 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010895 | -1.09% | 7.70e-7 | -93.01% | 2.6296 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011102 | -0.92% | 0.000001475 | -86.84% | 2.0080 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012561 | -0.97% | 0.000010515 | -17.11% | 0.1705 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011634 | -0.39% | 0.0000094 | -19.52% | 0.2022 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009789 | +2.40% | 0.000010125 | +5.91% | 0.0149 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010582 | +2.04% | 0.00001055 | +1.74% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011865 | +1.37% | 0.00001092 | -6.71% | 0.0786 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011961 | +2.27% | 0.000011015 | -5.81% | 0.1041 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.00001293 | +2.05% | 0.000011205 | -11.56% | 0.1478 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013793 | +1.72% | 0.000012685 | -6.45% | 0.0650 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014899 | +1.56% | 0.00001168 | -20.38% | 0.2220 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015604 | +1.32% | 0.00000956 | -37.92% | 0.4200 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015708 | +1.80% | 0.00001037 | -32.79% | 0.3585 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000016 | +2.11% | 0.000011705 | -25.30% | 0.2660 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000015493 | +3.49% | 0.000011695 | -21.88% | 0.2430 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015873 | +4.08% | 0.00001267 | -16.92% | 0.2056 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000017216 | +4.02% | 0.00001356 | -18.07% | 0.2479 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000017377 | +4.74% | 0.00001467 | -11.57% | 0.1779 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000018229 | +4.47% | 0.0000154 | -11.75% | 0.1727 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000018736 | +4.55% | 0.00001543 | -13.90% | 0.1811 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000018263 | +5.94% | 0.00001567 | -9.11% | 0.1648 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000020706 | +5.10% | 0.00001497 | -24.01% | 0.3874 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000024427 | +2.12% | 0.00001525 | -36.25% | 0.4715 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.0000279 | +0.72% | 0.00001655 | -40.25% | 0.5049 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029628 | +0.43% | 0.00001659 | -43.76% | 0.5626 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032995 | -0.20% | 0.00001745 | -47.22% | 0.6455 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031888 | +0.37% | 0.00001792 | -43.59% | 0.6088 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.00003358 | +0.54% | 0.00001724 | -48.38% | 0.7113 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035973 | +0.20% | 0.0000197 | -45.13% | 0.5794 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038278 | +0.20% | 0.00002392 | -37.38% | 0.5104 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040428 | +0.32% | 0.0000277 | -31.27% | 0.4481 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040445 | +0.61% | 0.0000295 | -26.62% | 0.3819 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042513 | +0.50% | 0.00003306 | -21.84% | 0.3052 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044402 | +0.00% | 0.00003177 | -28.45% | 0.3238 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000046131 | -0.15% | 0.0000334 | -27.71% | 0.2609 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.00004363 | +1.23% | 0.0000359 | -16.71% | 0.1525 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000042881 | +1.85% | 0.0000382 | -9.26% | 0.0340 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000041798 | +2.70% | 0.0000403 | -0.98% | 0.0842 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000041003 | +3.81% | 0.0000402 | +1.77% | 0.0854 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000041988 | +2.41% | 0.0000423 | +3.17% | 0.1481 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000042799 | +1.42% | 0.0000444 | +5.21% | 0.1422 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000037949 | +2.56% | 0.0000462 | +24.86% | 0.2999 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046363 | -1.14% | 0.0000431 | -8.10% | 0.0674 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000054693 | -1.81% | 0.0000421 | -24.42% | 0.1559 | ✓ | 1.00 |