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MSFTX

Microsoft xStock · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id
#605
symbol
MSFTX
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x5621737f42dae558b81269fcb9e9e70c19aa6b35
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2025-11-25
predictions
783
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
187
of 261 predictions shown
direction hit
49.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0764
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0212
actual +0.0246

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos527.2872506.1019-4.02%–pending––0.08
2026-10-20oos529.0269505.2133-4.50%–pending––0.08
2026-10-19oos532.8345506.3267-4.97%–pending––0.09
2026-10-18oos526.7454501.2989-4.83%–pending––0.09
2026-10-17oos527.6699500.6231-5.13%–pending––0.10
2026-10-16oos527.6898502.5926-4.76%–pending––0.10
2026-10-15oos536.9949512.8823-4.49%–pending––0.09
2026-10-14oos531.9497509.1427-4.29%–pending––0.09
2026-10-13oos541.0907522.6716-3.40%–pending––0.08
2026-10-12oos541.1951518.5041-4.19%–pending––0.07
2026-10-11oos536.13519.8316-3.04%–pending––0.06
2026-10-10oos534.8327518.8507-2.99%–pending––0.08
2026-10-09oos534.9768521.3359-2.55%–pending––0.08
2026-10-08oos522.4756511.2034-2.16%–pending––0.07
2026-10-07oos529.6532516.3059-2.52%–pending––0.06
2026-10-06oos529.4942521.9524-1.42%–pending––0.05
2026-10-05oos525.0852524.9689-0.02%–pending––0.07
2026-10-04oos517.8778515.5934-0.44%–pending––0.06
2026-10-03oos518.4096513.9996-0.85%–pending––0.06
2026-10-02oos518.3699517.8989-0.09%–pending––0.06
2026-10-01oos514.8357519.373+0.88%–pending––0.06
2026-09-30oos514.4331511.7104-0.53%–pending––0.06
2026-09-29oos509.4575506.4041-0.60%–pending––0.08
2026-09-28oos514.1746515.3026+0.22%–pending––0.09
2026-09-27oos516.9532517.3086+0.07%–pending––0.07
2026-09-26oos517.4155521.3895+0.77%–pending––0.07
2026-09-25oos517.4155525.1001+1.49%–pending––0.07
2026-09-24oos495.992511.5696+3.14%–pending––0.07
2026-09-23oos499.9088505.4992+1.12%–pending––0.07
2026-09-22oos500.0928511.8001+2.34%–pending––0.08
2026-09-21oos500.5451517.4982+3.39%527.2872+5.34%0.0233✓0.10
2026-09-20oos501.7629498.3678-0.68%529.0269+5.43%0.0570✗0.12
2026-09-19oos497.3092499.93+0.53%532.8345+7.14%0.0629✓0.12
2026-09-18oos496.4343502.7579+1.27%526.7454+6.11%0.0450✓0.12
2026-09-17oos491.6874485.309-1.30%527.6699+7.32%0.0761✗0.12
2026-09-16oos489.714481.0175-1.78%527.6898+7.75%0.0846✗0.12
2026-09-15oos496.9414483.4724-2.71%536.9949+8.06%0.0933✗0.14
2026-09-14oos499.8194496.8836-0.59%531.9497+6.43%0.0619✗0.15
2026-09-13oos492.2739481.7851-2.13%541.0907+9.92%0.1042✗0.15
2026-09-11oos492.4031487.2748-1.04%536.13+8.88%0.0850✗0.13
2026-09-10oos492.2739487.4703-0.98%534.8327+8.65%0.0800✗0.16
2026-09-09oos492.4479488.4625-0.81%534.9768+8.64%0.0825✗0.16
2026-09-08oos494.6449487.0253-1.54%522.4756+5.63%0.0650✗0.13
2026-09-07oos497.2893486.6957-2.13%529.6532+6.51%0.0778✗0.13
2026-09-06oos497.334492.7882-0.91%529.4942+6.47%0.0631✗0.14
2026-09-05oos497.339494.9033-0.49%525.0852+5.58%0.0492✗0.14
2026-09-04oos494.6896496.8977+0.45%517.8778+4.69%0.0298✓0.14
2026-09-03oos509.5122518.1211+1.69%518.4096+1.75%0.0044✓0.12
2026-09-02oos497.8908488.9786-1.79%518.3699+4.11%0.0466✗0.13
2026-09-01oos501.0123493.9184-1.42%514.8357+2.76%0.0294✗0.13
2026-08-31oos507.9514504.0125-0.78%514.4331+1.28%0.0104✗0.16
2026-08-30oos510.72500.8153-1.94%509.4575-0.25%0.0006✓0.22
2026-08-29oos510.5759509.7829-0.16%514.1746+0.70%0.0051✓0.21
2026-08-28oos509.88516.1322+1.23%516.9532+1.39%0.0158✗0.21
2026-08-27oos503.0404523.3172+4.03%517.4155+2.86%0.0227✓0.23
2026-08-26oos496.0466512.1916+3.25%517.4155+4.31%0.0037✓0.22
2026-08-25oos489.8234504.9133+3.08%495.992+1.26%0.0331✗0.21
2026-08-24oos487.4474510.281+4.68%499.9088+2.56%0.0343✓0.21
2026-08-23oos478.7388490.7087+2.50%500.0928+4.46%0.0034✓0.22
2026-08-22oos478.7239495.4639+3.50%500.5451+4.56%0.0151✓0.22
2026-08-21oos478.7935511.9826+6.93%501.7629+4.80%0.0279✓0.22
2026-08-20oos481.4528494.372+2.68%497.3092+3.29%0.0231✓0.27
2026-08-19oos483.9431471.8121-2.51%496.4343+2.58%0.0033✓0.31
2026-08-18oos481.3295458.0586-4.83%491.6874+2.15%0.0099✓0.37
2026-08-17oos476.0188452.1576-5.01%489.714+2.88%0.0194✓0.36
2026-08-14oos494.1408461.4297-6.62%492.2739-0.38%0.0072✓0.36
2026-08-13oos495.7335460.7522-7.06%–pending––0.36
2026-08-12oos488.631457.3538-6.40%492.4031+0.77%0.0054✓0.35
2026-08-11oos495.0118461.4709-6.78%492.2739-0.55%0.0004✓0.34
2026-08-10oos505.2897467.1017-7.56%492.4479-2.54%0.0180✓0.35
2026-08-09oos497.5054465.2187-6.49%494.6449-0.57%0.0068✓0.36
2026-08-08oos500.8899466.9426-6.78%497.2893-0.72%0.0080✓0.36
2026-08-07oos495.0018459.9027-7.09%497.334+0.47%0.0019✓0.36
2026-08-06oos498.6103461.839-7.37%497.339-0.25%0.0053✓0.37
2026-08-05oos485.4855452.4659-6.80%494.6896+1.90%0.0129✓0.36
2026-08-04oos490.0645454.2689-7.30%509.5122+3.97%0.0278✓0.37
2026-08-03oos484.0869447.0695-7.65%497.8908+2.85%0.0352✓0.37
2026-08-02oos457.4987429.119-6.20%501.0123+9.51%0.0861✗0.35
2026-08-01oos457.4987427.3241-6.60%507.9514+11.03%0.0938✗0.35
2026-07-31oos459.7086427.5826-6.99%510.72+11.10%0.1028✗0.35
2026-07-30oos446.0312422.4417-5.29%510.5759+14.47%0.1153✗0.39
2026-07-29oos425.5053407.2254-4.30%509.88+19.83%0.1484✗0.39
2026-07-28oos395.3485381.2534-3.57%503.0404+27.24%0.1963✗0.35
2026-07-27oos381.4024369.239-3.19%496.0466+30.06%0.2208✗0.35
2026-07-26oos388.475375.2588-3.40%489.8234+26.09%0.2053✗0.33
2026-07-25oos384.0005370.6468-3.48%487.4474+26.94%0.2078✗0.32
2026-07-24oos381.6662369.6066-3.16%478.7388+25.43%0.1969✗0.32
2026-07-23oos385.9266376.4301-2.46%478.7239+24.05%0.1867✗0.32
2026-07-22oos391.5658383.9676-1.94%478.7935+22.28%0.1685✗0.31
2026-07-21oos399.5144391.3295-2.05%481.4528+20.51%0.1792✗0.30
2026-07-20oos399.0863389.7425-2.34%483.9431+21.26%0.1981✗0.30
2026-07-19oos385.3692374.6348-2.79%481.3295+24.90%0.2506✗0.29
2026-07-17oos394.4327383.1804-2.85%–pending––0.29
2026-07-16oos400.3705387.4342-3.23%–pending––0.30
2026-07-15oos396.9262386.9208-2.52%494.1408+24.49%0.2530✗0.31
2026-07-14oos386.7578378.9923-2.01%495.7335+28.18%0.2761✗0.31
2026-07-13oos389.8288378.038-3.02%488.631+25.35%0.2496✗0.38
2026-07-12oos396.4982382.916-3.43%495.0118+24.85%0.2580✗0.37
2026-07-11oos395.5028382.8774-3.19%505.2897+27.76%0.2766✗0.37
2026-07-10oos387.0565379.1084-2.05%497.5054+28.54%0.2676✗0.38
2026-07-09oos384.1996377.5199-1.74%500.8899+30.37%0.2726✗0.38
2026-07-08oos386.8325379.4612-1.91%495.0018+27.96%0.2495✗0.39
2026-07-07oos395.9656389.1438-1.72%498.6103+25.92%0.2423✗0.38
2026-07-06oos386.285381.9682-1.12%485.4855+25.68%0.2362✗0.39
2026-07-05oos416.0984404.6963-2.74%490.0645+17.78%0.1884✗0.41
2026-07-02oos398.6235386.0497-3.15%457.4987+14.77%0.1615✗0.41
2026-07-01oos384.3041372.2537-3.14%459.7086+19.62%0.1934✗0.38
2026-06-30oos377.3061365.4779-3.13%446.0312+18.21%0.1618✗0.37
2026-06-29oos371.3086362.383-2.40%425.5053+14.60%0.1368✗0.40
2026-06-27oos400.4003383.1143-4.32%381.4024-4.74%0.0300✓0.42
2026-06-26oos372.7968359.9496-3.45%388.475+4.21%0.0411✗0.41
2026-06-25oos360.8665350.5139-2.87%384.0005+6.41%0.0614✗0.40
2026-06-24oos365.8735357.7435-2.22%381.6662+4.32%0.0441✗0.42
2026-06-23oos373.6131365.39-2.20%385.9266+3.30%0.0396✗0.40
2026-06-22oos372.8565367.902-1.33%391.5658+5.02%0.0487✗0.41
2026-06-21oos382.5023373.2729-2.41%399.5144+4.45%0.0460✗0.43
2026-06-19oos382.5023374.0373-2.21%385.3692+0.75%0.0217✓0.43
2026-06-18oos380.7305374.1184-1.74%–pending––0.43
2026-06-17oos389.1668382.4132-1.74%394.4327+1.35%0.0346✗0.42
2026-06-16oos396.7122390.7169-1.51%400.3705+0.92%0.0360✗0.40
2026-06-15oos403.093396.4914-1.64%396.9262-1.53%0.0111✓0.42
2026-06-14oos416.3522404.4106-2.87%386.7578-7.11%0.0397✓0.45
2026-06-13oos421.3493407.6731-3.25%389.8288-7.48%0.0286✓0.47
2026-06-12oos391.7251381.2527-2.67%396.4982+1.22%0.0379✗0.42
2026-06-11oos392.8201381.1203-2.98%395.5028+0.68%0.0356✗0.42
2026-06-10oos400.0669385.7103-3.59%387.0565-3.25%0.0160✓0.46
2026-06-09oos405.8056390.1245-3.86%384.1996-5.32%0.0268✓0.48
2026-06-08oos410.4991393.4997-4.14%386.8325-5.77%0.0111✓0.45
2026-06-05oos417.9947395.91-5.28%416.0984-0.45%0.0320✓0.43
2026-06-04oos428.4369404.3336-5.63%–pending––0.42
2026-06-03oos427.7002403.1598-5.74%–pending––0.41
2026-06-02oos441.8255414.7817-6.12%398.6235-9.78%0.0107✓0.36
2026-06-01oos459.4547431.1555-6.16%384.3041-16.36%0.0685✓0.27
2026-05-31oos455.1246429.1868-5.70%377.3061-17.10%0.0627✓0.29
2026-05-29oos440.3224416.8774-5.32%–pending––0.29
2026-05-28oos431.6969409.4719-5.15%400.4003-7.25%0.0367✓0.29
2026-05-27oos418.0295397.6519-4.87%372.7968-10.82%0.0023✓0.29
2026-05-26oos415.1428394.6212-4.94%360.8665-13.07%0.0167✓0.30
2026-05-25oos426.6948405.6056-4.94%365.8735-14.25%0.0266✓0.32
2026-05-24oos426.6899406.8251-4.66%373.6131-12.44%0.0193✓0.32
2026-05-23oos426.6749409.022-4.14%372.8565-12.61%0.0346✓0.32
2026-05-22oos422.6036406.0773-3.91%382.5023-9.49%0.0038✓0.32
2026-05-21oos421.21410.8018-2.47%–pending––0.33
2026-05-20oos417.7398407.8142-2.38%382.5023-8.44%0.0008✓0.33
2026-05-19oos417.0968404.0906-3.12%380.7305-8.72%0.0058✓0.33
2026-05-18oos422.9837410.2749-3.00%389.1668-7.99%0.0040✓0.32
2026-05-17oos423.871411.012-3.03%396.7122-6.41%0.0175✓0.32
2026-05-15oos412.0971412.1059+0.00%416.3522+1.03%0.0695✓0.32
2026-05-14oos408.4034416.0441+1.87%421.3493+3.17%0.0904✓0.34
2026-05-13oos405.3378407.0562+0.42%391.7251-3.36%0.0317✓0.32
2026-05-12oos411.8528415.1686+0.81%392.8201-4.62%0.0178✓0.31
2026-05-11oos413.8268425.039+2.71%400.0669-3.33%0.0374✓0.34
2026-05-08oos418.2183423.1932+1.19%–pending––0.33
2026-05-07oos420.7157426.5692+1.39%–pending––0.33
2026-05-06oos416.3092429.3237+3.13%417.9947+0.40%0.0317✓0.20
2026-05-05oos409.5798419.9631+2.54%428.4369+4.60%0.0607✓0.17
2026-05-04oos413.0442415.9268+0.70%427.7002+3.55%0.0655✓0.17
2026-05-01oos421.7674417.8847-0.92%455.1246+7.91%0.0975✗0.20
2026-04-30oos408.6427401.0586-1.86%–pending––0.19
2026-04-29oos425.6157415.7239-2.32%440.3224+3.46%0.0636✗0.19
2026-04-28oos428.437418.436-2.33%431.6969+0.76%0.0386✗0.20
2026-04-27oos425.4163421.1497-1.00%418.0295-1.74%0.0004✓0.19
2026-04-26oos422.1662422.1781+0.00%415.1428-1.66%0.0092✗0.21
2026-04-24oos425.7353426.2048+0.11%426.6899+0.22%0.0024✓0.21
2026-04-23oos418.7816427.5892+2.10%426.6749+1.88%0.0022✓0.21
2026-04-22oos427.6743435.6567+1.87%422.6036-1.19%0.0229✗0.21
2026-04-21oos425.9746426.6012+0.15%421.21-1.12%0.0160✗0.21
2026-04-20oos417.9691416.146-0.44%417.7398-0.05%0.0004✓0.20
2026-04-17oos426.2487430.2306+0.93%423.871-0.56%0.0157✗0.20
2026-04-16oos420.0627418.5378-0.36%–pending––0.19
2026-04-15oos416.0649414.4878-0.38%412.0971-0.95%0.0164✓0.19
2026-04-14oos394.6206391.4709-0.80%408.4034+3.49%0.0261✗0.18
2026-04-13oos386.8644386.0075-0.22%405.3378+4.78%0.0378✗0.18
2026-04-10oos377.6526374.9842-0.71%–pending––0.15
2026-04-09oos373.1265366.4051-1.80%–pending––0.14
2026-04-08oos373.939367.6781-1.67%418.2183+11.84%0.1120✗0.14
2026-04-07oos382.6075376.5441-1.58%420.7157+9.96%0.0963✗0.14
2026-04-06oos378.6047370.5371-2.13%416.3092+9.96%0.0969✗0.12
2026-04-03oos379.7363369.1463-2.79%–pending––0.12
2026-04-02oos379.7562372.1374-2.01%–pending––0.12
2026-04-01oos382.6374374.2408-2.19%421.7674+10.23%0.1035✗0.12
2026-03-31oos384.0829374.904-2.39%408.6427+6.39%0.0732✗0.12
2026-03-30oos371.5713363.819-2.09%425.6157+14.54%0.1441✗0.10
2026-03-27oos368.7998358.9999-2.66%422.1662+14.47%0.1446✗0.10
2026-03-26oos378.9487368.1126-2.86%–pending––0.09
2026-03-25oos382.2785373.1099-2.40%425.7353+11.37%0.1242✗0.09
2026-03-24oos375.0008365.4825-2.54%418.7816+11.67%0.1270✗0.09
2026-03-23oos390.1344379.904-2.62%427.6743+9.62%0.1099✗0.09
2026-03-20oos388.5193376.3471-3.13%–pending––0.09
2026-03-19oos389.6758377.8017-3.05%–pending––0.09
2026-03-18oos387.652378.4601-2.37%426.2487+9.96%0.1118✗0.09
2026-03-17oos398.6084398.6821+0.02%420.0627+5.38%0.0510✓0.08
2026-03-16oos413.5925417.7482+1.00%416.0649+0.60%0.0040✓0.07
2026-03-13oos396.3753392.8428-0.89%–pending––0.07
2026-03-12oos416.1547410.0052-1.48%–pending––0.08
2026-03-11oos389.9988385.5471-1.14%377.6526-3.17%0.0234✓0.07
2026-03-10oos420.004413.3607-1.58%373.1265-11.16%0.1044✓0.08
2026-03-09oos422.5885416.1186-1.53%373.939-11.51%0.1100✓0.08
2026-03-06oos407.8403404.4407-0.83%–pending––0.08
2026-03-05oos410.1653411.1765+0.25%–pending––0.08
2026-03-04oos406.124411.0428+1.21%379.7363-6.50%0.0741✗0.06
2026-03-03oos403.0805402.3832-0.17%379.7562-5.79%0.0563✓0.07
2026-03-02oos398.4006398.7848+0.10%382.6374-3.96%0.0404✗0.08
2026-02-27oos399.6529398.0563-0.40%–pending––0.06
2026-02-26oos397.1134397.8398+0.18%–pending––0.07
2026-02-25oos401.2545400.9723-0.07%368.7998-8.09%0.0820✓0.07
2026-02-24oos388.4571387.1737-0.33%378.9487-2.45%0.0241✓0.04
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