MON

Monad · native · gru_s4

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 969

Track record at +30d

assessed

293

of 323 predictions shown

direction hit

52.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1386

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0430

actual +0.0246

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021918	0.020054	-8.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.020247	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.019197	-8.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.019378	-8.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.019993	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.021019	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.021159	-7.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.02223	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.022635	-7.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.022369	-7.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.025333	-8.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.023016	-8.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.022344	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.021921	-8.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.02315	-8.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.025971	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.028819	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.030681	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.031043	-8.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.029675	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.031025	-7.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.029203	-8.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.024813	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.02643	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.026187	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.025037	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.02486	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.023647	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.022899	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.026466	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.025085	-2.12%	0.021918	-14.48%	0.0715	✓	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.023935	-4.22%	0.022084	-11.63%	0.1126	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.023901	-3.67%	0.0209	-15.76%	0.1451	✓	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.023806	-3.51%	0.021073	-14.59%	0.1423	✓	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.022198	-4.55%	0.021746	-6.49%	0.1162	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.021224	-4.14%	0.022843	+3.16%	0.0278	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.020802	-4.07%	0.022939	+5.79%	0.0252	✓	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.022215	-3.05%	0.024094	+5.15%	0.0176	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.021912	-3.24%	0.024401	+7.75%	0.0098	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.02251	-2.72%	0.024261	+4.86%	0.0088	✓	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.022843	-2.01%	0.027548	+18.18%	0.0676	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.022476	-1.95%	0.025129	+9.62%	0.0078	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.024688	-1.16%	0.024415	-2.25%	0.0882	✓	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025312	-1.25%	0.023977	-6.45%	0.1122	✓	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.026696	-1.14%	0.025431	-5.83%	0.1217	✓	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.026991	-0.42%	0.028428	+4.88%	0.0354	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.025111	+0.72%	0.031459	+26.18%	0.1258	✓	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.025303	+1.06%	0.03334	+33.16%	0.1614	✓	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.027466	+1.34%	0.033871	+24.98%	0.1528	✓	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.025242	-0.48%	0.032313	+27.40%	0.1311	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.026309	-0.64%	0.033663	+27.13%	0.1281	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.026522	+0.24%	0.031757	+20.02%	0.1039	✓	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.026393	-0.59%	0.026859	+1.16%	0.0762	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.026758	+0.14%	0.028539	+6.80%	0.0181	✗	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.027359	+0.08%	0.02811	+2.83%	0.0773	✗	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.0289	+1.02%	0.026738	-6.54%	0.1417	✗	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.028566	-0.06%	0.026401	-7.63%	0.1584	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.027787	+0.12%	0.02498	-9.99%	0.1978	✗	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.031287	-0.94%	0.023997	-24.02%	0.3495	✓	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.030062	-1.21%	0.027307	-10.26%	0.2285	✓	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.028064	-0.25%	0.025628	-8.90%	0.2389	✓	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.028974	+1.13%	0.02499	-12.78%	0.1930	✗	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.026322	-1.48%	0.024811	-7.14%	0.1968	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.02193	-2.83%	0.024673	+9.32%	0.0635	✓	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.02035	-4.14%	0.023255	+9.55%	0.0700	✓	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.020898	-3.99%	0.022142	+1.72%	0.1488	✓	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.019467	-4.01%	0.021684	+6.92%	0.1145	✓	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.020029	-4.09%	0.022915	+9.73%	0.1253	✓	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.020219	-4.26%	0.022645	+7.22%	0.1257	✓	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.020576	-4.40%	0.023138	+7.51%	0.1203	✓	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.020834	-4.45%	0.023311	+6.91%	0.1282	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.02048	-4.33%	0.022922	+7.08%	0.1082	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.020835	-4.19%	0.024977	+14.85%	0.0593	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.020114	-4.09%	0.025632	+22.22%	0.0067	✓	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.019999	-4.15%	0.027005	+29.43%	0.0548	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.020022	-4.18%	0.027105	+29.72%	0.0373	✓	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.019575	-4.23%	0.024932	+21.98%	0.0272	✓	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.020102	-4.22%	0.025037	+19.29%	0.0422	✓	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.019696	-4.07%	0.027102	+32.01%	0.0265	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.020553	-4.52%	0.025364	+17.82%	0.0382	✓	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.019953	-4.80%	0.026479	+26.33%	0.0293	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.019472	-4.83%	0.026459	+29.32%	0.0212	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.019719	-4.78%	0.02655	+28.20%	0.0280	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.020666	-4.77%	0.026721	+23.14%	0.0177	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.01983	-4.48%	0.027336	+31.68%	0.0621	✗	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.020346	-4.19%	0.028608	+34.72%	0.0402	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.019357	-3.75%	0.028582	+42.13%	0.1056	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.020626	-3.41%	0.027753	+29.96%	0.0561	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.019954	-3.13%	0.031585	+53.33%	0.1896	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021156	-3.22%	0.03043	+39.20%	0.1074	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.021736	-2.68%	0.028133	+25.96%	0.0329	✗	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.02246	-2.01%	0.028652	+25.01%	0.0159	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022541	-1.72%	0.026718	+16.49%	0.0454	✗	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.022366	-2.20%	0.022569	-1.32%	0.0732	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.020726	-2.33%	0.021228	+0.04%	0.0239	✗	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.021099	-2.18%	0.021767	+0.91%	0.0379	✗	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021425	-2.35%	0.02028	-7.57%	0.0314	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.021064	-2.30%	0.020882	-3.14%	0.0082	✓	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.021883	-1.83%	0.02112	-5.25%	0.0028	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022336	-1.43%	0.021522	-5.02%	0.0030	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.021841	-2.01%	0.021804	-2.18%	0.0284	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022433	-1.63%	0.021406	-6.13%	0.0420	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.021946	-1.45%	0.021747	-2.35%	0.0124	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022597	-1.58%	0.020972	-8.66%	0.0919	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022659	-1.83%	0.020865	-9.60%	0.1246	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.022695	-1.71%	0.020895	-9.51%	0.1490	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.024048	-1.36%	0.020439	-16.16%	0.1862	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.024799	-0.69%	0.020988	-15.95%	0.1816	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021667	+0.36%	0.020531	-4.91%	0.0656	✗	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.021218	+0.46%	0.021527	+1.93%	0.0048	✓	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020652	+0.74%	0.02096	+2.24%	0.0101	✗	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.020148	+0.82%	0.02046	+2.38%	0.0176	✗	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.020187	+0.73%	0.02071	+3.34%	0.0507	✗	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.018449	+0.65%	0.0217	+18.39%	0.0053	✓	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.019047	+0.67%	0.02076	+9.73%	0.0083	✗	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018727	+0.36%	0.021235	+13.80%	0.0106	✓	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018896	+0.35%	0.02011	+6.80%	0.0363	✗	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019379	+0.20%	0.021355	+10.42%	0.0415	✗	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.019196	+0.24%	0.0206	+7.57%	0.0500	✗	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019779	+0.53%	0.02186	+11.11%	0.0180	✓	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.020258	+0.81%	0.022335	+11.15%	0.0337	✓	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020885	+1.24%	0.02292	+11.10%	0.0359	✓	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020966	+1.04%	0.022935	+10.53%	0.0019	✓	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.02084	+1.24%	0.02287	+11.10%	0.0667	✓	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020891	+1.12%	0.02122	+2.71%	0.0170	✗	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.021323	+1.15%	0.02157	+2.32%	0.0410	✗	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.022068	+1.37%	0.02194	+0.78%	0.0093	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.02335	+1.34%	0.02156	-6.42%	0.0298	✗	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022969	+1.59%	0.02229	-1.42%	0.0110	✓	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.022799	+1.37%	0.02266	+0.76%	0.0129	✓	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.022115	+1.35%	0.02229	+2.15%	0.0673	✓	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.021374	+1.40%	0.022805	+8.18%	0.0592	✓	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021828	+1.01%	0.02227	+3.05%	0.0143	✓	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.021244	+0.92%	0.02296	+9.07%	0.0015	✓	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.021423	+0.72%	0.02308	+8.51%	0.0321	✓	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.021004	+0.69%	0.02309	+10.69%	0.1185	✓	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.022065	-0.47%	0.02438	+9.97%	0.0992	✗	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.020931	-0.71%	0.02497	+18.45%	0.0864	✗	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.020844	-1.02%	0.02159	+2.52%	0.0385	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.021156	-1.74%	0.02112	-1.90%	0.0194	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.020122	-1.56%	0.0205	+0.29%	0.0615	✗	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.020059	-1.91%	0.019985	-2.27%	0.1465	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.02172	-3.51%	0.02004	-10.97%	0.2473	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.022697	-4.55%	0.01833	-22.92%	0.2212	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.022148	-4.68%	0.01892	-18.57%	0.2135	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.022194	-4.67%	0.01866	-19.85%	0.2066	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.022539	-4.82%	0.01883	-20.48%	0.1890	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.02219	-4.80%	0.01934	-17.03%	0.2474	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.023676	-5.41%	0.01915	-23.49%	0.2137	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.024792	-5.63%	0.019675	-25.10%	0.1775	✗	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.023894	-5.44%	0.020095	-20.48%	0.1832	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.024361	-5.47%	0.02063	-19.95%	0.1249	✗	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.024663	-5.68%	0.02075	-20.65%	0.1143	✗	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.026996	-5.77%	0.020585	-28.15%	0.0294	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.025363	-5.73%	0.02066	-23.21%	0.1131	✗	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.024426	-5.73%	0.02108	-18.64%	0.1704	✗	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.025362	-6.00%	0.02177	-19.31%	0.1339	✗	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.026071	-6.22%	0.02304	-17.12%	0.1453	✗	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.026099	-5.95%	0.02261	-18.52%	0.1244	✗	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.026736	-5.46%	0.02249	-20.47%	0.1255	✗	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.02828	-5.00%	0.02182	-26.70%	0.1102	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.028636	-5.18%	0.02108	-30.20%	0.0665	✗	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.029399	-4.70%	0.02161	-29.95%	0.0838	✗	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.031952	-4.96%	0.02105	-37.39%	0.0472	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.033705	-5.03%	0.02127	-40.07%	0.0113	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.032869	-5.19%	0.02086	-39.83%	0.0685	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.032476	-5.18%	0.02217	-35.27%	0.0146	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.030888	-4.61%	0.02108	-34.90%	0.0394	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.031093	-3.71%	0.02106	-34.78%	0.0061	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.030138	-3.74%	0.02153	-31.24%	0.0491	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.028327	-3.81%	0.02044	-30.59%	0.0765	✓	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.027817	-4.51%	0.02045	-29.80%	0.1203	✓	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.028759	-4.49%	0.02251	-25.24%	0.1328	✓	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.028707	-4.56%	0.02378	-20.94%	0.1183	✓	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.025827	-4.91%	0.023235	-14.45%	0.0669	✓	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.025722	-4.73%	0.02328	-13.78%	0.0629	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.027746	-4.82%	0.02368	-18.77%	0.1154	✓	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.029172	-4.73%	0.02331	-23.87%	0.1784	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.030571	-4.73%	0.02503	-22.00%	0.1574	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.029803	-4.78%	0.02627	-16.07%	0.1202	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.02921	-4.82%	0.02527	-17.66%	0.1375	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.030986	-4.60%	0.02577	-20.66%	0.1597	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.032101	-4.79%	0.02615	-22.44%	0.1629	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.030953	-5.46%	0.02865	-12.49%	0.0955	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.030096	-5.64%	0.026905	-15.65%	0.1367	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.028313	-5.87%	0.02591	-13.86%	0.1357	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.030544	-5.87%	0.02698	-16.86%	0.1430	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.03287	-5.52%	0.0278	-20.09%	0.1723	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.032225	-6.05%	0.02775	-19.10%	0.1954	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.03299	-6.12%	0.02828	-19.52%	0.2197	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.032423	-6.02%	0.02977	-13.71%	0.1923	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.033892	-5.94%	0.0302	-16.18%	0.1898	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.030705	-6.13%	0.03085	-5.69%	0.1459	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.033395	-6.09%	0.03362	-5.46%	0.1216	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.033163	-5.55%	0.03549	+1.08%	0.0682	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.031175	-5.41%	0.03467	+5.19%	0.0260	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.029552	-5.10%	0.03425	+9.99%	0.0110	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.028916	-4.88%	0.03238	+6.51%	0.0080	✓	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.025791	-4.83%	0.03229	+19.15%	0.0360	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.026832	-5.12%	0.03131	+10.71%	0.0248	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.025901	-4.98%	0.02945	+8.03%	0.0613	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.025936	-4.89%	0.02913	+6.82%	0.0602	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.023843	-4.59%	0.03011	+20.49%	0.0541	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.022785	-4.39%	0.03008	+26.23%	0.1193	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.023693	-4.73%	0.02716	+9.21%	0.0079	✓	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.02133	-4.39%	0.027	+21.02%	0.0932	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.021082	-4.35%	0.02915	+32.26%	0.1588	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.022199	-4.64%	0.03062	+31.53%	0.1470	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.021402	-4.41%	0.03209	+43.32%	0.2125	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.023248	-4.41%	0.0313	+28.70%	0.1624	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.025295	-4.26%	0.03069	+16.16%	0.1028	✗	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.022397	-4.02%	0.03248	+39.19%	0.2598	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.020775	-3.64%	0.033715	+56.38%	0.3778	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.019701	-4.04%	0.03274	+59.47%	0.3808	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.020543	-4.05%	0.031895	+48.97%	0.3370	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.021561	-3.92%	0.03008	+34.05%	0.2836	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021171	-3.68%	0.03245	+47.63%	0.3417	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.022294	-3.28%	0.03479	+50.93%	0.3587	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.023077	-2.22%	0.0343	+45.34%	0.3780	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.024284	-1.92%	0.03514	+41.92%	0.3703	✗	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.022935	-2.24%	0.0345	+47.06%	0.3874	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.021676	-2.27%	0.03603	+62.44%	0.4582	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021476	-2.00%	0.03271	+49.26%	0.4238	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.020809	-1.85%	0.03556	+67.74%	0.4948	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.021003	-1.90%	0.03511	+63.99%	0.4681	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.021188	-1.77%	0.03296	+52.80%	0.4115	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.020829	-1.89%	0.03114	+46.68%	0.3575	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.019923	-2.43%	0.0304	+48.87%	0.3227	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.021189	-2.26%	0.0271	+25.00%	0.2189	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021291	-2.07%	0.02828	+30.08%	0.2689	✗	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021472	-1.23%	0.02726	+25.39%	0.2994	✗	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.022389	-0.76%	0.02727	+20.88%	0.2921	✗	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.02011	-1.33%	0.02499	+22.62%	0.2416	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.02094	-1.27%	0.02383	+12.35%	0.1411	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020486	-1.75%	0.02487	+19.28%	0.1533	✗	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020827	-1.43%	0.02231	+5.58%	0.0723	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.020337	-1.61%	0.02204	+6.63%	0.0789	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020772	-1.27%	0.02328	+10.65%	0.1320	✗	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.021289	-1.25%	0.02239	+3.85%	0.0756	✗	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.019677	-1.76%	0.02432	+21.42%	0.1416	✗	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.02017	-1.75%	0.02642	+28.69%	0.1729	✗	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019651	-1.03%	0.023335	+17.53%	0.1301	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.020416	-0.99%	0.02156	+4.56%	0.0129	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020829	-1.00%	0.02053	-2.42%	0.0124	✓	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.020249	-0.94%	0.02141	+4.75%	0.0276	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.020054	-0.53%	0.02244	+11.31%	0.0538	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.021887	-1.10%	0.02198	-0.68%	0.0304	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.023179	-1.41%	0.02305	-1.96%	0.0384	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.023616	-1.68%	0.0236	-1.75%	0.0701	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.023032	-1.53%	0.02476	+5.86%	0.0040	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.022413	-1.61%	0.02346	+2.99%	0.0092	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019913	-1.18%	0.02218	+10.07%	0.0410	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018917	-0.70%	0.021915	+15.04%	0.0947	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.019516	-0.89%	0.0212	+7.67%	0.0599	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017908	-0.29%	0.02141	+19.21%	0.1772	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017976	-0.79%	0.02157	+19.04%	0.1865	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.018314	-1.59%	0.02123	+14.08%	0.1591	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.018207	-1.90%	0.02042	+10.02%	0.1789	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.017084	-0.91%	0.02168	+25.75%	0.1669	✗	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.019156	-2.91%	0.02174	+10.19%	0.2063	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.017172	-2.10%	0.02174	+23.95%	0.3221	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.017934	-2.90%	0.02256	+22.14%	0.3347	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.017363	-2.62%	0.02038	+14.30%	0.3162	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.01753	-2.83%	0.02121	+17.57%	0.3690	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.019303	-4.39%	0.02085	+3.27%	0.3948	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.019082	-4.64%	0.02113	+5.60%	0.4033	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.020065	-5.71%	0.02067	-2.87%	0.4320	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.020763	-6.39%	0.02104	-5.14%	0.3826	✗	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.017701	-5.90%	0.02156	+14.62%	0.5251	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.01679	-5.62%	0.02003	+12.59%	0.5439	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.017766	-6.94%	0.02053	+7.54%	0.5241	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.01701	-7.13%	0.019855	+8.41%	0.4893	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.016785	-7.27%	0.02062	+13.92%	0.5344	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.017259	-8.00%	0.02104	+12.15%	0.5252	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.016508	-7.72%	0.02044	+14.25%	0.5377	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.018087	-10.11%	0.02016	+0.20%	0.4503	✗	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.019325	-11.19%	0.02213	+1.70%	0.4596	✗	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.01946	-11.98%	0.02351	+6.33%	0.5105	✗	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.019544	-12.32%	0.02402	+7.76%	0.5331	✗	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.019317	-12.71%	0.02339	+5.69%	0.5054	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.020179	-12.97%	0.02278	-1.75%	0.4557	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.021681	-12.40%	0.02015	-18.59%	0.3065	✗	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.020298	-12.02%	0.01905	-17.43%	0.2301	✗	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.020877	-12.43%	0.01969	-17.41%	0.2083	✗	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.021119	-12.91%	0.01796	-25.94%	0.0830	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.022707	-13.06%	0.01812	-30.63%	0.0161	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.024168	-13.07%	0.01861	-33.06%	0.0061	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.023026	-14.12%	0.01856	-30.77%	0.0276	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.025904	-13.19%	0.01724	-42.23%	0.0911	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.024313	-14.09%	0.01973	-30.28%	0.0074	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.024909	-13.36%	0.01754	-38.99%	0.1870	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.025632	-12.58%	0.01847	-37.01%	0.2035	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.024358	-12.85%	0.01783	-36.21%	0.1773	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.020739	-12.49%	0.01804	-23.88%	0.0549	✓	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.020011	-11.85%	0.02019	-11.06%	0.0348	✓	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.019826	-12.27%	0.02001	-11.46%	0.0394	✓	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.018984	-11.58%	0.02128	-0.88%	0.0999	✓	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.019675	-12.32%	0.02218	-1.16%	0.1115	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.020215	-12.49%	0.01881	-18.57%	0.0750	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.020422	-12.46%	0.01779	-23.75%	0.1330	✓	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.020272	-12.43%	0.01909	-17.54%	0.0730	✓	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.019083	-12.02%	0.018315	-15.56%	0.0542	✓	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.01761	-10.88%	0.0181	-8.40%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.017117	-10.89%	0.01876	-2.34%	0.0826	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.01819	-11.27%	0.01789	-12.73%	0.0129	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.016844	-10.26%	0.02012	+7.19%	0.1309	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.017119	-10.14%	0.02176	+14.23%	0.1789	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.015487	-8.42%	0.02211	+30.75%	0.2491	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.017051	-8.96%	0.02229	+19.01%	0.1655	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.019417	-9.90%	0.02213	+2.69%	0.0464	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.01808	-9.01%	0.023185	+16.68%	0.1337	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.01876	-9.11%	0.02475	+19.91%	0.1985	✗	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.021292	-9.44%	0.02307	-1.87%	0.0699	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.021886	-9.07%	0.02384	-0.96%	0.0789	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.023868	-9.04%	0.02425	-7.58%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.024576	-8.67%	0.02612	-2.94%	0.0776	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.025059	-8.45%	0.0278	+1.57%	0.1219	✗	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.025869	-7.97%	0.02681	-4.62%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.023578	-7.83%	0.02984	+16.65%	0.1995	✗	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.025252	-7.13%	0.0283	+4.08%	0.0637	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.025415	-6.67%	0.02875	+5.58%	0.0995	✗	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.025888	-6.51%	0.02932	+5.89%	0.1409	✗	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.028775	-5.78%	0.02795	-8.48%	0.0090	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.