META2

META2 · · gru_s4

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +1d

assessed

75

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

49.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2074

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0393

actual -0.0115

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.7298	-0.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6978	-0.28%	17.7705	+0.13%	0.0075	✗	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5835	-0.30%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0059	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.616	-0.35%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0035	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.752	-0.42%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0129	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.6036	-0.46%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0142	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.6566	-0.50%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0105	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.6033	-0.71%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0002	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.7476	-0.69%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0215	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.7982	-0.87%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0157	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	18.0283	-0.44%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0254	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	18.0304	-0.47%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0072	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.8	-0.49%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0121	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7827	-0.48%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0070	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	18.0393	-0.44%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0153	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	18.0328	-0.46%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0421	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	18.0732	-0.61%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0058	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.4219	-0.42%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0535	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.2194	-0.54%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0139	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.2035	-0.56%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0024	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.2989	-0.59%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0064	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.2149	-0.65%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0110	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.6335	-0.67%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0386	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	18.1799	-1.49%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0283	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.9894	-0.62%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1008	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.4848	-0.64%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0356	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.7538	-0.71%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0156	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	17.0005	-0.79%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0021	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.5316	-0.82%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0357	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.5598	-0.86%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0421	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.1323	-0.90%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0426	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.8472	-0.94%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0095	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.3067	-0.98%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1205	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	19.0228	-1.21%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3546	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.9587	-1.36%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0779	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.9517	-1.50%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0097	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.9188	-1.62%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0049	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.9102	-1.79%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0799	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.8667	-1.99%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0121	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.8278	-2.22%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0335	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	18.0885	-2.32%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0612	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.8868	-2.86%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0182	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	17.3318	-6.00%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.1077	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	17.9449	-3.07%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0316	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.5008	-0.22%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.6932	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.4251	-2.79%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.0808	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.8904	-2.66%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6480	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.6852	-8.29%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5990	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.2637	-18.73%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.2946	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	2.8429	-29.33%	4.016	-0.17%	0.1213	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	2.6234	-34.74%	4.023	+0.07%	0.4329	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	4.4771	-26.65%	4.02	-34.14%	0.0427	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.2603	-1.28%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9435	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.5568	-1.42%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0428	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.501	-1.76%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0102	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.1493	-1.35%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0573	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.0673	-1.58%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3922	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	39.5788	-2.68%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3704	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	37.9513	-2.38%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0750	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	39.3911	-2.89%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0291	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	49.2982	-5.97%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2038	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.183	-1.47%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5685	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.1989	-1.85%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0560	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.0833	-2.05%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0297	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	29.9301	-2.03%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0432	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	29.5148	-3.58%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0313	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	29.8035	-2.45%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	29.5461	-3.36%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0364	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	28.8189	-5.94%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0584	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	3.4939	-32.34%	30.638	+493.30%	2.1783	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.0394	-2.14%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7610	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	29.8103	-3.01%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0311	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	29.9733	-3.02%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0311	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	29.6726	-3.65%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0553	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	29.3948	-4.78%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0475	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	29.7669	-3.65%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0361	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.