HANDL

HandlPay · Base · gru_s4

token id: #867
symbol: HANDL
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x3bbcb624cb9a1f73163a886f460f47603e5e4425
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

201

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

53.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0854

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0074

actual +0.0031

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002587	0.002579	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-20	oos	0.002568	0.002561	-0.28%	0.002587	+0.75%	0.0125	✗	0.74
2026-10-19	oos	0.002577	0.00257	-0.27%	0.002568	-0.36%	0.0112	✓	0.77
2026-10-18	oos	0.002627	0.00262	-0.30%	0.002577	-1.91%	0.0146	✓	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.00268	0.002671	-0.34%	0.002627	-1.96%	0.0229	✓	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.002766	0.002754	-0.42%	0.00268	-3.10%	0.0261	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.002896	0.002881	-0.50%	0.002766	-4.48%	0.0337	✓	0.92
2026-10-14	oos	0.002931	0.002915	-0.55%	0.002896	-1.21%	0.0130	✓	0.92
2026-10-13	oos	0.003045	0.003026	-0.65%	0.002931	-3.75%	0.0145	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.00257	0.00256	-0.39%	0.003045	+18.48%	0.1596	✗	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002744	0.002728	-0.57%	0.00257	-6.31%	0.0436	✓	0.68
2026-10-10	oos	0.002932	0.002911	-0.71%	0.002744	-6.43%	0.0667	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.003323	0.003296	-0.84%	0.002932	-11.78%	0.1204	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.003348	0.003319	-0.86%	0.003323	-0.74%	0.0068	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.003766	0.003734	-0.87%	0.003348	-11.10%	0.0941	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.004313	0.00427	-1.00%	0.003766	-12.67%	0.1065	✓	0.70
2026-10-05	oos	0.003204	0.003184	-0.63%	0.004313	+34.62%	0.3055	✗	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.002963	0.002945	-0.59%	0.003204	+8.13%	0.0921	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.002505	0.002493	-0.48%	0.002963	+18.27%	0.1556	✗	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.00233	0.00232	-0.42%	0.002505	+7.52%	0.0744	✗	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.002286	0.002277	-0.41%	0.00233	+1.91%	0.0263	✗	0.80
2026-09-30	oos	0.002259	0.002251	-0.37%	0.002286	+1.20%	0.0036	✓	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.002245	0.002237	-0.34%	0.002259	+0.63%	0.0104	✗	0.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.002244	0.002238	-0.30%	0.002245	+0.02%	0.0019	✓	0.63
2026-09-27	oos	0.002407	0.002398	-0.38%	0.002244	-6.74%	0.0586	✓	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.002653	0.00264	-0.46%	0.002407	-9.28%	0.0931	✓	0.67
2026-09-25	oos	0.002693	0.00268	-0.48%	0.002653	-1.49%	0.0124	✓	0.56
2026-09-24	oos	0.002335	0.002327	-0.33%	0.002693	+15.32%	0.1479	✗	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.002356	0.002348	-0.31%	0.002335	-0.87%	0.0056	✓	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.002528	0.002519	-0.37%	0.002356	-6.83%	0.0552	✓	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.002459	0.002452	-0.30%	0.002528	+2.81%	0.0326	✗	0.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.002342	0.002339	-0.14%	0.002459	+5.01%	0.0291	✗	0.33
2026-09-19	oos	0.002353	0.00235	-0.11%	0.002342	-0.47%	0.0033	✓	0.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.002306	0.002304	-0.07%	0.002353	+2.04%	0.0194	✗	0.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.002375	0.002369	-0.24%	0.002306	-2.90%	0.0539	✓	0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.002358	0.002352	-0.27%	0.002375	+0.70%	0.0084	✗	0.50
2026-09-15	oos	0.002162	0.002157	-0.27%	0.002358	+9.05%	0.0839	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.002293	0.002294	+0.03%	0.002162	-5.70%	0.0382	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.002153	0.002152	-0.03%	0.002293	+6.52%	0.0569	✗	0.37
2026-09-12	oos	0.002319	0.002322	+0.10%	0.002153	-7.18%	0.0731	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	0.002513	0.002516	+0.13%	0.002319	-7.70%	0.0818	✗	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.002318	0.002323	+0.20%	0.002513	+8.41%	0.0734	✓	0.61
2026-09-09	oos	0.002295	0.002308	+0.55%	0.002318	+1.00%	0.0183	✓	0.61
2026-09-08	oos	0.002464	0.002479	+0.59%	0.002295	-6.87%	0.0756	✗	0.70
2026-09-07	oos	0.00247	0.002487	+0.67%	0.002464	-0.24%	0.0039	✓	0.62
2026-09-06	oos	0.002376	0.002397	+0.87%	0.00247	+3.96%	0.0387	✓	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.002098	0.002117	+0.91%	0.002376	+13.28%	0.1123	✓	0.54
2026-09-04	oos	0.00193	0.001946	+0.85%	0.002098	+8.71%	0.0738	✓	0.65
2026-09-03	oos	0.001971	0.00199	+0.92%	0.00193	-2.12%	0.0178	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.001953	0.001962	+0.44%	0.001971	+0.93%	0.0363	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.002051	0.002058	+0.37%	0.001953	-4.75%	0.0515	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.002147	0.002155	+0.36%	0.002051	-4.48%	0.0376	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.002273	0.002276	+0.15%	0.002147	-5.54%	0.0747	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.002369	0.002371	+0.07%	0.002273	-4.07%	0.0318	✗	1.42
2026-08-28	oos	0.002286	0.002287	+0.03%	0.002369	+3.62%	0.0281	✓	1.42
2026-08-27	oos	0.002201	0.002204	+0.11%	0.002286	+3.86%	0.0824	✓	1.48
2026-08-26	oos	0.002561	0.002559	-0.05%	0.002201	-14.04%	0.1755	✓	1.58
2026-08-25	oos	0.002741	0.002737	-0.16%	0.002561	-6.58%	0.0766	✓	1.59
2026-08-24	oos	0.002813	0.002802	-0.40%	0.002741	-2.56%	0.0125	✓	1.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.002679	0.002666	-0.48%	0.002813	+5.00%	0.0281	✗	1.59
2026-08-22	oos	0.002623	0.002602	-0.79%	0.002679	+2.15%	0.0153	✗	1.59
2026-08-21	oos	0.002321	0.002303	-0.80%	0.002623	+12.98%	0.1570	✗	1.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.00222	0.002205	-0.68%	0.002321	+4.58%	0.0722	✓	1.76
2026-08-19	oos	0.002071	0.002067	-0.18%	0.00222	+7.20%	0.0248	✓	1.84
2026-08-18	oos	0.002001	0.00202	+0.94%	0.002071	+3.48%	0.1209	✗	2.11
2026-08-17	oos	0.002435	0.002442	+0.28%	0.002001	-17.82%	0.2058	✗	2.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.002721	0.002723	+0.06%	0.002435	-10.52%	0.1722	✗	2.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.002724	0.002727	+0.13%	0.002721	-0.10%	0.0045	✓	2.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.002768	0.002772	+0.17%	0.002724	-1.59%	0.0194	✗	2.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.002774	0.00278	+0.21%	0.002768	-0.22%	0.0130	✓	2.44
2026-08-12	oos	0.002908	0.002909	+0.05%	0.002774	-4.61%	0.0481	✗	2.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.002851	0.002857	+0.22%	0.002908	+2.01%	0.0216	✓	2.05
2026-08-10	oos	0.002879	0.002881	+0.09%	0.002851	-0.98%	0.0015	✓	2.05
2026-08-09	oos	0.002784	0.002791	+0.23%	0.002879	+3.40%	0.0613	✓	2.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.003008	0.003	-0.25%	0.002784	-7.44%	0.0728	✓	2.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002899	0.002901	+0.07%	0.003008	+3.76%	0.0357	✓	1.92
2026-08-06	oos	0.003063	0.00306	-0.09%	0.002899	-5.36%	0.0731	✓	1.96
2026-08-05	oos	0.00352	0.003496	-0.67%	0.003063	-12.98%	0.1221	✓	1.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00322	0.003213	-0.22%	0.00352	+9.30%	0.0743	✗	1.95
2026-08-03	oos	0.003544	0.003527	-0.49%	0.00322	-9.13%	0.1090	✓	1.98
2026-08-02	oos	0.003796	0.003771	-0.66%	0.003544	-6.63%	0.0610	✓	1.99
2026-08-01	oos	0.003897	0.003871	-0.69%	0.003796	-2.60%	0.0428	✓	2.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.004087	0.004053	-0.81%	0.003897	-4.63%	0.0373	✓	2.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.004026	0.00399	-0.89%	0.004087	+1.52%	0.0834	✗	2.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.003978	0.003944	-0.87%	0.004026	+1.19%	0.0045	✓	1.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.00384	0.00381	-0.80%	0.003978	+3.60%	0.0418	✗	1.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.004067	0.004029	-0.94%	0.00384	-5.58%	0.0527	✓	1.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.004159	0.004113	-1.11%	0.004067	-2.20%	0.0423	✗	2.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.004036	0.00399	-1.14%	0.004159	+3.03%	0.0074	✓	2.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.003914	0.00387	-1.12%	0.004036	+3.14%	0.0348	✗	2.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.004071	0.004011	-1.49%	0.003914	-3.87%	0.0089	✓	2.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.004379	0.0043	-1.81%	0.004071	-7.03%	0.0199	✓	2.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.004947	0.004826	-2.44%	0.004379	-11.48%	0.0832	✓	2.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.004109	0.004053	-1.38%	0.004947	+20.39%	0.1606	✗	1.97
2026-07-19	oos	0.004335	0.004267	-1.58%	0.004109	-5.21%	0.0539	✓	1.99
2026-07-18	oos	0.004966	0.004833	-2.68%	0.004335	-12.70%	0.1053	✓	1.92
2026-07-17	oos	0.003998	0.003962	-0.90%	0.004966	+24.21%	0.1996	✗	1.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.003851	0.003835	-0.43%	0.003998	+3.81%	0.0382	✗	1.82
2026-07-15	oos	0.003984	0.003952	-0.80%	0.003851	-3.33%	0.0003	✓	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.003652	0.003647	-0.13%	0.003984	+9.10%	0.0957	✗	1.74
2026-07-13	oos	0.003994	0.003988	-0.16%	0.003652	-8.57%	0.1733	✓	1.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.004789	0.004688	-2.09%	0.003994	-16.59%	0.1165	✓	1.87
2026-07-11	oos	0.004183	0.004135	-1.15%	0.004789	+14.48%	0.1477	✗	1.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.003775	0.003743	-0.86%	0.004183	+10.79%	0.1201	✗	1.61
2026-07-09	oos	0.003099	0.003102	+0.10%	0.003775	+21.83%	0.1738	✓	1.52
2026-07-08	oos	0.002817	0.00283	+0.44%	0.003099	+9.99%	0.0678	✓	1.54
2026-07-07	oos	0.003076	0.003071	-0.16%	0.002817	-8.41%	0.0604	✓	1.49
2026-07-06	oos	0.003946	0.003904	-1.06%	0.003076	-22.05%	0.2232	✓	1.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.004679	0.00461	-1.47%	0.003946	-15.66%	0.1645	✓	1.38
2026-07-04	oos	0.004555	0.004467	-1.93%	0.004679	+2.72%	0.0355	✗	1.38
2026-07-03	oos	0.005829	0.005725	-1.78%	0.004555	-21.85%	0.2417	✓	1.45
2026-07-02	oos	0.006024	0.005904	-1.99%	0.005829	-3.24%	0.0376	✓	1.48
2026-07-01	oos	0.00711	0.006981	-1.80%	0.006024	-15.27%	0.1892	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.007826	0.007674	-1.94%	0.00711	-9.15%	0.1200	✓	1.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.008166	0.007918	-3.04%	0.007826	-4.16%	0.0375	✗	1.78
2026-06-28	oos	0.006209	0.006045	-2.64%	0.008166	+31.51%	0.2819	✗	1.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.004459	0.004375	-1.87%	0.006209	+39.25%	0.3624	✗	1.61
2026-06-26	oos	0.003925	0.003857	-1.74%	0.004459	+13.59%	0.1468	✗	1.61
2026-06-25	oos	0.00388	0.00381	-1.79%	0.003925	+1.18%	0.0217	✗	1.62
2026-06-24	oos	0.004037	0.003932	-2.61%	0.00388	-3.90%	0.0395	✗	2.49
2026-06-23	oos	0.003414	0.003343	-2.07%	0.004037	+18.25%	0.2477	✗	2.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.00327	0.003189	-2.50%	0.003414	+4.39%	0.1146	✗	2.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.003061	0.002991	-2.29%	0.00327	+6.84%	0.0642	✗	2.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.003072	0.002957	-3.76%	0.003061	-0.36%	0.0694	✗	2.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.002581	0.002509	-2.76%	0.003072	+19.05%	0.1768	✗	2.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.002174	0.002137	-1.71%	0.002581	+18.70%	0.1685	✗	2.14
2026-06-17	oos	0.002988	0.002835	-5.11%	0.002174	-27.23%	0.2174	✓	1.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.002667	0.002477	-7.11%	0.002988	+12.03%	0.2238	✗	2.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.001445	0.001393	-3.62%	0.002667	+84.50%	0.6714	✗	2.20
2026-06-14	oos	0.001098	0.001061	-3.34%	0.001445	+31.63%	0.2905	✗	2.12
2026-06-13	oos	0.0007385	0.000731782	-0.91%	0.001098	+48.69%	0.3688	✗	1.89
2026-06-12	oos	0.0006968	0.00069044	-0.91%	0.0007385	+5.98%	0.0412	✗	1.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.0006502	0.000643426	-1.04%	0.0006968	+7.17%	0.0804	✗	1.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.0005672	0.000562368	-0.85%	0.0006502	+14.63%	0.0851	✗	1.77
2026-06-09	oos	0.000395	0.000396545	+0.39%	0.0005672	+43.59%	0.3649	✓	1.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0003471	0.000349516	+0.70%	0.000395	+13.80%	0.1647	✓	1.92
2026-06-07	oos	0.0003432	0.000345719	+0.73%	0.0003471	+1.14%	0.0113	✓	1.92
2026-06-06	oos	0.0002984	0.000301688	+1.10%	0.0003432	+15.01%	0.0577	✓	1.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.00033	0.000333453	+1.05%	0.0002984	-9.58%	0.1057	✗	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.0003641	0.000367403	+0.91%	0.00033	-9.37%	0.0272	✗	1.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.0003851	0.000388471	+0.88%	0.0003641	-5.45%	0.0582	✗	1.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.0003871	0.000390677	+0.92%	0.0003851	-0.52%	0.0630	✓	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.0005712	0.000571215	+0.00%	0.0003871	-32.23%	0.3105	✗	1.16
2026-05-31	oos	0.0006019	0.000601456	-0.07%	0.0005712	-5.10%	0.0153	✓	1.16
2026-05-30	oos	0.0006	0.000600258	+0.04%	0.0006019	+0.32%	0.0058	✓	1.17
2026-05-29	oos	0.0005629	0.000564899	+0.36%	0.0006	+6.59%	0.0540	✓	1.15
2026-05-28	oos	0.000873	0.000867831	-0.59%	0.0005629	-35.52%	0.4307	✓	1.10
2026-05-27	oos	0.000875	0.000873536	-0.17%	0.000873	-0.23%	0.0114	✗	1.11
2026-05-26	oos	0.0009405	0.000938358	-0.23%	0.000875	-6.96%	0.0484	✓	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.000918	0.000915932	-0.23%	0.0009405	+2.45%	0.0474	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.000931	0.000927988	-0.32%	0.000918	-1.40%	0.0148	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.0009455	0.000941808	-0.39%	0.000931	-1.53%	0.0163	✓	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.000992	0.000987254	-0.48%	0.0009455	-4.69%	0.0618	✓	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.001069	0.001062	-0.70%	0.000992	-7.20%	0.0370	✓	1.12
2026-05-20	oos	0.000905	0.000900348	-0.51%	0.001069	+18.12%	0.1707	✗	1.12
2026-05-19	oos	0.000854	0.000849383	-0.54%	0.000905	+5.97%	0.0533	✗	1.10
2026-05-18	oos	0.000854	0.000849655	-0.51%	0.000854	+0.00%	0.0076	✗	1.10
2026-05-17	oos	0.000867	0.00086264	-0.50%	0.000854	-1.50%	0.0034	✓	1.10
2026-05-16	oos	0.000918	0.000912896	-0.56%	0.000867	-5.56%	0.0419	✓	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.00116	0.001147	-1.10%	0.000918	-20.86%	0.2118	✓	0.92
2026-05-14	oos	0.0008585	0.000853673	-0.56%	0.00116	+35.12%	0.3438	✗	1.47
2026-05-13	oos	0.000924	0.000918661	-0.58%	0.0008585	-7.09%	0.1031	✓	1.58
2026-05-12	oos	0.000926	0.000920892	-0.55%	0.000924	-0.22%	0.0277	✗	1.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.000965	0.000959859	-0.53%	0.000926	-4.04%	0.0110	✓	1.62
2026-05-10	oos	0.000975	0.000969668	-0.55%	0.000965	-1.03%	0.0046	✓	1.63
2026-05-09	oos	0.001147	0.001139	-0.66%	0.000975	-15.00%	0.1904	✓	1.82
2026-05-08	oos	0.001138	0.001129	-0.76%	0.001147	+0.79%	0.0050	✓	1.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.0009895	0.000982871	-0.67%	0.001138	+15.01%	0.1424	✗	1.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.00103	0.001025	-0.58%	0.0009895	-3.98%	0.0022	✓	1.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.001073	0.001064	-0.77%	0.00103	-3.92%	0.0442	✓	1.84
2026-05-04	oos	0.001025	0.001017	-0.80%	0.001073	+4.63%	0.0295	✗	1.81
2026-05-03	oos	0.001002	0.00099309	-0.89%	0.001025	+2.30%	0.0022	✓	1.80
2026-05-02	oos	0.0009	0.00089309	-0.77%	0.001002	+11.33%	0.1180	✗	1.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.0011	0.00109	-0.90%	0.0009	-18.18%	0.2024	✓	1.88
2026-04-30	oos	0.001102	0.00109	-1.06%	0.0011	-0.18%	0.0394	✓	1.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.001077	0.001065	-1.15%	0.001102	+2.32%	0.0205	✗	1.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.00107	0.001061	-0.85%	0.001077	+0.65%	0.0296	✗	1.95
2026-04-27	oos	0.001478	0.001451	-1.79%	0.00107	-27.60%	0.2828	✓	1.62
2026-04-26	oos	0.001527	0.001487	-2.62%	0.001478	-3.21%	0.0213	✓	1.63
2026-04-25	oos	0.001183	0.001157	-2.24%	0.001527	+29.08%	0.2591	✗	1.44
2026-04-24	oos	0.000974	0.000965794	-0.84%	0.001183	+21.46%	0.1993	✗	1.44
2026-04-23	oos	0.000981	0.000972545	-0.86%	0.000974	-0.71%	0.0120	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.00115	0.001139	-0.96%	0.000981	-14.70%	0.1502	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.001214	0.001201	-1.10%	0.00115	-5.27%	0.0672	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.001189	0.001175	-1.17%	0.001214	+2.10%	0.0263	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.00119	0.001176	-1.16%	0.001189	-0.08%	0.0164	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.001277	0.001261	-1.23%	0.00119	-6.81%	0.0326	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.001192	0.001178	-1.18%	0.001277	+7.13%	0.0986	✗	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.001225	0.001209	-1.29%	0.001192	-2.69%	0.0398	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.001178	0.001162	-1.35%	0.001225	+3.99%	0.0483	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.001206	0.001188	-1.48%	0.001178	-2.32%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.001043	0.001029	-1.30%	0.001206	+15.63%	0.1619	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.001063	0.001051	-1.15%	0.001043	-1.93%	0.0587	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.001047	0.001033	-1.34%	0.001063	+1.58%	0.0615	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.001208	0.001187	-1.70%	0.001047	-13.33%	0.1271	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.001066	0.001052	-1.35%	0.001208	+13.32%	0.1220	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.001055	0.001042	-1.27%	0.001066	+1.04%	0.0132	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.001057	0.001042	-1.42%	0.001055	-0.19%	0.0239	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.001048	0.001036	-1.18%	0.001057	+0.86%	0.0230	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.001042	0.00103	-1.19%	0.001048	+0.58%	0.0199	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.00099	0.000980856	-0.92%	0.001042	+5.25%	0.0353	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.001044	0.001032	-1.11%	0.00099	-5.17%	0.0469	✓	1.00