MON

Monad · native · gru_s4

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 972

Track record at +7d

assessed

317

of 324 predictions shown

direction hit

52.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0940

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0240

actual +0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.022257	0.021454	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.022069	0.021355	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.021433	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.02043	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.020611	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.021276	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.022318	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.022384	-2.42%	0.022257	-2.97%	0.0455	✓	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.023513	-2.41%	0.022069	-8.40%	0.1105	✓	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.023781	-2.54%	0.022084	-9.50%	0.0709	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.023624	-2.63%	0.0209	-13.86%	0.1244	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.026722	-3.00%	0.021073	-23.51%	0.2074	✓	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.024335	-3.16%	0.021746	-13.46%	0.0851	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.023545	-3.57%	0.022843	-6.44%	0.0116	✓	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.02303	-3.95%	0.022939	-4.33%	0.0117	✓	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.024381	-4.13%	0.024094	-5.26%	0.0181	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.027368	-3.73%	0.024401	-14.16%	0.0749	✓	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.03038	-3.43%	0.024261	-22.88%	0.1589	✓	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.032175	-3.49%	0.027548	-17.37%	0.1098	✓	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.032687	-3.50%	0.025129	-25.81%	0.2323	✓	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.031118	-3.70%	0.024415	-24.44%	0.2096	✓	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.032201	-4.34%	0.023977	-28.77%	0.2419	✓	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.030496	-3.97%	0.025431	-19.92%	0.1770	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.025794	-3.96%	0.028428	+5.84%	0.0661	✗	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.02733	-4.24%	0.031459	+10.23%	0.1023	✗	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.026992	-3.98%	0.03334	+18.60%	0.1772	✗	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.02572	-3.81%	0.033871	+26.68%	0.2698	✗	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.02538	-3.87%	0.032313	+22.39%	0.2345	✗	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.024071	-3.64%	0.033663	+34.76%	0.3275	✗	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.023148	-3.54%	0.031757	+32.34%	0.3303	✗	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.026357	-3.48%	0.026859	-1.64%	0.0604	✗	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.024843	-3.06%	0.028539	+11.36%	0.1896	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.024278	-2.85%	0.02811	+12.49%	0.0874	✗	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.024166	-2.60%	0.026738	+7.76%	0.0442	✗	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.02411	-2.28%	0.026401	+7.00%	0.0337	✗	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.022903	-1.52%	0.02498	+7.42%	0.0631	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.021993	-0.68%	0.023997	+8.38%	0.0657	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.021653	-0.14%	0.027307	+25.93%	0.0372	✗	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.022883	-0.14%	0.025628	+11.84%	0.0397	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.022722	+0.34%	0.02499	+10.35%	0.0129	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.023284	+0.63%	0.024811	+7.23%	0.0109	✗	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.023545	+1.00%	0.024673	+5.84%	0.0222	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.023215	+1.28%	0.023255	+1.45%	0.0054	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.025167	+0.76%	0.022142	-11.35%	0.0878	✗	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025787	+0.60%	0.021684	-15.40%	0.1201	✗	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.027072	+0.25%	0.022915	-15.15%	0.1502	✗	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.02726	+0.57%	0.022645	-16.45%	0.1228	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.025298	+1.47%	0.023138	-7.20%	0.0437	✗	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.02537	+1.33%	0.023311	-6.89%	0.0409	✗	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.027376	+1.01%	0.022922	-15.42%	0.0963	✗	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.025402	+0.15%	0.024977	-1.52%	0.0332	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.026421	-0.22%	0.025632	-3.20%	0.0477	✓	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.026416	-0.16%	0.027005	+2.06%	0.0137	✗	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.026388	-0.61%	0.027105	+2.09%	0.0160	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.026576	-0.54%	0.024932	-6.70%	0.0897	✓	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.027104	-0.85%	0.025037	-8.41%	0.1091	✓	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.02837	-0.83%	0.027102	-5.26%	0.0613	✓	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.028207	-1.31%	0.025364	-11.26%	0.0781	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.027335	-1.51%	0.026479	-4.59%	0.0135	✓	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.03083	-2.39%	0.026459	-16.23%	0.1461	✓	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.029662	-2.52%	0.02655	-12.75%	0.1098	✓	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.027417	-2.54%	0.026721	-5.02%	0.0450	✓	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.027855	-2.78%	0.027336	-4.59%	0.0109	✓	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.025721	-3.73%	0.028608	+7.07%	0.0160	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.021912	-2.91%	0.028582	+26.64%	0.1115	✗	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.020628	-2.83%	0.027753	+30.74%	0.0588	✗	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.021113	-3.00%	0.031585	+45.10%	0.1508	✗	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.019799	-2.37%	0.03043	+50.05%	0.1737	✗	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.020376	-2.42%	0.028133	+34.72%	0.0801	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.020607	-2.43%	0.028652	+35.66%	0.0669	✗	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.020991	-2.47%	0.026718	+24.14%	0.0718	✗	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.021263	-2.48%	0.022569	+3.51%	0.0489	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.02089	-2.41%	0.021228	-0.83%	0.0052	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.0212	-2.52%	0.021767	+0.09%	0.0160	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.020524	-2.14%	0.02028	-3.30%	0.0271	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.020428	-2.09%	0.020882	+0.08%	0.0587	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.020454	-2.11%	0.02112	+1.08%	0.0693	✗	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.020023	-2.03%	0.021522	+5.30%	0.0885	✗	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.02054	-2.13%	0.021804	+3.89%	0.0829	✗	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.020115	-2.03%	0.021406	+4.26%	0.0722	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.021053	-2.20%	0.021747	+1.02%	0.0236	✗	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.020509	-2.15%	0.020972	+0.06%	0.0046	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.020032	-2.09%	0.020865	+1.98%	0.0019	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.020263	-2.16%	0.020895	+0.89%	0.0104	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.021204	-2.29%	0.020439	-5.81%	0.0278	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.020313	-2.15%	0.020988	+1.10%	0.0183	✓	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.020796	-2.07%	0.020531	-3.32%	0.0170	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.01973	-1.89%	0.021527	+7.05%	0.0919	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.020956	-1.87%	0.02096	-1.85%	0.0376	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.020251	-1.69%	0.02046	-0.68%	0.0418	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021482	-1.73%	0.02071	-5.26%	0.0103	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.021963	-1.66%	0.0217	-2.84%	0.0053	✓	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.022537	-1.67%	0.02076	-9.42%	0.0370	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022546	-1.70%	0.021235	-7.41%	0.0051	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.022444	-1.86%	0.02011	-12.07%	0.0779	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.02085	-1.74%	0.021355	+0.64%	0.0104	✓	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.021197	-1.73%	0.0206	-4.50%	0.0180	✓	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021542	-1.81%	0.02186	-0.36%	0.0105	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.021176	-1.78%	0.022335	+3.59%	0.0249	✗	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.021889	-1.80%	0.02292	+2.83%	0.0166	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022252	-1.80%	0.022935	+1.21%	0.0023	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.021878	-1.85%	0.02287	+2.60%	0.0234	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022383	-1.85%	0.02122	-6.95%	0.0750	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.021876	-1.77%	0.02157	-3.14%	0.0382	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022541	-1.83%	0.02194	-4.44%	0.0214	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022645	-1.88%	0.02156	-6.59%	0.0637	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.022618	-2.05%	0.02229	-3.46%	0.0767	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.023792	-2.41%	0.02266	-7.05%	0.0901	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.024253	-2.87%	0.02229	-10.73%	0.0410	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021242	-1.61%	0.022805	+5.63%	0.0671	✗	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.020806	-1.49%	0.02227	+5.45%	0.0506	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.02021	-1.41%	0.02296	+12.00%	0.0870	✗	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019715	-1.35%	0.02308	+15.49%	0.1142	✗	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.01976	-1.40%	0.02309	+15.22%	0.0948	✗	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.01816	-0.93%	0.02438	+33.01%	0.1717	✗	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018729	-1.01%	0.02497	+31.98%	0.1905	✗	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018487	-0.93%	0.02159	+15.70%	0.0468	✗	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018654	-0.93%	0.02112	+12.16%	0.0411	✗	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019142	-1.02%	0.0205	+6.00%	0.0017	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.018958	-1.00%	0.019985	+4.36%	0.0050	✓	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019464	-1.07%	0.02004	+1.86%	0.0571	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.01987	-1.12%	0.01833	-8.78%	0.0347	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.02038	-1.21%	0.01892	-8.29%	0.0318	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020489	-1.26%	0.01866	-10.07%	0.0130	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020326	-1.26%	0.01883	-8.53%	0.0422	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020398	-1.27%	0.01934	-6.39%	0.0442	✗	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.020802	-1.32%	0.01915	-9.16%	0.0078	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021454	-1.45%	0.019675	-9.62%	0.0104	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.022647	-1.70%	0.020095	-12.78%	0.0385	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.02224	-1.64%	0.02063	-8.76%	0.0137	✓	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.022121	-1.64%	0.02075	-7.74%	0.0024	✓	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.021479	-1.56%	0.020585	-5.66%	0.0369	✓	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.020777	-1.44%	0.02066	-1.99%	0.0039	✓	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021265	-1.60%	0.02108	-2.45%	0.0102	✓	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.020763	-1.37%	0.02177	+3.42%	0.0376	✓	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.020963	-1.45%	0.02304	+8.32%	0.0154	✓	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.020575	-1.36%	0.02261	+8.39%	0.0044	✓	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.021786	-1.73%	0.02249	+1.44%	0.0349	✓	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.020869	-1.00%	0.02182	+3.51%	0.0574	✓	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.020838	-1.05%	0.02108	+0.09%	0.0608	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.021191	-1.58%	0.02161	+0.37%	0.0267	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.020282	-0.77%	0.02105	+2.98%	0.1111	✗	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.020251	-0.97%	0.02127	+4.01%	0.1932	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.022069	-1.96%	0.02086	-7.33%	0.1761	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.023265	-2.17%	0.02217	-6.77%	0.2376	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.022774	-1.98%	0.02108	-9.27%	0.2730	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.022836	-1.91%	0.02106	-9.54%	0.2522	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.023206	-2.00%	0.02153	-9.08%	0.1808	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.022888	-1.81%	0.02044	-12.31%	0.1546	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.024437	-2.37%	0.02045	-18.30%	0.0515	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.025557	-2.71%	0.02251	-14.31%	0.0112	✓	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.024684	-2.32%	0.02378	-5.90%	0.0408	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.025163	-2.35%	0.023235	-9.84%	0.0182	✓	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.025553	-2.28%	0.02328	-10.98%	0.0478	✓	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.027787	-3.01%	0.02368	-17.35%	0.0748	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.026286	-2.30%	0.02331	-13.36%	0.0537	✓	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.025422	-1.88%	0.02503	-3.40%	0.0041	✓	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.026373	-2.25%	0.02627	-2.63%	0.0103	✓	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.027113	-2.47%	0.02527	-9.10%	0.0613	✓	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.027066	-2.46%	0.02577	-7.14%	0.0184	✓	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.027525	-2.67%	0.02615	-7.53%	0.0242	✓	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.028861	-3.05%	0.02865	-3.76%	0.0643	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.029276	-3.06%	0.026905	-10.91%	0.0455	✓	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.029905	-3.06%	0.02591	-16.01%	0.0649	✓	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.032509	-3.30%	0.02698	-19.75%	0.0882	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.034285	-3.40%	0.0278	-21.67%	0.1157	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.033527	-3.30%	0.02775	-19.96%	0.1387	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.033139	-3.24%	0.02828	-17.43%	0.1365	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.031423	-2.95%	0.02977	-8.06%	0.0746	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.031387	-2.80%	0.0302	-6.47%	0.0030	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.030498	-2.59%	0.03085	-1.47%	0.0178	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.0288	-2.21%	0.03362	+14.16%	0.1285	✗	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.028532	-2.05%	0.03549	+21.83%	0.1665	✗	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.029471	-2.12%	0.03467	+15.14%	0.1342	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.029464	-2.05%	0.03425	+13.86%	0.1224	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.026803	-1.32%	0.03238	+19.22%	0.1345	✗	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.026637	-1.34%	0.03229	+19.59%	0.1091	✗	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.028562	-2.02%	0.03131	+7.41%	0.0248	✗	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.029886	-2.40%	0.02945	-3.82%	0.0509	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.03124	-2.65%	0.02913	-9.22%	0.0682	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.030477	-2.63%	0.03011	-3.80%	0.0274	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.02985	-2.74%	0.03008	-1.99%	0.0040	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.03156	-2.83%	0.02716	-16.38%	0.1203	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.032716	-2.96%	0.027	-19.92%	0.1547	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.031742	-3.05%	0.02915	-10.97%	0.0847	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.030896	-3.13%	0.03062	-4.00%	0.0319	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.029138	-3.13%	0.03209	+6.68%	0.0201	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.031405	-3.22%	0.0313	-3.54%	0.0332	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.033669	-3.22%	0.03069	-11.78%	0.0982	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.033192	-3.23%	0.03248	-5.31%	0.0702	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.033997	-3.25%	0.033715	-4.06%	0.0611	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.033381	-3.24%	0.03274	-5.10%	0.0540	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.034783	-3.46%	0.031895	-11.48%	0.1090	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.031682	-3.14%	0.03008	-8.04%	0.1015	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.034382	-3.31%	0.03245	-8.75%	0.0988	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.033866	-3.54%	0.03479	-0.91%	0.0357	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.03185	-3.37%	0.0343	+4.07%	0.0221	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.030077	-3.41%	0.03514	+12.85%	0.0974	✗	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.029432	-3.18%	0.0345	+13.49%	0.1236	✗	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.02635	-2.77%	0.03603	+32.95%	0.2251	✗	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.027456	-2.91%	0.03271	+15.66%	0.1469	✗	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.026466	-2.91%	0.03556	+30.45%	0.2038	✗	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.026408	-3.16%	0.03511	+28.75%	0.1895	✗	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.024344	-2.58%	0.03296	+31.89%	0.2249	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.023256	-2.41%	0.03114	+30.68%	0.2431	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.024246	-2.51%	0.0304	+22.24%	0.1657	✗	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.021817	-2.21%	0.0271	+21.47%	0.1817	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.021567	-2.15%	0.02828	+28.31%	0.2198	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.022742	-2.31%	0.02726	+17.10%	0.1647	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.021907	-2.16%	0.02727	+21.80%	0.2087	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.02374	-2.38%	0.02499	+2.75%	0.0820	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.025708	-2.70%	0.02383	-9.80%	0.0258	✓	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.022867	-2.01%	0.02487	+6.58%	0.1197	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.021194	-1.70%	0.02231	+3.48%	0.1163	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.020184	-1.68%	0.02204	+7.36%	0.1183	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.02103	-1.77%	0.02328	+8.73%	0.1427	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.022025	-1.85%	0.02239	-0.22%	0.0813	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021581	-1.82%	0.02432	+10.65%	0.1372	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.022615	-1.89%	0.02642	+14.62%	0.1546	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.023177	-1.79%	0.023335	-1.12%	0.0589	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.024288	-1.91%	0.02156	-12.92%	0.0570	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.02302	-1.88%	0.02053	-12.49%	0.0340	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.021782	-1.80%	0.02141	-3.47%	0.0202	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021528	-1.77%	0.02244	+2.40%	0.0488	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.020834	-1.73%	0.02198	+3.68%	0.0636	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.021033	-1.76%	0.02305	+7.66%	0.0744	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.021186	-1.78%	0.0236	+9.41%	0.0433	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.020847	-1.80%	0.02476	+16.63%	0.0662	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.020066	-1.73%	0.02346	+14.89%	0.0416	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.021274	-1.87%	0.02218	+2.31%	0.0247	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021325	-1.91%	0.021915	+0.80%	0.0194	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021327	-1.90%	0.0212	-2.48%	0.0001	✓	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.022107	-2.01%	0.02141	-5.10%	0.0081	✓	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.020011	-1.81%	0.02157	+5.84%	0.0482	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.020795	-1.96%	0.02123	+0.09%	0.0272	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020459	-1.88%	0.02042	-2.06%	0.0053	✓	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020727	-1.91%	0.02168	+2.60%	0.0405	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.020294	-1.82%	0.02174	+5.18%	0.0342	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020649	-1.86%	0.02174	+3.33%	0.0009	✓	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.021144	-1.93%	0.02256	+4.64%	0.0040	✓	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.019694	-1.68%	0.02038	+1.75%	0.0298	✓	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.020163	-1.79%	0.02121	+3.31%	0.0116	✓	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019514	-1.72%	0.02085	+5.01%	0.0937	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.020244	-1.82%	0.02113	+2.47%	0.0573	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020643	-1.89%	0.02067	-1.76%	0.0327	✗	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.020074	-1.79%	0.02104	+2.94%	0.0394	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019813	-1.72%	0.02156	+6.94%	0.0615	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.021676	-2.05%	0.02003	-9.49%	0.0288	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.022959	-2.34%	0.02053	-12.68%	0.0508	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.023402	-2.57%	0.019855	-17.34%	0.1478	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.022798	-2.53%	0.02062	-11.84%	0.0746	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.022201	-2.54%	0.02104	-7.64%	0.0420	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.01977	-1.89%	0.02044	+1.44%	0.0229	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018715	-1.76%	0.02016	+5.83%	0.0827	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.019254	-2.21%	0.02213	+12.39%	0.1573	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017688	-1.51%	0.02351	+30.90%	0.3015	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017844	-1.52%	0.02402	+32.56%	0.3175	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.018315	-1.59%	0.02339	+25.69%	0.2371	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.018236	-1.75%	0.02278	+22.74%	0.2462	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.017263	+0.13%	0.02015	+16.88%	0.0997	✓	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.01931	-2.13%	0.01905	-3.45%	0.0846	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.017278	-1.50%	0.01969	+12.26%	0.2565	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.018117	-1.91%	0.01796	-2.76%	0.1446	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.01757	-1.46%	0.01812	+1.63%	0.1497	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.017751	-1.60%	0.01861	+3.16%	0.2177	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.019686	-2.50%	0.01856	-8.07%	0.1686	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.019533	-2.38%	0.01724	-13.84%	0.2599	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.02066	-2.92%	0.01973	-7.28%	0.2196	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.02145	-3.29%	0.01754	-20.92%	0.0162	✓	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.018409	-2.13%	0.01847	-1.81%	0.1479	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.017485	-1.71%	0.01783	+0.22%	0.1641	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.018622	-2.45%	0.01804	-5.50%	0.1155	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.017872	-2.42%	0.02019	+10.24%	0.1958	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.017648	-2.50%	0.02001	+10.55%	0.1937	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.018227	-2.84%	0.02128	+13.43%	0.1575	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.017407	-2.70%	0.02218	+23.98%	0.2317	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.019297	-4.09%	0.01881	-6.51%	0.0236	✓	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.020766	-4.57%	0.01779	-18.24%	0.0770	✓	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.021005	-5.00%	0.01909	-13.66%	0.0305	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.02113	-5.21%	0.018315	-17.83%	0.0780	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.020924	-5.45%	0.0181	-18.21%	0.0789	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.021879	-5.63%	0.01876	-19.09%	0.0743	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.023413	-5.40%	0.01789	-27.72%	0.1889	✓	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.021882	-5.15%	0.02012	-12.79%	0.0982	✓	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.022604	-5.18%	0.02176	-8.72%	0.0668	✓	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.02299	-5.20%	0.02211	-8.82%	0.0883	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.02477	-5.17%	0.02229	-14.66%	0.1567	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.026353	-5.20%	0.02213	-20.40%	0.2203	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.02537	-5.37%	0.023185	-13.52%	0.1469	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.028186	-5.54%	0.02475	-17.06%	0.1439	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.026776	-5.38%	0.02307	-18.48%	0.1258	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.027198	-5.40%	0.02384	-17.08%	0.1259	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.027657	-5.67%	0.02425	-17.29%	0.1293	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.026272	-6.00%	0.02612	-6.55%	0.0111	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.022549	-4.86%	0.0278	+17.30%	0.1915	✗	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.021661	-4.58%	0.02681	+18.11%	0.1855	✗	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.021564	-4.58%	0.02984	+32.04%	0.2856	✗	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.020557	-4.25%	0.0283	+31.81%	0.2739	✗	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.021437	-4.47%	0.02875	+28.12%	0.2696	✗	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.022056	-4.52%	0.02932	+26.93%	0.2661	✗	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.022261	-4.58%	0.02795	+19.80%	0.2096	✗	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.022124	-4.43%	0.0237	+2.38%	0.0582	✗	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.020864	-3.81%	0.0227	+4.66%	0.0851	✗	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.019203	-2.82%	0.0226	+14.37%	0.1519	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.018691	-2.70%	0.02147	+11.76%	0.1551	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.019886	-2.99%	0.02244	+9.46%	0.1294	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.018382	-2.07%	0.0231	+23.07%	0.2343	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.018686	-1.91%	0.02333	+22.47%	0.2311	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.016901	-0.06%	0.02315	+36.90%	0.2948	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.018541	-1.01%	0.02169	+15.80%	0.1407	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.021042	-2.36%	0.01976	-8.31%	0.0580	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.01955	-1.61%	0.01921	-3.32%	0.0420	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.020132	-2.46%	0.0205	-0.68%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.02274	-3.28%	0.01877	-20.16%	0.1702	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.023282	-3.27%	0.01905	-20.86%	0.1761	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.025342	-3.42%	0.01691	-35.56%	0.3249	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.025995	-3.40%	0.01873	-30.40%	0.2624	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.026414	-3.49%	0.02155	-21.26%	0.1499	✓	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.027158	-3.39%	0.01987	-29.31%	0.2646	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.024591	-3.87%	0.02064	-19.31%	0.1502	✓	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.026223	-3.56%	0.02351	-13.53%	0.1202	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.026241	-3.63%	0.02407	-11.60%	0.0968	✓	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.026608	-3.91%	0.02624	-5.24%	0.0188	✓	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.029483	-3.46%	0.02691	-11.89%	0.0760	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.