MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
53.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0819
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0148
actual -0.0046
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.719025 | 0.713974 | -0.70% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.753671 | -0.77% | 0.719025 | -5.33% | 0.0358 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.768116 | -0.79% | 0.759515 | -1.90% | 0.0635 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.774413 | -0.86% | 0.774195 | -0.88% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.739748 | -0.86% | 0.7811 | +4.68% | 0.0245 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.642244 | -0.62% | 0.74617 | +15.46% | 0.1557 | ✗ | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.621536 | -0.62% | 0.646255 | +3.33% | 0.0694 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.605153 | -0.57% | 0.62541 | +2.76% | 0.0058 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.595424 | -0.62% | 0.60864 | +1.59% | 0.0992 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.593206 | -0.60% | 0.599125 | +0.39% | 0.0595 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.604322 | -0.75% | 0.596775 | -1.99% | 0.0903 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.605936 | -0.87% | 0.608905 | -0.38% | 0.0358 | ✓ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.559753 | -0.63% | 0.611255 | +8.51% | 0.0836 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.510466 | -0.21% | 0.563305 | +10.12% | 0.0881 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.545891 | -0.45% | 0.51154 | -6.72% | 0.0458 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.682078 | -1.09% | 0.54838 | -20.48% | 0.1913 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.645794 | -1.03% | 0.689605 | +5.68% | 0.0681 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.663809 | -1.17% | 0.65254 | -2.85% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.694751 | -1.36% | 0.6717 | -4.64% | 0.0544 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.699135 | -1.51% | 0.704355 | -0.77% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.710675 | -1.70% | 0.70984 | -1.82% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.731601 | -1.86% | 0.722985 | -3.01% | 0.0272 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.780285 | -2.01% | 0.745455 | -6.39% | 0.0447 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.764087 | -2.12% | 0.796315 | +2.01% | 0.0391 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.757959 | -2.27% | 0.780635 | +0.66% | 0.0415 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.747072 | -2.44% | 0.77554 | +1.27% | 0.0369 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.757175 | -2.60% | 0.76579 | -1.49% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.711253 | -2.82% | 0.77739 | +6.22% | 0.0924 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.807994 | -2.65% | 0.73189 | -11.82% | 0.0990 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.883347 | -2.95% | 0.82997 | -8.82% | 0.0410 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.704333 | -2.43% | 0.91021 | +26.09% | 0.2610 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.503183 | -2.76% | 0.72185 | +39.50% | 0.2960 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.804108 | -3.01% | 0.51745 | -37.59% | 0.4399 | ✓ | 1.00 |