FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s4

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +30d

assessed

241

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

66.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2359

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0135

actual -0.2367

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004217	0.004163	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004233	-1.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003803	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003791	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003942	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004162	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004317	-0.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004675	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004737	+2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004595	+1.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004985	+3.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004995	+3.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004858	+2.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004778	+2.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.005212	+4.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005625	+3.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.0058	+5.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005512	+6.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005569	+5.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005562	+5.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005476	+3.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005431	+3.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.00552	+3.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005486	+4.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005978	+4.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.006221	+3.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006663	+2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006638	+3.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006635	+5.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007635	+4.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.007269	+5.53%	0.004217	-38.78%	0.4937	✗	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006768	+3.27%	0.004277	-34.74%	0.4837	✗	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006935	+3.62%	0.003851	-42.47%	0.5969	✗	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006988	+1.42%	0.003825	-44.49%	0.6186	✗	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006137	-2.26%	0.004002	-36.26%	0.4970	✓	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005789	-2.66%	0.004275	-28.12%	0.3766	✓	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.005875	-2.83%	0.004328	-28.40%	0.3922	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006319	-0.38%	0.004691	-26.05%	0.3421	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006331	-1.63%	0.004626	-28.13%	0.3964	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006492	-0.42%	0.004527	-30.56%	0.4198	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006471	+0.33%	0.004822	-25.24%	0.3788	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006224	+1.16%	0.00483	-21.50%	0.3379	✗	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006584	+1.46%	0.004737	-27.00%	0.3843	✗	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.007195	+0.67%	0.004643	-35.04%	0.4833	✗	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.007291	+1.59%	0.005002	-30.31%	0.4350	✗	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007424	+3.22%	0.005411	-24.77%	0.3859	✗	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007402	+3.58%	0.005498	-23.05%	0.3768	✗	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007474	+4.19%	0.005194	-27.59%	0.4531	✗	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007598	+6.74%	0.005281	-25.81%	0.4099	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007307	+3.66%	0.005264	-25.32%	0.4368	✗	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007245	+2.01%	0.005278	-25.69%	0.4307	✗	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007569	+3.89%	0.005272	-27.64%	0.4307	✗	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.0075	+4.50%	0.005346	-25.52%	0.4210	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007929	+5.53%	0.005258	-30.02%	0.4774	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.007927	+6.22%	0.005724	-23.30%	0.4097	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.009844	+5.20%	0.006028	-35.58%	0.5348	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009598	+4.14%	0.006524	-29.21%	0.4406	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.009345	+4.19%	0.006392	-28.74%	0.4429	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009562	+4.05%	0.006317	-31.26%	0.4731	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.00967	+3.40%	0.007283	-22.13%	0.3764	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009578	+2.79%	0.006888	-26.07%	0.4344	✗	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.010092	+3.97%	0.006554	-32.48%	0.4633	✗	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.009019	+0.79%	0.006693	-25.21%	0.3860	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.00836	-0.79%	0.00689	-18.23%	0.3157	✓	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.007898	-2.11%	0.006279	-22.17%	0.3634	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.008055	-2.66%	0.005947	-28.13%	0.4177	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008334	-2.84%	0.006045	-29.52%	0.4561	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008309	-3.26%	0.006344	-26.15%	0.4272	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008254	-2.89%	0.006437	-24.28%	0.3943	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008427	-2.87%	0.00652	-24.86%	0.4027	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008464	-2.75%	0.00645	-25.89%	0.4280	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008694	-2.69%	0.006153	-31.13%	0.4913	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008688	-2.40%	0.006489	-27.11%	0.4517	✓	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008719	-2.80%	0.007147	-20.33%	0.3506	✓	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.008625	-2.57%	0.007177	-18.92%	0.3418	✓	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008538	-2.19%	0.007193	-17.60%	0.3423	✓	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.008166	-2.18%	0.007146	-14.40%	0.3041	✓	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.007939	-2.88%	0.007173	-12.25%	0.2699	✓	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.007935	-2.90%	0.007119	-12.88%	0.2969	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008244	-3.03%	0.007049	-17.08%	0.3165	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008155	-2.63%	0.007102	-15.20%	0.2975	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.008104	-2.50%	0.007286	-12.34%	0.2910	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008156	-2.08%	0.007177	-13.83%	0.3023	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.008078	-1.45%	0.007514	-8.34%	0.2392	✓	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.007974	-1.15%	0.007463	-7.49%	0.2378	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008185	-1.01%	0.009358	+13.17%	0.0650	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.008116	-1.52%	0.009217	+11.84%	0.0612	✓	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.0087	-0.93%	0.00897	+2.14%	0.1250	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008582	-0.45%	0.00919	+6.61%	0.1058	✓	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008506	+0.25%	0.009352	+10.22%	0.0734	✗	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008952	+0.52%	0.009317	+4.63%	0.1052	✗	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009263	+0.67%	0.009706	+5.50%	0.0969	✗	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009219	+0.10%	0.008948	-2.83%	0.1087	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.008967	-0.33%	0.008426	-6.34%	0.1096	✓	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008881	-0.35%	0.008068	-9.48%	0.0961	✓	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008974	-0.01%	0.008275	-7.80%	0.0775	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008978	+0.11%	0.008578	-4.35%	0.0339	✗	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.009095	+0.29%	0.008589	-5.28%	0.0489	✗	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.00947	-0.45%	0.0085	-10.64%	0.0890	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009633	+0.03%	0.008677	-9.91%	0.0874	✗	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009387	-0.39%	0.008703	-7.65%	0.0885	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009706	+0.35%	0.008934	-7.63%	0.0806	✗	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009756	+0.60%	0.008901	-8.21%	0.0933	✗	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.010104	+0.98%	0.00897	-10.34%	0.1273	✗	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009394	+1.30%	0.008852	-4.55%	0.0788	✗	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009479	+1.34%	0.008729	-6.68%	0.1112	✗	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.009216	+2.13%	0.008348	-7.49%	0.1095	✗	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.010129	+1.94%	0.008174	-17.73%	0.2208	✗	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009592	+0.98%	0.008171	-13.98%	0.1650	✗	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009605	+0.81%	0.008501	-10.78%	0.1260	✗	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009942	+0.33%	0.008375	-15.49%	0.1827	✗	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009359	+0.93%	0.008311	-10.36%	0.1330	✗	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008954	+0.49%	0.008329	-6.53%	0.1038	✗	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009124	-0.07%	0.008197	-10.22%	0.1760	✓	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009286	+0.19%	0.008067	-12.96%	0.1824	✗	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008939	+0.59%	0.008269	-6.94%	0.1251	✗	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010347	-0.47%	0.00824	-20.73%	0.2668	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011324	-0.55%	0.008781	-22.88%	0.3093	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.013086	-1.57%	0.00862	-35.15%	0.4672	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.01173	-0.14%	0.008485	-27.77%	0.3635	✓	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.012014	+0.41%	0.008905	-25.58%	0.3311	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012698	+0.44%	0.009201	-27.22%	0.3498	✗	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.012426	-0.02%	0.00921	-25.90%	0.3420	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012878	+0.36%	0.008997	-29.89%	0.3707	✗	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012596	+1.08%	0.008913	-28.48%	0.3606	✗	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012952	+0.91%	0.008975	-30.07%	0.3903	✗	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.01288	+1.52%	0.008969	-29.32%	0.3552	✗	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.013133	+0.90%	0.009068	-30.33%	0.3480	✗	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.01324	+1.14%	0.009512	-27.34%	0.3112	✗	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012939	+0.76%	0.009631	-25.01%	0.2863	✗	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012805	+0.63%	0.009423	-25.94%	0.2788	✗	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.012312	+0.65%	0.009672	-20.93%	0.2438	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012445	+0.26%	0.009697	-21.87%	0.2521	✗	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.011115	+1.18%	0.010006	-8.92%	0.1350	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.01158	+0.85%	0.009274	-19.23%	0.2387	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011417	+0.35%	0.009354	-17.79%	0.1899	✗	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011726	-0.19%	0.009024	-23.19%	0.2622	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011628	-0.21%	0.009936	-14.72%	0.1930	✓	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011237	+0.31%	0.009499	-15.21%	0.1971	✗	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012438	-0.49%	0.009528	-23.77%	0.2597	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.01379	-1.47%	0.00991	-29.19%	0.3173	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.013237	-1.25%	0.009272	-30.82%	0.3056	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.014232	-2.05%	0.008911	-38.67%	0.3905	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013443	-2.44%	0.00913	-33.74%	0.2676	✓	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.01345	-2.20%	0.009267	-32.61%	0.2809	✓	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013429	-1.99%	0.008886	-35.15%	0.3153	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013506	-1.93%	0.010396	-24.51%	0.1683	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.013794	-2.07%	0.011387	-19.16%	0.0819	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014458	-1.96%	0.013294	-9.86%	0.0299	✗	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.014926	-1.44%	0.011746	-22.43%	0.1408	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.014936	-1.67%	0.011966	-21.22%	0.1378	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.014977	-2.75%	0.012642	-17.91%	0.1143	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015402	-3.20%	0.012428	-21.89%	0.1590	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.016121	-2.55%	0.012832	-22.43%	0.1717	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015608	-1.77%	0.012462	-21.57%	0.1560	✓	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.020777	-5.10%	0.012835	-41.38%	0.4030	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016269	-3.17%	0.012688	-24.49%	0.1769	✓	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016254	-2.98%	0.013016	-22.31%	0.1580	✓	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.016848	-2.82%	0.013092	-24.48%	0.1897	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017666	-2.05%	0.012842	-28.80%	0.2484	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019493	-1.54%	0.012725	-35.72%	0.3486	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019349	-2.56%	0.012232	-38.40%	0.3749	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.019967	-2.25%	0.012412	-39.24%	0.3909	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.020701	-1.60%	0.010985	-47.78%	0.5314	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.021753	-1.48%	0.011482	-48.00%	0.5292	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021301	-2.50%	0.011378	-47.92%	0.5327	✓	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.020916	-2.93%	0.011748	-45.48%	0.4882	✓	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019406	-2.65%	0.011652	-41.55%	0.3954	✓	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019725	-1.05%	0.011203	-43.80%	0.4015	✓	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019528	-1.02%	0.012499	-36.65%	0.2935	✓	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019504	-1.72%	0.013995	-29.48%	0.1869	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.01876	-1.87%	0.013404	-29.88%	0.2205	✓	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018045	-2.03%	0.014529	-21.12%	0.1479	✓	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.01729	-1.78%	0.01378	-21.72%	0.1843	✓	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.01709	-1.99%	0.013753	-21.13%	0.1926	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017226	-1.94%	0.013702	-22.00%	0.2056	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.0181	-1.77%	0.013771	-25.26%	0.2437	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018518	-1.25%	0.014086	-24.89%	0.2416	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019239	-1.28%	0.014748	-24.33%	0.2363	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.017951	-2.32%	0.015144	-17.59%	0.1659	✓	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018174	-2.38%	0.015189	-18.41%	0.1743	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018068	-2.48%	0.0154	-16.88%	0.1426	✓	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018297	-2.29%	0.015911	-15.04%	0.1104	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.0191	-3.26%	0.016543	-16.22%	0.1569	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.018513	-3.77%	0.015889	-17.41%	0.1707	✓	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.019267	-3.83%	0.021894	+9.28%	0.0924	✗	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.01926	-2.96%	0.016803	-15.34%	0.1511	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019588	-1.55%	0.016754	-15.79%	0.1600	✓	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.018921	-2.47%	0.017336	-10.64%	0.1230	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018238	-2.04%	0.018036	-3.12%	0.0615	✓	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.01843	-2.09%	0.019797	+5.18%	0.0101	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017538	-1.70%	0.019858	+11.31%	0.0663	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016483	-1.80%	0.020427	+21.69%	0.0979	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.017174	-1.24%	0.021038	+20.98%	0.1017	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.017789	-1.32%	0.02208	+22.48%	0.1084	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018532	-2.34%	0.021847	+15.14%	0.0575	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018415	-1.89%	0.021547	+14.80%	0.0463	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.018176	-1.28%	0.019933	+8.27%	0.0062	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.017992	-1.90%	0.019935	+8.69%	0.0550	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018649	-2.20%	0.019731	+3.47%	0.0931	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.017129	-1.88%	0.019845	+13.68%	0.0091	✓	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.01641	-2.05%	0.019117	+14.11%	0.0077	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016511	-2.26%	0.018419	+9.03%	0.0380	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016276	-2.14%	0.017603	+5.84%	0.0483	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016332	-2.61%	0.017437	+3.98%	0.0370	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016428	-2.69%	0.017567	+4.06%	0.0496	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016079	-2.55%	0.018426	+11.67%	0.0026	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.01622	-2.63%	0.018753	+12.57%	0.0041	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.016579	-2.59%	0.019489	+14.50%	0.0056	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.017736	-3.02%	0.018378	+0.48%	0.0744	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.01896	-3.18%	0.018617	-4.93%	0.0924	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.017898	-3.00%	0.018527	+0.41%	0.0574	✓	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.018572	-2.59%	0.018726	-1.78%	0.0786	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.018587	-2.91%	0.019744	+3.14%	0.0463	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.018868	-2.65%	0.019238	-0.74%	0.0676	✓	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019354	-1.83%	0.020035	+1.62%	0.0073	✓	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020442	-2.16%	0.019848	-5.01%	0.1029	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.020848	-1.50%	0.019895	-6.00%	0.1194	✓	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.022417	-1.12%	0.0194	-14.42%	0.1595	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.023543	-0.94%	0.018617	-21.67%	0.2341	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.023398	-1.14%	0.018823	-20.47%	0.2343	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.023357	-1.68%	0.01784	-24.91%	0.3100	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.022672	-1.62%	0.016785	-27.17%	0.2982	✓	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.022994	-1.92%	0.01739	-25.82%	0.3119	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.022781	-1.92%	0.018027	-22.38%	0.2697	✓	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022487	-1.92%	0.018975	-17.24%	0.1935	✓	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.023321	-2.50%	0.018769	-21.53%	0.2526	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.022509	-2.92%	0.018412	-20.59%	0.2811	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.022935	-2.59%	0.01834	-22.10%	0.2454	✓	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.022195	-2.20%	0.019069	-15.98%	0.1641	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.021764	-2.04%	0.017457	-21.43%	0.1700	✓	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.0223	-1.94%	0.016753	-26.33%	0.2061	✓	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.022917	-2.32%	0.016893	-27.99%	0.2823	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.023594	-2.68%	0.016632	-31.40%	0.3385	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.024563	-2.97%	0.016769	-33.76%	0.4233	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.025732	-3.22%	0.016882	-36.50%	0.4176	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.026217	-3.32%	0.016501	-39.15%	0.4647	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.029014	-3.78%	0.016659	-44.76%	0.5351	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.026947	-2.94%	0.017021	-38.69%	0.4319	✓	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.027443	-2.78%	0.018289	-35.21%	0.4928	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.026734	-2.69%	0.019583	-28.72%	0.4320	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.025003	-2.59%	0.018451	-28.12%	0.3593	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.025005	-2.69%	0.019065	-25.81%	0.3264	✓	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.026303	-3.09%	0.019144	-29.47%	0.3150	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.022966	-2.51%	0.019381	-17.73%	0.2057	✓	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.024402	-2.96%	0.019715	-21.60%	0.2899	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.023748	-3.06%	0.020893	-14.71%	0.1741	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.023179	-3.30%	0.021166	-11.70%	0.1352	✓	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.021422	-3.23%	0.022669	+2.40%	0.0358	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.022089	-3.81%	0.023768	+3.50%	0.0171	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.021328	-3.83%	0.023668	+6.73%	0.0473	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.020264	-3.72%	0.023757	+12.88%	0.0859	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.019684	-3.69%	0.023046	+12.76%	0.1009	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.020115	-4.06%	0.023444	+11.82%	0.1284	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.021574	-4.45%	0.023227	+2.87%	0.0723	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.022294	-4.82%	0.022927	-2.12%	0.0325	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.02287	-4.32%	0.023918	+0.06%	0.0566	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.025412	-4.72%	0.023185	-13.07%	0.0249	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.022829	-3.73%	0.023544	-0.72%	0.0379	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.025652	-4.85%	0.022694	-15.82%	0.0532	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.027111	-4.87%	0.022218	-22.04%	0.1339	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.031144	-5.13%	0.022741	-30.73%	0.2353	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.031473	-4.93%	0.02346	-29.13%	0.1758	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.032019	-4.76%	0.024244	-27.89%	0.1449	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.035074	-5.75%	0.025315	-31.97%	0.0801	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.033192	-5.70%	0.026588	-24.46%	0.0108	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.038487	-6.92%	0.027117	-34.42%	0.0472	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.036238	-6.84%	0.030155	-22.47%	0.0942	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.033784	-6.46%	0.027762	-23.13%	0.0645	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.032958	-6.18%	0.028227	-19.65%	0.1459	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.035828	-6.80%	0.027473	-28.53%	0.0554	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.