HANDL

HandlPay · Base · gru_s4

token id: #867
symbol: HANDL
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x3bbcb624cb9a1f73163a886f460f47603e5e4425
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

195

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

62.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2718

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0344

actual +0.0214

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002587	0.002529	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-20	oos	0.002568	0.002513	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-19	oos	0.002577	0.002523	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-18	oos	0.002627	0.00257	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.00268	0.002618	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.002766	0.002694	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.002896	0.002811	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-14	oos	0.002931	0.002841	-3.06%	0.002587	-11.73%	0.1064	✓	0.92
2026-10-13	oos	0.003045	0.002942	-3.40%	0.002568	-15.68%	0.1342	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.00257	0.002497	-2.87%	0.002577	+0.26%	0.0308	✗	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002744	0.002639	-3.80%	0.002627	-4.24%	0.0092	✓	0.68
2026-10-10	oos	0.002932	0.002799	-4.54%	0.00268	-8.60%	0.0284	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.003323	0.003154	-5.10%	0.002766	-16.78%	0.1212	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.003348	0.003172	-5.25%	0.002896	-13.52%	0.0954	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.003766	0.003573	-5.14%	0.002931	-22.18%	0.1819	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.004313	0.004108	-4.75%	0.003045	-29.39%	0.2790	✓	0.70
2026-10-05	oos	0.003204	0.003089	-3.57%	0.00257	-19.77%	0.1458	✓	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.002963	0.002864	-3.34%	0.002744	-7.40%	0.0124	✓	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.002505	0.00243	-3.01%	0.002932	+17.04%	0.2060	✗	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.00233	0.002263	-2.86%	0.003323	+42.65%	0.4037	✗	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.002286	0.00222	-2.89%	0.003348	+46.45%	0.4412	✗	0.80
2026-09-30	oos	0.002259	0.002197	-2.77%	0.003766	+66.72%	0.5418	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.002245	0.002182	-2.78%	0.004313	+92.12%	0.6658	✗	0.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.002244	0.002184	-2.69%	0.003204	+42.74%	0.3661	✗	0.63
2026-09-27	oos	0.002407	0.002334	-3.04%	0.002963	+23.11%	0.2240	✗	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.002653	0.002565	-3.30%	0.002505	-5.57%	0.0263	✓	0.67
2026-09-25	oos	0.002693	0.002607	-3.20%	0.00233	-13.49%	0.1151	✓	0.56
2026-09-24	oos	0.002335	0.00227	-2.77%	0.002286	-2.10%	0.0038	✓	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.002356	0.002292	-2.72%	0.002259	-4.09%	0.0086	✓	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.002528	0.002456	-2.87%	0.002245	-11.21%	0.0730	✓	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.002459	0.002397	-2.54%	0.002244	-8.73%	0.0504	✓	0.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.002342	0.002298	-1.87%	0.002407	+2.77%	0.0332	✗	0.33
2026-09-19	oos	0.002353	0.002314	-1.68%	0.002653	+12.74%	0.1237	✗	0.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.002306	0.002271	-1.52%	0.002693	+16.79%	0.1573	✗	0.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.002375	0.002327	-2.03%	0.002335	-1.66%	0.0430	✓	0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.002358	0.002309	-2.07%	0.002356	-0.11%	0.0320	✓	0.50
2026-09-15	oos	0.002162	0.002113	-2.29%	0.002528	+16.92%	0.0832	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.002293	0.002273	-0.90%	0.002459	+7.24%	0.0155	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.002153	0.002125	-1.28%	0.002342	+8.78%	0.0767	✗	0.37
2026-09-12	oos	0.002319	0.002306	-0.60%	0.002353	+1.44%	0.0000	✓	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	0.002513	0.002506	-0.26%	0.002306	-8.24%	0.1116	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.002318	0.002318	+0.01%	0.002375	+2.45%	0.0256	✓	0.61
2026-09-09	oos	0.002295	0.002334	+1.69%	0.002358	+2.75%	0.0273	✓	0.61
2026-09-08	oos	0.002464	0.002517	+2.13%	0.002162	-12.25%	0.1258	✗	0.70
2026-09-07	oos	0.00247	0.002544	+2.99%	0.002293	-7.17%	0.0965	✗	0.62
2026-09-06	oos	0.002376	0.002476	+4.19%	0.002153	-9.40%	0.1151	✗	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.002098	0.002193	+4.54%	0.002319	+10.58%	0.0737	✓	0.54
2026-09-04	oos	0.00193	0.002012	+4.26%	0.002513	+30.24%	0.2428	✓	0.65
2026-09-03	oos	0.001971	0.002067	+4.85%	0.002318	+17.58%	0.1535	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.001953	0.001993	+2.04%	0.002295	+17.50%	0.1308	✓	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.002051	0.002087	+1.78%	0.002464	+20.17%	0.1549	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.002147	0.002184	+1.71%	0.00247	+15.06%	0.1181	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.002273	0.002287	+0.62%	0.002376	+4.55%	0.0096	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.002369	0.002374	+0.23%	0.002098	-11.46%	0.1528	✗	1.42
2026-08-28	oos	0.002286	0.00228	-0.26%	0.00193	-15.60%	0.2002	✓	1.42
2026-08-27	oos	0.002201	0.002202	+0.02%	0.001971	-10.45%	0.1287	✗	1.48
2026-08-26	oos	0.002561	0.002549	-0.46%	0.001953	-23.72%	0.2314	✓	1.58
2026-08-25	oos	0.002741	0.002729	-0.46%	0.002051	-25.19%	0.2625	✓	1.59
2026-08-24	oos	0.002813	0.002799	-0.52%	0.002147	-23.68%	0.2565	✓	1.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.002679	0.00266	-0.72%	0.002273	-15.17%	0.1559	✓	1.59
2026-08-22	oos	0.002623	0.002592	-1.18%	0.002369	-9.68%	0.1141	✓	1.59
2026-08-21	oos	0.002321	0.002298	-1.00%	0.002286	-1.52%	0.0050	✓	1.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.00222	0.002177	-1.91%	0.002201	-0.83%	0.1563	✓	1.76
2026-08-19	oos	0.002071	0.002034	-1.76%	0.002561	+23.66%	0.0119	✓	1.84
2026-08-18	oos	0.002001	0.002054	+2.65%	0.002741	+36.99%	0.1214	✗	2.11
2026-08-17	oos	0.002435	0.002425	-0.40%	0.002813	+15.54%	0.2902	✓	2.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.002721	0.002691	-1.11%	0.002679	-1.54%	0.5032	✓	2.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.002724	0.002701	-0.82%	0.002623	-3.70%	0.5016	✓	2.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.002768	0.00275	-0.66%	0.002321	-16.13%	0.6850	✓	2.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.002774	0.002761	-0.48%	0.00222	-19.98%	0.5617	✓	2.44
2026-08-12	oos	0.002908	0.002879	-0.99%	0.002071	-28.79%	0.5227	✓	2.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.002851	0.002843	-0.28%	0.002001	-29.81%	0.3880	✓	2.05
2026-08-10	oos	0.002879	0.00286	-0.65%	0.002435	-15.42%	0.1790	✓	2.05
2026-08-09	oos	0.002784	0.002776	-0.29%	0.002721	-2.27%	0.0454	✗	2.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.003008	0.00295	-1.94%	0.002724	-9.45%	0.0181	✓	2.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002899	0.002871	-0.95%	0.002768	-4.52%	0.0209	✗	1.92
2026-08-06	oos	0.003063	0.003013	-1.62%	0.002774	-9.44%	0.0570	✓	1.96
2026-08-05	oos	0.00352	0.003395	-3.56%	0.002908	-17.38%	0.1182	✓	1.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00322	0.003148	-2.24%	0.002851	-11.48%	0.0834	✓	1.95
2026-08-03	oos	0.003544	0.003428	-3.29%	0.002879	-18.77%	0.1883	✓	1.98
2026-08-02	oos	0.003796	0.003646	-3.96%	0.002784	-26.65%	0.3114	✓	1.99
2026-08-01	oos	0.003897	0.003738	-4.08%	0.003008	-22.82%	0.2847	✓	2.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.004087	0.003902	-4.51%	0.002899	-29.06%	0.3623	✓	2.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.004026	0.003831	-4.82%	0.003063	-23.91%	0.2098	✓	2.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.003978	0.003791	-4.71%	0.00352	-11.53%	0.0957	✓	1.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.00384	0.003664	-4.58%	0.00322	-16.14%	0.1353	✓	1.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.004067	0.003861	-5.08%	0.003544	-12.86%	0.0785	✓	1.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.004159	0.003924	-5.63%	0.003796	-8.72%	0.0264	✓	2.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.004036	0.003795	-5.97%	0.003897	-3.44%	0.0774	✗	2.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.003914	0.003666	-6.32%	0.004087	+4.42%	0.1525	✗	2.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.004071	0.003755	-7.77%	0.004026	-1.12%	0.0810	✗	2.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.004379	0.00399	-8.88%	0.003978	-9.15%	0.0713	✓	2.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.004947	0.004471	-9.63%	0.00384	-22.37%	0.0633	✓	2.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.004109	0.003817	-7.12%	0.004067	-1.02%	0.1100	✗	1.97
2026-07-19	oos	0.004335	0.00401	-7.51%	0.004159	-4.07%	0.0163	✓	1.99
2026-07-18	oos	0.004966	0.004509	-9.21%	0.004036	-18.72%	0.0958	✓	1.92
2026-07-17	oos	0.003998	0.003823	-4.39%	0.003914	-2.12%	0.0179	✓	1.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.003851	0.003743	-2.81%	0.004071	+5.70%	0.0478	✗	1.82
2026-07-15	oos	0.003984	0.003836	-3.71%	0.004379	+9.92%	0.0962	✗	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.003652	0.00359	-1.69%	0.004947	+35.47%	0.2802	✗	1.74
2026-07-13	oos	0.003994	0.003934	-1.49%	0.004109	+2.88%	0.0486	✓	1.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.004789	0.004493	-6.17%	0.004335	-9.47%	0.0632	✓	1.87
2026-07-11	oos	0.004183	0.004046	-3.28%	0.004966	+18.73%	0.1788	✗	1.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.003775	0.003696	-2.10%	0.003998	+5.90%	0.0845	✗	1.61
2026-07-09	oos	0.003099	0.003115	+0.53%	0.003851	+24.29%	0.1979	✓	1.52
2026-07-08	oos	0.002817	0.002846	+1.02%	0.003984	+41.40%	0.2763	✓	1.54
2026-07-07	oos	0.003076	0.003024	-1.70%	0.003652	+18.71%	0.1499	✗	1.49
2026-07-06	oos	0.003946	0.003747	-5.04%	0.003994	+1.21%	0.1029	✗	1.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.004679	0.004352	-6.99%	0.004789	+2.34%	0.0923	✗	1.38
2026-07-04	oos	0.004555	0.004107	-9.83%	0.004183	-8.17%	0.0033	✓	1.38
2026-07-03	oos	0.005829	0.005291	-9.23%	0.003775	-35.23%	0.3743	✓	1.45
2026-07-02	oos	0.006024	0.005397	-10.41%	0.003099	-48.56%	0.5949	✓	1.48
2026-07-01	oos	0.00711	0.006448	-9.30%	0.002817	-60.37%	0.8900	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.007826	0.007127	-8.92%	0.003076	-60.69%	0.9818	✓	1.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.008166	0.007407	-9.28%	0.003946	-51.67%	0.7399	✓	1.78
2026-06-28	oos	0.006209	0.005666	-8.74%	0.004679	-24.64%	0.3009	✓	1.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.004459	0.004098	-8.09%	0.004555	+2.16%	0.0232	✓	1.61
2026-06-26	oos	0.003925	0.003615	-7.92%	0.005829	+48.49%	0.4116	✗	1.61
2026-06-25	oos	0.00388	0.003579	-7.74%	0.006024	+55.28%	0.4731	✗	1.62
2026-06-24	oos	0.004037	0.0037	-8.34%	0.00711	+76.11%	0.6951	✗	2.49
2026-06-23	oos	0.003414	0.003159	-7.48%	0.007826	+129.22%	1.0570	✗	2.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.00327	0.003017	-7.75%	0.008166	+149.67%	1.1326	✗	2.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.003061	0.002843	-7.14%	0.006209	+102.83%	0.9181	✗	2.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.003072	0.002803	-8.77%	0.004459	+45.13%	0.6191	✗	2.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.002581	0.002397	-7.11%	0.003925	+52.11%	0.6163	✗	2.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.002174	0.002058	-5.33%	0.00388	+78.45%	0.7449	✗	2.14
2026-06-17	oos	0.002988	0.002685	-10.13%	0.004037	+35.12%	0.5156	✗	1.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.002667	0.002327	-12.76%	0.003414	+28.02%	0.4772	✗	2.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.001445	0.001342	-7.14%	0.00327	+126.27%	0.9691	✗	2.20
2026-06-14	oos	0.001098	0.001028	-6.41%	0.003061	+178.77%	1.1728	✗	2.12
2026-06-13	oos	0.0007385	0.000721084	-2.36%	0.003072	+316.02%	1.4555	✗	1.89
2026-06-12	oos	0.0006968	0.000681475	-2.20%	0.002581	+270.35%	1.3334	✗	1.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.0006502	0.000635965	-2.19%	0.002174	+234.36%	1.2494	✗	1.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.0005672	0.000559326	-1.39%	0.002988	+426.75%	1.5911	✗	1.77
2026-06-09	oos	0.000395	0.000401465	+1.64%	0.002667	+575.14%	1.7825	✓	1.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0003471	0.000356097	+2.59%	0.001445	+316.42%	1.3055	✓	1.92
2026-06-07	oos	0.0003432	0.000352817	+2.80%	0.001098	+219.96%	1.0637	✓	1.92
2026-06-06	oos	0.0002984	0.000312619	+4.77%	0.0007385	+147.49%	0.7566	✓	1.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.00033	0.000344696	+4.45%	0.0006968	+111.15%	0.6313	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.0003641	0.00037704	+3.55%	0.0006502	+78.58%	0.5518	✓	1.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.0003851	0.000398003	+3.35%	0.0005672	+47.29%	0.4287	✓	1.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.0003871	0.000400397	+3.43%	0.000395	+2.04%	0.1362	✓	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.0005712	0.000567626	-0.63%	0.0003471	-39.23%	0.3488	✓	1.16
2026-05-31	oos	0.0006019	0.000596495	-0.90%	0.0003432	-42.98%	0.3777	✓	1.16
2026-05-30	oos	0.0006	0.000596491	-0.58%	0.0002984	-50.27%	0.4679	✓	1.17
2026-05-29	oos	0.0005629	0.000565536	+0.47%	0.00033	-41.38%	0.3273	✗	1.15
2026-05-28	oos	0.000873	0.000855386	-2.02%	0.0003641	-58.29%	0.6988	✓	1.10
2026-05-27	oos	0.000875	0.000860286	-1.68%	0.0003851	-55.99%	0.6387	✓	1.11
2026-05-26	oos	0.0009405	0.000922631	-1.90%	0.0003871	-58.84%	0.7310	✓	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.000918	0.000900579	-1.90%	0.0005712	-37.78%	0.3654	✓	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.000931	0.000908055	-2.46%	0.0006019	-35.35%	0.3603	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.0009455	0.000919468	-2.75%	0.0006	-36.54%	0.3837	✓	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.000992	0.000962199	-3.00%	0.0005629	-43.26%	0.5034	✓	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.001069	0.001033	-3.38%	0.000873	-18.33%	0.1084	✓	1.12
2026-05-20	oos	0.000905	0.000876708	-3.13%	0.000875	-3.31%	0.0449	✗	1.12
2026-05-19	oos	0.000854	0.000827234	-3.13%	0.0009405	+10.13%	0.1419	✗	1.10
2026-05-18	oos	0.000854	0.00082612	-3.26%	0.000918	+7.49%	0.1011	✗	1.10
2026-05-17	oos	0.000867	0.000837769	-3.37%	0.000931	+7.38%	0.1117	✗	1.10
2026-05-16	oos	0.000918	0.000885365	-3.56%	0.0009455	+3.00%	0.0861	✗	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.00116	0.001112	-4.16%	0.000992	-14.48%	0.0710	✓	0.92
2026-05-14	oos	0.0008585	0.000827444	-3.62%	0.001069	+24.52%	0.3217	✗	1.47
2026-05-13	oos	0.000924	0.000889644	-3.72%	0.000905	-2.06%	0.0537	✗	1.58
2026-05-12	oos	0.000926	0.000891213	-3.76%	0.000854	-7.78%	0.0341	✓	1.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.000965	0.000929746	-3.65%	0.000854	-11.50%	0.0129	✓	1.62
2026-05-10	oos	0.000975	0.000938462	-3.75%	0.000867	-11.08%	0.0189	✓	1.63
2026-05-09	oos	0.001147	0.001102	-3.90%	0.000918	-19.97%	0.1245	✓	1.82
2026-05-08	oos	0.001138	0.001092	-4.03%	0.00116	+1.93%	0.0861	✗	1.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.0009895	0.000948489	-4.14%	0.0008585	-13.24%	0.1239	✓	1.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.00103	0.000993058	-3.63%	0.000924	-10.33%	0.0230	✓	1.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.001073	0.00103	-3.92%	0.000926	-13.66%	0.0973	✓	1.84
2026-05-04	oos	0.001025	0.000981095	-4.28%	0.000965	-5.85%	0.0586	✓	1.81
2026-05-03	oos	0.001002	0.000956345	-4.56%	0.000975	-2.69%	0.0624	✓	1.80
2026-05-02	oos	0.0009	0.000858561	-4.60%	0.001147	+27.44%	0.2441	✗	1.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.0011	0.001051	-4.47%	0.001138	+3.45%	0.0333	✓	1.88
2026-04-30	oos	0.001102	0.001049	-4.77%	0.0009895	-10.21%	0.1503	✓	1.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.001077	0.001024	-4.96%	0.00103	-4.32%	0.1324	✓	1.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.00107	0.00102	-4.66%	0.001073	+0.23%	0.0637	✓	1.95
2026-04-27	oos	0.001478	0.001399	-5.34%	0.001025	-30.65%	0.3625	✓	1.62
2026-04-26	oos	0.001527	0.001431	-6.26%	0.001002	-34.38%	0.3543	✓	1.63
2026-04-25	oos	0.001183	0.001108	-6.30%	0.0009	-23.92%	0.2273	✓	1.44
2026-04-24	oos	0.000974	0.000925373	-4.99%	0.0011	+12.94%	0.1586	✗	1.44
2026-04-23	oos	0.000981	0.000930047	-5.19%	0.001102	+12.33%	0.1952	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.00115	0.001087	-5.48%	0.001077	-6.35%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.001214	0.001142	-5.94%	0.00107	-11.86%	0.0646	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.001189	0.001116	-6.16%	0.001478	+24.31%	0.2616	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.00119	0.001116	-6.25%	0.001527	+28.32%	0.2502	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.001277	0.001196	-6.35%	0.001183	-7.36%	0.0358	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.001192	0.001118	-6.17%	0.000974	-18.29%	0.1430	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.001225	0.001145	-6.50%	0.000981	-19.92%	0.1956	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.001178	0.001101	-6.54%	0.00115	-2.38%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.001206	0.001126	-6.65%	0.001214	+0.66%	0.0466	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.001043	0.000976655	-6.36%	0.001189	+14.00%	0.1779	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.001063	0.001002	-5.74%	0.00119	+11.89%	0.1291	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.001047	0.000977233	-6.66%	0.001277	+21.97%	0.2319	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.001208	0.001122	-7.15%	0.001192	-1.32%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.001066	0.000999249	-6.26%	0.001225	+14.92%	0.1579	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.001055	0.000991291	-6.04%	0.001178	+11.66%	0.1212	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.001057	0.000988388	-6.49%	0.001206	+14.10%	0.1679	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.001048	0.000991283	-5.41%	0.001043	-0.48%	0.0272	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.001042	0.000986168	-5.36%	0.001063	+2.06%	0.0504	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.00099	0.000948352	-4.21%	0.001047	+5.76%	0.0164	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.001044	0.00099951	-4.26%	0.001208	+15.71%	0.1031	✗	1.00