DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s4
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +1d
assessed
149
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
51.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1011
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0003
actual -0.0378
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001315 | +0.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000958792 | +1.03% | 0.001307 | +37.72% | 0.3127 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001408 | +0.76% | 0.000949 | -32.07% | 0.4076 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001845 | +0.01% | 0.001397 | -24.26% | 0.2759 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.00203 | -0.32% | 0.001845 | -9.45% | 0.1037 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002783 | -0.49% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002386 | -0.16% | 0.002796 | +17.03% | 0.1337 | ✗ | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.002305 | -0.01% | 0.00239 | +3.67% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002373 | -0.03% | 0.002305 | -2.91% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002514 | -0.09% | 0.002374 | -5.64% | 0.0206 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.00259 | -0.09% | 0.002516 | -2.93% | 0.0355 | ✗ | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002855 | -0.16% | 0.002592 | -9.37% | 0.0938 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003145 | -0.25% | 0.00286 | -9.29% | 0.0911 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003048 | -0.19% | 0.003153 | +3.24% | 0.0741 | ✗ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002942 | -0.16% | 0.003054 | +3.63% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.003029 | -0.18% | 0.002947 | -2.90% | 0.0372 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.00306 | -0.18% | 0.003035 | -1.01% | 0.0133 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003225 | -0.24% | 0.003066 | -5.17% | 0.0391 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003299 | -0.30% | 0.003233 | -2.30% | 0.0135 | ✗ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003183 | -0.28% | 0.003309 | +3.67% | 0.0338 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002795 | -0.09% | 0.003192 | +14.12% | 0.1286 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.00274 | -0.03% | 0.002797 | +2.04% | 0.0411 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002849 | -0.06% | 0.002741 | -3.86% | 0.0350 | ✓ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002935 | -0.10% | 0.002851 | -2.96% | 0.0138 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002995 | -0.13% | 0.002938 | -2.03% | 0.0393 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002944 | -0.07% | 0.002999 | +1.80% | 0.0121 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002697 | +0.10% | 0.002946 | +9.35% | 0.1616 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002898 | +0.03% | 0.002694 | -7.01% | 0.0986 | ✗ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003096 | -0.06% | 0.002897 | -6.49% | 0.1255 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003346 | -0.35% | 0.003098 | -7.74% | 0.0732 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002999 | -0.11% | 0.003358 | +11.86% | 0.0578 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.00273 | +0.23% | 0.003002 | +10.21% | 0.0813 | ✗ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002588 | +0.40% | 0.002724 | +5.66% | 0.0378 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002655 | +0.40% | 0.002578 | -2.50% | 0.0560 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002821 | +0.26% | 0.002644 | -6.04% | 0.0281 | ✗ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002669 | +0.44% | 0.002814 | +5.91% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.0026 | +0.56% | 0.002657 | +2.75% | 0.0130 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002766 | +0.42% | 0.002586 | -6.10% | 0.0048 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002896 | +0.37% | 0.002754 | -4.54% | 0.0789 | ✗ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002595 | +0.84% | 0.002885 | +12.13% | 0.0185 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003285 | +0.22% | 0.002573 | -21.51% | 0.1880 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003178 | +0.34% | 0.003278 | +3.50% | 0.0782 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002976 | +0.64% | 0.003167 | +7.10% | 0.0223 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003535 | +0.33% | 0.002957 | -16.07% | 0.1878 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.004019 | +0.14% | 0.003523 | -12.21% | 0.1348 | ✗ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.004042 | +0.14% | 0.004013 | -0.57% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.00427 | +0.07% | 0.004036 | -5.41% | 0.1057 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004371 | +0.07% | 0.004267 | -2.31% | 0.0527 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.004021 | +0.42% | 0.004368 | +9.09% | 0.1005 | ✗ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.004002 | +0.47% | 0.004004 | +0.53% | 0.0503 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004457 | +0.26% | 0.003983 | -10.39% | 0.0636 | ✗ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004914 | +0.07% | 0.004445 | -9.49% | 0.0439 | ✗ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.005087 | +0.03% | 0.004911 | -3.44% | 0.0252 | ✗ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.005047 | +0.11% | 0.005086 | +0.89% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.00528 | -0.03% | 0.005041 | -4.54% | 0.0490 | ✗ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005899 | -0.30% | 0.005281 | -10.75% | 0.1638 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.00618 | -0.60% | 0.005917 | -4.83% | 0.0492 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.005036 | +0.48% | 0.006217 | +24.04% | 0.2392 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005327 | +0.44% | 0.005012 | -5.51% | 0.0782 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.006586 | -0.70% | 0.005304 | -20.04% | 0.0910 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005893 | -0.02% | 0.006633 | +12.54% | 0.1900 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.006095 | -0.05% | 0.005894 | -3.35% | 0.0335 | ✓ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.00596 | +0.52% | 0.006098 | +2.85% | 0.1890 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.006035 | +0.64% | 0.005929 | -1.13% | 0.0257 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005946 | +0.94% | 0.005997 | +1.80% | 0.0504 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005321 | +1.59% | 0.005891 | +12.47% | 0.0361 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006379 | +1.09% | 0.005238 | -16.99% | 0.0405 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007693 | +0.30% | 0.00631 | -17.73% | 0.1651 | ✗ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.007194 | +0.82% | 0.00767 | +7.50% | 0.0861 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007458 | +0.81% | 0.007135 | -3.56% | 0.0542 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006789 | +1.38% | 0.007398 | +10.48% | 0.0354 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006691 | +1.57% | 0.006696 | +1.65% | 0.0288 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.008002 | +1.05% | 0.006587 | -16.82% | 0.1214 | ✗ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009478 | +0.19% | 0.007919 | -16.29% | 0.0753 | ✗ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010856 | -0.69% | 0.00946 | -13.46% | 0.0850 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.011312 | -0.94% | 0.010931 | -4.28% | 0.0123 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.011196 | -0.72% | 0.01142 | +1.27% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011978 | -0.88% | 0.011277 | -6.68% | 0.1180 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.012276 | -0.94% | 0.012084 | -2.49% | 0.0373 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.015049 | -2.23% | 0.012392 | -19.50% | 0.0128 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.012266 | -1.26% | 0.015393 | +23.91% | 0.1358 | ✗ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.011715 | -0.37% | 0.012423 | +5.66% | 0.0716 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.012092 | -0.27% | 0.011758 | -3.03% | 0.0879 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.011653 | -0.08% | 0.012125 | +3.96% | 0.0819 | ✗ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011461 | +0.68% | 0.011663 | +2.46% | 0.1528 | ✗ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011723 | +0.68% | 0.011383 | -2.23% | 0.0261 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.012302 | +0.56% | 0.011643 | -4.83% | 0.0523 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.013655 | +0.15% | 0.012234 | -10.28% | 0.1122 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.016466 | -1.00% | 0.013635 | -18.02% | 0.1830 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.018537 | -1.67% | 0.016633 | -11.78% | 0.1213 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.017269 | -1.31% | 0.018853 | +7.74% | 0.1007 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.016555 | -1.31% | 0.017499 | +4.32% | 0.0620 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.01352 | +0.74% | 0.016775 | +25.00% | 0.1981 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015787 | -0.21% | 0.01342 | -15.17% | 0.1598 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.01123 | +1.61% | 0.015819 | +43.13% | 0.2808 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.014312 | +1.14% | 0.011052 | -21.89% | 0.2607 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.016104 | +0.67% | 0.01415 | -11.54% | 0.1513 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.017116 | +0.38% | 0.015996 | -6.19% | 0.0726 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.01711 | +0.47% | 0.017052 | +0.13% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.022889 | -1.29% | 0.01703 | -26.55% | 0.2846 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.0164 | +0.62% | 0.023187 | +42.25% | 0.3421 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.02028 | -0.39% | 0.0163 | -19.94% | 0.2430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.024145 | -0.73% | 0.02036 | -16.29% | 0.1695 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.025508 | -0.82% | 0.024322 | -5.43% | 0.0395 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.030334 | -0.83% | 0.025719 | -15.92% | 0.1784 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.034072 | -1.01% | 0.030589 | -11.13% | 0.0984 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009179 | +1.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000015864 | +1.05% | 0.000009 | -42.68% | 0.5505 | ✗ | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015099 | +1.34% | 0.0000157 | +5.37% | 0.0604 | ✓ | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016404 | +1.14% | 0.0000149 | -8.14% | 0.1290 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000025656 | -0.17% | 0.00001622 | -36.89% | 0.4566 | ✓ | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000025015 | -0.10% | 0.0000257 | +2.64% | 0.0860 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.0000267 | -0.11% | 0.00002504 | -6.32% | 0.0742 | ✓ | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000033341 | -0.38% | 0.00002673 | -20.14% | 0.2048 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000028647 | -0.04% | 0.00003347 | +16.78% | 0.1320 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000028771 | -0.27% | 0.00002866 | -0.66% | 0.0974 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000032479 | -0.40% | 0.00002885 | -11.53% | 0.1200 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.00003145 | -0.47% | 0.00003261 | +3.20% | 0.0295 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000031919 | -0.25% | 0.0000316 | -1.25% | 0.0103 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000033364 | -0.38% | 0.000032 | -4.45% | 0.0052 | ✗ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000033614 | -0.26% | 0.00003349 | -0.62% | 0.0870 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000031618 | -0.13% | 0.0000337 | +6.44% | 0.0941 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031647 | -0.07% | 0.00003166 | -0.03% | 0.0905 | ✗ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031677 | -0.01% | 0.00003167 | -0.03% | 0.0068 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000037821 | -0.42% | 0.00003168 | -16.59% | 0.1734 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000037983 | -0.31% | 0.00003798 | -0.31% | 0.0252 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029386 | +0.33% | 0.0000381 | +30.08% | 0.2245 | ✓ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038974 | -0.14% | 0.00002929 | -24.96% | 0.2538 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.0000455 | -0.15% | 0.00003903 | -14.35% | 0.1980 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000051217 | -0.45% | 0.00004557 | -11.43% | 0.0942 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.00004708 | -0.40% | 0.00005145 | +8.84% | 0.0621 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037654 | +0.01% | 0.00004727 | +25.55% | 0.2340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000041778 | -0.03% | 0.00003765 | -9.91% | 0.1072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000045003 | -0.04% | 0.00004179 | -7.17% | 0.0787 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049851 | -0.30% | 0.00004502 | -9.96% | 0.1347 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000055692 | -0.55% | 0.00005 | -10.71% | 0.0988 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000050673 | -0.58% | 0.000056 | +9.87% | 0.0690 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000044883 | -0.26% | 0.00005097 | +13.27% | 0.1484 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000047999 | -0.79% | 0.000045 | -6.99% | 0.0717 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043328 | +0.11% | 0.00004838 | +11.78% | 0.1360 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.00004589 | +0.02% | 0.00004328 | -5.67% | 0.0619 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060586 | -0.50% | 0.00004588 | -24.65% | 0.3114 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000060691 | -0.65% | 0.00006089 | -0.33% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061406 | -0.36% | 0.00006109 | -0.88% | 0.0552 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.00005685 | -0.30% | 0.00006163 | +8.08% | 0.0791 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057376 | -0.23% | 0.00005702 | -0.85% | 0.0045 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.0000598 | -0.48% | 0.00005751 | -4.29% | 0.0599 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000057724 | -0.30% | 0.00006009 | +3.78% | 0.0513 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055611 | -0.12% | 0.0000579 | +3.99% | 0.0476 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000059807 | -0.34% | 0.00005568 | -7.22% | 0.1202 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069534 | -0.62% | 0.00006001 | -14.23% | 0.1962 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000063458 | -0.66% | 0.00006997 | +9.53% | 0.0850 | ✗ | 1.00 |