GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

55.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0340

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0006

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.306472	-0.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.305197	-0.16%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0059	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.29977	-0.13%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0209	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.302009	-0.13%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0063	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.299288	-0.12%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0106	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.3053	-0.10%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0187	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.300261	-0.06%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0173	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.318477	-0.12%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0580	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.317434	-0.05%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0039	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.329036	-0.13%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0351	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.335597	-0.09%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0189	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.345543	-0.13%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0284	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.34234	-0.13%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0106	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.321042	-0.08%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0656	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.323756	-0.08%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0077	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.327404	-0.08%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0109	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.32818	-0.08%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0016	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.319744	-0.00%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0271	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.325215	-0.04%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0176	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.326658	-0.09%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0041	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.318167	-0.06%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0274	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.322451	-0.05%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0133	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.319344	-0.03%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0102	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.316727	-0.02%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0085	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.32892	-0.09%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0374	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.342159	-0.17%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0386	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.348143	-0.25%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0157	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.353652	-0.31%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0132	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.34172	-0.26%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0374	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.350786	-0.47%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0240	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.357457	-0.39%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0141	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.371728	-0.79%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0410	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.34033	-0.15%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.0963	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.339415	-0.23%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0038	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.357489	-0.84%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0618	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.303294	+0.30%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1722	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.304556	+0.31%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0094	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.299981	+0.40%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0238	✓	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.296745	+0.44%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0007	✓	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.298435	+0.47%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0081	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.305448	+0.43%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0281	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.288671	+0.55%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0491	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.290239	+0.59%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0025	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.305445	+0.49%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0561	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.293896	+0.58%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0366	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.297944	+0.59%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0136	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.302007	+0.55%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0218	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.294848	+0.53%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0175	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.29307	+0.62%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0115	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.287077	+0.41%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0099	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.278465	+0.42%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0269	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.285034	+0.47%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0194	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282987	+0.44%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0002	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285869	+0.48%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0128	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.284033	+0.49%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0004	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.305923	+0.47%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0730	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.308415	+0.38%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0163	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.309573	+0.41%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0092	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.31387	+0.41%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0166	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.325147	+0.35%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0425	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.335393	+0.30%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0363	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.342311	+0.28%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0201	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.312034	+0.30%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0858	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.329364	+0.08%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0498	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.364097	-0.10%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1069	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.367436	-0.09%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0085	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.364163	-0.08%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0074	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.371984	-0.08%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0202	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.368366	-0.06%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0105	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.392678	-0.11%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0627	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.375726	-0.07%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0452	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.372614	-0.08%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0092	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.363634	-0.09%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0257	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.344855	-0.06%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0555	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.345972	-0.08%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0026	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.341357	-0.07%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0142	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.338452	-0.06%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0083	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.357856	-0.12%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0546	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.349047	-0.14%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0254	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.342545	-0.16%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0195	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.327633	-0.10%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0462	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.321271	-0.07%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0199	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.328402	-0.09%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0212	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.330527	-0.11%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0037	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.329109	-0.07%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0047	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.34957	-0.12%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0596	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.367091	-0.18%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0479	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.374972	-0.23%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0179	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.369698	-0.28%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0157	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.361087	-0.17%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0263	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.352109	-0.17%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0277	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.354801	-0.21%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0051	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.361422	-0.53%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0160	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.323397	-0.16%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1176	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.316398	-0.11%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0240	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.318865	-0.12%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0068	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.324459	-0.10%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0153	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.332344	-0.12%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0228	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.332238	-0.20%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0007	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.33084	-0.12%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0060	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.327004	-0.01%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0173	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.338099	-0.09%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0363	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.344898	-0.09%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0191	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.347364	-0.08%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0070	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.348193	-0.06%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0004	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.355293	-0.07%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0178	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.374337	-0.12%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0542	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.376044	-0.12%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0050	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.381322	-0.11%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0117	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.387302	-0.10%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0133	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.383724	-0.07%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0117	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.388583	-0.06%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0094	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.394513	-0.05%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0111	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.394548	-0.04%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0041	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.393561	-0.07%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0012	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.3782	-0.03%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0428	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.377252	-0.03%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0012	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.390452	-0.05%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0343	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.391131	-0.04%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0003	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.380803	-0.03%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0236	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.390892	-0.05%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0313	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.399649	-0.08%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0261	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.410647	-0.09%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0242	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.416421	-0.11%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0163	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.40205	-0.07%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0393	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.372476	+0.02%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0805	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.41478	-0.05%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1198	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.427015	-0.07%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0378	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.435442	-0.06%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0241	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.49311	-0.08%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1203	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.447619	-0.01%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0780	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.45509	+0.03%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0304	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.472416	+0.00%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0373	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.471234	+0.03%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0314	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.452905	+0.05%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0433	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.463514	-0.04%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.467116	-0.12%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.406498	+0.25%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1007	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.436331	+0.17%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0703	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.430373	+0.06%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0565	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.478836	-0.16%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1037	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.506166	-0.56%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.444433	-0.42%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2032	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.449054	-0.45%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0251	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.474693	-0.43%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0483	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.45174	-0.40%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0484	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.623009	-0.77%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3155	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.704639	-1.12%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1045	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.661825	-1.27%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0941	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.629309	-1.07%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0818	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.706578	-2.28%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1086	✓	1.00