DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s4
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +7d
assessed
133
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
64.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2238
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0084
actual -0.2049
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001339 | +2.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000982701 | +3.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001431 | +2.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001838 | -0.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.002008 | -1.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002728 | -2.44% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002355 | -1.44% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002282 | -0.99% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002348 | -1.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002481 | -1.39% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002554 | -1.46% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.00281 | -1.75% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003091 | -1.97% | 0.002796 | -11.31% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003002 | -1.71% | 0.00239 | -21.76% | 0.0737 | ✓ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002896 | -1.74% | 0.002305 | -21.78% | 0.0708 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.002979 | -1.86% | 0.002374 | -21.78% | 0.0990 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.003009 | -1.85% | 0.002516 | -17.94% | 0.1036 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003169 | -1.97% | 0.002592 | -19.83% | 0.1738 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003244 | -1.97% | 0.00286 | -13.57% | 0.0676 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003133 | -1.84% | 0.003153 | -1.22% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.00276 | -1.32% | 0.003054 | +9.19% | 0.0212 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.00271 | -1.14% | 0.002947 | +7.52% | 0.0821 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002817 | -1.20% | 0.003035 | +6.45% | 0.0880 | ✗ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002902 | -1.21% | 0.003066 | +4.36% | 0.0848 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002962 | -1.22% | 0.003233 | +7.80% | 0.0831 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002915 | -1.07% | 0.003309 | +12.32% | 0.0511 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.00268 | -0.51% | 0.003192 | +18.49% | 0.2604 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002877 | -0.70% | 0.002797 | -3.45% | 0.0361 | ✗ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003069 | -0.94% | 0.002741 | -11.52% | 0.1287 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.00331 | -1.43% | 0.002851 | -15.10% | 0.1650 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002978 | -0.80% | 0.002938 | -2.13% | 0.1284 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002724 | +0.01% | 0.002999 | +10.10% | 0.1754 | ✗ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002593 | +0.60% | 0.002946 | +14.27% | 0.2004 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002661 | +0.63% | 0.002694 | +1.89% | 0.4160 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002819 | +0.19% | 0.002897 | +2.95% | 0.3394 | ✗ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.00268 | +0.85% | 0.003098 | +16.60% | 0.1989 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002619 | +1.28% | 0.003358 | +29.85% | 0.1081 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002774 | +0.73% | 0.003002 | +9.01% | 0.1617 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002901 | +0.56% | 0.002724 | -5.58% | 0.1554 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002641 | +2.66% | 0.002578 | +0.19% | 0.1515 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003277 | -0.03% | 0.002644 | -19.34% | 0.2564 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003179 | +0.38% | 0.002814 | -11.15% | 0.1540 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.003003 | +1.55% | 0.002657 | -10.15% | 0.1569 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003527 | +0.11% | 0.002586 | -26.60% | 0.3458 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003988 | -0.63% | 0.002754 | -31.37% | 0.4698 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.004011 | -0.63% | 0.002885 | -28.52% | 0.3867 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004232 | -0.82% | 0.002573 | -39.70% | 0.4807 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004333 | -0.79% | 0.003278 | -24.95% | 0.3482 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.004028 | +0.61% | 0.003167 | -20.90% | 0.5427 | ✗ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.004012 | +0.72% | 0.002957 | -25.76% | 0.5203 | ✗ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004432 | -0.29% | 0.003523 | -20.74% | 0.3858 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004857 | -1.09% | 0.004013 | -18.29% | 0.2874 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.005023 | -1.24% | 0.004036 | -20.64% | 0.3203 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004993 | -0.95% | 0.004267 | -15.35% | 0.2210 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.005204 | -1.47% | 0.004368 | -17.29% | 0.1149 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005793 | -2.10% | 0.004004 | -32.33% | 0.1689 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.006055 | -2.61% | 0.003983 | -35.93% | 0.2755 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.005038 | +0.52% | 0.004445 | -11.31% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005318 | +0.27% | 0.004911 | -7.41% | 0.0335 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.006431 | -3.04% | 0.005086 | -23.32% | 0.0742 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005827 | -1.14% | 0.005041 | -14.47% | 0.1108 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.006033 | -1.07% | 0.005281 | -13.40% | 0.0198 | ✗ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005993 | +1.07% | 0.005917 | -0.20% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.006098 | +1.69% | 0.006217 | +3.67% | 0.0266 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.006075 | +3.12% | 0.005012 | -14.92% | 0.2749 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005565 | +6.25% | 0.005304 | +1.26% | 0.2491 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.00653 | +3.49% | 0.006633 | +5.12% | 0.1706 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.00771 | +0.52% | 0.005894 | -23.16% | 0.4934 | ✗ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.007318 | +2.57% | 0.006098 | -14.53% | 0.3892 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007595 | +2.66% | 0.005929 | -19.86% | 0.2517 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.007053 | +5.34% | 0.005997 | -10.44% | 0.2090 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006998 | +6.24% | 0.005891 | -10.57% | 0.1899 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.008171 | +3.18% | 0.005238 | -33.86% | 0.2520 | ✗ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009404 | -0.59% | 0.00631 | -33.30% | 0.2559 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010535 | -3.62% | 0.00767 | -29.83% | 0.1553 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.010912 | -4.45% | 0.007135 | -37.52% | 0.2612 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.010826 | -4.00% | 0.007398 | -34.40% | 0.2259 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.01153 | -4.59% | 0.006696 | -44.59% | 0.3956 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.011801 | -4.77% | 0.006587 | -46.84% | 0.4275 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.014409 | -6.39% | 0.007919 | -48.55% | 0.3063 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.011823 | -4.83% | 0.00946 | -23.85% | 0.1367 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.01151 | -2.11% | 0.010931 | -7.03% | 0.1488 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.011927 | -1.63% | 0.01142 | -5.81% | 0.2231 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.011557 | -0.91% | 0.011277 | -3.31% | 0.1493 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011586 | +1.78% | 0.012084 | +6.16% | 0.1946 | ✗ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011835 | +1.65% | 0.012392 | +6.43% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.012337 | +0.85% | 0.015393 | +25.82% | 0.1476 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.013496 | -1.02% | 0.012423 | -8.89% | 0.1406 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.015828 | -4.84% | 0.011758 | -29.31% | 0.3233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.01776 | -5.80% | 0.012125 | -35.69% | 0.4087 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.016729 | -4.40% | 0.011663 | -33.35% | 0.3829 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.016189 | -3.49% | 0.011383 | -32.14% | 0.3363 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.013766 | +2.58% | 0.011643 | -13.24% | 0.1725 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015859 | +0.25% | 0.012234 | -22.66% | 0.2646 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.011777 | +6.56% | 0.013635 | +23.37% | 0.0818 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.014768 | +4.37% | 0.016633 | +17.55% | 0.0463 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.016376 | +2.38% | 0.018853 | +17.86% | 0.0591 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.017284 | +1.36% | 0.017499 | +2.62% | 0.0872 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.017339 | +1.82% | 0.016775 | -1.50% | 0.1224 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.022616 | -2.46% | 0.01342 | -42.12% | 0.5825 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.016656 | +2.19% | 0.015819 | -2.95% | 0.1190 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.01988 | -2.36% | 0.011052 | -45.72% | 0.6172 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.023317 | -4.13% | 0.01415 | -41.82% | 0.5264 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.0245 | -4.74% | 0.015996 | -37.80% | 0.4231 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.029205 | -4.52% | 0.017052 | -44.25% | 0.5433 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.03315 | -3.69% | 0.01703 | -50.52% | 0.6786 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009897 | +9.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000016251 | +3.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015647 | +5.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016816 | +3.67% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000025244 | -1.77% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000024753 | -1.14% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000026462 | -1.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000033023 | -1.34% | 0.000009 | -73.11% | 1.3929 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.00002849 | -0.59% | 0.0000157 | -45.22% | 0.7231 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000028344 | -1.75% | 0.0000149 | -48.35% | 0.7226 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000031938 | -2.06% | 0.00001622 | -50.26% | 0.7183 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000031012 | -1.86% | 0.0000257 | -18.67% | 0.2374 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000031476 | -1.64% | 0.00002504 | -21.75% | 0.1564 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000032822 | -1.99% | 0.00002673 | -20.19% | 0.0746 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000033268 | -1.28% | 0.00003347 | -0.68% | 0.0498 | ✗ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000031299 | -1.14% | 0.00002866 | -9.48% | 0.0213 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031287 | -1.21% | 0.00002885 | -8.90% | 0.0034 | ✓ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031339 | -1.08% | 0.00003261 | +2.94% | 0.1264 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000037165 | -2.15% | 0.0000316 | -16.80% | 0.0623 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000037378 | -1.89% | 0.000032 | -16.01% | 0.0792 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029324 | +0.12% | 0.00003349 | +14.34% | 0.1088 | ✓ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038356 | -1.73% | 0.0000337 | -13.66% | 0.0493 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000044973 | -1.31% | 0.00003166 | -30.52% | 0.3253 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000050527 | -1.79% | 0.00003167 | -38.45% | 0.4971 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000046633 | -1.35% | 0.00003168 | -32.98% | 0.4476 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037325 | -0.86% | 0.00003798 | +0.88% | 0.0627 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000041395 | -0.94% | 0.0000381 | -8.83% | 0.0530 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000044626 | -0.88% | 0.00002929 | -34.94% | 0.4165 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049143 | -1.71% | 0.00003903 | -21.94% | 0.2363 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000055061 | -1.68% | 0.00004557 | -18.62% | 0.2110 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.0000498 | -2.29% | 0.00005145 | +0.94% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000044397 | -1.34% | 0.00004727 | +5.04% | 0.0281 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000047352 | -2.12% | 0.00003765 | -22.18% | 0.2777 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043078 | -0.47% | 0.00004179 | -3.44% | 0.0499 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000045443 | -0.95% | 0.00004502 | -1.87% | 0.0276 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000059322 | -2.58% | 0.00005 | -17.88% | 0.1898 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000059392 | -2.78% | 0.000056 | -8.33% | 0.0927 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061012 | -1.00% | 0.00005097 | -17.30% | 0.1224 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000056509 | -0.90% | 0.000045 | -21.08% | 0.1932 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057314 | -0.34% | 0.00004838 | -15.88% | 0.1170 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000059467 | -1.04% | 0.00004328 | -27.97% | 0.3119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000057524 | -0.65% | 0.00004588 | -20.76% | 0.2059 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055451 | -0.41% | 0.00006089 | +9.36% | 0.1545 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000058818 | -1.99% | 0.00006109 | +1.80% | 0.0561 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000067853 | -3.02% | 0.00006163 | -11.92% | 0.1872 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000061437 | -3.82% | 0.00005702 | -10.74% | 0.1767 | ✓ | 1.00 |