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ESP

Espresso · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id
#281
symbol
ESP
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x031de51f3e8016514bd0963d0b2ab825a591db9a
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-13
predictions
726
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
212
of 242 predictions shown
direction hit
60.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1086
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0445
actual -0.0378

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.085780.080539-6.11%–pending––1.34
2026-10-20oos0.085150.080581-5.37%–pending––1.34
2026-10-19oos0.08390.079283-5.50%–pending––1.33
2026-10-18oos0.085280.080812-5.24%–pending––1.31
2026-10-17oos0.0882250.083515-5.34%–pending––1.31
2026-10-16oos0.0925750.087807-5.15%–pending––1.31
2026-10-15oos0.094110.0897-4.69%–pending––1.29
2026-10-14oos0.0969850.09234-4.79%–pending––1.29
2026-10-13oos0.103490.098523-4.80%–pending––1.25
2026-10-12oos0.106040.100396-5.32%–pending––1.26
2026-10-11oos0.119560.112417-5.97%–pending––1.18
2026-10-10oos0.117720.110516-6.12%–pending––1.12
2026-10-09oos0.113530.106874-5.86%–pending––1.13
2026-10-08oos0.1104350.10417-5.67%–pending––1.12
2026-10-07oos0.1155250.108926-5.71%–pending––1.11
2026-10-06oos0.1176450.111456-5.26%–pending––1.11
2026-10-05oos0.1135050.108012-4.84%–pending––1.11
2026-10-04oos0.1058650.101602-4.03%–pending––1.15
2026-10-03oos0.101920.09735-4.48%–pending––1.14
2026-10-02oos0.103590.098576-4.84%–pending––1.13
2026-10-01oos0.1053550.100127-4.96%–pending––1.13
2026-09-30oos0.1050950.099496-5.33%–pending––1.13
2026-09-29oos0.0973750.093044-4.45%–pending––1.14
2026-09-28oos0.0981050.094125-4.06%–pending––1.12
2026-09-27oos0.10420.100252-3.79%–pending––1.11
2026-09-26oos0.104920.10116-3.58%–pending––1.12
2026-09-25oos0.097510.0948-2.78%–pending––1.12
2026-09-24oos0.097280.095136-2.20%–pending––1.12
2026-09-23oos0.091820.090897-1.00%–pending––1.13
2026-09-22oos0.0951250.094714-0.43%–pending––1.06
2026-09-21oos0.0941450.094316+0.18%0.08578-8.89%0.0471✗1.04
2026-09-20oos0.0936750.092022-1.76%0.08515-9.10%0.1026✓1.15
2026-09-19oos0.095920.094208-1.79%0.0839-12.53%0.1243✓1.14
2026-09-18oos0.0888650.087801-1.20%0.08528-4.03%0.0448✓1.13
2026-09-17oos0.084810.08346-1.59%0.088225+4.03%0.0186✓1.16
2026-09-16oos0.082810.081941-1.05%0.092575+11.79%0.0439✗1.15
2026-09-15oos0.082450.081689-0.92%0.09411+14.14%0.0437✗1.18
2026-09-14oos0.0862450.085501-0.86%0.096985+12.45%0.0741✗1.22
2026-09-13oos0.084710.084274-0.51%0.10349+22.17%0.1102✗1.21
2026-09-12oos0.0898050.088468-1.49%0.10604+18.08%0.1139✗1.19
2026-09-11oos0.091860.090136-1.88%0.11956+30.15%0.1873✗1.18
2026-09-10oos0.0870850.086247-0.96%0.11772+35.18%0.2180✗1.16
2026-09-09oos0.092170.091105-1.16%0.11353+23.17%0.1600✗1.13
2026-09-08oos0.09260.091684-0.99%0.110435+19.26%0.1400✗1.14
2026-09-07oos0.087350.087382+0.04%0.115525+32.26%0.2188✓1.17
2026-09-06oos0.092110.09156-0.60%0.117645+27.72%0.1809✗1.11
2026-09-05oos0.087420.08711-0.35%0.113505+29.84%0.1854✗1.11
2026-09-04oos0.085090.084947-0.17%0.105865+24.42%0.1319✗1.07
2026-09-03oos0.087110.087139+0.03%0.10192+17.00%0.1120✓1.07
2026-09-02oos0.083120.082007-1.34%0.10359+24.63%0.1330✗1.13
2026-09-01oos0.083280.082083-1.44%0.105355+26.51%0.1479✗1.11
2026-08-31oos0.0782050.078503+0.38%0.105095+34.38%0.2296✓1.01
2026-08-30oos0.07870.078438-0.33%0.097375+23.73%0.1403✗1.03
2026-08-29oos0.0820450.082169+0.15%0.098105+19.57%0.1114✓1.02
2026-08-28oos0.084050.0854+1.61%0.1042+23.97%0.1154✓1.02
2026-08-27oos0.08660.089089+2.87%0.10492+21.15%0.1121✓1.02
2026-08-26oos0.0912150.092642+1.56%0.09751+6.90%0.0141✓1.05
2026-08-25oos0.0897450.091426+1.87%0.09728+8.40%0.0135✓1.05
2026-08-24oos0.089410.09202+2.92%0.09182+2.70%0.0715✗1.05
2026-08-23oos0.091150.093189+2.24%0.095125+4.36%0.0908✗1.08
2026-08-22oos0.086550.089533+3.45%0.094145+8.78%0.0751✗1.07
2026-08-21oos0.085920.090198+4.98%0.093675+9.03%0.0006✓1.08
2026-08-20oos0.0838350.084631+0.95%0.09592+14.42%0.0019✓1.19
2026-08-19oos0.079440.078571-1.09%0.088865+11.86%0.0658✓1.22
2026-08-18oos0.071170.069633-2.16%0.08481+19.17%0.0031✓1.17
2026-08-17oos0.072640.070771-2.57%0.08281+14.00%0.0382✓1.17
2026-08-16oos0.0710750.06885-3.13%0.08245+16.00%0.0389✓1.19
2026-08-15oos0.0723550.06972-3.64%0.086245+19.20%0.0419✓1.18
2026-08-14oos0.0733150.07031-4.10%0.08471+15.54%0.0515✓1.20
2026-08-13oos0.0751950.071711-4.63%0.089805+19.43%0.0159✓1.22
2026-08-12oos0.071470.068321-4.41%0.09186+28.53%0.0663✗1.17
2026-08-11oos0.0712050.067903-4.64%0.087085+22.30%0.0331✓1.16
2026-08-10oos0.0722650.068818-4.77%0.09217+27.54%0.0564✗1.16
2026-08-09oos0.07160.068386-4.49%0.0926+29.33%0.0788✗1.18
2026-08-08oos0.064450.062122-3.61%0.08735+35.53%0.1089✗1.17
2026-08-07oos0.0671150.064349-4.12%0.09211+37.24%0.1043✗1.19
2026-08-06oos0.061080.058976-3.44%0.08742+43.12%0.1444✗1.15
2026-08-05oos0.0607350.058308-4.00%0.08509+40.10%0.1351✗1.16
2026-08-04oos0.0611850.058529-4.34%0.08711+42.37%0.1248✗1.15
2026-08-03oos0.063690.060249-5.40%0.08312+30.51%0.0929✗1.16
2026-08-02oos0.0640.060181-5.97%0.08328+30.13%0.0926✗1.17
2026-08-01oos0.065720.061456-6.49%0.078205+19.00%0.0242✓1.18
2026-07-31oos0.0643550.060338-6.24%0.0787+22.29%0.0154✓1.18
2026-07-30oos0.070680.065673-7.08%0.082045+16.08%0.0097✓1.12
2026-07-29oos0.0655950.061884-5.66%0.08405+28.13%0.0963✗1.06
2026-07-28oos0.068750.065025-5.42%0.0866+25.96%0.0426✓1.07
2026-07-27oos0.080950.075732-6.45%0.091215+12.68%0.0492✓1.09
2026-07-26oos0.109890.098585-10.29%0.089745-18.33%0.2521✓0.86
2026-07-25oos0.074760.070788-5.31%0.08941+19.60%0.1011✗0.64
2026-07-24oos0.074610.07069-5.25%0.09115+22.17%0.1319✗0.63
2026-07-23oos0.071630.068339-4.59%0.08655+20.83%0.1278✗0.64
2026-07-22oos0.0731250.070098-4.14%0.08592+17.50%0.0981✗0.62
2026-07-21oos0.070470.068183-3.25%0.083835+18.97%0.1476✗0.63
2026-07-20oos0.071770.069199-3.58%0.07944+10.69%0.0986✗0.65
2026-07-19oos0.070160.067672-3.55%0.07117+1.44%0.0504✗0.64
2026-07-18oos0.0714450.069171-3.18%0.07264+1.67%0.0521✗0.64
2026-07-17oos0.0751150.07213-3.97%0.071075-5.38%0.0024✓0.74
2026-07-16oos0.07410.071199-3.92%0.072355-2.35%0.0251✓0.76
2026-07-15oos0.072620.070178-3.36%0.073315+0.96%0.0645✗0.76
2026-07-14oos0.070420.068408-2.86%0.075195+6.78%0.1133✗0.77
2026-07-13oos0.067470.065248-3.29%0.07147+5.93%0.0772✗0.76
2026-07-12oos0.064410.062906-2.33%0.071205+10.55%0.1266✗0.81
2026-07-11oos0.0663350.064792-2.33%0.072265+8.94%0.1073✗0.84
2026-07-10oos0.066360.064815-2.33%0.0716+7.90%0.0898✗0.87
2026-07-09oos0.064070.062694-2.15%0.06445+0.59%0.0043✓0.86
2026-07-08oos0.064150.062737-2.20%0.067115+4.62%0.0315✗0.86
2026-07-07oos0.064630.063346-1.99%0.06108-5.49%0.0493✓0.87
2026-07-06oos0.066560.065122-2.16%0.060735-8.75%0.0781✓0.90
2026-07-05oos0.0666850.065205-2.22%0.061185-8.25%0.0709✓0.99
2026-07-04oos0.069950.068254-2.42%0.06369-8.95%0.0753✓1.01
2026-07-03oos0.06720.065639-2.32%0.064-4.76%0.0405✓0.98
2026-07-02oos0.0679850.06615-2.70%0.06572-3.33%0.0269✓0.99
2026-07-01oos0.066160.064543-2.44%0.064355-2.73%0.0490✓0.99
2026-06-30oos0.066520.065056-2.20%0.07068+6.25%0.0192✓1.01
2026-06-29oos0.069740.068057-2.41%0.065595-5.94%0.0970✓1.00
2026-06-28oos0.0661250.064585-2.33%0.06875+3.97%0.0060✓0.97
2026-06-27oos0.066540.064989-2.33%0.08095+21.66%0.1615✗0.96
2026-06-26oos0.069340.067311-2.93%0.10989+58.48%0.4089✗0.95
2026-06-25oos0.063360.061843-2.39%0.07476+17.99%0.1202✗0.94
2026-06-24oos0.058580.057471-1.89%0.07461+27.36%0.2094✗1.04
2026-06-23oos0.0585050.057458-1.79%0.07163+22.43%0.1796✗1.08
2026-06-22oos0.0599150.059073-1.41%0.073125+22.05%0.1780✗1.08
2026-06-21oos0.0616450.060338-2.12%0.07047+14.32%0.0997✗1.10
2026-06-20oos0.061780.060497-2.08%0.07177+16.17%0.1540✗1.10
2026-06-19oos0.061280.060217-1.73%0.07016+14.49%0.1326✗1.07
2026-06-18oos0.0635750.062634-1.48%0.071445+12.38%0.0984✗1.11
2026-06-17oos0.067850.066861-1.46%0.075115+10.71%0.1258✗1.09
2026-06-16oos0.074910.073518-1.86%0.0741-1.08%0.0378✗1.05
2026-06-15oos0.0725550.071653-1.24%0.07262+0.09%0.0389✗1.07
2026-06-14oos0.072160.071285-1.21%0.07042-2.41%0.0003✓1.08
2026-06-13oos0.071790.070964-1.15%0.06747-6.02%0.0117✓1.13
2026-06-12oos0.072520.071276-1.72%0.06441-11.18%0.1049✓1.13
2026-06-11oos0.066540.065871-1.01%0.066335-0.31%0.0033✓1.12
2026-06-10oos0.0636950.063118-0.91%0.06636+4.18%0.0028✓1.11
2026-06-09oos0.067980.066637-1.98%0.06407-5.75%0.0658✓1.11
2026-06-08oos0.066120.064832-1.95%0.06415-2.98%0.0044✓1.14
2026-06-07oos0.06680.065163-2.45%0.06463-3.25%0.0086✓1.10
2026-06-06oos0.066170.064177-3.01%0.06656+0.59%0.0195✓1.11
2026-06-05oos0.064740.062793-3.01%0.066685+3.00%0.0146✓1.11
2026-06-04oos0.070640.067619-4.28%0.06995-0.98%0.0461✗1.08
2026-06-03oos0.061860.059918-3.14%0.0672+8.63%0.1420✗1.14
2026-06-02oos0.057580.056145-2.49%0.067985+18.07%0.2897✗1.22
2026-06-01oos0.061980.060079-3.07%0.06616+6.74%0.2949✗1.14
2026-05-31oos0.063880.061752-3.33%0.06652+4.13%0.3385✗1.15
2026-05-30oos0.065240.063033-3.38%0.06974+6.90%0.3054✗1.00
2026-05-29oos0.064470.06241-3.20%0.066125+2.57%0.2584✗0.96
2026-05-28oos0.065880.063647-3.39%0.06654+1.00%0.2349✗0.93
2026-05-27oos0.066450.06424-3.33%0.06934+4.35%0.2846✗0.97
2026-05-26oos0.067280.065237-3.04%0.06336-5.83%0.2126✗1.01
2026-05-25oos0.070450.068277-3.09%0.05858-16.85%0.0263✓0.76
2026-05-24oos0.065660.063863-2.74%0.058505-10.90%0.0370✗0.60
2026-05-23oos0.066040.063936-3.19%0.059915-9.27%0.0323✓0.18
2026-05-22oos0.064450.062147-3.57%0.061645-4.35%0.0244✓0.18
2026-05-21oos0.067540.0648-4.06%0.06178-8.53%0.0192✓0.15
2026-05-20oos0.065590.062518-4.68%0.06128-6.57%0.0079✓0.14
2026-05-19oos0.064840.061524-5.11%0.063575-1.95%0.0533✗0.10
2026-05-18oos0.0663050.062648-5.52%0.06785+2.33%0.0692✗-0.06
2026-05-17oos0.064320.060917-5.29%0.07491+16.46%0.1979✗-0.05
2026-05-16oos0.068910.065345-5.17%0.072555+5.29%0.0928✗-0.07
2026-05-15oos0.0750350.071482-4.73%0.07216-3.83%0.0005✓-0.05
2026-05-14oos0.0725750.069456-4.30%0.07179-1.08%0.0228✓-0.04
2026-05-13oos0.071220.068135-4.33%0.07252+1.83%0.0505✗-0.05
2026-05-12oos0.0731850.070661-3.45%0.06654-9.08%0.0756✓-0.07
2026-05-11oos0.0753550.073407-2.59%0.063695-15.47%0.1645✓-0.08
2026-05-10oos0.0766850.075106-2.06%0.06798-11.35%0.1236✓-0.08
2026-05-09oos0.073520.071829-2.30%0.06612-10.07%0.1076✓-0.10
2026-05-08oos0.075260.073312-2.59%0.0668-11.24%0.1162✓-0.10
2026-05-07oos0.0712650.069656-2.26%0.06617-7.15%0.0784✓-0.10
2026-05-06oos0.0700550.069401-0.93%0.06474-7.59%0.0961✓-0.09
2026-05-05oos0.0709750.070302-0.95%0.07064-0.47%0.0167✓-0.09
2026-05-04oos0.068120.067228-1.31%0.06186-9.19%0.1057✓-0.10
2026-05-03oos0.067960.066456-2.21%0.05758-15.27%0.1603✓-0.10
2026-05-02oos0.06820.066357-2.70%0.06198-9.12%0.0784✓-0.10
2026-05-01oos0.067640.065809-2.71%0.06388-5.56%0.0361✓-0.10
2026-04-30oos0.06790.065614-3.37%0.06524-3.92%0.0092✓-0.10
2026-04-29oos0.0677350.065198-3.75%0.06447-4.82%0.0145✓-0.10
2026-04-28oos0.068310.0656-3.97%0.06588-3.56%0.0003✓-0.11
2026-04-27oos0.0681950.06543-4.05%0.06645-2.56%0.0112✓-0.11
2026-04-26oos0.0701150.067268-4.06%0.06728-4.04%0.0043✓-0.12
2026-04-25oos0.07080.067671-4.42%0.07045-0.49%0.0396✓-0.12
2026-04-24oos0.077960.073377-5.88%0.06566-15.78%0.1118✓-0.12
2026-04-23oos0.074640.070709-5.27%0.06604-11.52%0.0705✓-0.10
2026-04-22oos0.068860.065527-4.84%0.06445-6.40%0.0202✓-0.10
2026-04-21oos0.068450.064839-5.28%0.06754-1.33%0.0425✓-0.11
2026-04-20oos0.068050.064443-5.30%0.06559-3.61%0.0199✓-0.11
2026-04-19oos0.067120.063776-4.98%0.06484-3.40%0.0211✓-0.12
2026-04-18oos0.074840.070179-6.23%0.066305-11.40%0.0536✓-0.20
2026-04-17oos0.07830.073573-6.04%0.06432-17.85%0.1335✓-0.23
2026-04-16oos0.077370.072255-6.61%0.06891-10.93%0.0382✓-0.24
2026-04-15oos0.076030.07089-6.76%0.075035-1.31%0.0700✗-0.24
2026-04-14oos0.074310.069298-6.75%0.072575-2.33%0.0680✓-0.25
2026-04-13oos0.0771950.071429-7.47%0.07122-7.74%0.0129✓-0.25
2026-04-12oos0.072870.068142-6.49%0.073185+0.43%0.1170✗-0.35
2026-04-11oos0.0778450.07145-8.22%0.075355-3.20%0.1023✗-0.44
2026-04-10oos0.0781450.071432-8.59%0.076685-1.87%0.1231✗-0.44
2026-04-09oos0.0781250.071425-8.58%0.07352-5.89%0.0802✓-0.44
2026-04-08oos0.0772950.070702-8.53%0.07526-2.63%0.1160✗-0.44
2026-04-07oos0.087850.077482-11.80%0.071265-18.88%0.0304✓-0.50
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