FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

52.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0492

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0044

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047577	-0.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048415	-0.34%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0120	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047362	-0.31%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0143	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047629	-0.34%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0008	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050927	-0.40%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0701	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052459	-0.44%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0244	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.05259	-0.49%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0085	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053547	-0.53%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0190	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059834	-0.63%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0913	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.059023	-0.64%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0074	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.066214	-0.89%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0935	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064866	-0.79%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0237	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.063978	-0.79%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0189	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061285	-0.80%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0447	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063805	-0.95%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0212	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068282	-1.05%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0450	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072892	-1.08%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0536	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069329	-1.10%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0656	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.072038	-1.08%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0391	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063461	-1.11%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1361	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.066878	-1.15%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0391	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.068195	-1.19%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0166	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.065219	-1.22%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0571	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060296	-1.21%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0895	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.068099	-1.35%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1038	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.065864	-1.51%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0467	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.057972	-1.27%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1411	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.058879	-1.37%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0012	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.05884	-1.46%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0144	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.059393	-1.55%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0267	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.060039	-1.67%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0093	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.061251	-1.23%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0679	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.069237	-1.72%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1093	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.06571	-1.57%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0652	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.06325	-1.33%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.054553	-0.29%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1586	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.044161	+0.97%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2068	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.049449	+0.74%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0891	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048636	+0.95%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.051027	+0.95%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0514	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051625	+1.04%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0219	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052867	+1.03%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0428	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051981	+1.17%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0293	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.054115	+1.17%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0498	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055977	+1.17%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0373	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056716	+1.15%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055816	+1.24%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.056086	+1.26%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0191	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059677	+1.10%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0548	✗	1.00