MARSCOIN

MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4

token id: #52
symbol: MARSCOIN
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

60.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0740

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual -0.0078

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07975	0.079433	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.07935	0.079019	-0.42%	0.07975	+0.50%	0.0116	✗	0.83
2026-10-19	oos	0.07795	0.077664	-0.37%	0.07935	+1.80%	0.0107	✗	0.80
2026-10-18	oos	0.07555	0.07535	-0.26%	0.07795	+3.18%	0.0356	✗	0.81
2026-10-17	oos	0.07685	0.076662	-0.25%	0.07555	-1.69%	0.0208	✓	0.81
2026-10-16	oos	0.07985	0.079557	-0.37%	0.07685	-3.76%	0.0334	✓	0.81
2026-10-15	oos	0.07715	0.076948	-0.26%	0.07985	+3.50%	0.0435	✗	0.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.08255	0.082216	-0.40%	0.07715	-6.54%	0.0695	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.07945	0.079206	-0.31%	0.08255	+3.90%	0.0597	✗	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.08085	0.080654	-0.24%	0.07945	-1.73%	0.0315	✓	0.99
2026-10-11	oos	0.09555	0.094799	-0.79%	0.08085	-15.38%	0.1414	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.09625	0.095493	-0.79%	0.09555	-0.73%	0.0064	✓	0.76
2026-10-09	oos	0.09325	0.092638	-0.66%	0.09625	+3.22%	0.0350	✗	0.74
2026-10-08	oos	0.09105	0.090577	-0.52%	0.09325	+2.42%	0.0217	✗	0.71
2026-10-07	oos	0.09505	0.094382	-0.70%	0.09105	-4.21%	0.0224	✓	0.70
2026-10-06	oos	0.10535	0.104108	-1.18%	0.09505	-9.78%	0.0764	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	0.10525	0.104	-1.19%	0.10535	+0.10%	0.0143	✗	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	0.10865	0.107243	-1.30%	0.10525	-3.13%	0.0139	✓	0.55
2026-10-03	oos	0.11095	0.10955	-1.26%	0.10865	-2.07%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.1074	0.105967	-1.33%	0.11095	+3.31%	0.0431	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.12765	0.125666	-1.55%	0.1074	-15.86%	0.1530	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.1371	0.134994	-1.54%	0.12765	-6.89%	0.0713	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.14065	0.138443	-1.57%	0.1371	-2.52%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.15785	0.154616	-2.05%	0.14065	-10.90%	0.0968	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.1233	0.121277	-1.64%	0.15785	+28.02%	0.2755	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.13445	0.132015	-1.81%	0.1233	-8.29%	0.0688	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.11835	0.116353	-1.69%	0.13445	+13.60%	0.1407	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.1152	0.113238	-1.70%	0.11835	+2.73%	0.0476	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.1364	0.133626	-2.03%	0.1152	-15.54%	0.1485	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.14165	0.137138	-3.19%	0.1364	-3.71%	0.0159	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.10195	0.100285	-1.63%	0.14165	+38.94%	0.3499	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.09225	0.092315	+0.07%	0.10195	+10.51%	0.0345	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.09905	0.098923	-0.13%	0.09225	-6.87%	0.0689	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.11315	0.112312	-0.74%	0.09905	-12.46%	0.1301	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.1172	0.116379	-0.70%	0.11315	-3.46%	0.0857	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.092	0.092623	+0.68%	0.1172	+27.39%	0.2327	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.08655	0.087366	+0.94%	0.092	+6.30%	0.0443	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.09165	0.092325	+0.74%	0.08655	-5.56%	0.0309	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.09765	0.098331	+0.70%	0.09165	-6.14%	0.0881	✗	1.00