HAJIMI

? · · gru_s4

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 516

Track record at +1d

assessed

168

of 172 predictions shown

direction hit

53.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0699

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0042

actual +0.0060

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.020435	0.020405	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.020565	-0.19%	0.020435	-0.83%	0.0034	✓	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019802	-0.04%	0.020605	+4.01%	0.0269	✗	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.019192	+0.06%	0.01981	+3.28%	0.0337	✓	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.020006	+0.03%	0.01918	-4.10%	0.0497	✗	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.021516	-0.11%	0.02	-7.15%	0.0716	✓	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.02144	-0.09%	0.02154	+0.37%	0.0122	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.021848	-0.05%	0.02146	-1.83%	0.0247	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.024997	-0.39%	0.02186	-12.89%	0.1180	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025777	-0.36%	0.025095	-3.00%	0.0415	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027896	-0.62%	0.02587	-7.84%	0.0563	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.028567	-0.66%	0.02807	-2.38%	0.0251	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.028058	-0.61%	0.028755	+1.86%	0.0210	✗	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.027893	-0.56%	0.02823	+0.64%	0.0038	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.027893	-0.67%	0.02805	-0.11%	0.0221	✗	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.02759	-0.75%	0.02808	+1.01%	0.0447	✗	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.025484	-0.51%	0.0278	+8.53%	0.0894	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.028884	-0.78%	0.025615	-12.01%	0.1113	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.030249	-0.78%	0.02911	-4.51%	0.0590	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.030496	-0.78%	0.030485	-0.81%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.032762	-0.90%	0.030735	-7.03%	0.0598	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.030746	-0.74%	0.03306	+6.73%	0.0572	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.033535	-0.87%	0.030975	-8.44%	0.0784	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.034041	-0.90%	0.03383	-1.51%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.033807	-0.95%	0.03435	+0.64%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.034238	-0.96%	0.03413	-1.27%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.03393	-0.94%	0.03457	+0.93%	0.0149	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.033507	-0.93%	0.03425	+1.27%	0.0254	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.035142	-0.95%	0.03382	-4.68%	0.0384	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.039386	-1.16%	0.03548	-10.97%	0.0831	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.033632	-0.89%	0.03985	+17.43%	0.1743	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.034343	-0.73%	0.033935	-1.91%	0.0768	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.033043	-0.64%	0.034595	+4.03%	0.0468	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.034561	-0.69%	0.033255	-4.44%	0.0429	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.033389	-0.36%	0.0348	+3.85%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.030609	-0.07%	0.03351	+9.40%	0.0879	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.033322	-0.17%	0.03063	-8.24%	0.0916	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.013268	+0.10%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.013015	+0.11%	0.013255	+1.96%	0.0942	✓	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.012502	+0.17%	0.013	+4.17%	0.0958	✓	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.013014	+0.11%	0.01248	-4.00%	0.0104	✗	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.012658	+0.15%	0.013	+2.85%	0.0006	✓	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013488	+0.06%	0.01264	-6.23%	0.1295	✗	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012384	+0.20%	0.01348	+9.06%	0.0393	✓	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.012957	+0.13%	0.01236	-4.48%	0.0459	✗	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.012057	+0.31%	0.01294	+7.65%	0.0433	✗	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.012642	+0.25%	0.01202	-4.68%	0.0374	✗	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.01486	-0.07%	0.01261	-15.20%	0.0921	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.013728	+0.06%	0.01487	+8.38%	0.0923	✓	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.014409	-0.01%	0.01372	-4.79%	0.1977	✓	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.012291	+0.42%	0.01441	+17.73%	0.1702	✓	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.013321	+0.15%	0.01224	-7.97%	0.0902	✓	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.013715	+0.11%	0.0133	-2.92%	0.0163	✗	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013733	+0.02%	0.0137	-0.22%	0.1704	✓	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.015416	-0.41%	0.01373	-11.30%	0.2494	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.01777	-0.84%	0.01548	-13.62%	0.0321	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.016403	-0.89%	0.01792	+8.28%	0.1030	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.013603	-0.49%	0.01655	+21.07%	0.1667	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.014254	-0.60%	0.01367	-4.67%	0.0312	✓	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.014083	-0.61%	0.01434	+1.20%	0.0771	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.014524	-0.73%	0.01417	-3.14%	0.0883	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.014574	-0.79%	0.01463	-0.41%	0.1127	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.015367	-0.86%	0.01469	-5.23%	0.0659	✓	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.016465	-0.93%	0.0155	-6.74%	0.0856	✓	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.01575	-0.94%	0.01662	+4.53%	0.0422	✓	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.017859	-1.06%	0.0159	-11.91%	0.0541	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.017695	-1.09%	0.01805	+0.89%	0.0142	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.017785	-1.09%	0.01789	-0.50%	0.0518	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.019575	-1.14%	0.01798	-9.19%	0.0707	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.019247	-1.25%	0.0198	+1.59%	0.0343	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.014933	-0.84%	0.01949	+29.42%	0.2753	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014609	-0.82%	0.01506	+2.24%	0.0425	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.017263	-1.92%	0.01473	-16.31%	0.1334	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.011404	-0.40%	0.0176	+53.71%	0.4116	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.012058	-0.51%	0.01145	-5.53%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012257	-0.51%	0.01212	-1.62%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.013971	-0.71%	0.01232	-12.44%	0.1200	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.012371	-0.47%	0.01407	+13.19%	0.1097	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.013029	-0.54%	0.01243	-5.11%	0.0529	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.012723	-0.45%	0.0131	+2.50%	0.0269	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.013655	-0.47%	0.01278	-6.85%	0.0485	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.01407	-0.50%	0.01372	-2.97%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014614	-0.59%	0.01414	-3.81%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.014269	-0.64%	0.0147	+2.37%	0.0134	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.015479	-0.90%	0.01436	-8.07%	0.0735	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.013376	-0.70%	0.01562	+15.96%	0.1494	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.013085	-0.72%	0.01347	+2.20%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.012381	-0.63%	0.01318	+5.78%	0.0552	✗	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.012383	-0.69%	0.01246	-0.08%	0.0136	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.013161	-0.75%	0.01247	-5.96%	0.0403	✓	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.020899	+0.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.019253	+0.23%	0.02087	+8.64%	0.0162	✓	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.016631	+0.37%	0.01921	+15.93%	0.1623	✓	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.016887	+0.34%	0.01657	-1.54%	0.0185	✓	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.01787	+0.28%	0.01683	-5.56%	0.0335	✗	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.019556	+0.19%	0.01782	-8.71%	0.0893	✗	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.016187	+0.54%	0.01952	+21.24%	0.1667	✓	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.016876	+0.51%	0.0161	-4.11%	0.0215	✗	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.014602	+1.33%	0.01679	+16.52%	0.0274	✗	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.019761	+0.46%	0.01441	-26.74%	0.1567	✗	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.021143	+0.40%	0.01967	-6.60%	0.0298	✗	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.024444	+0.26%	0.02106	-13.62%	0.0961	✗	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.025593	+0.33%	0.02438	-4.43%	0.0810	✗	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.028435	+0.16%	0.02551	-10.14%	0.0777	✗	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028776	-0.05%	0.02839	-1.39%	0.0879	✗	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.039964	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.041253	-0.59%	0.04019	-3.16%	0.0027	✓	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.042005	-0.63%	0.0415	-1.82%	0.0059	✓	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.040018	-0.60%	0.04227	+4.99%	0.0561	✗	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.042201	-0.63%	0.04026	-5.20%	0.0261	✓	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.040076	-0.63%	0.04247	+5.31%	0.0341	✗	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.035973	-0.55%	0.04033	+11.50%	0.0505	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.037902	-0.60%	0.03617	-5.14%	0.0517	✓	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.035513	-0.55%	0.03813	+6.78%	0.0633	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.035406	-0.60%	0.03571	+0.25%	0.0108	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.035927	-0.67%	0.03562	-1.52%	0.0006	✓	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.036319	-0.71%	0.03617	-1.12%	0.0002	✓	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.040595	-0.77%	0.03658	-10.58%	0.0690	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.042207	-0.76%	0.04091	-3.81%	0.0291	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.041577	-0.82%	0.04253	+1.46%	0.0124	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.036094	-0.68%	0.04192	+15.35%	0.1367	✗	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.031477	-0.55%	0.03634	+14.82%	0.1346	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.02791	-0.39%	0.03165	+12.96%	0.1091	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.028787	-0.46%	0.02802	-3.11%	0.0447	✓	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026913	-0.36%	0.02892	+7.07%	0.0850	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.027848	-0.37%	0.02701	-3.36%	0.0500	✓	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.028411	-0.38%	0.02795	-2.00%	0.0048	✓	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029952	-0.42%	0.02852	-5.19%	0.0501	✓	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.030353	-0.42%	0.03008	-1.31%	0.0169	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.032319	-0.46%	0.03048	-6.13%	0.0605	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.032209	-0.47%	0.03247	+0.34%	0.0149	✗	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.03213	-0.46%	0.03236	+0.25%	0.0043	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.033026	-0.50%	0.03228	-2.74%	0.0055	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.036766	-0.55%	0.03319	-10.22%	0.1010	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.035542	-0.53%	0.03697	+3.47%	0.0345	✗	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.032936	-0.46%	0.03573	+7.98%	0.0779	✗	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.031384	-0.40%	0.03309	+5.01%	0.0116	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.0321	-0.47%	0.03151	-2.29%	0.0067	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.028021	-0.35%	0.03225	+14.69%	0.1680	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.028055	-0.34%	0.02812	-0.11%	0.0223	✓	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.026705	-0.32%	0.02815	+5.08%	0.0836	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.029055	-0.40%	0.02679	-8.16%	0.0467	✓	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.029705	-0.42%	0.02917	-2.21%	0.0178	✓	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.029308	-0.48%	0.02983	+1.29%	0.0551	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.024342	-0.32%	0.02945	+20.60%	0.1825	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.024395	-0.35%	0.02442	-0.25%	0.0113	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.024007	-0.35%	0.02448	+1.62%	0.0135	✓	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.022378	-0.28%	0.02409	+7.35%	0.0696	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.021508	-0.19%	0.02244	+4.13%	0.0239	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.022651	-0.22%	0.02155	-5.07%	0.0485	✓	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.022952	-0.25%	0.0227	-1.35%	0.0343	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.024897	-0.29%	0.02301	-7.85%	0.0641	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.026054	-0.29%	0.02497	-4.44%	0.0657	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.023199	-0.13%	0.02613	+12.48%	0.0623	✗	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026709	-0.26%	0.02323	-13.26%	0.0933	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.026234	-0.25%	0.02678	+1.83%	0.0256	✗	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.028703	-0.37%	0.0263	-8.71%	0.0866	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.024172	-0.24%	0.02881	+18.90%	0.1801	✗	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.024899	-0.29%	0.02423	-2.96%	0.0365	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.022599	-0.18%	0.02497	+10.29%	0.0644	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021678	-0.15%	0.02264	+4.28%	0.0542	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.022566	-0.15%	0.02171	-3.94%	0.0553	✓	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.022656	-0.10%	0.0226	-0.35%	0.0273	✓	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.026659	-0.45%	0.02268	-15.31%	0.1571	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.02091	-0.05%	0.02678	+28.01%	0.2645	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.019401	-0.20%	0.02092	+7.61%	0.1307	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.021326	-0.34%	0.01944	-9.16%	0.0768	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.023082	-0.29%	0.0214	-7.56%	0.0845	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.031358	-0.48%	0.02315	-26.53%	0.2811	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.036128	-1.67%	0.03151	-14.24%	0.1224	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.027226	-0.74%	0.03674	+33.94%	0.2887	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021894	-0.44%	0.02743	+24.74%	0.2781	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.