DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +7d
assessed
57
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
61.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0915
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0203
actual -0.0336
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.204 | 0.200834 | -1.55% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.20397 | -2.08% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.187886 | -1.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.183535 | -1.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.179871 | -1.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.180704 | -1.42% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.185614 | -1.45% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.187293 | -1.37% | 0.204 | +7.42% | 0.0758 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.203603 | -1.57% | 0.2083 | +0.70% | 0.0241 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.227915 | -2.06% | 0.19055 | -18.11% | 0.1799 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.263691 | -2.71% | 0.1862 | -31.30% | 0.3360 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.246531 | -2.17% | 0.18235 | -27.64% | 0.2908 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.22899 | -1.95% | 0.1833 | -21.52% | 0.2152 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.216574 | -1.96% | 0.18835 | -14.74% | 0.1426 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.214119 | -1.74% | 0.1899 | -12.85% | 0.1077 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.211166 | -1.58% | 0.20685 | -3.59% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.210334 | -1.67% | 0.2327 | +8.79% | 0.1324 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.210995 | -1.77% | 0.27105 | +26.19% | 0.2725 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.210405 | -1.63% | 0.252 | +17.81% | 0.1948 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.212072 | -1.59% | 0.23355 | +8.38% | 0.1120 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.212515 | -1.70% | 0.2209 | +2.17% | 0.0639 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.21051 | -1.56% | 0.2179 | +1.89% | 0.0367 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.211015 | -1.60% | 0.21455 | +0.05% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.207446 | -1.61% | 0.2139 | +1.45% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.221071 | -2.01% | 0.2148 | -4.79% | 0.0441 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.226472 | -2.13% | 0.2139 | -7.56% | 0.0596 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.220262 | -2.00% | 0.2155 | -4.12% | 0.0250 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.220042 | -1.85% | 0.2162 | -3.57% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.216311 | -1.81% | 0.21385 | -2.93% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.217158 | -1.67% | 0.21445 | -2.90% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.216018 | -1.50% | 0.21085 | -3.85% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.20824 | -1.77% | 0.2256 | +6.42% | 0.0529 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.212065 | -1.78% | 0.2314 | +7.18% | 0.0611 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.208547 | -1.88% | 0.22475 | +5.74% | 0.0481 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.198287 | -2.13% | 0.2242 | +10.66% | 0.0625 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.192927 | -2.07% | 0.2203 | +11.83% | 0.0702 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.19562 | -2.19% | 0.22085 | +10.42% | 0.0415 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.209124 | -2.03% | 0.2193 | +2.74% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.21185 | -2.19% | 0.212 | -2.12% | 0.0305 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.211017 | -2.13% | 0.2159 | +0.14% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.206625 | -2.14% | 0.21255 | +0.66% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.195283 | -2.02% | 0.2026 | +1.66% | 0.0382 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.201484 | -1.95% | 0.197 | -4.14% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.215336 | -2.01% | 0.2 | -8.99% | 0.0367 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.229144 | -1.93% | 0.21345 | -8.65% | 0.0593 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.238566 | -1.68% | 0.2166 | -10.74% | 0.0515 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.242404 | -1.74% | 0.2156 | -12.61% | 0.0845 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.237868 | -1.85% | 0.21115 | -12.87% | 0.0877 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.237279 | -1.73% | 0.1993 | -17.46% | 0.1145 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.230092 | -2.73% | 0.2055 | -13.13% | 0.1256 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.251058 | -2.58% | 0.21975 | -14.73% | 0.1467 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.267173 | -2.03% | 0.23365 | -14.32% | 0.1408 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.300532 | -1.82% | 0.24265 | -20.73% | 0.2478 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.276622 | -1.82% | 0.2467 | -12.44% | 0.1347 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.254668 | -2.29% | 0.24235 | -7.02% | 0.0729 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.233672 | -2.02% | 0.24145 | +1.24% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.231298 | -1.99% | 0.23655 | +0.23% | 0.0444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.241798 | -1.91% | 0.2577 | +4.54% | 0.0782 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.226746 | -2.07% | 0.2727 | +17.77% | 0.1899 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.21953 | -2.41% | 0.3061 | +36.07% | 0.3333 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.227532 | -2.26% | 0.28175 | +21.03% | 0.1985 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.249426 | -1.51% | 0.26065 | +2.92% | 0.0502 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.227317 | -3.39% | 0.2385 | +1.36% | 0.0468 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.24194 | -5.16% | 0.236 | -7.49% | 0.1562 | ✓ | 1.00 |