MANTLE

? · · gru_s4

token id: #484
symbol: MANTLE
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-05-01
predictions: 1,590

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0252

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0006

actual -0.0009

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.5382	0.536878	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-20	oos	0.53495	0.533735	-0.23%	0.5382	+0.61%	0.0111	✗	0.95
2026-10-19	oos	0.534	0.532768	-0.23%	0.53495	+0.18%	0.0087	✓	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.52945	0.528268	-0.22%	0.534	+0.86%	0.0128	✗	0.95
2026-10-17	oos	0.5277	0.526702	-0.19%	0.52945	+0.33%	0.0021	✓	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.53675	0.535534	-0.23%	0.5277	-1.69%	0.0134	✓	0.95
2026-10-15	oos	0.53085	0.52977	-0.20%	0.53675	+1.11%	0.0203	✗	0.94
2026-10-14	oos	0.52305	0.522374	-0.13%	0.53085	+1.49%	0.0097	✗	0.94
2026-10-13	oos	0.54095	0.53976	-0.22%	0.52305	-3.31%	0.0145	✓	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.53655	0.535592	-0.18%	0.54095	+0.82%	0.0051	✓	0.91
2026-10-11	oos	0.56565	0.563888	-0.31%	0.53655	-5.14%	0.0298	✓	0.85
2026-10-10	oos	0.5686	0.566813	-0.31%	0.56565	-0.52%	0.0097	✓	0.83
2026-10-09	oos	0.5524	0.55105	-0.24%	0.5686	+2.93%	0.0277	✗	0.83
2026-10-08	oos	0.5538	0.552828	-0.18%	0.5524	-0.25%	0.0095	✓	0.84
2026-10-07	oos	0.5815	0.580066	-0.25%	0.5538	-4.76%	0.0307	✓	0.81
2026-10-06	oos	0.59135	0.589876	-0.25%	0.5815	-1.67%	0.0077	✗	0.82
2026-10-05	oos	0.6521	0.649839	-0.35%	0.59135	-9.32%	0.0924	✓	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.6643	0.6618	-0.38%	0.6521	-1.84%	0.0077	✓	0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.6437	0.641264	-0.38%	0.6643	+3.20%	0.0188	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.6534	0.650778	-0.40%	0.6437	-1.48%	0.0132	✓	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.68125	0.678239	-0.44%	0.6534	-4.09%	0.0341	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.6969	0.69338	-0.51%	0.68125	-2.25%	0.0300	✓	0.80
2026-09-29	oos	0.6649	0.662008	-0.43%	0.6969	+4.81%	0.0522	✗	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.6647	0.661808	-0.44%	0.6649	+0.03%	0.0029	✓	0.82
2026-09-27	oos	0.6761	0.673068	-0.45%	0.6647	-1.69%	0.0025	✓	0.83
2026-09-26	oos	0.69405	0.690631	-0.49%	0.6761	-2.59%	0.0217	✓	0.83
2026-09-25	oos	0.6735	0.670788	-0.40%	0.69405	+3.05%	0.0309	✗	0.84
2026-09-24	oos	0.6771	0.674626	-0.37%	0.6735	-0.53%	0.0012	✓	0.84
2026-09-23	oos	0.6531	0.651411	-0.26%	0.6771	+3.67%	0.0386	✗	0.84
2026-09-22	oos	0.6686	0.666954	-0.25%	0.6531	-2.32%	0.0016	✓	0.91
2026-09-21	oos	0.65115	0.649642	-0.23%	0.6686	+2.68%	0.0330	✗	0.91
2026-09-20	oos	0.6071	0.606223	-0.14%	0.65115	+7.26%	0.0129	✗	0.90
2026-09-19	oos	0.62265	0.621382	-0.20%	0.6071	-2.50%	0.0224	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.6246	0.622828	-0.28%	0.62265	-0.31%	0.0043	✓	0.90
2026-09-17	oos	0.5697	0.569499	-0.04%	0.6246	+9.64%	0.0444	✗	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	0.55185	0.552187	+0.06%	0.5697	+3.23%	0.0290	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	0.5444	0.544912	+0.09%	0.55185	+1.37%	0.0065	✓	0.83
2026-09-14	oos	0.5725	0.572601	+0.02%	0.5444	-4.91%	0.0232	✗	0.81
2026-09-13	oos	0.55665	0.557172	+0.09%	0.5725	+2.85%	0.0127	✓	0.81
2026-09-12	oos	0.55705	0.557791	+0.13%	0.55665	-0.07%	0.0029	✓	0.82
2026-09-11	oos	0.5807	0.58107	+0.06%	0.55705	-4.07%	0.0428	✗	0.82
2026-09-10	oos	0.56825	0.568779	+0.09%	0.5807	+2.19%	0.0135	✓	0.82
2026-09-09	oos	0.6011	0.601343	+0.04%	0.56825	-5.46%	0.0386	✗	0.80
2026-09-08	oos	0.63665	0.636242	-0.06%	0.6011	-5.58%	0.0552	✓	0.79
2026-09-07	oos	0.62095	0.620755	-0.03%	0.63665	+2.53%	0.0318	✗	0.80
2026-09-06	oos	0.6084	0.608496	+0.02%	0.62095	+2.06%	0.0331	✓	0.82
2026-09-05	oos	0.5878	0.588101	+0.05%	0.6084	+3.50%	0.0288	✓	0.81
2026-09-04	oos	0.5741	0.574688	+0.10%	0.5878	+2.39%	0.0209	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.5687	0.569651	+0.17%	0.5741	+0.95%	0.0247	✓	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.5638	0.563463	-0.06%	0.5687	+0.87%	0.0378	✓	0.94
2026-09-01	oos	0.5365	0.536575	+0.01%	0.5638	+5.09%	0.0506	✓	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.5467	0.546795	+0.02%	0.5365	-1.87%	0.0052	✗	0.93
2026-08-30	oos	0.5482	0.547585	-0.11%	0.5467	-0.27%	0.0119	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.51925	0.51918	-0.01%	0.5482	+5.58%	0.0611	✗	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.50805	0.508197	+0.03%	0.51925	+2.20%	0.0168	✓	0.92
2026-08-27	oos	0.5168	0.51698	+0.03%	0.50805	-1.69%	0.0116	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.5051	0.505212	+0.02%	0.5168	+2.32%	0.0080	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.51735	0.516906	-0.09%	0.5051	-2.37%	0.0290	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.5158	0.515087	-0.14%	0.51735	+0.30%	0.0098	✗	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.512	0.511257	-0.15%	0.5158	+0.74%	0.0061	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.4828	0.482594	-0.04%	0.512	+6.05%	0.0511	✗	0.93
2026-08-21	oos	0.5171	0.516051	-0.20%	0.4828	-6.63%	0.0518	✓	0.90
2026-08-20	oos	0.51655	0.514298	-0.44%	0.5171	+0.11%	0.0673	✓	1.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.4671	0.466341	-0.16%	0.51655	+10.59%	0.0509	✗	0.98
2026-08-18	oos	0.42655	0.425939	-0.14%	0.4671	+9.51%	0.0287	✗	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.4392	0.438486	-0.16%	0.42655	-2.88%	0.0306	✓	0.95
2026-08-16	oos	0.4476	0.446679	-0.21%	0.4392	-1.88%	0.0424	✓	0.99
2026-08-15	oos	0.43255	0.431868	-0.16%	0.4476	+3.48%	0.0387	✗	0.99
2026-08-14	oos	0.44275	0.441987	-0.17%	0.43255	-2.30%	0.0223	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.448	0.447182	-0.18%	0.44275	-1.17%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.4581	0.457101	-0.22%	0.448	-2.20%	0.0203	✓	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.43485	0.434259	-0.14%	0.4581	+5.35%	0.0554	✗	1.03
2026-08-10	oos	0.44495	0.444208	-0.17%	0.43485	-2.27%	0.0152	✓	1.02
2026-08-09	oos	0.42305	0.422788	-0.06%	0.44495	+5.18%	0.0664	✗	1.05
2026-08-08	oos	0.4297	0.429415	-0.07%	0.42305	-1.55%	0.0140	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	0.41835	0.418145	-0.05%	0.4297	+2.71%	0.0270	✗	1.07
2026-08-06	oos	0.409	0.408848	-0.04%	0.41835	+2.29%	0.0127	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.40675	0.406688	-0.02%	0.409	+0.55%	0.0113	✗	1.07
2026-08-04	oos	0.401	0.400932	-0.02%	0.40675	+1.43%	0.0053	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.3966	0.396468	-0.03%	0.401	+1.11%	0.0016	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.3983	0.398073	-0.06%	0.3966	-0.43%	0.0032	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.39445	0.394173	-0.07%	0.3983	+0.98%	0.0020	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.39235	0.392056	-0.07%	0.39445	+0.54%	0.0071	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.397	0.396739	-0.07%	0.39235	-1.17%	0.0212	✗	1.09
2026-07-29	oos	0.39615	0.396006	-0.04%	0.397	+0.21%	0.0113	✓	1.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.40155	0.401441	-0.03%	0.39615	-1.34%	0.0141	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4003	0.400304	+0.00%	0.40155	+0.31%	0.0005	✓	1.07
2026-07-26	oos	0.4159	0.415842	-0.01%	0.4003	-3.75%	0.0109	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.4115	0.411521	+0.01%	0.4159	+1.07%	0.0067	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.41015	0.410276	+0.03%	0.4115	+0.33%	0.0005	✗	1.06
2026-07-23	oos	0.40705	0.407309	+0.06%	0.41015	+0.76%	0.0231	✓	1.08
2026-07-22	oos	0.42095	0.421189	+0.06%	0.40705	-3.30%	0.0173	✗	1.06
2026-07-21	oos	0.42935	0.429532	+0.04%	0.42095	-1.96%	0.0133	✗	1.06
2026-07-20	oos	0.4246	0.424808	+0.05%	0.42935	+1.12%	0.0105	✗	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.4243	0.424496	+0.05%	0.4246	+0.07%	0.0085	✗	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.4199	0.420204	+0.07%	0.4243	+1.05%	0.0116	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.42625	0.426569	+0.07%	0.4199	-1.49%	0.0311	✗	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.44125	0.441431	+0.04%	0.42625	-3.40%	0.0371	✗	1.10
2026-07-15	oos	0.4255	0.425989	+0.11%	0.44125	+3.70%	0.0516	✓	1.12
2026-07-14	oos	0.42295	0.423583	+0.15%	0.4255	+0.60%	0.0092	✓	1.12
2026-07-13	oos	0.42095	0.421662	+0.17%	0.42295	+0.48%	0.0475	✗	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.4176	0.418439	+0.20%	0.42095	+0.80%	0.0344	✓	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.4224	0.423262	+0.20%	0.4176	-1.14%	0.0129	✗	1.16
2026-07-10	oos	0.4296	0.430433	+0.19%	0.4224	-1.68%	0.0125	✗	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.4288	0.429678	+0.20%	0.4296	+0.19%	0.0174	✗	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.421	0.422024	+0.24%	0.4288	+1.85%	0.0014	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.4221	0.423226	+0.27%	0.421	-0.26%	0.0150	✓	1.17
2026-07-06	oos	0.4414	0.442492	+0.25%	0.4221	-4.37%	0.0348	✗	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.44085	0.442011	+0.26%	0.4414	+0.12%	0.0089	✗	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.453	0.45409	+0.24%	0.44085	-2.68%	0.0386	✗	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.4487	0.449814	+0.25%	0.453	+0.96%	0.0032	✗	1.13
2026-07-02	oos	0.4365	0.437704	+0.28%	0.4487	+2.79%	0.0060	✓	1.13
2026-07-01	oos	0.4229	0.424253	+0.32%	0.4365	+3.22%	0.0003	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.4106	0.412177	+0.38%	0.4229	+3.00%	0.0016	✓	1.13
2026-06-29	oos	0.42845	0.4298	+0.31%	0.4106	-4.17%	0.0148	✗	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.4265	0.4279	+0.33%	0.42845	+0.46%	0.0116	✗	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.436	0.437325	+0.30%	0.4265	-2.18%	0.0164	✗	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.438	0.439371	+0.31%	0.436	-0.46%	0.0064	✗	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.4421	0.443578	+0.33%	0.438	-0.93%	0.0183	✗	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.5028	0.503814	+0.20%	0.4421	-12.07%	0.1084	✗	1.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.51505	0.516083	+0.20%	0.5028	-2.38%	0.0029	✓	1.08
2026-06-22	oos	0.5334	0.534398	+0.19%	0.51505	-3.44%	0.0146	✗	1.08
2026-06-21	oos	0.52865	0.529613	+0.18%	0.5334	+0.90%	0.0050	✗	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.53535	0.536321	+0.18%	0.52865	-1.25%	0.0013	✓	1.02
2026-06-19	oos	0.52935	0.530381	+0.19%	0.53535	+1.13%	0.0027	✗	1.02
2026-06-18	oos	0.53095	0.532021	+0.20%	0.52935	-0.30%	0.0147	✗	1.02
2026-06-17	oos	0.5418	0.542942	+0.21%	0.53095	-2.00%	0.0029	✓	1.03
2026-06-16	oos	0.5575	0.558633	+0.20%	0.5418	-2.82%	0.0121	✗	1.03
2026-06-15	oos	0.57695	0.57798	+0.18%	0.5575	-3.37%	0.0255	✗	1.06
2026-06-14	oos	0.5687	0.569691	+0.17%	0.57695	+1.45%	0.0035	✓	1.06
2026-06-13	oos	0.557	0.558021	+0.18%	0.5687	+2.10%	0.0025	✗	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.53675	0.537975	+0.23%	0.557	+3.77%	0.0197	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.5408	0.54199	+0.22%	0.53675	-0.75%	0.0093	✗	1.09
2026-06-10	oos	0.52835	0.529752	+0.27%	0.5408	+2.36%	0.0167	✗	1.10
2026-06-09	oos	0.5362	0.537508	+0.24%	0.52835	-1.46%	0.0129	✗	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.5476	0.548609	+0.18%	0.5362	-2.08%	0.0016	✓	1.11
2026-06-07	oos	0.543	0.54396	+0.18%	0.5476	+0.85%	0.0109	✓	1.12
2026-06-06	oos	0.5145	0.51623	+0.34%	0.543	+5.54%	0.0070	✓	1.10
2026-06-05	oos	0.5189	0.520708	+0.35%	0.5145	-0.85%	0.0087	✗	1.11
2026-06-04	oos	0.556	0.557035	+0.19%	0.5189	-6.67%	0.0226	✗	1.09
2026-06-03	oos	0.5969	0.597427	+0.09%	0.556	-6.85%	0.0680	✗	1.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.6062	0.606455	+0.04%	0.5969	-1.53%	0.0268	✓	1.07
2026-06-01	oos	0.6354	0.635112	-0.05%	0.6062	-4.60%	0.0217	✗	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.66695	0.666205	-0.11%	0.6354	-4.73%	0.0166	✓	0.98
2026-05-30	oos	0.6773	0.676203	-0.16%	0.66695	-1.53%	0.0112	✓	0.97
2026-05-29	oos	0.6428	0.642142	-0.10%	0.6773	+5.37%	0.0480	✗	0.96
2026-05-28	oos	0.6297	0.629168	-0.08%	0.6428	+2.08%	0.0233	✗	0.96
2026-05-27	oos	0.6269	0.626449	-0.07%	0.6297	+0.45%	0.0155	✗	0.95
2026-05-26	oos	0.6374	0.636811	-0.09%	0.6269	-1.65%	0.0033	✗	0.94
2026-05-25	oos	0.65335	0.652596	-0.12%	0.6374	-2.44%	0.0061	✓	0.94
2026-05-24	oos	0.6514	0.650585	-0.13%	0.65335	+0.30%	0.0009	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.66505	0.663897	-0.17%	0.6514	-2.05%	0.0230	✓	0.94
2026-05-22	oos	0.6363	0.635494	-0.13%	0.66505	+4.52%	0.0306	✗	0.94
2026-05-21	oos	0.6775	0.675923	-0.23%	0.6363	-6.08%	0.0354	✓	0.91
2026-05-20	oos	0.6653	0.663767	-0.23%	0.6775	+1.83%	0.0196	✗	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.6229	0.62208	-0.13%	0.6653	+6.81%	0.0589	✗	0.90
2026-05-18	oos	0.6278	0.62695	-0.14%	0.6229	-0.78%	0.0044	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.6342	0.633378	-0.13%	0.6278	-1.01%	0.0034	✓	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	0.6429	0.642184	-0.11%	0.6342	-1.35%	0.0045	✓	0.90
2026-05-15	oos	0.66595	0.665242	-0.11%	0.6429	-3.46%	0.0232	✓	0.91
2026-05-14	oos	0.69485	0.694147	-0.10%	0.66595	-4.16%	0.0187	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.6716	0.67088	-0.11%	0.69485	+3.46%	0.0150	✗	0.90
2026-05-12	oos	0.66775	0.667616	-0.02%	0.6716	+0.58%	0.0195	✗	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.69755	0.69754	-0.00%	0.66775	-4.27%	0.0299	✓	0.90
2026-05-10	oos	0.71375	0.713644	-0.01%	0.69755	-2.27%	0.0176	✓	0.89
2026-05-09	oos	0.6826	0.682578	-0.00%	0.71375	+4.56%	0.0279	✗	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.6845	0.684363	-0.02%	0.6826	-0.28%	0.0077	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	0.66245	0.662619	+0.03%	0.6845	+3.33%	0.0305	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	0.6677	0.668325	+0.09%	0.66245	-0.79%	0.0057	✓	0.82
2026-05-05	oos	0.64595	0.646805	+0.13%	0.6677	+3.37%	0.0262	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.6396	0.640207	+0.09%	0.64595	+0.99%	0.0023	✗	0.86
2026-05-03	oos	0.6316	0.631697	+0.02%	0.6396	+1.27%	0.0014	✗	0.85
2026-05-02	oos	0.6309	0.631086	+0.03%	0.6316	+0.11%	0.0022	✓	0.86
2026-05-01	oos	0.6305	0.630594	+0.01%	0.6309	+0.06%	0.0045	✗	0.87
2026-04-30	oos	0.62805	0.627441	-0.10%	0.6305	+0.39%	0.0169	✓	0.87
2026-04-29	oos	0.6247	0.624024	-0.11%	0.62805	+0.54%	0.0001	✓	0.88
2026-04-28	oos	0.6309	0.630342	-0.09%	0.6247	-0.98%	0.0023	✓	0.90
2026-04-27	oos	0.6378	0.637548	-0.04%	0.6309	-1.08%	0.0018	✗	0.90
2026-04-26	oos	0.6548	0.654738	-0.01%	0.6378	-2.60%	0.0111	✓	0.90
2026-04-25	oos	0.65925	0.658611	-0.10%	0.6548	-0.68%	0.0177	✓	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.6481	0.647368	-0.11%	0.65925	+1.72%	0.0160	✗	0.92
2026-04-23	oos	0.64735	0.646749	-0.09%	0.6481	+0.12%	0.0117	✗	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.64435	0.643737	-0.10%	0.64735	+0.47%	0.0047	✗	0.92
2026-04-21	oos	0.6314	0.630756	-0.10%	0.64435	+2.05%	0.0007	✓	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.6314	0.630781	-0.10%	0.6314	+0.00%	0.0049	✓	0.92
2026-04-19	oos	0.6219	0.621386	-0.08%	0.6314	+1.53%	0.0092	✓	0.92
2026-04-18	oos	0.6615	0.661095	-0.06%	0.6219	-5.99%	0.0377	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.6819	0.681591	-0.05%	0.6615	-2.99%	0.0137	✓	0.91
2026-04-16	oos	0.67305	0.672547	-0.07%	0.6819	+1.31%	0.0095	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.6652	0.664774	-0.06%	0.67305	+1.18%	0.0084	✗	0.91
2026-04-14	oos	0.65505	0.654644	-0.06%	0.6652	+1.55%	0.0079	✗	0.91
2026-04-13	oos	0.6832	0.682492	-0.10%	0.65505	-4.12%	0.0378	✓	0.91
2026-04-12	oos	0.66475	0.663846	-0.14%	0.6832	+2.78%	0.0181	✓	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.68055	0.679707	-0.12%	0.66475	-2.32%	0.0076	✗	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.6932	0.692162	-0.15%	0.68055	-1.82%	0.0180	✓	0.92
2026-04-09	oos	0.6659	0.665096	-0.12%	0.6932	+4.10%	0.0262	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.6586	0.657899	-0.11%	0.6659	+1.11%	0.0029	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.67465	0.673928	-0.11%	0.6586	-2.38%	0.0124	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.655	0.654285	-0.11%	0.67465	+3.00%	0.0099	✓	0.93
2026-04-05	oos	0.6707	0.669648	-0.16%	0.655	-2.34%	0.0201	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.669	0.667958	-0.16%	0.6707	+0.25%	0.0197	✓	0.95
2026-04-03	oos	0.6751	0.674058	-0.15%	0.669	-0.90%	0.0122	✓	0.95
2026-04-02	oos	0.6721	0.671123	-0.15%	0.6751	+0.45%	0.0050	✗	0.95
2026-04-01	oos	0.70075	0.699353	-0.20%	0.6721	-4.09%	0.0226	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.697	0.695453	-0.22%	0.70075	+0.54%	0.0091	✗	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.6867	0.685127	-0.23%	0.697	+1.50%	0.0037	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.6711	0.669788	-0.20%	0.6867	+2.32%	0.0139	✗	0.94
2026-03-28	oos	0.6726	0.671311	-0.19%	0.6711	-0.22%	0.0048	✗	0.94
2026-03-27	oos	0.67445	0.673228	-0.18%	0.6726	-0.27%	0.0005	✓	0.94
2026-03-26	oos	0.69535	0.693997	-0.19%	0.67445	-3.01%	0.0051	✗	0.94
2026-03-25	oos	0.7403	0.738305	-0.27%	0.69535	-6.07%	0.0263	✓	0.93
2026-03-24	oos	0.7161	0.714764	-0.19%	0.7403	+3.38%	0.0251	✗	0.93
2026-03-23	oos	0.70575	0.704723	-0.15%	0.7161	+1.47%	0.0205	✗	0.93
2026-03-22	oos	0.71065	0.709489	-0.16%	0.70575	-0.69%	0.0470	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.737	0.735694	-0.18%	0.71065	-3.58%	0.0198	✓	0.95
2026-03-20	oos	0.7516	0.750436	-0.15%	0.737	-1.94%	0.0036	✗	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.7501	0.749174	-0.12%	0.7516	+0.20%	0.0046	✓	0.95
2026-03-18	oos	0.7754	0.774701	-0.09%	0.7501	-3.26%	0.0145	✓	0.94
2026-03-17	oos	0.8376	0.836857	-0.09%	0.7754	-7.43%	0.0418	✓	0.93
2026-03-16	oos	0.8656	0.864567	-0.12%	0.8376	-3.23%	0.0198	✓	0.93
2026-03-15	oos	0.8046	0.804328	-0.03%	0.8656	+7.58%	0.0483	✗	0.90
2026-03-14	oos	0.7965	0.795935	-0.07%	0.8046	+1.02%	0.0089	✓	0.89
2026-03-13	oos	0.7156	0.716196	+0.08%	0.7965	+11.31%	0.1027	✓	0.89
2026-03-12	oos	0.7162	0.716747	+0.08%	0.7156	-0.08%	0.0068	✗	0.89
2026-03-11	oos	0.6905	0.691344	+0.12%	0.7162	+3.72%	0.0313	✓	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.70015	0.70103	+0.13%	0.6905	-1.38%	0.0182	✗	0.88
2026-03-09	oos	0.66845	0.669498	+0.16%	0.70015	+4.74%	0.0257	✓	0.86
2026-03-08	oos	0.6487	0.649766	+0.16%	0.66845	+3.04%	0.0033	✗	0.86
2026-03-07	oos	0.6747	0.675725	+0.15%	0.6487	-3.85%	0.0242	✗	0.86
2026-03-06	oos	0.6844	0.685575	+0.17%	0.6747	-1.42%	0.0052	✗	0.86
2026-03-05	oos	0.6999	0.701295	+0.20%	0.6844	-2.21%	0.0104	✓	0.87
2026-03-04	oos	0.6945	0.696188	+0.24%	0.6999	+0.78%	0.0268	✓	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.6907	0.692102	+0.20%	0.6945	+0.55%	0.0523	✗	0.90
2026-03-02	oos	0.6591	0.660757	+0.25%	0.6907	+4.79%	0.0510	✓	0.93
2026-03-01	oos	0.6364	0.637963	+0.25%	0.6591	+3.57%	0.0097	✗	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.63865	0.640373	+0.27%	0.6364	-0.35%	0.0110	✓	0.96
2026-02-27	oos	0.6349	0.636656	+0.28%	0.63865	+0.59%	0.0129	✗	0.96
2026-02-26	oos	0.6401	0.642065	+0.31%	0.6349	-0.81%	0.0123	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.6235	0.625555	+0.33%	0.6401	+2.66%	0.0301	✓	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.5908	0.592766	+0.33%	0.6235	+5.53%	0.0067	✗	0.96
2026-02-23	oos	0.5764	0.578588	+0.38%	0.5908	+2.50%	0.0293	✓	0.97
2026-02-22	oos	0.6058	0.60814	+0.39%	0.5764	-4.85%	0.0098	✗	0.97
2026-02-21	oos	0.6329	0.635132	+0.35%	0.6058	-4.28%	0.0425	✗	0.97
2026-02-20	oos	0.63055	0.632952	+0.38%	0.6329	+0.37%	0.0003	✓	0.97
2026-02-19	oos	0.62075	0.623119	+0.38%	0.63055	+1.58%	0.0026	✓	0.97
2026-02-18	oos	0.62075	0.623095	+0.38%	0.62075	+0.00%	0.0119	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.6335	0.635923	+0.38%	0.62075	-2.01%	0.0087	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.645	0.647487	+0.39%	0.6335	-1.78%	0.0017	✓	0.99
2026-02-15	oos	0.6278	0.630509	+0.43%	0.645	+2.74%	0.0218	✓	0.98
2026-02-14	oos	0.6638	0.666292	+0.38%	0.6278	-5.42%	0.0453	✗	0.99
2026-02-13	oos	0.6373	0.639892	+0.41%	0.6638	+4.16%	0.0228	✓	0.98
2026-02-12	oos	0.61275	0.615641	+0.47%	0.6373	+4.01%	0.0034	✓	0.99
2026-02-11	oos	0.6159	0.618832	+0.48%	0.61275	-0.51%	0.0022	✓	0.98
2026-02-10	oos	0.632	0.63477	+0.44%	0.6159	-2.55%	0.0044	✗	0.98
2026-02-09	oos	0.64615	0.648762	+0.40%	0.632	-2.19%	0.0079	✗	0.98
2026-02-08	oos	0.64165	0.644261	+0.41%	0.64615	+0.70%	0.0054	✓	0.99
2026-02-07	oos	0.6433	0.646058	+0.43%	0.64165	-0.26%	0.0215	✗	0.99
2026-02-06	oos	0.646	0.648674	+0.41%	0.6433	-0.42%	0.0098	✓	0.99
2026-02-05	oos	0.60115	0.606228	+0.84%	0.646	+7.46%	0.0592	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.6979	0.69981	+0.27%	0.60115	-13.86%	0.0177	✓	1.13
2026-02-03	oos	0.7095	0.710859	+0.19%	0.6979	-1.63%	0.0227	✓	1.15
2026-02-02	oos	0.72145	0.722331	+0.12%	0.7095	-1.66%	0.0267	✓	1.15
2026-02-01	oos	0.6847	0.686583	+0.28%	0.72145	+5.37%	0.0261	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.7323	0.73351	+0.17%	0.6847	-6.50%	0.0441	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.777	0.777328	+0.04%	0.7323	-5.75%	0.0158	✓	1.12
2026-01-29	oos	0.8409	0.840589	-0.04%	0.777	-7.60%	0.0733	✓	1.12
2026-01-28	oos	0.91915	0.91736	-0.19%	0.8409	-8.51%	0.0291	✓	1.08
2026-01-27	oos	0.8926	0.891004	-0.18%	0.91915	+2.97%	0.0305	✗	1.11
2026-01-26	oos	0.8655	0.864281	-0.14%	0.8926	+3.13%	0.0216	✗	1.09
2026-01-25	oos	0.8472	0.846381	-0.10%	0.8655	+2.16%	0.0013	✗	1.09
2026-01-24	oos	0.904	0.902016	-0.22%	0.8472	-6.28%	0.0320	✓	1.07
2026-01-23	oos	0.8815	0.879753	-0.20%	0.904	+2.55%	0.0320	✗	1.10
2026-01-22	oos	0.88205	0.880302	-0.20%	0.8815	-0.06%	0.0012	✓	1.11
2026-01-21	oos	0.8882	0.886381	-0.20%	0.88205	-0.69%	0.0061	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.87	0.868615	-0.16%	0.8882	+2.09%	0.0091	✗	1.12
2026-01-19	oos	0.915	0.9131	-0.21%	0.87	-4.92%	0.0045	✗	1.13
2026-01-18	oos	0.9463	0.944509	-0.19%	0.915	-3.31%	0.0183	✓	1.16
2026-01-17	oos	0.9499	0.948592	-0.14%	0.9463	-0.38%	0.0155	✗	1.15
2026-01-16	oos	0.9499	0.948905	-0.10%	0.9499	+0.00%	0.0060	✗	1.19
2026-01-15	oos	0.9631	0.962053	-0.11%	0.9499	-1.37%	0.0117	✓	1.20
2026-01-14	oos	0.97685	0.976189	-0.07%	0.9631	-1.41%	0.0038	✗	1.22
2026-01-13	oos	0.9887	0.987923	-0.08%	0.97685	-1.20%	0.0316	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.9442	0.943024	-0.12%	0.9887	+4.71%	0.0102	✓	1.28
2026-01-11	oos	0.9841	0.98252	-0.16%	0.9442	-4.05%	0.0443	✓	1.30
2026-01-10	oos	0.97685	0.975464	-0.14%	0.9841	+0.74%	0.0017	✗	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	0.9638	0.962806	-0.10%	0.97685	+1.35%	0.0170	✗	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.9992	0.998094	-0.11%	0.9638	-3.54%	0.0259	✓	1.61
2026-01-07	oos	1.0332	1.032	-0.12%	0.9992	-3.29%	0.0269	✓	1.92
2026-01-06	oos	1.1155	1.1135	-0.18%	1.0332	-7.38%	0.0238	✓	1.94
2026-01-05	oos	1.0789	1.0775	-0.13%	1.1155	+3.39%	0.0378	✗	1.99
2026-01-04	oos	1.0433	1.0416	-0.17%	1.0789	+3.41%	0.0164	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	1.02	1.0185	-0.14%	1.0433	+2.28%	0.0038	✗	2.05
2026-01-02	oos	1.0146	1.013	-0.16%	1.02	+0.53%	0.0078	✓	2.07
2026-01-01	oos	0.973	0.971898	-0.11%	1.0146	+4.28%	0.0147	✗	2.07
2025-12-31	oos	0.9624	0.961725	-0.07%	0.973	+1.10%	0.0173	✓	2.05
2025-12-30	oos	0.96835	0.96808	-0.03%	0.9624	-0.61%	0.0152	✗	2.06
2025-12-29	oos	1.0142	1.0137	-0.05%	0.96835	-4.52%	0.0762	✓	2.08
2025-12-28	oos	1.0407	1.0401	-0.06%	1.0142	-2.55%	0.0070	✓	2.08
2025-12-27	oos	1.0617	1.0611	-0.06%	1.0407	-1.98%	0.0211	✓	2.10
2025-12-26	oos	1.0439	1.0435	-0.04%	1.0617	+1.70%	0.0051	✗	2.09
2025-12-25	oos	1.0325	1.0322	-0.03%	1.0439	+1.11%	0.0083	✗	2.09
2025-12-24	oos	1.0386	1.0385	-0.01%	1.0325	-0.59%	0.0048	✗	2.11
2025-12-23	oos	1.0579	1.0578	-0.01%	1.0386	-1.82%	0.0227	✓	2.11
2025-12-22	oos	1.1093	1.1091	-0.02%	1.0579	-4.63%	0.0205	✓	2.09
2025-12-21	oos	1.1743	1.1735	-0.07%	1.1093	-5.54%	0.0544	✓	2.09
2025-12-20	oos	1.1913	1.1903	-0.09%	1.1743	-1.43%	0.0207	✓	2.02
2025-12-19	oos	1.1525	1.1518	-0.06%	1.1913	+3.37%	0.0284	✗	2.02
2025-12-18	oos	1.1439	1.1433	-0.05%	1.1525	+0.75%	0.0546	✓	2.06
2025-12-17	oos	1.2092	1.2081	-0.09%	1.1439	-5.40%	0.0365	✓	2.07
2025-12-16	oos	1.2475	1.2464	-0.09%	1.2092	-3.07%	0.0089	✗	2.08
2025-12-15	oos	1.2895	1.2877	-0.14%	1.2475	-3.25%	0.0665	✓	2.11
2025-12-14	oos	1.2492	1.2483	-0.07%	1.2895	+3.23%	0.0757	✗	2.15
2025-12-13	oos	1.332	1.3303	-0.12%	1.2492	-6.22%	0.0129	✓	2.14
2025-12-12	oos	1.2521	1.2511	-0.08%	1.332	+6.38%	0.0632	✗	2.14
2025-12-11	oos	1.1987	1.1986	-0.01%	1.2521	+4.45%	0.0978	✗	2.18
2025-12-10	oos	1.1666	1.1668	+0.01%	1.1987	+2.75%	0.0150	✓	2.19
2025-12-09	oos	1.1132	1.1139	+0.06%	1.1666	+4.80%	0.0620	✓	2.22
2025-12-08	oos	1.0939	1.0947	+0.07%	1.1132	+1.76%	0.0334	✗	2.26
2025-12-07	oos	1.0965	1.0972	+0.06%	1.0939	-0.23%	0.0092	✗	2.25
2025-12-06	oos	1.0658	1.0668	+0.09%	1.0965	+2.88%	0.0010	✗	2.26
2025-12-05	oos	1.0882	1.0889	+0.06%	1.0658	-2.05%	0.0194	✗	2.25
2025-12-04	oos	1.0583	1.0594	+0.11%	1.0882	+2.83%	0.0969	✓	2.31
2025-12-03	oos	1.1061	1.1067	+0.06%	1.0583	-4.32%	0.0109	✗	2.31
2025-12-02	oos	1.0247	1.026	+0.13%	1.1061	+7.94%	0.0219	✓	2.29
2025-12-01	oos	0.97575	0.977689	+0.20%	1.0247	+5.02%	0.0900	✗	2.42
2025-11-30	oos	1.0664	1.0678	+0.13%	0.97575	-8.50%	0.0213	✓	2.41
2025-11-29	oos	1.0875	1.0888	+0.13%	1.0664	-1.93%	0.0087	✗	2.39
2025-11-28	oos	1.0763	1.0779	+0.14%	1.0875	+1.04%	0.0108	✓	2.39
2025-11-27	oos	1.0633	1.0649	+0.16%	1.0763	+1.23%	0.0215	✓	2.40
2025-11-26	oos	1.0705	1.0721	+0.15%	1.0633	-0.68%	0.0309	✗	2.42
2025-11-25	oos	1.0265	1.0287	+0.21%	1.0705	+4.29%	0.0476	✗	2.47
2025-11-24	oos	1.022	1.0242	+0.22%	1.0265	+0.44%	0.0288	✓	2.48
2025-11-23	oos	1.0158	1.0183	+0.24%	1.022	+0.61%	0.0379	✗	2.50
2025-11-22	oos	0.9871	0.990427	+0.34%	1.0158	+2.91%	0.0373	✗	2.53
2025-11-21	oos	0.94735	0.951682	+0.46%	0.9871	+4.20%	0.0480	✓	2.52
2025-11-20	oos	1.0422	1.0454	+0.31%	0.94735	-9.10%	0.0556	✗	2.51
2025-11-19	oos	1.1181	1.12	+0.16%	1.0422	-6.79%	0.0682	✓	2.53
2025-11-18	oos	1.1084	1.1104	+0.18%	1.1181	+0.88%	0.0473	✓	2.56
2025-11-17	oos	1.1051	1.1077	+0.23%	1.1084	+0.30%	0.0217	✗	2.54
2025-11-16	oos	1.192	1.1934	+0.13%	1.1051	-7.29%	0.0222	✗	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	1.2014	1.2031	+0.14%	1.192	-0.79%	0.0258	✓	2.45
2025-11-14	oos	1.1661	1.1694	+0.28%	1.2014	+3.03%	0.0003	✓	2.45
2025-11-13	oos	1.2232	1.2252	+0.16%	1.1661	-4.67%	0.0858	✓	2.57
2025-11-12	oos	1.2643	1.2654	+0.09%	1.2232	-3.25%	0.0174	✓	2.55
2025-11-11	oos	1.2367	1.2389	+0.18%	1.2643	+2.23%	0.0536	✓	2.49
2025-11-10	oos	1.3199	1.319	-0.07%	1.2367	-6.30%	0.0069	✗	2.51
2025-11-09	oos	1.3355	1.3349	-0.05%	1.3199	-1.17%	0.0422	✓	2.54
2025-11-08	oos	1.336	1.3378	+0.14%	1.3355	-0.04%	0.0620	✗	2.59
2025-11-07	oos	1.2914	1.295	+0.28%	1.336	+3.45%	0.0557	✓	2.53
2025-11-06	oos	1.2093	1.217	+0.64%	1.2914	+6.79%	0.0102	✓	2.52
2025-11-05	oos	1.2479	1.2508	+0.23%	1.2093	-3.09%	0.0300	✓	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	1.2699	1.2724	+0.20%	1.2479	-1.73%	0.0821	✗	2.68
2025-11-03	oos	1.2269	1.2286	+0.14%	1.2699	+3.50%	0.1750	✓	2.90
2025-11-02	oos	1.4307	1.4245	-0.43%	1.2269	-14.24%	0.0462	✓	2.82
2025-11-01	oos	1.4412	1.4359	-0.37%	1.4307	-0.73%	0.0161	✓	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	1.4536	1.4489	-0.32%	1.4412	-0.85%	0.0182	✓	2.85
2025-10-30	oos	1.4418	1.4384	-0.23%	1.4536	+0.82%	0.0223	✓	2.87
2025-10-29	oos	1.5839	1.5783	-0.35%	1.4418	-8.97%	0.0456	✓	2.84
2025-10-28	oos	1.608	1.6018	-0.39%	1.5839	-1.50%	0.0628	✗	2.87
2025-10-27	oos	1.6634	1.6559	-0.45%	1.608	-3.33%	0.0004	✓	2.86
2025-10-26	oos	1.7735	1.7619	-0.65%	1.6634	-6.21%	0.0460	✓	2.86
2025-10-25	oos	1.6585	1.6503	-0.49%	1.7735	+6.93%	0.0014	✓	2.88
2025-10-24	oos	1.6436	1.6364	-0.43%	1.6585	+0.91%	0.0027	✓	2.88
2025-10-23	oos	1.6854	1.6775	-0.47%	1.6436	-2.48%	0.0447	✓	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	1.5951	1.5896	-0.35%	1.6854	+5.66%	0.0093	✓	2.92
2025-10-21	oos	1.6283	1.6221	-0.38%	1.5951	-2.04%	0.0042	✗	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	1.8123	1.8012	-0.61%	1.6283	-10.15%	0.0427	✓	2.89
2025-10-19	oos	1.8595	1.8431	-0.88%	1.8123	-2.54%	0.0670	✓	2.91
2025-10-18	oos	1.6695	1.6607	-0.53%	1.8595	+11.38%	0.0739	✗	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	1.6085	1.602	-0.40%	1.6695	+3.79%	0.0212	✗	2.88
2025-10-16	oos	1.7167	1.7077	-0.53%	1.6085	-6.30%	0.0136	✓	2.86
2025-10-15	oos	1.8153	1.8046	-0.59%	1.7167	-5.43%	0.0180	✗	2.85
2025-10-14	oos	1.9764	1.9619	-0.74%	1.8153	-8.15%	0.0203	✓	2.84
2025-10-13	oos	2.118	2.0984	-0.92%	1.9764	-6.69%	0.0055	✓	2.82
2025-10-12	oos	2.2453	2.2096	-1.59%	2.118	-5.67%	0.0474	✓	2.81
2025-10-11	oos	1.6232	1.6153	-0.49%	2.2453	+38.33%	0.2337	✗	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	1.7255	1.717	-0.50%	1.6232	-5.93%	0.0064	✓	2.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.3402	2.3265	-0.58%	1.7255	-26.27%	0.1467	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	2.6927	2.6662	-0.98%	2.3402	-13.09%	0.1048	✓	1.93
2025-10-07	oos	2.2989	2.2861	-0.56%	2.6927	+17.13%	0.1358	✗	1.75
2025-10-06	oos	2.4751	2.4511	-0.97%	2.2989	-7.12%	0.0182	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	2.1182	2.1064	-0.56%	2.4751	+16.85%	0.1454	✗	1.65
2025-10-04	oos	1.9637	1.9558	-0.40%	2.1182	+7.87%	0.0657	✗	1.63
2025-10-03	oos	1.9263	1.9192	-0.37%	1.9637	+1.94%	0.0211	✗	1.63
2025-10-02	oos	1.9791	1.9692	-0.50%	1.9263	-2.67%	0.0453	✓	1.66
2025-10-01	oos	1.8996	1.8875	-0.64%	1.9791	+4.19%	0.0198	✗	1.68
2025-09-30	oos	1.7711	1.7598	-0.64%	1.8996	+7.26%	0.0096	✗	1.69
2025-09-29	oos	1.9229	1.9028	-1.04%	1.7711	-7.89%	0.0674	✓	1.65
2025-09-28	oos	1.7842	1.7711	-0.73%	1.9229	+7.77%	0.0507	✗	1.65
2025-09-27	oos	1.7156	1.7026	-0.76%	1.7842	+4.00%	0.0090	✗	1.67
2025-09-26	oos	1.7512	1.7364	-0.84%	1.7156	-2.03%	0.0118	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	1.5966	1.5866	-0.63%	1.7512	+9.68%	0.0888	✗	1.63
2025-09-24	oos	1.723	1.7101	-0.75%	1.5966	-7.33%	0.0072	✓	1.58
2025-09-23	oos	1.76	1.7435	-0.94%	1.723	-2.10%	0.0309	✓	1.62
2025-09-22	oos	1.7384	1.7195	-1.08%	1.76	+1.24%	0.0335	✗	1.60
2025-09-21	oos	1.5555	1.5454	-0.65%	1.7384	+11.76%	0.1570	✗	1.76
2025-09-20	oos	1.6741	1.6627	-0.68%	1.5555	-7.08%	0.0600	✓	1.64
2025-09-19	oos	1.6508	1.6406	-0.62%	1.6741	+1.41%	0.0193	✗	1.66
2025-09-18	oos	1.7761	1.7628	-0.75%	1.6508	-7.05%	0.0457	✓	1.63
2025-09-17	oos	1.698	1.6868	-0.66%	1.7761	+4.60%	0.0428	✗	1.62

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.