GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

145

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

67.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0800

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0186

actual -0.0279

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.304191	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.30432	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.299993	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.2951	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.297486	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.294967	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.300852	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.295971	-1.49%	0.3105	+3.34%	0.0489	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.31331	-1.74%	0.3103	-2.68%	0.0087	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.312403	-1.64%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0217	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.323298	-1.87%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0743	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.329648	-1.86%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0866	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.339059	-2.01%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1233	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.335972	-1.99%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0946	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.315537	-1.79%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0490	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.318518	-1.69%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0010	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.322425	-1.59%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0156	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.323216	-1.59%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0197	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.315425	-1.35%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0636	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.320378	-1.53%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0776	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.321592	-1.64%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0645	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.313461	-1.54%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0260	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.317651	-1.53%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0199	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.314739	-1.47%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0396	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.312203	-1.45%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0499	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.324164	-1.53%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0140	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.337304	-1.59%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0361	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.343475	-1.58%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0494	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.349046	-1.61%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.0921	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.33702	-1.63%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0435	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.345565	-1.95%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0791	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.352185	-1.86%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1059	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.362154	-3.35%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.0989	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.333358	-2.20%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0242	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.331186	-2.65%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0486	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.346301	-3.94%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0029	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.300294	-0.70%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1085	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.301905	-0.56%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1145	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.298677	-0.04%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1476	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.295852	+0.14%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2169	✓	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.298002	+0.32%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1180	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.304661	+0.17%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.0928	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.288928	+0.64%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2222	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.290678	+0.74%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0497	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.304851	+0.30%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0092	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.294218	+0.69%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0197	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.298579	+0.80%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0062	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.302675	+0.77%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0065	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.2957	+0.82%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0444	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.29567	+1.52%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0031	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.287924	+0.71%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0039	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.279012	+0.62%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0788	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.285053	+0.48%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0211	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282011	+0.09%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0409	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.284717	+0.08%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0486	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.282047	-0.21%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0335	✗	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.305298	+0.26%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0495	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.306699	-0.18%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0653	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308188	-0.04%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1019	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312683	+0.03%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.0961	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.323298	-0.22%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1374	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.332665	-0.52%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1594	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.339954	-0.41%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.1833	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.305743	-1.72%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0094	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.321317	-2.36%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0266	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.355373	-2.49%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1587	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.358812	-2.43%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1581	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.355797	-2.37%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1132	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.362985	-2.50%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.0993	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.359684	-2.42%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0762	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.382739	-2.64%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2194	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.365796	-2.71%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1130	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.362222	-2.86%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0047	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.353778	-2.79%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0380	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.33594	-2.64%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0849	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.336575	-2.79%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.1041	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.332093	-2.78%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1076	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.329415	-2.73%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1781	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.347677	-2.96%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0802	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.338789	-3.08%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0966	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.332636	-3.05%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0894	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.318888	-2.76%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0773	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.312774	-2.71%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.0996	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.31872	-3.04%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0673	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.319399	-3.48%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0590	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.318838	-3.19%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1160	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.33808	-3.41%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0332	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.354631	-3.57%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0328	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.360803	-4.00%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.0937	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.355361	-4.15%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.0990	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.349335	-3.42%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0601	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.340068	-3.58%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0270	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.34188	-3.84%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0355	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.347326	-4.41%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0098	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.314086	-3.03%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1564	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.308111	-2.73%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1995	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.310118	-2.86%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1780	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.315809	-2.77%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1359	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.32313	-2.89%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0888	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.322449	-3.14%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0989	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.321712	-2.88%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1230	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.320027	-2.15%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0168	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.329614	-2.60%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0379	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.336308	-2.58%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0500	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.338789	-2.55%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0426	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.340048	-2.40%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0204	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.347189	-2.35%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0372	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.365217	-2.56%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.0936	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.366689	-2.61%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1187	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.372014	-2.55%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.0943	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.378091	-2.48%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.0894	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.375006	-2.34%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0718	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.380225	-2.21%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0834	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.386677	-2.03%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0788	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.387587	-1.80%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0215	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.386218	-1.94%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0163	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.372275	-1.59%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0384	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.371403	-1.58%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0531	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.384131	-1.67%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0074	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.385218	-1.55%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0149	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.374968	-1.56%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0485	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.383809	-1.86%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0144	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.391633	-2.08%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0077	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.402653	-2.03%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0745	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.4079	-2.16%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.0920	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.394403	-1.98%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0240	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.366549	-1.57%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0472	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.405875	-2.20%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0904	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.417126	-2.38%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0882	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.425086	-2.44%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0795	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.481452	-2.44%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1735	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.438456	-2.05%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0472	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.446401	-1.88%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.1029	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.463355	-1.91%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2077	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.463955	-1.52%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1592	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.447522	-1.14%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.1080	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.457481	-1.34%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0985	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.461849	-1.25%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0290	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.40916	+0.90%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0327	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.438092	+0.57%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.430439	+0.08%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.0968	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.476382	-0.67%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0302	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.500635	-1.64%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.43856	-1.73%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1787	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.440844	-2.27%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2095	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.465125	-2.44%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0554	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.441909	-2.57%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1697	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.605693	-3.53%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.2007	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.685548	-3.80%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.2084	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.642805	-4.11%	0.509	-24.07%	0.1045	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.611409	-3.88%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2348	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.685037	-5.26%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3726	✓	1.00