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ESP

Espresso · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id
#281
symbol
ESP
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x031de51f3e8016514bd0963d0b2ab825a591db9a
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-13
predictions
729
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
236
of 243 predictions shown
direction hit
58.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0930
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0216
actual -0.0174

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0898150.087968-2.06%–pending––1.38
2026-10-21oos0.087710.086255-1.66%–pending––1.34
2026-10-20oos0.085150.083972-1.38%–pending––1.34
2026-10-19oos0.08390.082854-1.25%–pending––1.33
2026-10-18oos0.085280.084194-1.27%–pending––1.31
2026-10-17oos0.0882250.087053-1.33%–pending––1.31
2026-10-16oos0.0925750.0913-1.38%–pending––1.31
2026-10-15oos0.094110.092763-1.43%0.089815-4.56%0.0647✓1.29
2026-10-14oos0.0969850.095466-1.57%0.08771-9.56%0.1231✓1.29
2026-10-13oos0.103490.101651-1.78%0.08515-17.72%0.1747✓1.25
2026-10-12oos0.106040.104034-1.89%0.0839-20.88%0.2166✓1.26
2026-10-11oos0.119560.116927-2.20%0.08528-28.67%0.2919✓1.18
2026-10-10oos0.117720.115088-2.24%0.088225-25.06%0.2449✓1.12
2026-10-09oos0.113530.111009-2.22%0.092575-18.46%0.1672✓1.13
2026-10-08oos0.1104350.10788-2.31%0.09411-14.78%0.1425✓1.12
2026-10-07oos0.1155250.112633-2.50%0.096985-16.05%0.1265✓1.11
2026-10-06oos0.1176450.114547-2.63%0.10349-12.03%0.0693✓1.11
2026-10-05oos0.1135050.11061-2.55%0.10604-6.58%0.0111✓1.11
2026-10-04oos0.1058650.103088-2.62%0.11956+12.94%0.1864✗1.15
2026-10-03oos0.101920.099607-2.27%0.11772+15.50%0.1920✗1.14
2026-10-02oos0.103590.101084-2.42%0.11353+9.60%0.1427✗1.13
2026-10-01oos0.1053550.102628-2.59%0.110435+4.82%0.1163✗1.13
2026-09-30oos0.1050950.102337-2.62%0.115525+9.92%0.1250✗1.13
2026-09-29oos0.0973750.094953-2.49%0.117645+20.82%0.1888✗1.14
2026-09-28oos0.0981050.095628-2.52%0.113505+15.70%0.1411✗1.12
2026-09-27oos0.10420.101172-2.91%0.105865+1.60%0.0188✓1.11
2026-09-26oos0.104920.10187-2.91%0.10192-2.86%0.0038✓1.12
2026-09-25oos0.097510.095175-2.39%0.10359+6.24%0.0793✗1.12
2026-09-24oos0.097280.094938-2.41%0.105355+8.30%0.0980✗1.12
2026-09-23oos0.091820.089722-2.28%0.105095+14.46%0.1692✗1.13
2026-09-22oos0.0951250.09301-2.22%0.097375+2.37%0.0777✗1.06
2026-09-21oos0.0941450.092113-2.16%0.098105+4.21%0.1013✗1.04
2026-09-20oos0.0936750.091329-2.50%0.1042+11.24%0.0859✗1.15
2026-09-19oos0.095920.093242-2.79%0.10492+9.38%0.0742✗1.14
2026-09-18oos0.0888650.087318-1.74%0.09751+9.73%0.0663✗1.13
2026-09-17oos0.084810.083676-1.34%0.09728+14.70%0.0345✗1.16
2026-09-16oos0.082810.082096-0.86%0.09182+10.88%0.0061✓1.15
2026-09-15oos0.082450.081964-0.59%0.095125+15.37%0.0061✓1.18
2026-09-14oos0.0862450.08548-0.89%0.094145+9.16%0.0284✓1.22
2026-09-13oos0.084710.084281-0.51%0.093675+10.58%0.0390✗1.21
2026-09-12oos0.0898050.088923-0.98%0.09592+6.81%0.0159✗1.19
2026-09-11oos0.091860.090824-1.13%0.088865-3.26%0.0767✓1.18
2026-09-10oos0.0870850.086944-0.16%0.08481-2.61%0.0220✓1.16
2026-09-09oos0.092170.09154-0.68%0.08281-10.16%0.0688✓1.13
2026-09-08oos0.09260.092077-0.56%0.08245-10.96%0.0681✓1.14
2026-09-07oos0.087350.08782+0.54%0.086245-1.27%0.0044✓1.17
2026-09-06oos0.092110.092033-0.08%0.08471-8.03%0.0328✓1.11
2026-09-05oos0.087420.087834+0.47%0.089805+2.73%0.0584✓1.11
2026-09-04oos0.085090.085592+0.59%0.09186+7.96%0.1044✓1.07
2026-09-03oos0.087110.087434+0.37%0.087085-0.03%0.0600✓1.07
2026-09-02oos0.083120.082838-0.34%0.09217+10.89%0.0926✗1.13
2026-09-01oos0.083280.082838-0.53%0.0926+11.19%0.0965✗1.11
2026-08-31oos0.0782050.077985-0.28%0.08735+11.69%0.1066✗1.01
2026-08-30oos0.07870.078136-0.72%0.09211+17.04%0.1298✗1.03
2026-08-29oos0.0820450.08153-0.63%0.08742+6.55%0.0492✗1.02
2026-08-28oos0.084050.083766-0.34%0.08509+1.24%0.0082✓1.02
2026-08-27oos0.08660.086466-0.16%0.08711+0.59%0.0051✓1.02
2026-08-26oos0.0912150.090527-0.75%0.08312-8.87%0.0622✓1.05
2026-08-25oos0.0897450.089022-0.81%0.08328-7.20%0.0515✓1.05
2026-08-24oos0.089410.088745-0.74%0.078205-12.53%0.1209✓1.05
2026-08-23oos0.091150.090116-1.13%0.0787-13.66%0.1346✓1.08
2026-08-22oos0.086550.085401-1.33%0.082045-5.21%0.0564✓1.07
2026-08-21oos0.085920.084506-1.65%0.08405-2.18%0.0013✓1.08
2026-08-20oos0.0838350.081715-2.53%0.0866+3.30%0.0549✓1.19
2026-08-19oos0.079440.077709-2.18%0.091215+14.82%0.0004✓1.22
2026-08-18oos0.071170.069895-1.79%0.089745+26.10%0.0230✗1.17
2026-08-17oos0.072640.071251-1.91%0.08941+23.09%0.0112✓1.17
2026-08-16oos0.0710750.069713-1.92%0.09115+28.24%0.0158✓1.19
2026-08-15oos0.0723550.070891-2.02%0.08655+19.62%0.0380✓1.18
2026-08-14oos0.0733150.071711-2.19%0.08592+17.19%0.0806✓1.20
2026-08-13oos0.0751950.073303-2.52%0.083835+11.49%0.0375✓1.22
2026-08-12oos0.071470.069873-2.23%0.07944+11.15%0.0247✗1.17
2026-08-11oos0.0712050.069513-2.38%0.07117-0.05%0.0028✓1.16
2026-08-10oos0.0722650.070126-2.96%0.07264+0.52%0.0250✓1.16
2026-08-09oos0.07160.069739-2.60%0.071075-0.73%0.0561✗1.18
2026-08-08oos0.064450.062959-2.31%0.072355+12.27%0.1738✗1.17
2026-08-07oos0.0671150.065057-3.07%0.073315+9.24%0.1552✗1.19
2026-08-06oos0.061080.060047-1.69%0.075195+23.11%0.2401✗1.15
2026-08-05oos0.0607350.059735-1.65%0.07147+17.68%0.2009✗1.16
2026-08-04oos0.0611850.060191-1.62%0.071205+16.38%0.1774✗1.15
2026-08-03oos0.063690.062565-1.77%0.072265+13.46%0.1360✗1.16
2026-08-02oos0.0640.062858-1.78%0.0716+11.88%0.1055✗1.17
2026-08-01oos0.065720.064513-1.84%0.06445-1.93%0.0407✓1.18
2026-07-31oos0.0643550.063095-1.96%0.067115+4.29%0.0236✗1.18
2026-07-30oos0.070680.068814-2.64%0.06108-13.58%0.1113✓1.12
2026-07-29oos0.0655950.064346-1.90%0.060735-7.41%0.0695✓1.06
2026-07-28oos0.068750.067349-2.04%0.061185-11.00%0.0994✓1.07
2026-07-27oos0.080950.07843-3.11%0.06369-21.32%0.2043✓1.09
2026-07-26oos0.109890.103408-5.90%0.064-41.76%0.4552✓0.86
2026-07-25oos0.074760.073105-2.21%0.06572-12.09%0.0910✓0.64
2026-07-24oos0.074610.073106-2.02%0.064355-13.74%0.1149✓0.63
2026-07-23oos0.071630.070289-1.87%0.07068-1.33%0.0088✓0.64
2026-07-22oos0.0731250.071748-1.88%0.065595-10.30%0.0687✓0.62
2026-07-21oos0.070470.069237-1.75%0.06875-2.44%0.0189✗0.63
2026-07-20oos0.071770.070402-1.91%0.08095+12.79%0.1549✗0.65
2026-07-19oos0.070160.068909-1.78%0.10989+56.63%0.4602✗0.64
2026-07-18oos0.0714450.070181-1.77%0.07476+4.64%0.0682✗0.64
2026-07-17oos0.0751150.073634-1.97%0.07461-0.67%0.0110✓0.74
2026-07-16oos0.07410.072656-1.95%0.07163-3.33%0.0293✓0.76
2026-07-15oos0.072620.071273-1.85%0.073125+0.70%0.0097✓0.76
2026-07-14oos0.070420.06915-1.80%0.07047+0.07%0.0011✓0.77
2026-07-13oos0.067470.06619-1.90%0.07177+6.37%0.0458✗0.76
2026-07-12oos0.064410.063316-1.70%0.07016+8.93%0.0908✗0.81
2026-07-11oos0.0663350.065105-1.85%0.071445+7.70%0.0796✗0.84
2026-07-10oos0.066360.065136-1.84%0.075115+13.19%0.1457✗0.87
2026-07-09oos0.064070.062902-1.82%0.0741+15.65%0.1558✗0.86
2026-07-08oos0.064150.062951-1.87%0.07262+13.20%0.1092✗0.86
2026-07-07oos0.064630.063392-1.91%0.07042+8.96%0.0826✗0.87
2026-07-06oos0.066560.065213-2.02%0.06747+1.37%0.0587✗0.90
2026-07-05oos0.0666850.065344-2.01%0.06441-3.41%0.0169✓0.99
2026-07-04oos0.069950.0685-2.07%0.066335-5.17%0.0430✓1.01
2026-07-03oos0.06720.06585-2.01%0.06636-1.25%0.0171✓0.98
2026-07-02oos0.0679850.066521-2.15%0.06407-5.76%0.0644✓0.99
2026-07-01oos0.066160.064664-2.26%0.06415-3.04%0.0448✓0.99
2026-06-30oos0.066520.064729-2.69%0.06463-2.84%0.0815✓1.01
2026-06-29oos0.069740.068396-1.93%0.06656-4.56%0.0891✓1.00
2026-06-28oos0.0661250.064963-1.76%0.066685+0.85%0.0383✓0.97
2026-06-27oos0.066540.065298-1.87%0.06995+5.12%0.0198✗0.96
2026-06-26oos0.069340.067773-2.26%0.0672-3.09%0.0477✓0.95
2026-06-25oos0.063360.062311-1.66%0.067985+7.30%0.0596✗0.94
2026-06-24oos0.058580.057767-1.39%0.06616+12.94%0.1532✗1.04
2026-06-23oos0.0585050.057656-1.45%0.06652+13.70%0.2167✗1.08
2026-06-22oos0.0599150.058977-1.57%0.06974+16.40%0.2335✗1.08
2026-06-21oos0.0616450.060597-1.70%0.066125+7.27%0.1546✗1.10
2026-06-20oos0.061780.06069-1.76%0.06654+7.70%0.1681✗1.10
2026-06-19oos0.061280.060224-1.72%0.06934+13.15%0.2013✗1.07
2026-06-18oos0.0635750.062393-1.86%0.06336-0.34%0.0727✗1.11
2026-06-17oos0.067850.066475-2.03%0.05858-13.66%0.0664✓1.09
2026-06-16oos0.074910.073127-2.38%0.058505-21.90%0.1746✓1.05
2026-06-15oos0.0725550.070884-2.30%0.059915-17.42%0.1299✓1.07
2026-06-14oos0.072160.070536-2.25%0.061645-14.57%0.0932✓1.08
2026-06-13oos0.071790.069991-2.51%0.06178-13.94%0.1211✓1.13
2026-06-12oos0.072520.071026-2.06%0.06128-15.50%0.1465✓1.13
2026-06-11oos0.066540.065304-1.86%0.063575-4.46%0.0147✓1.12
2026-06-10oos0.0636950.062644-1.65%0.06785+6.52%0.0271✗1.11
2026-06-09oos0.067980.066694-1.89%0.07491+10.19%0.0476✗1.11
2026-06-08oos0.066120.064886-1.87%0.072555+9.73%0.0552✗1.14
2026-06-07oos0.06680.065422-2.06%0.07216+8.02%0.0571✗1.10
2026-06-06oos0.066170.06492-1.89%0.07179+8.49%0.0372✗1.11
2026-06-05oos0.064740.063373-2.11%0.07252+12.02%0.0901✗1.11
2026-06-04oos0.070640.068645-2.82%0.06654-5.80%0.0270✓1.08
2026-06-03oos0.061860.060858-1.62%0.063695+2.97%0.0925✗1.14
2026-06-02oos0.057580.056803-1.35%0.06798+18.06%0.2740✗1.22
2026-06-01oos0.061980.06094-1.68%0.06612+6.68%0.2223✗1.14
2026-05-31oos0.063880.062794-1.70%0.0668+4.57%0.2354✗1.15
2026-05-30oos0.065240.064081-1.78%0.06617+1.43%0.2250✗1.00
2026-05-29oos0.064470.06338-1.69%0.06474+0.42%0.1971✗0.96
2026-05-28oos0.065880.064759-1.70%0.07064+7.23%0.2190✗0.93
2026-05-27oos0.066450.065276-1.77%0.06186-6.91%0.0911✗0.97
2026-05-26oos0.067280.066126-1.72%0.05758-14.42%0.0081✓1.01
2026-05-25oos0.070450.069167-1.82%0.06198-12.02%0.0490✓0.76
2026-05-24oos0.065660.06468-1.49%0.06388-2.71%0.0149✓0.60
2026-05-23oos0.066040.065038-1.52%0.06524-1.21%0.0100✓0.18
2026-05-22oos0.064450.063475-1.51%0.06447+0.03%0.0207✗0.18
2026-05-21oos0.067540.066386-1.71%0.06588-2.46%0.0004✓0.15
2026-05-20oos0.065590.064521-1.63%0.06645+1.31%0.0353✗0.14
2026-05-19oos0.064840.063792-1.62%0.06728+3.76%0.0545✗0.10
2026-05-18oos0.0663050.06518-1.70%0.07045+6.25%0.0780✗-0.06
2026-05-17oos0.064320.063291-1.60%0.06566+2.08%0.0365✗-0.05
2026-05-16oos0.068910.067694-1.76%0.06604-4.16%0.0261✓-0.07
2026-05-15oos0.0750350.073601-1.91%0.06445-14.11%0.1353✓-0.05
2026-05-14oos0.0725750.071334-1.71%0.06754-6.94%0.0566✓-0.04
2026-05-13oos0.071220.069972-1.75%0.06559-7.91%0.0659✓-0.05
2026-05-12oos0.0731850.071955-1.68%0.06484-11.40%0.1072✓-0.07
2026-05-11oos0.0753550.074076-1.70%0.066305-12.01%0.1156✓-0.08
2026-05-10oos0.0766850.075329-1.77%0.06432-16.12%0.1630✓-0.08
2026-05-09oos0.073520.07229-1.67%0.06891-6.27%0.0511✓-0.10
2026-05-08oos0.075260.073886-1.83%0.075035-0.30%0.0140✓-0.10
2026-05-07oos0.0712650.07012-1.61%0.072575+1.84%0.0357✗-0.10
2026-05-06oos0.0700550.069055-1.43%0.07122+1.66%0.0284✗-0.09
2026-05-05oos0.0709750.069838-1.60%0.073185+3.11%0.0463✗-0.09
2026-05-04oos0.068120.067008-1.63%0.075355+10.62%0.1198✗-0.10
2026-05-03oos0.067960.06673-1.81%0.076685+12.84%0.1437✗-0.10
2026-05-02oos0.06820.066923-1.87%0.07352+7.80%0.0966✗-0.10
2026-05-01oos0.067640.066371-1.88%0.07526+11.27%0.1283✗-0.10
2026-04-30oos0.06790.066566-1.96%0.071265+4.96%0.0731✗-0.10
2026-04-29oos0.0677350.06631-2.10%0.070055+3.43%0.0624✗-0.10
2026-04-28oos0.068310.066801-2.21%0.070975+3.90%0.0668✗-0.11
2026-04-27oos0.0681950.066588-2.36%0.06812-0.11%0.0261✗-0.11
2026-04-26oos0.0701150.068356-2.51%0.06796-3.07%0.0060✓-0.12
2026-04-25oos0.07080.068779-2.86%0.0682-3.67%0.0069✓-0.12
2026-04-24oos0.077960.074792-4.06%0.06764-13.24%0.0994✓-0.12
2026-04-23oos0.074640.072069-3.44%0.0679-9.03%0.0622✓-0.10
2026-04-22oos0.068860.066686-3.16%0.067735-1.63%0.0124✓-0.10
2026-04-21oos0.068450.066321-3.11%0.06831-0.20%0.0295✓-0.11
2026-04-20oos0.068050.065888-3.18%0.068195+0.21%0.0365✗-0.11
2026-04-19oos0.067120.0651-3.01%0.070115+4.46%0.0816✗-0.12
2026-04-18oos0.074840.072156-3.59%0.0708-5.40%0.0139✓-0.20
2026-04-17oos0.07830.075321-3.81%0.07796-0.43%0.0355✓-0.23
2026-04-16oos0.077370.074455-3.77%0.07464-3.53%0.0122✓-0.24
2026-04-15oos0.076030.073271-3.63%0.06886-9.43%0.0515✓-0.24
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