ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s4

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0636

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual -0.0072

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.314282	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.341046	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.314845	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.310364	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.317828	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.303946	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.317095	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.289836	-1.95%	0.31945	+8.07%	0.0791	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.304205	-2.18%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1356	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.313986	-2.34%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0182	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.318007	-2.53%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0189	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.317393	-2.70%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0448	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.287103	-2.41%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0925	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.299741	-2.56%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0713	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.289931	-2.64%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0469	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.31171	-2.94%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0348	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.304403	-2.99%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1156	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.314346	-3.11%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0792	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.296748	-3.09%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1220	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.315318	-3.13%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0400	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.318878	-3.21%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0113	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.321051	-3.12%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0709	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.325339	-3.14%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0410	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.31336	-3.16%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0330	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.320458	-3.21%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0185	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.317507	-3.14%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0412	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.328983	-2.88%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0169	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.330991	-2.54%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0117	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.339762	-2.31%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0124	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.334246	-1.78%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0448	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.319085	-1.35%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0624	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.274048	-1.03%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1426	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.278857	-0.99%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1170	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.283033	-1.09%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1346	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.252685	-0.20%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.1894	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.24949	+0.16%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2234	✓	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.243871	+0.75%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.1941	✓	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.267986	-0.23%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.0871	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.260355	+0.25%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0070	✓	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.261587	+0.38%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0241	✓	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.256933	+0.80%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0616	✓	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.258078	+0.81%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0166	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.253172	+1.51%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0123	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.25618	+1.58%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0180	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.228912	+3.35%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.1726	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.27024	+2.13%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0040	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.266048	+2.60%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0110	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.261606	+3.08%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0038	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.272593	+3.49%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0066	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.264294	+1.44%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0707	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.255713	+1.63%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0275	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.262399	+1.55%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1764	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.25005	+1.28%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0218	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.2535	+1.12%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0022	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.257838	+0.60%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0394	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.2611	+0.97%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0039	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.263837	+0.51%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0104	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.263423	+0.39%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0307	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.268141	+0.31%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0313	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.266937	+0.09%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0772	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.270258	-0.24%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0912	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.266643	-0.32%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0329	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.24099	-0.79%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0261	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.213651	-0.86%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0899	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.198504	-1.44%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1124	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.199685	-1.44%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1171	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.202254	-1.39%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0868	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.199851	-1.31%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1250	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.204293	-1.31%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0741	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.206301	-1.29%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0354	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.213029	-1.33%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0684	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.218582	-1.36%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0977	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.234455	-1.57%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1537	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.232262	-1.50%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0962	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.235129	-1.54%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1231	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.232121	-1.48%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0880	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.230585	-1.50%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0866	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.222167	-1.39%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0121	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.21888	-1.41%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0196	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.213251	-1.36%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1045	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.211147	-1.38%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0915	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.199688	-1.14%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1495	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.202154	-1.20%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1248	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.204671	-1.27%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1406	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.205705	-1.29%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0811	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.20479	-1.26%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0779	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.198522	-1.09%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0885	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.206258	-1.08%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0623	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.213039	-1.05%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0314	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.214256	-0.94%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0284	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.218387	-0.87%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0476	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.216601	-0.69%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0081	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.222043	-0.65%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0314	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.218495	-0.59%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0639	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.219367	-0.56%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0599	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.220016	-0.49%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0150	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.220061	-0.47%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0198	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.21912	-0.40%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0118	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.219318	-0.31%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0239	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.212676	-0.11%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0292	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.210231	-0.03%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0020	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.221296	-0.09%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0163	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.220205	+0.00%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0096	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.219151	+0.11%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0121	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.218625	+0.19%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0020	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.222059	+0.21%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0444	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.222165	+0.30%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0660	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.223848	+0.34%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0377	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.216961	+0.49%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0186	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.214133	+0.58%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0188	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.214064	+0.59%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0013	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.209304	+0.68%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0192	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.204976	+0.77%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0473	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.192658	+1.19%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0774	✓	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.204328	+0.90%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0409	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.204647	+0.96%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0025	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.206744	+0.95%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0099	✗	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.207164	+1.01%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0048	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.214322	+0.91%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0532	✗	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.221746	+0.75%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0737	✗	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.223098	+0.72%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.1076	✗	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.222613	+0.73%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0483	✗	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.219497	+0.83%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0332	✗	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.219448	+0.85%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0158	✗	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.216419	+0.99%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0106	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.215871	+1.11%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0230	✓	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.22204	+1.02%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0322	✓	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.227714	+0.94%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0073	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.235163	+0.80%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0349	✗	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.228512	+0.93%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0195	✗	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.224458	+1.06%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0286	✗	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.224495	+1.08%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0457	✗	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.222941	+1.06%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0349	✗	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.213522	+1.53%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0067	✓	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.21909	+1.34%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0169	✗	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.21518	+1.31%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0427	✓	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.215525	+1.33%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0209	✓	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.213787	+2.00%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0047	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.218739	+1.93%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0144	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.229835	+1.12%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0383	✗	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.238922	+0.90%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.1006	✗	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.253675	+0.19%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.1119	✗	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.26956	-0.64%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1804	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.273056	-0.96%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1783	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.269424	-0.98%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1691	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.261167	-0.85%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1172	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.257368	-0.78%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0619	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.267373	-1.01%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0565	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.280309	-1.26%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0481	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.275249	-1.10%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0323	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.281757	-1.17%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0039	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.281754	-1.17%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0147	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.28006	-1.18%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0465	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.279071	-0.97%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0439	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.28587	-1.05%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0344	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.284501	-1.08%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0044	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.282284	-0.95%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0163	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.28131	-0.77%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0164	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.287336	-0.68%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0022	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.302073	-0.76%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0376	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.305588	-0.56%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0558	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.305271	-0.63%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0418	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.308275	-0.46%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0424	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.320349	-0.51%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0818	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.31124	-0.24%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0580	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.308317	-0.19%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0447	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.308899	-0.16%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0064	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.307898	-0.07%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0097	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.316287	+0.12%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0098	✗	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.318674	+0.09%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0257	✗	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.301697	+0.30%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0527	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.298454	-0.05%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0211	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.301096	-0.03%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0127	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.301871	-0.21%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0116	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.294307	-0.81%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0195	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.294209	-0.94%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0308	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.301874	-0.86%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0207	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.303276	-0.50%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0259	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.311574	-0.07%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0417	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.315386	-0.51%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0534	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.311418	-0.47%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0346	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.314376	-0.13%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0436	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.318958	-0.20%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0536	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.313217	-0.76%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0280	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.313494	-0.89%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0391	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.314714	-1.47%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0461	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.322096	-0.92%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0304	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.328998	-0.51%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0529	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.319628	-0.95%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0386	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.313215	-0.94%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0051	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.307938	-1.08%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0080	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.304047	-0.99%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0282	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.296536	-1.45%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0487	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.310704	-1.30%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0241	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.301665	-1.26%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0595	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.295928	-1.32%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0596	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.296822	-1.32%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0329	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.295452	-1.25%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0339	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.295643	-1.22%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0098	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.292669	-1.23%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0124	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.29334	-1.07%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0196	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.283425	-0.83%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0219	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.285822	-0.79%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0047	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.29131	-0.95%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0058	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.277461	-0.69%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0428	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.273702	-0.44%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0700	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.270305	-0.22%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0634	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.279196	-0.36%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0510	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.284672	-0.43%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0018	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.288283	-0.56%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0170	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.292994	-0.55%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0331	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.291656	-0.53%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0215	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.294896	-0.51%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0316	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.284572	-0.33%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0312	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.287553	-0.26%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0014	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.289244	-0.09%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0271	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.299408	-0.03%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0216	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.314901	+0.03%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0672	✗	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.329796	+0.18%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0868	✗	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.335868	+0.23%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0894	✗	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.326917	+0.25%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0899	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.317167	+0.34%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0741	✗	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.324254	+0.33%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.1093	✗	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.317894	+0.44%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0540	✗	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.320218	+0.48%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0265	✗	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.323478	+0.49%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0178	✗	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.322752	+0.48%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0205	✗	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.322644	+0.45%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0535	✗	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.320677	+0.56%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0518	✗	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.321962	+0.64%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0229	✗	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.317561	+0.88%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0001	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.326749	+0.94%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0017	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.333629	+0.89%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0528	✗	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.340701	+0.92%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0548	✗	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.348641	+0.85%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0843	✗	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.358338	+0.80%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.1200	✗	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.35042	+0.90%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.1175	✗	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.358335	+0.80%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1680	✗	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.362206	+0.64%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1646	✗	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.32016	+1.16%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0130	✗	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.301576	+1.51%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0692	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.298518	+1.47%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1666	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.308292	+1.38%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1528	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.309486	+1.44%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1394	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.315391	+1.48%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1139	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.325355	+1.42%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.0831	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.333643	+1.32%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0134	✗	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.333974	+1.36%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0678	✗	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.336998	+1.44%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.1224	✗	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.378266	+0.92%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1979	✗	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.374651	+1.04%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1961	✗	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.367017	+1.36%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1750	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.365823	+1.45%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.1241	✗	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.384149	+1.15%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1385	✗	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.388488	+1.06%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1504	✗	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.399088	+0.91%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1665	✗	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.404434	+0.86%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0822	✗	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.409529	+0.55%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0801	✗	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.366454	+2.88%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0488	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.368587	+1.07%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0640	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.367646	+0.75%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1317	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.359375	+0.58%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2013	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.350158	+1.26%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2186	✓	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.365324	+0.78%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2330	✓	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.389099	-0.26%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2386	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.406445	-0.50%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.1931	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.419739	-1.01%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0832	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.42702	-1.08%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0229	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.421759	-1.00%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0423	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.424486	-0.94%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0730	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.42855	-1.19%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0263	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.427724	-1.24%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0191	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.432133	-1.27%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0108	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.442688	-1.41%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0405	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.427299	-1.23%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0008	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.447105	-1.56%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0101	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.455648	-1.57%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0357	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.467224	-1.43%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0055	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.47318	-1.32%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0072	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.48429	-1.31%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0185	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.504462	-1.22%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0153	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.453459	-1.10%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0459	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.442124	-1.20%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0083	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.447242	-1.18%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0031	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.448802	-1.14%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0094	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.455236	-1.16%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0207	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.44778	-1.06%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0270	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.453971	-1.03%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0329	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.47941	-1.03%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0693	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.49447	-1.01%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0592	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.486905	-0.93%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0634	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.482643	-0.81%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0577	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.488554	-0.76%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0677	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.480397	-0.58%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0958	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.465089	-0.28%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0730	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.493746	-0.43%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.1005	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.474773	-0.26%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0528	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.476489	-0.36%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0249	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.43169	+0.04%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0774	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.428812	+0.12%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.0975	✓	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.431893	+0.14%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.0882	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.442987	+0.06%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0532	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.446357	+0.12%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.0904	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.465712	+0.05%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0441	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.476212	+0.04%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0159	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.495355	-0.13%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1300	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.486634	-0.10%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1153	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.454166	+0.30%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0782	✗	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.463667	+0.17%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0678	✗	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.456127	+0.20%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0163	✗	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.452128	+0.36%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0043	✗	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.476269	+0.12%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0077	✗	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.477538	+0.15%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0673	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.48257	+0.20%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0426	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.496152	+0.19%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0171	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.515333	+0.10%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0176	✗	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.521443	+0.10%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0625	✗	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.524819	+0.10%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0867	✗	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.534667	+0.05%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0824	✗	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.526023	+0.12%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.1134	✗	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.505843	+0.33%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0635	✗	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.511746	+0.34%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0397	✗	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.521093	+0.35%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0094	✓	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.540042	+0.29%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0578	✗	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.504716	+0.82%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0339	✗	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.544372	+0.55%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0190	✗	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.551574	+0.63%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0237	✗	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.58721	+0.48%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1275	✗	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.605475	+0.43%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1838	✗	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.620086	+0.35%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.2238	✗	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.62666	+0.28%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.2178	✗	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.605992	+0.31%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1571	✗	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.619295	-0.11%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1954	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.535163	+0.82%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0779	✗	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.461508	+2.15%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1403	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.46113	+2.16%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.1895	✓	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.478656	+1.35%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2721	✓	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.51404	+0.71%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.2900	✓	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.505771	+0.95%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2425	✓	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.517317	+0.65%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3077	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.523115	+0.54%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2022	✓	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.525583	+0.78%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0129	✓	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.568445	+0.10%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0108	✗	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.596288	-0.12%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0693	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.619694	-0.27%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0345	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.620718	-0.33%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0081	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.639061	-0.41%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0481	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.63821	-0.37%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0932	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.640694	-0.50%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0608	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.613594	-0.28%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0503	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.639448	-0.69%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0336	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.571508	-0.02%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0606	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.560729	-0.17%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1142	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.60534	-0.73%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1500	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.623192	-0.88%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1520	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.619496	-0.83%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1390	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.625393	-0.78%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.0985	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.605318	-0.60%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1629	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.599053	-0.65%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1420	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.682014	-1.16%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0760	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.731199	-1.44%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1202	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.67191	-1.02%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0420	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.675993	-1.01%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0564	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.657539	-0.90%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0148	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.612834	-0.38%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0426	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.62929	-0.51%	0.603	-4.66%	0.1090	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.660114	-0.90%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0070	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.666689	-0.95%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0208	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.619577	-0.50%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0261	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.610551	-0.33%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0449	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.621743	-0.55%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0369	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.648346	-0.97%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0061	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.666663	-1.40%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0148	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.68645	-1.81%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0369	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.691649	-2.09%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0656	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.609429	-1.16%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0711	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.579961	-1.13%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1506	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.668033	-2.00%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1115	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.699431	-1.83%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0922	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.689494	-2.16%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0837	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.725679	-1.40%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0766	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.70191	-1.71%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1081	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.707766	-1.90%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0053	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.718339	-1.97%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0884	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.729453	-2.19%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0809	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.710181	-2.45%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0534	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.671225	-2.27%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0415	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.676627	-2.36%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0490	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.693894	-2.20%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1290	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.681791	-1.89%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1258	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.670416	-1.78%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0911	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.683365	-1.69%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0819	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.721372	-2.17%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0686	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.702081	-1.90%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0529	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.733151	-1.87%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0817	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.769419	-1.91%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0323	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.789814	-1.81%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0359	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.788036	-1.72%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0513	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.79982	-1.62%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0165	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.765511	-1.61%	0.7374	-5.22%	0.0097	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.