ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s4

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

43.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1021

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0221

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.295445	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.298296	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.332268	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.306543	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.30188	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.308167	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.294264	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.30634	-5.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.279574	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.293467	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.301629	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.305603	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.304114	-6.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.274768	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.286436	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.27665	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.297383	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.290191	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.299724	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.282077	-7.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.299938	-7.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.303034	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.305251	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.309542	-7.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.298243	-7.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.305517	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.303346	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.315845	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.319972	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.330258	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.329016	-3.32%	0.3079	-9.52%	0.0356	✓	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.317915	-1.71%	0.3086	-4.59%	0.0098	✓	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.270904	-2.17%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2237	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.276292	-1.90%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1390	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.280175	-2.09%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1038	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.246905	-2.49%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2041	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.243488	-2.25%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.1688	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.23742	-1.91%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2234	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.263608	-1.86%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.0726	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.254365	-2.05%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1231	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.255762	-1.86%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.1728	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.25065	-1.67%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.1836	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.250915	-1.99%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.1830	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.247402	-0.80%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1187	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.250474	-0.68%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.1632	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.22322	+0.78%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2320	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.26443	-0.06%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1334	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.260786	+0.57%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1157	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.257398	+1.42%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1537	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.269851	+2.45%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.0871	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.263213	+1.02%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1227	✓	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.256608	+1.99%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1564	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.265171	+2.62%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.1588	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.25351	+2.68%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2053	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.25863	+3.16%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.1587	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.263195	+2.69%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1468	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.2703	+4.52%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1408	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.272495	+3.81%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1527	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.272934	+4.01%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1427	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.279397	+4.53%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1485	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.278394	+4.38%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.0919	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.282073	+4.12%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0137	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.284224	+6.25%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0641	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.251657	+3.61%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0039	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.215591	+0.04%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1467	✓	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.194587	-3.38%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1208	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.195609	-3.45%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.0987	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.197614	-3.65%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0380	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.195405	-3.50%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1261	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.199813	-3.47%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.0843	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.202014	-3.34%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0753	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.208614	-3.37%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0232	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.214095	-3.39%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0140	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.229185	-3.78%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0928	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.227642	-3.46%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0679	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.230417	-3.51%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.2156	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.227753	-3.33%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0392	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.226093	-3.42%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0548	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.218295	-3.11%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0358	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.214838	-3.23%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0081	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.209194	-3.24%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0463	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.20711	-3.26%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0160	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.196008	-2.97%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.0798	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.19832	-3.07%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0334	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.20136	-2.87%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0508	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.201966	-3.09%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0617	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.201142	-3.02%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0469	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.195337	-2.67%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1035	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.203741	-2.28%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.0922	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.210371	-2.29%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0534	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.211999	-1.99%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0573	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.216859	-1.56%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0713	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.216177	-0.88%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0594	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.222063	-0.64%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0058	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.218411	-0.63%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0677	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.219334	-0.57%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0853	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.220414	-0.31%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0800	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.220349	-0.34%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0573	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.21973	-0.12%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0714	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.220699	+0.32%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0403	✗	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.214907	+0.94%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0064	✓	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.211813	+0.72%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0024	✓	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.223399	+0.86%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0051	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.222778	+1.17%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.0651	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.222367	+1.58%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0489	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.221938	+1.71%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.0494	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.225344	+1.69%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0070	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.226378	+2.20%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0202	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.228753	+2.53%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0236	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.222286	+2.96%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0075	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.219692	+3.19%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0211	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.219602	+3.20%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0382	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.214541	+3.19%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0773	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.209553	+3.03%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0624	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.196851	+3.39%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0276	✓	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.208969	+3.19%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0484	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.208977	+3.10%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0617	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.211155	+3.10%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0974	✗	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.211657	+3.20%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0806	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.218541	+2.89%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0724	✗	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.226173	+2.76%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0818	✗	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.228096	+2.98%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0630	✗	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.227985	+3.16%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0693	✗	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.224757	+3.24%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0439	✗	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.225055	+3.43%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0354	✗	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.221994	+3.59%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0207	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.221517	+3.76%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0246	✓	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.228223	+3.83%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0253	✓	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.234246	+3.83%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0412	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.241785	+3.64%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0763	✗	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.235094	+3.84%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0909	✗	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.230611	+3.83%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0663	✗	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.230022	+3.57%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0402	✗	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.227847	+3.29%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0367	✗	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.217442	+3.40%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0253	✓	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.222092	+2.73%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0355	✗	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.217653	+2.47%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0281	✓	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.217231	+2.13%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0192	✓	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.214396	+2.29%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0020	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.218825	+1.97%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0436	✗	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.229724	+1.07%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0680	✗	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.238201	+0.59%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0971	✗	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.251999	-0.47%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.1424	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.266199	-1.88%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1874	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.268731	-2.53%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2357	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.264764	-2.70%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1813	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.256591	-2.59%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1454	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.252694	-2.59%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.1202	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.261843	-3.06%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1509	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.274118	-3.45%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1556	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.270307	-2.87%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0672	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.276304	-3.09%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.1043	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.275992	-3.19%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1269	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.273364	-3.54%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1340	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.274232	-2.69%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1283	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.280558	-2.89%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1622	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.278348	-3.22%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1591	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.276383	-3.02%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1334	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.276207	-2.57%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.1140	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.28305	-2.16%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.1060	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.298295	-2.01%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1723	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.304152	-1.02%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1842	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.302326	-1.59%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1811	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.306894	-0.91%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1952	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.319991	-0.62%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2535	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.312227	+0.07%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1985	✗	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.308357	-0.18%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.2276	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.308756	-0.21%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.2345	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.307991	-0.04%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.2249	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.318628	+0.86%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1871	✗	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.320548	+0.67%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.2123	✗	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.302701	+0.63%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.1273	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.297824	-0.26%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0778	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.300648	-0.18%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0515	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.300794	-0.56%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0546	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.29045	-2.11%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0465	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.289734	-2.45%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0775	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.298223	-2.06%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1186	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.301805	-0.98%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0885	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.312862	+0.34%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0765	✗	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.315045	-0.62%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.1211	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.311613	-0.41%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0854	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.317239	+0.77%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0951	✗	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.322184	+0.81%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.1082	✗	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.31278	-0.89%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.1130	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.312371	-1.24%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0899	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.309423	-3.12%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.0957	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.321327	-1.16%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1291	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.332395	+0.51%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1614	✗	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.318983	-1.15%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.1198	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.312649	-1.12%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0582	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.306172	-1.65%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0475	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.303074	-1.31%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0241	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.290889	-3.33%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0149	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.307304	-2.38%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0196	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.298556	-2.27%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0262	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.291796	-2.70%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0116	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.29243	-2.78%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0146	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.29195	-2.42%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0092	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.290981	-2.78%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0207	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.288065	-2.78%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0027	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.288997	-2.53%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0656	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.280036	-2.02%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0341	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.282704	-1.87%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0362	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.288177	-2.01%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0368	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.2754	-1.43%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0050	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.271868	-1.10%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0095	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.268642	-0.83%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0336	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.27728	-1.04%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0020	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.282484	-1.19%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0090	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.287018	-0.99%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0219	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.293464	-0.39%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0110	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.291799	-0.48%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0090	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.295469	-0.31%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0153	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.283777	-0.60%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0309	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.287758	-0.19%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0332	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.291275	+0.61%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.0627	✓	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.301793	+0.77%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0228	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.318935	+1.31%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0159	✗	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.337159	+2.42%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0546	✗	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.344661	+2.85%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0858	✗	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.334711	+2.64%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0843	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.324263	+2.58%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0829	✗	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.33156	+2.59%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0953	✗	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.325507	+2.85%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0562	✗	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.328033	+2.93%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0963	✗	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.331421	+2.96%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.1165	✗	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.32974	+2.66%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.1163	✗	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.327853	+2.07%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.1473	✗	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.3271	+2.57%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.1041	✗	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.3294	+2.97%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.1145	✗	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.327735	+4.11%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0649	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.338807	+4.67%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.1151	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.343195	+3.78%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.1596	✗	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.351085	+3.99%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.1697	✗	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.357353	+3.37%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2742	✗	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.367931	+3.50%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2888	✗	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.359782	+3.59%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2849	✗	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.368649	+3.70%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.2607	✗	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.372495	+3.50%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.2455	✗	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.327231	+3.39%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1710	✗	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.308327	+3.78%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.1136	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.306857	+4.30%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0757	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.316772	+4.17%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0961	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.317793	+4.16%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.1056	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.322954	+3.91%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.1352	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.332384	+3.61%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1836	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.341065	+3.57%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.1571	✗	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.342173	+3.85%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.1098	✗	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.34551	+4.01%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.1045	✗	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.38623	+3.05%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1959	✗	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.382037	+3.03%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.2017	✗	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.373325	+3.10%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.2224	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.372511	+3.30%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1871	✗	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.390641	+2.85%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.2301	✗	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.394809	+2.71%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.2154	✗	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.404116	+2.18%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.2239	✗	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.407459	+1.61%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.2286	✗	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.410419	+0.77%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1928	✗	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.363338	+2.00%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1783	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.36749	+0.77%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0689	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.365272	+0.10%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0806	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.356294	-0.28%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0040	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.346859	+0.31%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.0793	✓	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.361498	-0.28%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.0780	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.384116	-1.53%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1641	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.400374	-1.99%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1357	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.413245	-2.54%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1650	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.41998	-2.71%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1392	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.414496	-2.70%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1391	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.41632	-2.84%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0613	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.420067	-3.14%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0171	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.418844	-3.29%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0228	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.42292	-3.38%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0059	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.432374	-3.70%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0242	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.417277	-3.54%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0402	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.436935	-3.80%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.0976	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.446025	-3.65%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.1021	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.459684	-3.02%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0613	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.467131	-2.58%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0680	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.478893	-2.41%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1476	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.502233	-1.66%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1219	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.45074	-1.69%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2217	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.435699	-2.64%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.1950	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.440782	-2.61%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.1999	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.442339	-2.57%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1783	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.448615	-2.60%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2164	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.442125	-2.31%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2632	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.448708	-2.18%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2662	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.475514	-1.83%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2735	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.491207	-1.66%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0543	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.483255	-1.68%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0117	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.479834	-1.39%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0939	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.486254	-1.23%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.1177	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.479394	-0.79%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.1080	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.46615	-0.05%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.1229	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.495098	-0.16%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.1297	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.476999	+0.21%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1501	✗	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.478689	+0.10%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.1228	✗	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.435233	+0.87%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0282	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.432134	+0.90%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0030	✓	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.435072	+0.87%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0324	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.446001	+0.75%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0577	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.449666	+0.87%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0580	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.469816	+0.93%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0576	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.480828	+1.01%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.1007	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.499037	+0.61%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1582	✗	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.490414	+0.68%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.1410	✗	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.457207	+0.97%	0.474	+4.68%	0.1074	✗	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.466309	+0.74%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.1092	✗	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.459536	+0.95%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0493	✗	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.454681	+0.93%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0410	✗	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.47933	+0.76%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.1503	✗	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.482142	+1.12%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0885	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.487529	+1.23%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0833	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.502902	+1.56%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0700	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.52142	+1.29%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.1012	✗	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.528086	+1.38%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.1294	✗	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.530364	+1.16%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.1546	✗	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.539995	+1.05%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.1584	✗	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.530875	+1.04%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.1303	✗	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.511427	+1.43%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0726	✗	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.519211	+1.81%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0419	✗	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.529424	+1.95%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0191	✓	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.547017	+1.58%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0827	✗	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.511442	+2.17%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.1126	✗	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.55286	+2.12%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0768	✗	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.561373	+2.42%	0.476	-13.15%	0.1048	✗	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.596549	+2.08%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1723	✗	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.615085	+2.02%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2980	✗	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.629075	+1.81%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.3334	✗	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.633747	+1.42%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3822	✗	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.613285	+1.52%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.3148	✗	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.622958	+0.48%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.3454	✗	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.539156	+1.57%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.2119	✗	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.464551	+2.82%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0351	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.463341	+2.65%	0.496	+9.88%	0.0383	✓	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.481691	+1.99%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.0689	✓	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.515733	+1.04%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0025	✓	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.5063	+1.06%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0112	✓	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.517014	+0.59%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0193	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.522463	+0.42%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0079	✓	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.525871	+0.84%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0080	✓	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.568533	+0.11%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0219	✗	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.596058	-0.16%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0292	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.618907	-0.40%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0572	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.62057	-0.36%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0367	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.63776	-0.61%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0071	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.636054	-0.71%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0034	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.637654	-0.97%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0408	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.610865	-0.72%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0541	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.634321	-1.49%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0136	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.568969	-0.46%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0394	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.559233	-0.44%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1484	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.600653	-1.50%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2134	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.616496	-1.94%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2056	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.612291	-1.99%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2049	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.618458	-1.88%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.1807	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.600303	-1.43%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3082	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.594434	-1.42%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.3895	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.672503	-2.54%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3164	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.719024	-3.08%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3267	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.663651	-2.23%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3017	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.667486	-2.26%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3370	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.649398	-2.13%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2353	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.608346	-1.11%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.0824	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.62355	-1.42%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0402	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.651636	-2.17%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0113	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.656511	-2.46%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0045	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.610989	-1.88%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0445	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.601669	-1.78%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0377	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.611463	-2.20%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0374	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.635921	-2.87%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0520	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.651113	-3.70%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0640	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.667777	-4.48%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0903	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.670424	-5.09%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.1038	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.591293	-4.10%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1189	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.562943	-4.03%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2538	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.650226	-4.62%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2477	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.685437	-3.80%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.1995	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.669889	-4.94%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1781	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.720347	-2.13%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1525	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.69108	-3.22%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.0925	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.693685	-3.86%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0126	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.703914	-3.94%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0023	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.711197	-4.64%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0107	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.687335	-5.59%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0213	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.645773	-5.97%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0508	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.650024	-6.20%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0059	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.667416	-5.93%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1118	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.655649	-5.65%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0141	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.644322	-5.61%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0695	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.657846	-5.36%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0086	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.694646	-5.80%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0179	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.676554	-5.47%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0097	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.709331	-5.06%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0595	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.747766	-4.67%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0560	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.770053	-4.27%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0667	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.769677	-4.01%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0255	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.784498	-3.51%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0779	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.