MHA
Magic Hash · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4
- token id
- #375
- symbol
- MHA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x37c563cdf4606d4302abb395cdb94e79d31233ed
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-17
- predictions
- 78
Track record at +1d
assessed
25
of 26 predictions shown
direction hit
36.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1052
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0040
actual -0.0398
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004837 | -0.35% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004452 | 0.004454 | +0.03% | 0.004854 | +9.02% | 0.0929 | ✓ | 2.36 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004386 | 0.004401 | +0.34% | 0.004452 | +1.50% | 0.0192 | ✗ | 2.30 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004248 | 0.004273 | +0.58% | 0.004386 | +3.25% | 0.0310 | ✓ | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004329 | 0.004359 | +0.70% | 0.004248 | -1.86% | 0.0436 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005066 | 0.005069 | +0.07% | 0.004329 | -14.55% | 0.1564 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003665 | 0.003712 | +1.26% | 0.005066 | +38.21% | 0.3187 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002988 | 0.003041 | +1.77% | 0.003665 | +22.67% | 0.1800 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003361 | 0.003417 | +1.64% | 0.002988 | -11.11% | 0.1154 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003776 | 0.003836 | +1.60% | 0.003361 | -10.98% | 0.1486 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004693 | 0.004748 | +1.18% | 0.003776 | -19.54% | 0.2057 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005151 | 0.005209 | +1.12% | 0.004693 | -8.90% | 0.1136 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.006203 | 0.006253 | +0.80% | 0.005151 | -16.96% | 0.1982 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006747 | +0.77% | 0.006203 | -7.35% | 0.0944 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00735 | 0.007383 | +0.46% | 0.006696 | -8.90% | 0.0786 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007624 | 0.007639 | +0.19% | 0.00735 | -3.60% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.007561 | 0.007578 | +0.24% | 0.007624 | +0.84% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007475 | 0.007494 | +0.26% | 0.007561 | +1.14% | 0.0176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007325 | 0.007367 | +0.58% | 0.007475 | +2.05% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00776 | 0.007806 | +0.59% | 0.007325 | -5.61% | 0.0665 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007845 | 0.007895 | +0.64% | 0.00776 | -1.08% | 0.0132 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008263 | 0.008319 | +0.68% | 0.007845 | -5.06% | 0.0741 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008261 | 0.008288 | +0.32% | 0.008263 | +0.02% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009286 | 0.00924 | -0.50% | 0.008261 | -11.03% | 0.1141 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.014172 | 0.014049 | -0.87% | 0.009286 | -34.48% | 0.4021 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013131 | 0.012581 | -4.19% | 0.014172 | +7.93% | 0.1186 | ✗ | 1.00 |