MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +7d
assessed
27
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
59.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1417
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0747
actual -0.0024
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.718485 | 0.688205 | -4.21% | – | pending | – | – | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.71641 | 0.686632 | -4.16% | – | pending | – | – | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.726327 | -4.37% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.740838 | -4.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.746973 | -4.37% | – | pending | – | – | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.715497 | -4.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.624305 | -3.40% | – | pending | – | – | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.604593 | -3.33% | 0.718485 | +14.88% | 0.0722 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.589605 | -3.13% | 0.71641 | +17.71% | 0.0765 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.579983 | -3.20% | 0.759515 | +26.77% | 0.2778 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.578575 | -3.05% | 0.774195 | +29.73% | 0.2864 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.587958 | -3.44% | 0.7811 | +28.28% | 0.3727 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.589831 | -3.50% | 0.74617 | +22.07% | 0.3173 | ✗ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.548233 | -2.68% | 0.646255 | +14.73% | 0.1772 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.504558 | -1.36% | 0.62541 | +22.26% | 0.2095 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.534584 | -2.52% | 0.60864 | +10.99% | 0.1505 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.655108 | -5.00% | 0.599125 | -13.12% | 0.0604 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.620663 | -4.89% | 0.596775 | -8.55% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.634111 | -5.60% | 0.608905 | -9.35% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.658985 | -6.44% | 0.611255 | -13.22% | 0.0533 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.65925 | -7.13% | 0.563305 | -20.64% | 0.1338 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.664927 | -8.03% | 0.51154 | -29.25% | 0.2243 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.6806 | -8.70% | 0.54838 | -26.44% | 0.2126 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.722515 | -9.27% | 0.689605 | -13.40% | 0.0691 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.704915 | -9.70% | 0.65254 | -16.41% | 0.1043 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.695413 | -10.33% | 0.6717 | -13.39% | 0.0586 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.680103 | -11.19% | 0.704355 | -8.02% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.684689 | -11.92% | 0.70984 | -8.69% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.635393 | -13.18% | 0.722985 | -1.22% | 0.1237 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.732202 | -11.78% | 0.745455 | -10.18% | 0.0277 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.81769 | -10.16% | 0.796315 | -12.51% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.65311 | -9.52% | 0.780635 | +8.14% | 0.2153 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.448329 | -13.36% | 0.77554 | +49.88% | 0.5082 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.746812 | -9.92% | 0.76579 | -7.63% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 1.00 |