MHA
Magic Hash · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4
- token id
- #375
- symbol
- MHA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x37c563cdf4606d4302abb395cdb94e79d31233ed
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-17
- predictions
- 78
Track record at +7d
assessed
19
of 26 predictions shown
direction hit
31.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3606
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0135
actual -0.2752
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004733 | -2.49% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004452 | 0.004415 | -0.85% | – | pending | – | – | 2.36 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004386 | 0.004409 | +0.52% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004248 | 0.004314 | +1.53% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004329 | 0.004421 | +2.13% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005066 | 0.005092 | +0.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003665 | 0.003862 | +5.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002988 | 0.003237 | +8.34% | 0.004854 | +62.45% | 0.3913 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003361 | 0.003611 | +7.42% | 0.004452 | +32.46% | 0.2115 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003776 | 0.004042 | +7.05% | 0.004386 | +16.17% | 0.0806 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004693 | 0.004909 | +4.61% | 0.004248 | -9.47% | 0.1244 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005151 | 0.005371 | +4.27% | 0.004329 | -15.97% | 0.1971 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.006203 | 0.00638 | +2.84% | 0.005066 | -18.34% | 0.2178 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.00688 | +2.76% | 0.003665 | -45.25% | 0.6349 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00735 | 0.00746 | +1.51% | 0.002988 | -59.34% | 0.8942 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007624 | 0.007661 | +0.49% | 0.003361 | -55.91% | 0.7949 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.007561 | 0.007622 | +0.81% | 0.003776 | -50.06% | 0.6545 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007475 | 0.007547 | +0.97% | 0.004693 | -37.22% | 0.4418 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007325 | 0.007492 | +2.29% | 0.005151 | -29.67% | 0.3528 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00776 | 0.007951 | +2.46% | 0.006203 | -20.06% | 0.2247 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007845 | 0.008055 | +2.67% | 0.006696 | -14.65% | 0.1469 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008263 | 0.008513 | +3.02% | 0.00735 | -11.06% | 0.1435 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008261 | 0.00835 | +1.07% | 0.007624 | -7.72% | 0.1134 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009286 | 0.009034 | -2.71% | 0.007561 | -18.58% | 0.2052 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.014172 | 0.01373 | -3.12% | 0.007475 | -47.26% | 0.6319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013131 | 0.010779 | -17.91% | 0.007325 | -44.22% | 0.3902 | ✓ | 1.00 |