ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s4
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +1d
assessed
92
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
44.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1617
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0141
actual -0.0290
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.042232 | -1.01% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.041101 | -2.54% | 0.042665 | +1.17% | 0.0454 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021707 | +1.29% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6331 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.021146 | +1.42% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0181 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.028042 | +1.34% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.3151 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.033532 | +1.03% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1886 | ✗ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.02981 | +1.48% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1262 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.034121 | +1.38% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1670 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.036717 | +1.31% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0413 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.037027 | +1.36% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0632 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053899 | +0.21% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3438 | ✗ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060837 | -0.67% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1419 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.059288 | -0.85% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0235 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.042845 | +1.00% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3138 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.050537 | +0.31% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1442 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.053223 | -0.33% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0158 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066769 | -1.37% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2202 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.092296 | -1.49% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.3012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.104279 | -1.69% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1337 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.076697 | -1.66% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3206 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.084772 | -1.72% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0793 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.088181 | -1.97% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0374 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065333 | -2.31% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3207 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.069155 | -2.55% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.089725 | -2.34% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2226 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.071474 | -2.36% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2505 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.073941 | -2.50% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.059464 | -2.98% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2466 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.064161 | -2.95% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0459 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059004 | -3.23% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1351 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.076327 | -4.12% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.053649 | -3.07% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3298 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.053642 | -3.79% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0322 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038321 | -2.87% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3706 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.047694 | -5.46% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2473 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027509 | -3.64% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.6038 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015826 | -1.56% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5825 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014015 | -1.40% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1710 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015099 | -1.64% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0781 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.016902 | -1.93% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0903 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019293 | -1.94% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001645 | +1.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 8.85e-7 | -21.66% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.6208 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 4.51e-7 | -41.41% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.9032 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001212 | -17.82% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.4457 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010502 | -0.13% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9639 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009416 | +0.17% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1034 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010131 | +0.06% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0766 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010553 | +0.03% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0354 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010923 | +0.03% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0373 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.00001102 | +0.05% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011214 | +0.08% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0168 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012684 | -0.01% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1284 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011696 | +0.14% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0779 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009634 | +0.77% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1638 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010439 | +0.66% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0797 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011763 | +0.49% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1089 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011771 | +0.65% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0203 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012749 | +0.62% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0687 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013639 | +0.58% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0535 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014751 | +0.55% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0840 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.00001548 | +0.52% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0320 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015524 | +0.61% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015776 | +0.67% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0160 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000015108 | +0.92% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015407 | +1.03% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0310 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016717 | +1.01% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.1024 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016778 | +1.14% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0130 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017643 | +1.11% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0361 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000018123 | +1.13% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0254 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017473 | +1.35% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019931 | +1.17% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2173 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000024081 | +0.67% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1536 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027809 | +0.39% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1456 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029598 | +0.33% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0655 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000033123 | +0.19% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1113 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031871 | +0.32% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0273 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033511 | +0.33% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0887 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035999 | +0.27% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0642 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038303 | +0.27% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0815 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040414 | +0.28% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0811 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040342 | +0.35% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042445 | +0.34% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0372 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044512 | +0.25% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000046282 | +0.18% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0258 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000043305 | +0.48% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0559 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000042351 | +0.60% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000041011 | +0.76% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0406 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039877 | +0.96% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000041267 | +0.65% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0089 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000042362 | +0.38% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0126 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000037269 | +0.73% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1376 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046853 | -0.10% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2077 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055556 | -0.26% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1816 | ✓ | 1.00 |