FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

59.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1296

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0312

actual -0.0241

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.046594	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.047366	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.046324	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.046521	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.049623	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.051022	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.05103	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.051823	-3.73%	0.04772	-11.35%	0.0944	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.057708	-4.16%	0.04858	-19.32%	0.1706	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.056884	-4.24%	0.04751	-20.02%	0.1810	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.063728	-4.61%	0.04779	-28.47%	0.2749	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.062278	-4.74%	0.05113	-21.80%	0.1856	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.061296	-4.95%	0.05269	-18.29%	0.1434	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.058559	-5.21%	0.05285	-14.45%	0.1057	✓	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.060583	-5.95%	0.05383	-16.43%	0.1063	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.064592	-6.40%	0.060215	-12.74%	0.0558	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.069185	-6.11%	0.059405	-19.39%	0.1294	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.065582	-6.45%	0.06681	-4.69%	0.0361	✓	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.06852	-5.91%	0.06538	-10.22%	0.0344	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.059899	-6.66%	0.064485	+0.49%	0.0871	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.06306	-6.79%	0.06178	-8.68%	0.0004	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.064489	-6.56%	0.064415	-6.67%	0.0008	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.061453	-6.93%	0.06901	+4.52%	0.1030	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.056619	-7.24%	0.07369	+20.73%	0.2480	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.063986	-7.31%	0.0701	+1.55%	0.0798	✗	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.061884	-7.46%	0.072825	+8.90%	0.1609	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.05454	-7.11%	0.06417	+9.29%	0.1603	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.055174	-7.58%	0.067655	+13.32%	0.2014	✗	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.055001	-7.89%	0.069015	+15.58%	0.2368	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.055178	-8.53%	0.066025	+9.45%	0.2096	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.055497	-9.11%	0.061035	-0.04%	0.1320	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.057487	-7.30%	0.06903	+11.31%	0.1431	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.065065	-7.64%	0.066875	-5.07%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.062373	-6.56%	0.058715	-12.04%	0.0995	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.061118	-4.65%	0.0597	-6.86%	0.1236	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.054015	-1.27%	0.05971	+9.14%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.045125	+3.18%	0.060325	+37.93%	0.1589	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.050083	+2.03%	0.06106	+24.40%	0.0959	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.049632	+3.01%	0.062015	+28.72%	0.1675	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.052112	+3.10%	0.07045	+39.38%	0.2514	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.052986	+3.70%	0.066755	+30.65%	0.1846	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.054373	+3.90%	0.0641	+22.49%	0.1670	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.053741	+4.60%	0.05471	+6.48%	0.0456	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.056007	+4.70%	0.043735	-18.24%	0.2101	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.058064	+4.94%	0.049085	-11.29%	0.1563	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.059014	+5.25%	0.04818	-14.07%	0.1578	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.058277	+5.70%	0.050545	-8.33%	0.1096	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.058734	+6.04%	0.051095	-7.75%	0.1079	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.06213	+5.26%	0.05233	-11.34%	0.1117	✗	1.00