FOGO

Fogo · native · gru_s4

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +1d

assessed

270

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

56.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0348

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0005

actual -0.0081

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004217	0.004211	-0.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004262	-0.36%	0.004217	-1.40%	0.0067	✓	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003849	-0.03%	0.004277	+11.08%	0.0884	✗	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003824	-0.02%	0.003851	+0.68%	0.0096	✗	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003998	-0.11%	0.003825	-4.45%	0.0542	✓	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004267	-0.18%	0.004002	-6.37%	0.0622	✓	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004325	-0.09%	0.004275	-1.24%	0.0018	✓	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004676	-0.32%	0.004328	-7.73%	0.0860	✓	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004617	-0.19%	0.004691	+1.41%	0.0406	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004524	-0.06%	0.004626	+2.19%	0.0005	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004812	-0.19%	0.004527	-6.11%	0.0311	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004812	-0.37%	0.004822	-0.18%	0.0098	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004733	-0.08%	0.00483	+1.97%	0.0147	✗	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004639	-0.08%	0.004737	+2.01%	0.0076	✗	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.004981	-0.43%	0.004643	-7.18%	0.0459	✓	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005395	-0.30%	0.005002	-7.56%	0.0426	✓	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005463	-0.64%	0.005411	-1.59%	0.0067	✓	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005185	-0.18%	0.005498	+5.86%	0.0697	✗	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005257	-0.47%	0.005194	-1.66%	0.0381	✓	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005242	-0.42%	0.005281	+0.33%	0.0039	✓	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005276	-0.03%	0.005264	-0.26%	0.0029	✗	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005268	-0.08%	0.005278	+0.10%	0.0179	✓	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.005341	-0.09%	0.005272	-1.37%	0.0117	✓	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005252	-0.11%	0.005346	+1.66%	0.0149	✗	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005711	-0.22%	0.005258	-8.13%	0.0680	✓	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.006019	-0.14%	0.005724	-5.05%	0.0511	✓	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006507	-0.26%	0.006028	-7.60%	0.0813	✓	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006373	-0.30%	0.006524	+2.07%	0.0279	✗	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006306	-0.17%	0.006392	+1.19%	0.0134	✗	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007234	-0.68%	0.006317	-13.26%	0.1119	✓	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006881	-0.11%	0.007283	+5.73%	0.0618	✗	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.006533	-0.33%	0.006888	+5.10%	0.0208	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006649	-0.65%	0.006554	-2.08%	0.0134	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006861	-0.42%	0.006693	-2.86%	0.0299	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006251	-0.44%	0.00689	+9.73%	0.0345	✗	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.00593	-0.29%	0.006279	+5.58%	0.0543	✗	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.006027	-0.30%	0.005947	-1.63%	0.0211	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.00633	-0.22%	0.006045	-4.70%	0.0109	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006428	-0.14%	0.006344	-1.44%	0.0317	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006516	-0.06%	0.006437	-1.27%	0.0059	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006447	-0.04%	0.00652	+1.09%	0.0105	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006154	+0.02%	0.00645	+4.82%	0.0376	✓	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006494	+0.09%	0.006153	-5.17%	0.0305	✗	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.007146	-0.02%	0.006489	-9.21%	0.0941	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.007177	+0.00%	0.007147	-0.42%	0.0050	✓	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.007196	+0.05%	0.007177	-0.22%	0.0148	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.007148	+0.02%	0.007193	+0.65%	0.0008	✗	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007171	-0.02%	0.007146	-0.38%	0.0057	✓	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007116	-0.04%	0.007173	+0.76%	0.0297	✗	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007033	-0.23%	0.007119	+0.99%	0.0488	✓	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007095	-0.10%	0.007049	-0.75%	0.0050	✓	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007279	-0.09%	0.007102	-2.52%	0.0079	✓	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007175	-0.03%	0.007286	+1.50%	0.0025	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.007508	-0.07%	0.007177	-4.47%	0.0375	✓	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.007458	-0.06%	0.007514	+0.68%	0.0022	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.009285	-0.78%	0.007463	-20.26%	0.1913	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009151	-0.71%	0.009358	+1.54%	0.0086	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.008925	-0.50%	0.009217	+2.75%	0.0266	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009146	-0.48%	0.00897	-2.40%	0.0144	✓	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.009287	-0.70%	0.00919	-1.74%	0.0248	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009271	-0.50%	0.009352	+0.38%	0.0010	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.009632	-0.77%	0.009317	-4.01%	0.0187	✓	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.008912	-0.40%	0.009706	+8.47%	0.0276	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.008417	-0.11%	0.008948	+6.19%	0.0198	✗	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.008058	-0.12%	0.008426	+4.45%	0.0111	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.008267	-0.10%	0.008068	-2.51%	0.0266	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.008566	-0.13%	0.008275	-3.53%	0.0535	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.008576	-0.16%	0.008578	-0.13%	0.0024	✗	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008488	-0.14%	0.008589	+1.05%	0.0114	✗	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008663	-0.16%	0.0085	-2.03%	0.0137	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008688	-0.17%	0.008677	-0.30%	0.0015	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008914	-0.22%	0.008703	-2.59%	0.0225	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008876	-0.28%	0.008934	+0.37%	0.0112	✗	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008955	-0.18%	0.008901	-0.77%	0.0057	✗	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.008832	-0.23%	0.00897	+1.34%	0.0164	✗	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008704	-0.28%	0.008852	+1.41%	0.0166	✗	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.008326	-0.26%	0.008729	+4.56%	0.0396	✗	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.008166	-0.11%	0.008348	+2.12%	0.0263	✗	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.008163	-0.10%	0.008174	+0.04%	0.0054	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008488	-0.15%	0.008171	-3.88%	0.0455	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008364	-0.13%	0.008501	+1.50%	0.0167	✗	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.008305	-0.08%	0.008375	+0.76%	0.0012	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008323	-0.07%	0.008311	-0.21%	0.0005	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.008195	-0.02%	0.008329	+1.61%	0.0424	✗	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.008066	-0.00%	0.008197	+1.62%	0.0049	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.008268	-0.01%	0.008067	-2.45%	0.0253	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.008239	-0.02%	0.008269	+0.35%	0.0016	✗	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.00878	-0.01%	0.00824	-6.16%	0.0419	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008624	+0.04%	0.008781	+1.87%	0.0045	✓	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008493	+0.10%	0.00862	+1.60%	0.0120	✓	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008912	+0.08%	0.008485	-4.72%	0.0363	✗	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.009208	+0.08%	0.008905	-3.21%	0.0201	✗	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.009216	+0.07%	0.009201	-0.10%	0.0038	✓	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.009002	+0.06%	0.00921	+2.36%	0.0073	✓	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008918	+0.07%	0.008997	+0.95%	0.0024	✓	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008983	+0.09%	0.008913	-0.70%	0.0066	✗	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008978	+0.10%	0.008975	+0.07%	0.0102	✗	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.009076	+0.08%	0.008969	-1.10%	0.0132	✗	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009516	+0.04%	0.009068	-4.67%	0.0380	✗	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009636	+0.05%	0.009512	-1.23%	0.0100	✗	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.009428	+0.05%	0.009631	+2.20%	0.0089	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009678	+0.06%	0.009423	-2.57%	0.0103	✗	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009708	+0.11%	0.009672	-0.26%	0.0034	✗	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.010014	+0.08%	0.009697	-3.08%	0.0279	✗	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.009291	+0.18%	0.010006	+7.89%	0.0635	✓	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009369	+0.17%	0.009274	-0.85%	0.0205	✗	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.009044	+0.22%	0.009354	+3.66%	0.0461	✓	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.009938	+0.02%	0.009024	-9.19%	0.0892	✗	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009514	+0.15%	0.009936	+4.60%	0.0392	✓	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009541	+0.14%	0.009499	-0.30%	0.0094	✗	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009915	+0.05%	0.009528	-3.85%	0.0463	✗	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009281	+0.09%	0.00991	+6.88%	0.0540	✓	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008931	+0.23%	0.009272	+4.06%	0.0206	✓	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.009151	+0.22%	0.008911	-2.41%	0.0432	✗	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009287	+0.21%	0.00913	-1.48%	0.0021	✓	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008911	+0.28%	0.009267	+4.29%	0.0315	✓	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010411	+0.15%	0.008886	-14.52%	0.1535	✗	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.0114	+0.12%	0.010396	-8.70%	0.0914	✗	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.013287	-0.05%	0.011387	-14.35%	0.1577	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011762	+0.13%	0.013294	+13.17%	0.1394	✓	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.011984	+0.16%	0.011746	-1.83%	0.0025	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012658	+0.13%	0.011966	-5.35%	0.0390	✗	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.012444	+0.13%	0.012642	+1.72%	0.0064	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012852	+0.15%	0.012428	-3.15%	0.0213	✗	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012488	+0.21%	0.012832	+2.97%	0.0181	✓	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.01286	+0.20%	0.012462	-2.90%	0.0388	✗	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012717	+0.23%	0.012835	+1.15%	0.0286	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.013041	+0.19%	0.012688	-2.52%	0.0133	✗	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.013118	+0.20%	0.013016	-0.58%	0.0004	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012866	+0.18%	0.013092	+1.94%	0.0103	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012748	+0.18%	0.012842	+0.92%	0.0086	✗	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.012258	+0.21%	0.012725	+4.03%	0.0264	✓	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012431	+0.15%	0.012232	-1.45%	0.0158	✗	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.011026	+0.37%	0.012412	+12.99%	0.0948	✓	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011519	+0.32%	0.010985	-4.33%	0.0448	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011418	+0.35%	0.011482	+0.92%	0.0215	✓	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011783	+0.30%	0.011378	-3.15%	0.0324	✗	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011698	+0.39%	0.011748	+0.82%	0.0238	✗	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011259	+0.50%	0.011652	+4.01%	0.0364	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012539	+0.32%	0.011203	-10.37%	0.0858	✗	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.014021	+0.18%	0.012499	-10.69%	0.1129	✗	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.013433	+0.21%	0.013995	+4.41%	0.0660	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.014521	-0.05%	0.013404	-7.74%	0.0498	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013783	+0.02%	0.014529	+5.44%	0.0689	✓	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.013761	+0.06%	0.01378	+0.20%	0.0026	✓	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013717	+0.11%	0.013753	+0.37%	0.0000	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013786	+0.11%	0.013702	-0.50%	0.0052	✗	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.014098	+0.09%	0.013771	-2.23%	0.0179	✗	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014747	-0.00%	0.014086	-4.49%	0.0363	✓	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.015135	-0.06%	0.014748	-2.62%	0.0182	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.015166	-0.15%	0.015144	-0.30%	0.0029	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.015386	-0.09%	0.015189	-1.37%	0.0142	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015883	-0.18%	0.0154	-3.21%	0.0358	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.016513	-0.18%	0.015911	-3.82%	0.0289	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.01586	-0.18%	0.016543	+4.11%	0.0418	✗	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.021578	-1.44%	0.015889	-27.43%	0.3097	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.016777	-0.15%	0.021894	+30.30%	0.2671	✗	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016739	-0.08%	0.016803	+0.29%	0.0061	✗	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.017325	-0.06%	0.016754	-3.36%	0.0301	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.018034	-0.01%	0.017336	-3.88%	0.0348	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019792	-0.03%	0.018036	-8.90%	0.0844	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019842	-0.08%	0.019797	-0.30%	0.0107	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.020414	-0.07%	0.019858	-2.79%	0.0222	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.021029	-0.04%	0.020427	-2.90%	0.0235	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.022056	-0.11%	0.021038	-4.72%	0.0451	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021805	-0.19%	0.02208	+1.07%	0.0053	✗	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.021493	-0.25%	0.021847	+1.39%	0.0142	✗	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019896	-0.19%	0.021547	+8.09%	0.0788	✗	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.019907	-0.14%	0.019933	-0.01%	0.0114	✗	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019695	-0.18%	0.019935	+1.03%	0.0079	✗	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019787	-0.29%	0.019731	-0.58%	0.0115	✓	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.019019	-0.52%	0.019845	+3.81%	0.0310	✗	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018399	-0.11%	0.019117	+3.79%	0.0394	✗	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.017591	-0.07%	0.018419	+4.64%	0.0420	✗	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.017426	-0.06%	0.017603	+0.95%	0.0082	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017559	-0.04%	0.017437	-0.74%	0.0123	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018417	-0.05%	0.017567	-4.66%	0.0414	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018747	-0.04%	0.018426	-1.75%	0.0064	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019473	-0.08%	0.018753	-3.77%	0.0242	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018364	-0.08%	0.019489	+6.05%	0.0491	✗	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018601	-0.08%	0.018378	-1.29%	0.0141	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018512	-0.09%	0.018617	+0.48%	0.0143	✗	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018712	-0.07%	0.018527	-1.06%	0.0107	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.019716	-0.14%	0.018726	-5.16%	0.0717	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.01921	-0.15%	0.019744	+2.63%	0.0220	✗	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.020003	-0.16%	0.019238	-3.98%	0.0637	✓	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019817	-0.15%	0.020035	+0.94%	0.0345	✗	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019872	-0.12%	0.019848	-0.24%	0.0152	✗	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.019372	-0.14%	0.019895	+2.55%	0.0031	✗	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018599	-0.10%	0.0194	+4.21%	0.0382	✗	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018795	-0.15%	0.018617	-1.09%	0.0176	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017832	-0.04%	0.018823	+5.51%	0.0574	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016792	+0.04%	0.01784	+6.28%	0.0145	✓	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.017397	+0.04%	0.016785	-3.48%	0.0064	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.018031	+0.02%	0.01739	-3.54%	0.0373	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018965	-0.05%	0.018027	-4.99%	0.0660	✓	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018763	-0.03%	0.018975	+1.10%	0.0021	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.018408	-0.02%	0.018769	+1.94%	0.0301	✗	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.018327	-0.08%	0.018412	+0.39%	0.0362	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.01904	-0.15%	0.01834	-3.82%	0.0354	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.017448	-0.05%	0.019069	+9.23%	0.0659	✗	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016758	+0.03%	0.017457	+4.20%	0.0364	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016892	-0.00%	0.016753	-0.83%	0.0092	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016632	-0.00%	0.016893	+1.57%	0.0321	✗	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016768	-0.01%	0.016632	-0.82%	0.0067	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.016882	+0.00%	0.016769	-0.67%	0.0269	✗	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.016509	+0.05%	0.016882	+2.31%	0.0116	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.016667	+0.05%	0.016501	-0.95%	0.0050	✗	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.017027	+0.04%	0.016659	-2.12%	0.0214	✗	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.018277	-0.07%	0.017021	-6.94%	0.0389	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.019551	-0.16%	0.018289	-6.61%	0.0344	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.018436	-0.08%	0.019583	+6.13%	0.0508	✗	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.019049	-0.08%	0.018451	-3.22%	0.0276	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.019134	-0.05%	0.019065	-0.41%	0.0431	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.019375	-0.04%	0.019144	-1.23%	0.0021	✗	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019715	+0.00%	0.019381	-1.69%	0.0036	✓	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.02089	-0.02%	0.019715	-5.64%	0.0654	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.021171	+0.02%	0.020893	-1.29%	0.0041	✓	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.022677	+0.03%	0.021166	-6.63%	0.0353	✗	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.023776	+0.03%	0.022669	-4.62%	0.0360	✗	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.023674	+0.02%	0.023768	+0.42%	0.0214	✗	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.023755	-0.01%	0.023668	-0.37%	0.0240	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.023047	+0.00%	0.023757	+3.09%	0.0266	✓	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.023441	-0.01%	0.023046	-1.70%	0.0223	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.023224	-0.01%	0.023444	+0.94%	0.0052	✗	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022926	-0.01%	0.023227	+1.30%	0.0098	✗	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.023904	-0.06%	0.022927	-4.14%	0.0623	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.023166	-0.08%	0.023918	+3.16%	0.0021	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.023526	-0.08%	0.023185	-1.52%	0.0034	✗	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.022687	-0.03%	0.023544	+3.74%	0.0488	✗	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.022218	-0.00%	0.022694	+2.14%	0.0601	✗	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.022744	+0.01%	0.022218	-2.30%	0.0010	✓	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.023456	-0.01%	0.022741	-3.06%	0.0965	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.024236	-0.03%	0.02346	-3.23%	0.0249	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.025303	-0.05%	0.024244	-4.23%	0.0946	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.026571	-0.06%	0.025315	-4.79%	0.0279	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.0271	-0.06%	0.026588	-1.95%	0.0382	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.03011	-0.15%	0.027117	-10.08%	0.0771	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.027748	-0.05%	0.030155	+8.62%	0.0916	✗	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.02818	-0.17%	0.027762	-1.65%	0.0880	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.027464	-0.03%	0.028227	+2.74%	0.0380	✗	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.025673	+0.02%	0.027473	+7.03%	0.1272	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.025701	+0.02%	0.025669	-0.11%	0.0053	✓	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.027126	-0.06%	0.025697	-5.33%	0.0536	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.02358	+0.09%	0.027143	+15.22%	0.1218	✓	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.025151	+0.02%	0.023558	-6.32%	0.0761	✗	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.02451	+0.05%	0.025147	+2.65%	0.0458	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.023982	+0.05%	0.024497	+2.20%	0.0478	✓	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.022175	+0.17%	0.02397	+8.28%	0.0766	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.022989	+0.11%	0.022138	-3.60%	0.0193	✗	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.022218	+0.19%	0.022964	+3.55%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.021134	+0.42%	0.022176	+5.37%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.020546	+0.53%	0.021047	+2.98%	0.0364	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.021075	+0.52%	0.020438	-2.52%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.022669	+0.40%	0.020966	-7.14%	0.0594	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.023519	+0.41%	0.022579	-3.61%	0.0383	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.024024	+0.50%	0.023423	-2.01%	0.0401	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.026729	+0.22%	0.023904	-10.38%	0.0934	✗	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.023934	+0.93%	0.026671	+12.47%	0.0079	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.027023	+0.24%	0.023714	-12.04%	0.0200	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.028523	+0.08%	0.02696	-5.40%	0.0205	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.032789	-0.12%	0.0285	-13.18%	0.1013	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.033088	-0.05%	0.032828	-0.84%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.033604	-0.05%	0.033105	-1.53%	0.0076	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.03714	-0.20%	0.03362	-9.66%	0.0324	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.035136	-0.18%	0.037213	+5.72%	0.0622	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.041179	-0.41%	0.035199	-14.88%	0.1034	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.03876	-0.35%	0.041349	+6.31%	0.0642	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.036012	-0.29%	0.038897	+7.70%	0.0673	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.035043	-0.24%	0.036117	+2.82%	0.0109	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.03828	-0.42%	0.035127	-8.62%	0.0572	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.