MARSCOIN

MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4

token id: #52
symbol: MARSCOIN
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 120

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 40 predictions shown

direction hit

63.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1606

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0327

actual -0.0627

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.08135	0.078904	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-21	oos	0.08115	0.078927	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.07935	0.077584	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-19	oos	0.07795	0.076584	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-18	oos	0.07555	0.074637	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-17	oos	0.07685	0.076073	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-16	oos	0.07985	0.078953	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-15	oos	0.07715	0.076693	-0.59%	0.08135	+5.44%	0.0376	✗	0.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.08255	0.081707	-1.02%	0.08115	-1.70%	0.0327	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.07945	0.078975	-0.60%	0.07935	-0.13%	0.0067	✗	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.08085	0.080416	-0.54%	0.07795	-3.59%	0.0323	✓	0.99
2026-10-11	oos	0.09555	0.093439	-2.21%	0.07555	-20.93%	0.1972	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.09625	0.094193	-2.14%	0.07685	-20.16%	0.1894	✓	0.76
2026-10-09	oos	0.09325	0.091532	-1.84%	0.07985	-14.37%	0.1271	✓	0.74
2026-10-08	oos	0.09105	0.089592	-1.60%	0.07715	-15.27%	0.1533	✓	0.71
2026-10-07	oos	0.09505	0.092769	-2.40%	0.08255	-13.15%	0.1021	✓	0.70
2026-10-06	oos	0.10535	0.101621	-3.54%	0.07945	-24.58%	0.2304	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	0.10525	0.101099	-3.94%	0.08085	-23.18%	0.1970	✓	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	0.10865	0.103809	-4.46%	0.09555	-12.06%	0.0647	✓	0.55
2026-10-03	oos	0.11095	0.106064	-4.40%	0.09625	-13.25%	0.0752	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.1074	0.102444	-4.61%	0.09325	-13.18%	0.0706	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.12765	0.121468	-4.84%	0.09105	-28.67%	0.2503	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.1371	0.130401	-4.89%	0.09505	-30.67%	0.3128	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.14065	0.133562	-5.04%	0.10535	-25.10%	0.2598	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.15785	0.14821	-6.11%	0.10525	-33.32%	0.3694	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.1233	0.117654	-4.58%	0.10865	-11.88%	0.1035	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.13445	0.127932	-4.85%	0.11095	-17.48%	0.1463	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.11835	0.112912	-4.59%	0.1074	-9.25%	0.0549	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.1152	0.109924	-4.58%	0.12765	+10.81%	0.1440	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.1364	0.129439	-5.10%	0.1371	+0.51%	0.0673	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.14165	0.133828	-5.52%	0.14065	-0.71%	0.0799	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.10195	0.09827	-3.61%	0.15785	+54.83%	0.5108	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.09225	0.09014	-2.29%	0.1233	+33.66%	0.2734	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.09905	0.096415	-2.66%	0.13445	+35.74%	0.2941	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.11315	0.109632	-3.11%	0.11835	+4.60%	0.0375	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.1172	0.114012	-2.72%	0.1152	-1.71%	0.0897	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.092	0.091151	-0.92%	0.1364	+48.26%	0.3004	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.08655	0.085541	-1.17%	0.14165	+63.66%	0.3730	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.09165	0.089164	-2.71%	0.10195	+11.24%	0.0317	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.09765	0.095155	-2.56%	0.09225	-5.53%	0.0862	✓	1.00