DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s4
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 459
Track record at +30d
assessed
87
of 153 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7697
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1253
actual -0.8949
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.001118 | 0.000765207 | -31.56% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001118 | 0.000728921 | -34.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000457386 | -51.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001035 | -25.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001578 | -14.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.00179 | -12.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002616 | -6.47% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002278 | -4.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002205 | -4.32% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002256 | -4.98% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002377 | -5.52% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002447 | -5.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002699 | -5.62% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.002978 | -5.54% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.002902 | -4.99% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.00278 | -5.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.002852 | -6.03% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.002881 | -6.03% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003034 | -6.14% | – | pending | – | – | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003106 | -6.13% | – | pending | – | – | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.002963 | -7.17% | – | pending | – | – | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002602 | -6.96% | – | pending | – | – | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002556 | -6.73% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002649 | -7.09% | – | pending | – | – | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.00273 | -7.08% | – | pending | – | – | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002771 | -7.59% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002728 | -7.42% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002538 | -5.79% | – | pending | – | – | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002702 | -6.73% | – | pending | – | – | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.002844 | -8.18% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003025 | -9.92% | – | pending | – | – | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.00276 | -8.06% | – | pending | – | – | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002571 | -5.60% | – | pending | – | – | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002468 | -4.28% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002536 | -4.10% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002674 | -4.98% | – | pending | – | – | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.00256 | -3.66% | 0.002796 | +5.25% | 0.1680 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002504 | -3.16% | 0.00239 | -7.60% | 0.2813 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002648 | -3.84% | 0.002305 | -16.30% | 0.2500 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002766 | -4.13% | 0.002374 | -17.71% | 0.3194 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002524 | -1.89% | 0.002516 | -2.22% | 0.3853 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003093 | -5.64% | 0.002592 | -20.93% | 0.5662 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.002987 | -5.69% | 0.00286 | -9.69% | 0.3967 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002827 | -4.38% | 0.003153 | +6.63% | 0.2875 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003298 | -6.38% | 0.003054 | -13.31% | 0.5310 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003685 | -8.18% | 0.002947 | -26.56% | 0.6274 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003697 | -8.39% | 0.003035 | -24.80% | 0.5765 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.003889 | -8.86% | 0.003066 | -28.15% | 0.6954 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.003981 | -8.86% | 0.003233 | -25.98% | 0.7090 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.003768 | -5.90% | 0.003309 | -17.36% | 0.8684 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003737 | -6.17% | 0.003192 | -19.86% | 0.7625 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004079 | -8.23% | 0.002797 | -37.08% | 0.9276 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004392 | -10.56% | 0.002741 | -44.19% | 0.9877 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.004503 | -11.47% | 0.002851 | -43.94% | 0.9677 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004467 | -11.38% | 0.002938 | -41.72% | 0.9891 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.004571 | -13.45% | 0.002999 | -43.21% | 0.8888 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005019 | -15.17% | 0.002946 | -50.21% | 1.0240 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.005213 | -16.16% | 0.002694 | -56.67% | 1.2356 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004391 | -12.39% | 0.002897 | -42.20% | 0.9528 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.004586 | -13.54% | 0.003098 | -41.59% | 0.8813 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.005392 | -18.71% | 0.003358 | -49.37% | 0.8334 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.004912 | -16.66% | 0.003002 | -49.07% | 0.7361 | ✓ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.005079 | -16.70% | 0.002724 | -55.33% | 0.6658 | ✓ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005084 | -14.25% | 0.002578 | -56.52% | 0.8289 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.005166 | -13.86% | 0.002644 | -55.91% | 0.7955 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005146 | -12.65% | 0.002814 | -52.23% | 0.8323 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.00472 | -9.89% | 0.002657 | -49.27% | 0.8941 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.005542 | -12.18% | 0.002586 | -59.02% | 0.9184 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.006558 | -14.49% | 0.002754 | -64.09% | 1.0621 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.006212 | -12.94% | 0.002885 | -59.57% | 0.9082 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.00646 | -12.68% | 0.002573 | -65.22% | 0.9212 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.005997 | -10.44% | 0.003278 | -51.05% | 0.7246 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.005986 | -9.12% | 0.003167 | -51.92% | 0.8436 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.007074 | -10.67% | 0.002957 | -62.66% | 0.9556 | ✓ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.008173 | -13.61% | 0.003523 | -62.76% | 0.8089 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.00911 | -16.66% | 0.004013 | -63.29% | 0.7310 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.009382 | -17.84% | 0.004036 | -64.66% | 0.7493 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.00928 | -17.71% | 0.004267 | -62.16% | 0.6428 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.009782 | -19.05% | 0.004368 | -63.85% | 0.6952 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.009918 | -19.96% | 0.004004 | -67.69% | 0.6037 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.011442 | -25.67% | 0.003983 | -74.12% | 0.5932 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.010007 | -19.44% | 0.004445 | -64.22% | 0.5122 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.009735 | -17.20% | 0.004911 | -58.23% | 0.5796 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.010064 | -17.00% | 0.005086 | -58.05% | 0.6490 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.009782 | -16.13% | 0.005041 | -56.78% | 0.5698 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.009743 | -14.41% | 0.005281 | -53.61% | 0.8019 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.009988 | -14.22% | 0.005917 | -49.18% | 0.5436 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.010437 | -14.69% | 0.006217 | -49.18% | 0.5341 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.011395 | -16.43% | 0.005012 | -63.24% | 0.8458 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.013271 | -20.21% | 0.005304 | -68.11% | 0.9323 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.014841 | -21.28% | 0.006633 | -64.82% | 0.8608 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.013912 | -20.50% | 0.005894 | -66.32% | 0.9163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.013465 | -19.73% | 0.006098 | -63.65% | 0.8431 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | in | 0.01342 | 0.011221 | -16.39% | 0.005929 | -55.82% | 0.6647 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.013242 | -16.29% | 0.005997 | -62.09% | 0.8148 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.008721 | -21.09% | 0.005891 | -46.70% | 0.4652 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.012257 | -13.38% | 0.005238 | -62.98% | 0.8978 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.013982 | -12.59% | 0.00631 | -60.55% | 0.8962 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.014854 | -12.89% | 0.00767 | -55.02% | 0.7730 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.014083 | -17.30% | 0.007135 | -58.10% | 0.7796 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.020779 | -10.38% | 0.007398 | -68.09% | 1.1193 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.010718 | -34.24% | 0.006696 | -58.92% | 0.5512 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.01585 | -22.15% | 0.006587 | -67.65% | 0.9775 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.021243 | -12.66% | 0.007919 | -67.44% | 1.1000 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.02307 | -10.30% | 0.00946 | -63.22% | 1.0176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.028732 | -6.07% | 0.010931 | -64.26% | 1.1166 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.032663 | -5.10% | 0.01142 | -66.82% | 1.1961 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000008128 | -9.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000014854 | -5.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000014178 | -4.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000015032 | -7.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000022442 | -12.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000021419 | -14.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000022712 | -15.03% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000029219 | -12.70% | – | pending | – | – | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000024634 | -14.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000024876 | -13.77% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.00002832 | -13.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000027291 | -13.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000027943 | -12.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000029645 | -11.48% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.00002987 | -11.37% | – | pending | – | – | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000028062 | -11.37% | – | pending | – | – | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000028478 | -10.08% | – | pending | – | – | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000028644 | -9.58% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000034814 | -8.34% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000035078 | -7.93% | – | pending | – | – | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000026881 | -8.23% | – | pending | – | – | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000036418 | -6.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000043111 | -5.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000048779 | -5.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000045014 | -4.77% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000035694 | -5.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000040014 | -4.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000043443 | -3.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000048146 | -3.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000054596 | -2.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.00004906 | -3.75% | 0.000009 | -82.34% | 1.7380 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000043382 | -3.60% | 0.0000157 | -65.11% | 1.0223 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000046403 | -4.09% | 0.0000149 | -69.20% | 1.1303 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000040473 | -6.49% | 0.00001622 | -62.52% | 0.9100 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000042409 | -7.56% | 0.0000257 | -43.98% | 0.4983 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000058231 | -4.37% | 0.00002504 | -58.88% | 0.9549 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000058317 | -4.54% | 0.00002673 | -56.24% | 0.9040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000060011 | -2.63% | 0.00003347 | -45.69% | 0.6357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000054482 | -4.45% | 0.00002866 | -49.74% | 0.7145 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.00005632 | -2.07% | 0.00002885 | -49.83% | 0.6634 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000059237 | -1.42% | 0.00003261 | -45.73% | 0.6132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000055889 | -3.47% | 0.0000316 | -45.42% | 0.5798 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000051929 | -6.74% | 0.000032 | -42.53% | 0.4866 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000056962 | -5.08% | 0.00003349 | -44.19% | 0.5518 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.00006758 | -3.42% | 0.0000337 | -51.84% | 0.8134 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000060768 | -4.87% | 0.00003166 | -50.44% | 0.7654 | ✓ | 1.00 |