KSKD

Kaskad · Igra · gru_s4

token id: #438
symbol: KSKD
variant: –
chain: Igra
address: 0x16d92794f5b81d2cded0f0958779a410401e6435
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-25
predictions: 426

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

112

of 142 predictions shown

direction hit

75.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.7295

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0608

actual -0.1402

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.004919	0.004316	-12.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.004914	0.004314	-12.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-10-20	oos	0.004922	0.004312	-12.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.004854	0.004236	-12.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-18	oos	0.00524	0.004542	-13.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.0054	0.004687	-13.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.006489	0.005584	-13.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.007413	0.006101	-17.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-14	oos	0.004916	0.004288	-12.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.004991	0.004337	-13.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-10-12	oos	0.005084	0.004439	-12.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-10-11	oos	0.005203	0.004512	-13.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.005152	0.004475	-13.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.005563	0.004713	-15.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.005154	0.004332	-15.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-10-07	oos	0.003492	0.003068	-12.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-06	oos	0.003406	0.002995	-12.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-05	oos	0.003381	0.002972	-12.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.003272	0.002877	-12.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-03	oos	0.003436	0.003009	-12.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.12
2026-10-02	oos	0.003394	0.002978	-12.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.003457	0.00301	-12.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.00302	0.002664	-11.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.18
2026-09-29	oos	0.003004	0.002648	-11.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-09-28	oos	0.003096	0.002717	-12.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-09-27	oos	0.003466	0.00297	-14.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.24
2026-09-26	oos	0.00388	0.003159	-18.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.002221	0.001972	-11.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.001571	0.001431	-8.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-09-23	oos	0.001353	0.001232	-8.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-09-22	oos	0.001315	0.001208	-8.14%	0.004919	+274.03%	1.4049	✗	0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.001338	0.001236	-7.60%	0.004914	+267.30%	1.3909	✗	0.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.001392	0.001265	-9.15%	0.004922	+253.63%	1.3489	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.001368	0.001243	-9.16%	0.004854	+254.82%	1.3591	✗	0.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.001328	0.001208	-9.04%	0.00524	+294.58%	1.4611	✗	0.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.0013	0.001179	-9.30%	0.0054	+315.42%	1.4941	✗	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.001252	0.001134	-9.40%	0.006489	+418.33%	1.7144	✗	0.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.00124	0.001119	-9.72%	0.007413	+497.82%	1.8561	✗	0.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.001208	0.001095	-9.36%	0.004916	+306.95%	1.4822	✗	0.46
2026-09-13	oos	0.001204	0.001091	-9.35%	0.004991	+314.49%	1.4847	✗	0.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.001187	0.001082	-8.88%	0.005084	+328.26%	1.5215	✗	0.46
2026-09-11	oos	0.001178	0.001073	-8.87%	0.005203	+341.72%	1.5409	✗	0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.001187	0.001079	-9.13%	0.005152	+334.08%	1.5262	✗	0.47
2026-09-09	oos	0.001169	0.001068	-8.63%	0.005563	+375.88%	1.6236	✗	0.50
2026-09-08	oos	0.001152	0.001057	-8.24%	0.005154	+347.35%	1.5638	✗	0.50
2026-09-07	oos	0.001171	0.00108	-7.74%	0.003492	+198.25%	1.1474	✗	0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.001061	0.000988486	-6.79%	0.003406	+221.17%	1.2025	✗	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.001063	0.001006	-5.37%	0.003381	+218.06%	1.1729	✗	0.55
2026-09-04	oos	0.001026	0.000990974	-3.41%	0.003272	+218.96%	1.1468	✗	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	0.00103	0.001026	-0.36%	0.003436	+233.54%	1.1833	✗	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	0.001032	0.001032	-0.05%	0.003394	+228.88%	1.1448	✗	0.52
2026-09-01	oos	0.001081	0.001078	-0.23%	0.003457	+219.80%	1.1164	✗	0.53
2026-08-31	oos	0.001086	0.001084	-0.14%	0.00302	+178.08%	1.0011	✗	0.37
2026-08-30	oos	0.001139	0.001133	-0.49%	0.003004	+163.74%	0.9249	✗	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.0012	0.001203	+0.21%	0.003096	+158.04%	0.8997	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.001204	0.001214	+0.81%	0.003466	+187.87%	0.9913	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.001218	0.001241	+1.90%	0.00388	+218.56%	1.1026	✓	0.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.001322	0.001336	+1.09%	0.002221	+68.00%	0.4610	✓	0.76
2026-08-25	oos	0.001371	0.001382	+0.81%	0.001571	+14.59%	0.0705	✓	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.001323	0.001339	+1.22%	0.001353	+2.27%	0.0428	✗	0.80
2026-08-23	oos	0.001295	0.001299	+0.34%	0.001315	+1.54%	0.0727	✗	0.82
2026-08-22	oos	0.001334	0.001335	+0.10%	0.001338	+0.30%	0.0938	✗	0.82
2026-08-21	oos	0.001455	0.001467	+0.84%	0.001392	-4.33%	0.0811	✗	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.00134	0.001283	-4.28%	0.001368	+2.09%	0.0107	✓	0.70
2026-08-19	oos	0.001375	0.001285	-6.54%	0.001328	-3.42%	0.0860	✓	0.77
2026-08-18	oos	0.001374	0.001283	-6.64%	0.0013	-5.39%	0.1273	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.001366	0.001273	-6.82%	0.001252	-8.35%	0.1568	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	0.001397	0.001303	-6.71%	0.00124	-11.24%	0.2100	✓	0.87
2026-08-15	oos	0.001397	0.001301	-6.90%	0.001208	-13.53%	0.2609	✓	0.87
2026-08-14	oos	0.00143	0.001326	-7.25%	0.001204	-15.80%	0.2691	✓	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.00143	0.001322	-7.56%	0.001187	-16.99%	0.2800	✓	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.001488	0.001368	-8.05%	0.001178	-20.83%	0.3219	✓	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.001402	0.001295	-7.66%	0.001187	-15.34%	0.2493	✓	0.87
2026-08-10	oos	0.001393	0.001283	-7.90%	0.001169	-16.08%	0.2710	✓	0.88
2026-08-09	oos	0.001395	0.001278	-8.39%	0.001152	-17.42%	0.2739	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.00139	0.001272	-8.47%	0.001171	-15.76%	0.2592	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.001413	0.001288	-8.87%	0.001061	-24.95%	0.3844	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.001412	0.00129	-8.65%	0.001063	-24.72%	0.3851	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.001415	0.001288	-9.01%	0.001026	-27.49%	0.4130	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.001424	0.001296	-8.97%	0.00103	-27.67%	0.4399	✓	0.88
2026-08-03	oos	0.001425	0.001301	-8.67%	0.001032	-27.58%	0.4045	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.001416	0.001297	-8.38%	0.001081	-23.66%	0.3550	✓	0.87
2026-08-01	oos	0.001404	0.001293	-7.89%	0.001086	-22.65%	0.3673	✓	0.86
2026-07-31	oos	0.001401	0.001294	-7.66%	0.001139	-18.70%	0.3087	✓	0.86
2026-07-30	oos	0.001424	0.0013	-8.69%	0.0012	-15.73%	0.2497	✓	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.001476	0.001352	-8.43%	0.001204	-18.43%	0.2947	✓	0.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.001396	0.001289	-7.68%	0.001218	-12.75%	0.2614	✓	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.001373	0.001275	-7.11%	0.001322	-3.71%	0.1551	✓	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.001307	0.001212	-7.25%	0.001371	+4.90%	0.0570	✓	0.98
2026-07-25	oos	0.001325	0.001237	-6.64%	0.001323	-0.15%	0.1343	✓	0.98
2026-07-24	oos	0.00129	0.001211	-6.09%	0.001295	+0.39%	0.1195	✓	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	0.001261	0.001182	-6.26%	0.001334	+5.79%	0.0484	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.001246	0.001162	-6.73%	0.001455	+16.77%	0.0493	✓	1.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.001288	0.001194	-7.29%	0.00134	+4.04%	0.0190	✓	1.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.00157	0.001453	-7.46%	0.001375	-12.42%	0.1291	✓	1.22
2026-07-19	oos	0.001618	0.001502	-7.19%	0.001374	-15.08%	0.0889	✓	1.22
2026-07-18	oos	0.001677	0.001548	-7.70%	0.001366	-18.55%	0.1190	✓	1.22
2026-07-17	oos	0.001787	0.001651	-7.61%	0.001397	-21.82%	0.1459	✓	1.26
2026-07-16	oos	0.001742	0.001606	-7.81%	0.001397	-19.80%	0.1245	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.001788	0.001624	-9.16%	0.00143	-20.02%	0.0929	✓	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.001712	0.001549	-9.49%	0.00143	-16.47%	0.0495	✓	1.26
2026-07-13	oos	0.001805	0.001673	-7.31%	0.001488	-17.56%	0.1435	✓	1.44
2026-07-12	oos	0.001932	0.001758	-9.02%	0.001402	-27.43%	0.2214	✓	1.44
2026-07-11	oos	0.002067	0.001876	-9.22%	0.001393	-32.61%	0.3010	✓	1.44
2026-07-10	oos	0.002167	0.001958	-9.62%	0.001395	-35.63%	0.3554	✓	1.44
2026-07-09	oos	0.001999	0.001833	-8.32%	0.00139	-30.47%	0.3131	✓	1.36
2026-07-08	oos	0.00203	0.001883	-7.25%	0.001413	-30.39%	0.3440	✓	1.36
2026-07-07	oos	0.001974	0.001826	-7.49%	0.001412	-28.47%	0.2781	✓	1.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.001988	0.001843	-7.32%	0.001415	-28.82%	0.2774	✓	1.43
2026-07-05	oos	0.0021	0.001971	-6.15%	0.001424	-32.19%	0.3356	✓	1.45
2026-07-04	oos	0.002318	0.002188	-5.59%	0.001425	-38.52%	0.4380	✓	1.50
2026-07-03	oos	0.00231	0.002198	-4.83%	0.001416	-38.70%	0.4630	✓	1.49
2026-07-02	oos	0.002346	0.002254	-3.91%	0.001404	-40.15%	0.5044	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.002523	0.002442	-3.22%	0.001401	-44.47%	0.6328	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.002781	0.002695	-3.08%	0.001424	-48.80%	0.8273	✓	1.88
2026-06-29	oos	0.003049	0.00293	-3.89%	0.001476	-51.59%	0.7974	✓	1.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.002636	0.002562	-2.82%	0.001396	-47.04%	0.7257	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.002773	0.002698	-2.71%	0.001373	-50.49%	0.7772	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.003072	0.002991	-2.65%	0.001307	-57.45%	0.9732	✓	1.71
2026-06-25	oos	0.003242	0.003163	-2.44%	0.001325	-59.13%	0.9991	✓	1.74
2026-06-24	oos	0.003936	0.003812	-3.16%	0.00129	-67.23%	1.1637	✓	1.62
2026-06-23	oos	0.006008	0.005744	-4.39%	0.001261	-79.01%	1.5539	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.006455	0.006148	-4.76%	0.001246	-80.70%	1.6290	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.006542	0.006232	-4.74%	0.001288	-80.31%	1.6271	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.006544	0.006226	-4.87%	0.00157	-76.01%	1.3929	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.006634	0.006311	-4.86%	0.001618	-75.61%	1.3800	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.006546	0.006232	-4.80%	0.001677	-74.38%	1.3427	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.006567	0.006239	-4.99%	0.001787	-72.79%	1.2418	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.006569	0.006235	-5.10%	0.001742	-73.48%	1.2465	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.006596	0.006256	-5.15%	0.001788	-72.89%	1.2286	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.006523	0.006195	-5.04%	0.001712	-73.75%	1.2750	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.006549	0.00623	-4.87%	0.001805	-72.44%	1.2046	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.00655	0.006237	-4.77%	0.001932	-70.50%	1.1752	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.006531	0.00622	-4.77%	0.002067	-68.35%	1.1049	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.006586	0.006283	-4.60%	0.002167	-67.10%	1.1073	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.006576	0.00627	-4.66%	0.001999	-69.60%	1.1669	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.006607	0.006285	-4.88%	0.00203	-69.28%	1.1169	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.006771	0.006428	-5.06%	0.001974	-70.85%	1.1810	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.006585	0.006256	-5.00%	0.001988	-69.81%	1.1969	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.006446	0.006108	-5.24%	0.0021	-67.42%	1.1087	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.006345	0.005972	-5.89%	0.002318	-63.47%	0.9350	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.006925	0.006521	-5.83%	0.00231	-66.64%	1.0138	✓	1.00