DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +1d
assessed
63
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
50.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0376
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0034
actual -0.0061
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.204 | 0.203472 | -0.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.207014 | -0.62% | 0.204 | -2.06% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.190196 | -0.19% | 0.2083 | +9.32% | 0.0816 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.185827 | -0.20% | 0.19055 | +2.34% | 0.0266 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.182113 | -0.13% | 0.1862 | +2.11% | 0.0168 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.183009 | -0.16% | 0.18235 | -0.52% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.188089 | -0.14% | 0.1833 | -2.68% | 0.0204 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.189708 | -0.10% | 0.18835 | -0.82% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.20644 | -0.20% | 0.1899 | -8.19% | 0.0712 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.231715 | -0.42% | 0.20685 | -11.11% | 0.1252 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.268926 | -0.78% | 0.2327 | -14.15% | 0.1308 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.250925 | -0.43% | 0.27105 | +7.56% | 0.0718 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.23278 | -0.33% | 0.252 | +7.90% | 0.0768 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.220099 | -0.36% | 0.23355 | +5.73% | 0.0534 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.217279 | -0.29% | 0.2209 | +1.38% | 0.0280 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.214206 | -0.16% | 0.2179 | +1.56% | 0.0345 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213518 | -0.18% | 0.21455 | +0.30% | 0.0064 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.214373 | -0.20% | 0.2139 | -0.42% | 0.0036 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213543 | -0.17% | 0.2148 | +0.42% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.215146 | -0.16% | 0.2139 | -0.74% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.215824 | -0.17% | 0.2155 | -0.32% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.213557 | -0.14% | 0.2162 | +1.10% | 0.0022 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.214145 | -0.14% | 0.21385 | -0.28% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.210551 | -0.14% | 0.21445 | +1.71% | 0.0169 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.225049 | -0.24% | 0.21085 | -6.54% | 0.0575 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.230741 | -0.28% | 0.2256 | -2.51% | 0.0229 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.224196 | -0.25% | 0.2314 | +2.96% | 0.0292 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.223727 | -0.21% | 0.22475 | +0.25% | 0.0068 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.219846 | -0.21% | 0.2242 | +1.77% | 0.0196 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.220421 | -0.19% | 0.2203 | -0.25% | 0.0142 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.218928 | -0.17% | 0.22085 | +0.71% | 0.0120 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.211584 | -0.20% | 0.2193 | +3.44% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.215389 | -0.24% | 0.212 | -1.81% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.211874 | -0.32% | 0.2159 | +1.58% | 0.0158 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.202019 | -0.29% | 0.21255 | +4.91% | 0.0161 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.196545 | -0.23% | 0.2026 | +2.84% | 0.0287 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.199464 | -0.27% | 0.197 | -1.50% | 0.0169 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.212843 | -0.28% | 0.2 | -6.30% | 0.0432 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.215794 | -0.37% | 0.21345 | -1.45% | 0.0209 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.214834 | -0.36% | 0.2166 | +0.46% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.210342 | -0.38% | 0.2156 | +2.11% | 0.0243 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.198729 | -0.29% | 0.21115 | +5.95% | 0.0555 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.204939 | -0.27% | 0.1993 | -3.02% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.219063 | -0.31% | 0.2055 | -6.48% | 0.0618 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.232831 | -0.35% | 0.21975 | -5.95% | 0.0497 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.241911 | -0.30% | 0.23365 | -3.71% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.245932 | -0.31% | 0.24265 | -1.64% | 0.0198 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.241612 | -0.30% | 0.2467 | +1.79% | 0.0189 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.240871 | -0.24% | 0.24235 | +0.37% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.235584 | -0.41% | 0.24145 | +2.07% | 0.0253 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.256706 | -0.39% | 0.23655 | -8.21% | 0.0806 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.271933 | -0.28% | 0.2577 | -5.50% | 0.0388 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.305041 | -0.35% | 0.2727 | -10.91% | 0.1236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.280661 | -0.39% | 0.3061 | +8.64% | 0.0941 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.259379 | -0.49% | 0.28175 | +8.10% | 0.0777 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.237526 | -0.41% | 0.26065 | +9.29% | 0.1237 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.235012 | -0.42% | 0.2385 | +1.06% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.245263 | -0.50% | 0.236 | -4.26% | 0.0448 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.230151 | -0.60% | 0.2465 | +6.46% | 0.0744 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.223419 | -0.68% | 0.23155 | +2.93% | 0.0198 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.231174 | -0.70% | 0.22495 | -3.37% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.251402 | -0.73% | 0.2328 | -8.08% | 0.0605 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.233026 | -0.97% | 0.25325 | +7.63% | 0.0130 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.251353 | -1.47% | 0.2353 | -7.76% | 0.1182 | ✓ | 1.00 |