META2

META2 · · gru_s4

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +7d

assessed

70

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

48.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.5887

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1894

actual -0.0593

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	15.9641	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.6528	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.3822	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.2671	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.2899	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.4111	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.2553	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.3067	-2.48%	16.221	-8.59%	0.0941	✓	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.2602	-2.65%	17.9865	+1.45%	0.0068	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.4145	-2.55%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0213	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.438	-2.87%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0099	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.5999	-2.81%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0298	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.5984	-2.86%	17.826	-1.60%	0.0362	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.3645	-2.92%	17.685	-1.13%	0.0342	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.3385	-2.97%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0167	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.6052	-2.84%	17.73	-2.15%	0.0338	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.6372	-2.64%	17.87	-1.36%	0.0533	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.6592	-2.89%	17.954	-1.26%	0.0838	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	18.9371	-2.90%	18.108	-7.16%	0.0021	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.646	-3.51%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0014	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.6365	-3.50%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0085	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.7418	-3.46%	17.869	-7.96%	0.0056	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.6549	-3.54%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.0244	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.1089	-3.47%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.0312	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.638	-4.43%	18.184	-1.47%	0.0078	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.4529	-3.76%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.1341	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	15.9351	-3.95%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.1870	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.1691	-4.17%	19.312	+14.45%	0.1702	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.3851	-4.38%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.1612	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	15.9105	-4.55%	19.34	+16.03%	0.2105	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	15.9381	-4.58%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.2132	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.5056	-4.75%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.2371	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.1941	-5.30%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.1235	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	12.6063	-6.19%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.2128	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.0274	-6.38%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.1289	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	17.8996	-6.87%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.2060	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	17.837	-7.29%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.2346	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	17.7639	-7.63%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.2734	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	17.701	-8.07%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.2754	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	17.6386	-8.37%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.2641	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	17.611	-8.54%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3649	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	16.9643	-8.39%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0381	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	16.8022	-8.75%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.1391	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	16.1067	-12.65%	19.2405	+4.35%	0.2357	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	17.0904	-7.69%	19.2305	+3.87%	0.1972	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.4404	-1.94%	19.2555	+448.82%	1.7617	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.0363	-13.83%	19.2505	+446.35%	2.0103	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.1088	-6.91%	19.2555	+4.77%	0.2381	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	2.6245	-34.69%	18.5185	+360.83%	2.0802	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	1.4439	-64.05%	18.4135	+358.50%	2.8086	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	0.729107	-81.88%	18.4385	+358.33%	3.1740	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	0.494107	-87.71%	18.5135	+360.53%	3.5619	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	1.3178	-78.41%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.9500	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	38.4366	-5.75%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.5575	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	38.6978	-5.94%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.8478	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	38.5832	-6.42%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.3811	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	38.3947	-5.67%	4.016	-90.13%	2.2699	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	25.1152	-8.67%	4.023	-85.37%	1.8095	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	36.6221	-9.95%	4.02	-90.12%	2.1949	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	34.6772	-10.80%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.7319	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	36.0395	-11.15%	40.783	+0.55%	0.1245	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	45.3127	-13.57%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.1117	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	28.4837	-7.02%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.3760	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	28.0573	-8.81%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.2772	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	27.7203	-9.74%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.1393	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	27.6818	-9.39%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.1908	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	27.057	-11.61%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.1596	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	27.7006	-9.33%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.1687	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	27.4639	-10.17%	52.426	+71.47%	0.4455	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	26.7271	-12.76%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.0817	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	0.751651	-85.44%	30.768	+495.82%	3.5712	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	28.3832	-7.53%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.0099	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	28.0189	-8.84%	30.549	-0.61%	0.0685	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	28.0573	-9.22%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.0783	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	27.3266	-11.27%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.1431	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	26.1878	-15.17%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.1844	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	26.0603	-15.65%	30.638	-0.84%	0.1918	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.