KSKD

Kaskad · Igra · gru_s4

token id: #438
symbol: KSKD
variant: –
chain: Igra
address: 0x16d92794f5b81d2cded0f0958779a410401e6435
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-25
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

134

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

41.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2270

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0078

actual -0.0239

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004883	0.004648	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-10-20	oos	0.004922	0.004684	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.004854	0.004614	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-18	oos	0.00524	0.004963	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.0054	0.005099	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.006489	0.006135	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.007413	0.006887	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-14	oos	0.004916	0.004662	-5.17%	0.004883	-0.67%	0.0517	✓	-0.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.004991	0.004714	-5.55%	0.004922	-1.36%	0.0426	✓	-0.39
2026-10-12	oos	0.005084	0.004789	-5.80%	0.004854	-4.51%	0.0140	✓	-0.39
2026-10-11	oos	0.005203	0.00489	-6.02%	0.00524	+0.70%	0.0595	✓	-0.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.005152	0.004834	-6.18%	0.0054	+4.81%	0.1033	✗	-0.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.005563	0.005227	-6.05%	0.006489	+16.65%	0.2114	✗	-0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.005154	0.004827	-6.33%	0.007413	+43.84%	0.4310	✗	-0.40
2026-10-07	oos	0.003492	0.003343	-4.28%	0.004916	+40.76%	0.3826	✗	-0.14
2026-10-06	oos	0.003406	0.003254	-4.47%	0.004991	+46.52%	0.4237	✗	-0.14
2026-10-05	oos	0.003381	0.003213	-4.98%	0.005084	+50.35%	0.4518	✗	-0.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.003272	0.003087	-5.66%	0.005203	+59.01%	0.5176	✗	-0.14
2026-10-03	oos	0.003436	0.003215	-6.43%	0.005152	+49.98%	0.4693	✗	-0.12
2026-10-02	oos	0.003394	0.003155	-7.05%	0.005563	+63.91%	0.5642	✗	-0.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.003457	0.003202	-7.39%	0.005154	+49.07%	0.4709	✗	-0.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.00302	0.002758	-8.67%	0.003492	+15.65%	0.2354	✗	-0.18
2026-09-29	oos	0.003004	0.002727	-9.21%	0.003406	+13.38%	0.2273	✗	-0.23
2026-09-28	oos	0.003096	0.00283	-8.62%	0.003381	+9.19%	0.1856	✗	-0.28
2026-09-27	oos	0.003466	0.003224	-6.98%	0.003272	-5.58%	0.0207	✓	-0.24
2026-09-26	oos	0.00388	0.003563	-8.18%	0.003436	-11.46%	0.0355	✓	-0.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.002221	0.002131	-4.03%	0.003394	+52.81%	0.4662	✗	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.001571	0.001526	-2.88%	0.003457	+120.05%	0.8186	✗	-0.13
2026-09-23	oos	0.001353	0.001316	-2.70%	0.00302	+123.21%	0.8292	✗	-0.11
2026-09-22	oos	0.001315	0.001283	-2.43%	0.003004	+128.44%	0.8517	✗	0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.001338	0.001309	-2.19%	0.003096	+131.43%	0.8745	✗	0.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.001392	0.001359	-2.37%	0.003466	+148.99%	0.9176	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.001368	0.001339	-2.15%	0.00388	+183.63%	1.0461	✗	0.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.001328	0.001302	-1.97%	0.002221	+67.24%	0.5164	✗	0.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.0013	0.001278	-1.72%	0.001571	+20.85%	0.1633	✗	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.001252	0.001234	-1.47%	0.001353	+8.07%	0.0473	✗	0.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.00124	0.001222	-1.48%	0.001315	+6.05%	0.0193	✗	0.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.001208	0.001194	-1.16%	0.001338	+10.76%	0.0666	✗	0.46
2026-09-13	oos	0.001204	0.00119	-1.19%	0.001392	+15.61%	0.1323	✗	0.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.001187	0.001175	-1.02%	0.001368	+15.25%	0.1290	✗	0.46
2026-09-11	oos	0.001178	0.001167	-0.89%	0.001328	+12.73%	0.1072	✗	0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.001187	0.001176	-0.94%	0.0013	+9.52%	0.1015	✗	0.47
2026-09-09	oos	0.001169	0.001164	-0.46%	0.001252	+7.10%	0.0871	✗	0.50
2026-09-08	oos	0.001152	0.001149	-0.23%	0.00124	+7.64%	0.0946	✗	0.50
2026-09-07	oos	0.001171	0.001168	-0.28%	0.001208	+3.16%	0.0398	✗	0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.001061	0.00107	+0.88%	0.001204	+13.53%	0.1430	✓	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.001063	0.001078	+1.37%	0.001187	+11.67%	0.1148	✓	0.55
2026-09-04	oos	0.001026	0.001049	+2.25%	0.001178	+14.81%	0.1342	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	0.00103	0.001062	+3.09%	0.001187	+15.24%	0.1470	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	0.001032	0.001057	+2.45%	0.001169	+13.28%	0.0940	✓	0.52
2026-09-01	oos	0.001081	0.001104	+2.13%	0.001152	+6.57%	0.0354	✓	0.53
2026-08-31	oos	0.001086	0.001113	+2.49%	0.001171	+7.83%	0.0483	✓	0.37
2026-08-30	oos	0.001139	0.001161	+1.94%	0.001061	-6.89%	0.1134	✗	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.0012	0.001219	+1.57%	0.001063	-11.42%	0.1512	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.001204	0.001218	+1.18%	0.001026	-14.78%	0.1883	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.001218	0.001233	+1.22%	0.00103	-15.44%	0.1889	✗	0.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.001322	0.001326	+0.31%	0.001032	-21.94%	0.2341	✗	0.76
2026-08-25	oos	0.001371	0.001371	-0.01%	0.001081	-21.15%	0.2260	✓	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.001323	0.001327	+0.29%	0.001086	-17.91%	0.1960	✗	0.80
2026-08-23	oos	0.001295	0.001297	+0.19%	0.001139	-12.05%	0.1296	✗	0.82
2026-08-22	oos	0.001334	0.001334	+0.00%	0.0012	-10.04%	0.1184	✗	0.82
2026-08-21	oos	0.001455	0.001452	-0.21%	0.001204	-17.25%	0.1822	✓	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.00134	0.001322	-1.33%	0.001218	-9.10%	0.1489	✓	0.70
2026-08-19	oos	0.001375	0.00135	-1.82%	0.001322	-3.85%	0.1221	✓	0.77
2026-08-18	oos	0.001374	0.001351	-1.66%	0.001371	-0.22%	0.1500	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.001366	0.001344	-1.63%	0.001323	-3.15%	0.1868	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	0.001397	0.001375	-1.58%	0.001295	-7.30%	0.2444	✓	0.87
2026-08-15	oos	0.001397	0.001375	-1.58%	0.001334	-4.51%	0.2048	✓	0.87
2026-08-14	oos	0.00143	0.001406	-1.64%	0.001455	+1.75%	0.1555	✓	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.00143	0.001406	-1.66%	0.00134	-6.29%	0.1712	✓	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.001488	0.001461	-1.79%	0.001375	-7.59%	0.1386	✓	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.001402	0.00138	-1.55%	0.001374	-2.00%	0.0202	✓	0.87
2026-08-10	oos	0.001393	0.001372	-1.54%	0.001366	-1.94%	0.0118	✓	0.88
2026-08-09	oos	0.001395	0.001372	-1.62%	0.001397	+0.14%	0.0459	✗	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.00139	0.001368	-1.56%	0.001397	+0.50%	0.0471	✗	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.001413	0.001391	-1.56%	0.00143	+1.20%	0.0544	✗	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.001412	0.001392	-1.41%	0.00143	+1.27%	0.0385	✗	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.001415	0.001396	-1.36%	0.001488	+5.16%	0.0805	✗	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.001424	0.001407	-1.22%	0.001402	-1.54%	0.0039	✓	0.88
2026-08-03	oos	0.001425	0.00141	-1.05%	0.001393	-2.25%	0.0183	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.001416	0.001403	-0.93%	0.001395	-1.48%	0.0239	✓	0.87
2026-08-01	oos	0.001404	0.001394	-0.74%	0.00139	-1.00%	0.0315	✓	0.86
2026-07-31	oos	0.001401	0.001393	-0.57%	0.001413	+0.86%	0.0134	✓	0.86
2026-07-30	oos	0.001424	0.001412	-0.81%	0.001412	-0.84%	0.0060	✓	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.001476	0.001465	-0.75%	0.001415	-4.13%	0.0447	✓	0.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.001396	0.001389	-0.47%	0.001424	+2.01%	0.0217	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.001373	0.001368	-0.34%	0.001425	+3.79%	0.0438	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.001307	0.001303	-0.32%	0.001416	+8.34%	0.1113	✗	0.98
2026-07-25	oos	0.001325	0.001323	-0.13%	0.001404	+5.96%	0.0828	✗	0.98
2026-07-24	oos	0.00129	0.001293	+0.21%	0.001401	+8.60%	0.0995	✓	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	0.001261	0.001265	+0.32%	0.001424	+12.93%	0.1234	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.001246	0.001252	+0.49%	0.001476	+18.46%	0.1994	✓	1.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.001288	0.001294	+0.45%	0.001396	+8.39%	0.1184	✓	1.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.00157	0.001566	-0.24%	0.001373	-12.55%	0.1030	✓	1.22
2026-07-19	oos	0.001618	0.001617	-0.04%	0.001307	-19.22%	0.2255	✓	1.22
2026-07-18	oos	0.001677	0.001676	-0.07%	0.001325	-20.99%	0.2254	✓	1.22
2026-07-17	oos	0.001787	0.001786	-0.06%	0.00129	-27.81%	0.3290	✓	1.26
2026-07-16	oos	0.001742	0.001748	+0.32%	0.001261	-27.61%	0.3512	✗	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.001788	0.00179	+0.12%	0.001246	-30.31%	0.3888	✗	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.001712	0.001725	+0.76%	0.001288	-24.77%	0.3215	✗	1.26
2026-07-13	oos	0.001805	0.001829	+1.35%	0.00157	-13.02%	0.2196	✗	1.44
2026-07-12	oos	0.001932	0.001947	+0.79%	0.001618	-16.25%	0.2063	✗	1.44
2026-07-11	oos	0.002067	0.002079	+0.58%	0.001677	-18.87%	0.2379	✗	1.44
2026-07-10	oos	0.002167	0.002176	+0.44%	0.001787	-17.54%	0.1919	✗	1.44
2026-07-09	oos	0.001999	0.002041	+2.08%	0.001742	-12.86%	0.1709	✗	1.36
2026-07-08	oos	0.00203	0.002087	+2.80%	0.001788	-11.92%	0.2078	✗	1.36
2026-07-07	oos	0.001974	0.002046	+3.65%	0.001712	-13.27%	0.2150	✗	1.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.001988	0.002071	+4.19%	0.001805	-9.21%	0.0983	✗	1.43
2026-07-05	oos	0.0021	0.002194	+4.47%	0.001932	-8.00%	0.1307	✗	1.45
2026-07-04	oos	0.002318	0.002413	+4.09%	0.002067	-10.83%	0.1709	✗	1.50
2026-07-03	oos	0.00231	0.002427	+5.05%	0.002167	-6.19%	0.1510	✗	1.49
2026-07-02	oos	0.002346	0.002484	+5.88%	0.001999	-14.79%	0.2580	✗	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.002523	0.002677	+6.10%	0.00203	-19.54%	0.3383	✗	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.002781	0.002946	+5.94%	0.001974	-29.02%	0.5486	✗	1.88
2026-06-29	oos	0.003049	0.0032	+4.96%	0.001988	-34.80%	0.5909	✗	1.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.002636	0.002839	+7.70%	0.0021	-20.33%	0.4133	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.002773	0.002978	+7.40%	0.002318	-16.41%	0.3363	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.003072	0.003265	+6.28%	0.00231	-24.80%	0.4161	✗	1.71
2026-06-25	oos	0.003242	0.003425	+5.66%	0.002346	-27.64%	0.4296	✗	1.74
2026-06-24	oos	0.003936	0.004035	+2.52%	0.002523	-35.90%	0.4423	✗	1.62
2026-06-23	oos	0.006008	0.005952	-0.92%	0.002781	-53.71%	0.6929	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.006455	0.006379	-1.17%	0.003049	-52.77%	0.6772	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.006542	0.006468	-1.13%	0.002636	-59.71%	0.8363	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.006544	0.006467	-1.18%	0.002773	-57.63%	0.7777	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.006634	0.006559	-1.13%	0.003072	-53.69%	0.7022	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.006546	0.006478	-1.04%	0.003242	-50.47%	0.6404	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.006567	0.006491	-1.16%	0.003936	-40.06%	0.4450	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.006569	0.006489	-1.22%	0.006008	-8.55%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.006596	0.006514	-1.25%	0.006455	-2.14%	0.0267	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.006523	0.00645	-1.12%	0.006542	+0.29%	0.0525	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.006549	0.006488	-0.93%	0.006544	-0.08%	0.0118	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.00655	0.0065	-0.77%	0.006634	+1.28%	0.0215	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.006531	0.006485	-0.70%	0.006546	+0.23%	0.0201	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.006586	0.006561	-0.38%	0.006567	-0.29%	0.0468	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.006576	0.006557	-0.29%	0.006569	-0.10%	0.0599	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.006607	0.006578	-0.43%	0.006596	-0.17%	0.0470	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.006771	0.006735	-0.52%	0.006523	-3.66%	0.0693	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.006585	0.006601	+0.24%	0.006549	-0.55%	0.0650	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.006446	0.006479	+0.51%	0.00655	+1.61%	0.0294	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.006345	0.006348	+0.05%	0.006531	+2.93%	0.0322	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.006925	0.006899	-0.37%	0.006586	-4.90%	0.0051	✓	1.00