FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +30d
assessed
20
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
35.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2057
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1695
actual +0.0020
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.04925 | 0.045789 | -7.03% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.05009 | 0.046759 | -6.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.045417 | -6.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.044457 | -6.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.044611 | -6.65% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.047406 | -7.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.048599 | -7.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.048455 | -8.32% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.049125 | -8.74% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.054137 | -10.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.053226 | -10.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.058732 | -12.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.057691 | -11.76% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.056793 | -11.93% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.054301 | -12.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.055795 | -13.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.058876 | -14.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.062347 | -15.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.058937 | -15.92% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.061167 | -16.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.054205 | -15.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.05677 | -16.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.057517 | -16.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.055066 | -16.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.050642 | -17.03% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.056413 | -18.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.054231 | -18.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.047835 | -18.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.04787 | -19.82% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.047234 | -20.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.047119 | -21.89% | 0.04925 | -18.36% | 0.0675 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.046957 | -23.10% | 0.05009 | -17.97% | 0.0947 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.048773 | -21.35% | 0.04858 | -21.66% | 0.0256 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.054517 | -22.62% | 0.04751 | -32.56% | 0.1450 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.052119 | -21.92% | 0.04779 | -28.41% | 0.1006 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.051453 | -19.73% | 0.05113 | -20.23% | 0.0701 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.045355 | -17.10% | 0.05269 | -3.69% | 0.0819 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.038061 | -12.97% | 0.05285 | +20.84% | 0.2453 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.042062 | -14.31% | 0.05383 | +9.67% | 0.2042 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.041819 | -13.20% | 0.060215 | +24.98% | 0.2857 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.044044 | -12.86% | 0.059405 | +17.53% | 0.2428 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.044938 | -12.05% | 0.06681 | +30.76% | 0.3161 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.046192 | -11.73% | 0.06538 | +24.94% | 0.2674 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.045378 | -11.68% | 0.064485 | +25.51% | 0.2984 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.047447 | -11.30% | 0.06178 | +15.50% | 0.2234 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.049351 | -10.81% | 0.064415 | +16.42% | 0.2149 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.049938 | -10.94% | 0.06901 | +23.08% | 0.2608 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.048157 | -12.66% | 0.07369 | +33.65% | 0.3539 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.048108 | -13.15% | 0.0701 | +26.56% | 0.2942 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.050678 | -14.14% | 0.072825 | +23.38% | 0.3207 | ✗ | 1.00 |