CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s4

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

134

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

47.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0997

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0130

actual -0.0148

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.015367	0.014954	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.0152	0.014833	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.01729	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016618	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013012	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013003	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013586	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012755	-2.32%	0.015367	+17.68%	0.1787	✗	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013417	-2.52%	0.0152	+10.44%	0.1155	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014186	-2.65%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2307	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013402	-2.64%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2544	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012575	-2.42%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0635	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012541	-2.39%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0652	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012229	-2.32%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1349	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012444	-2.30%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0462	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012283	-2.43%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1220	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012341	-2.51%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1774	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012386	-2.53%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1258	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.01258	-2.48%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0396	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012626	-2.55%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0277	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011601	-2.38%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0871	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.011995	-2.58%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0777	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012543	-2.84%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0052	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.01224	-2.86%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0243	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011689	-2.78%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0713	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011911	-2.70%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0688	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012086	-2.81%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0677	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011521	-2.62%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0288	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011959	-2.42%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0267	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012209	-2.25%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0601	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011978	-2.06%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0643	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011743	-1.93%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0429	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011097	-2.07%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0794	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011282	-1.97%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0789	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011535	-2.04%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0057	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011301	-2.14%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0278	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.0113	-2.07%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0451	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011835	-2.50%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0501	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010746	-1.47%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0317	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.0103	-1.48%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0542	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009845	-0.95%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1183	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009694	-0.79%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1596	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.00923	-0.45%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2258	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010167	-0.91%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1451	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010099	-0.85%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.2095	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.0103	-0.72%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0656	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009498	+0.51%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1281	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009854	-0.12%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0323	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009842	-0.27%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0137	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010074	-0.03%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0441	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.009925	-1.13%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0216	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009578	-0.96%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0490	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009448	-0.64%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0875	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009273	-0.75%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0114	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009506	-0.70%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0195	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009363	-0.72%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0326	✗	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009222	-0.18%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0776	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.00929	-0.38%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.0974	✗	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008563	+0.01%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1340	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008572	+0.20%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.1088	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007949	+0.31%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1624	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008084	+0.47%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1548	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.00877	+0.57%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0784	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008147	-0.56%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0405	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008317	-1.52%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0185	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008288	-1.74%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1938	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008243	-1.65%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.1993	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008633	-1.73%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3492	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008556	-1.70%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3106	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008363	-1.57%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2277	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008664	-1.61%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2293	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008159	-1.35%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0742	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008261	-1.30%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0011	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007691	-1.14%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0750	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.008001	-1.22%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1323	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008221	-1.31%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.0935	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.00781	-1.26%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1209	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007719	-1.29%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1478	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007594	-1.38%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1081	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007191	-1.29%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1616	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007143	-1.27%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0770	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007284	-1.44%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0810	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007225	-1.43%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.1021	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007364	-1.42%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0328	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007384	-1.42%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0662	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007349	-1.22%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0329	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007192	-1.00%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0088	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007146	-0.81%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0168	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007855	-1.01%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0271	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008082	-0.96%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0683	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007611	-0.64%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0050	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007492	-0.58%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0060	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008212	-0.88%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0588	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008166	-0.83%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0682	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008283	-0.81%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.1108	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008103	-0.76%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0331	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008246	-0.77%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0012	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007755	-0.64%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0157	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007987	-0.78%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0814	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008244	-0.91%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0194	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008254	-0.97%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0293	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008056	-0.78%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0190	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.008041	-0.85%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0026	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.00836	-0.94%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0256	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009054	-1.15%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1440	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008334	-0.85%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0454	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.00853	-0.76%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0707	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009099	-0.88%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1176	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010258	-1.27%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.2030	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010766	-1.32%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2862	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010923	-1.33%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2703	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010544	-1.18%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1693	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010896	-1.13%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2915	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011818	-1.27%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3695	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.011057	-1.01%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2877	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.01129	-1.23%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1644	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010618	-1.00%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0561	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.01066	-1.12%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0261	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.010015	-0.74%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0135	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010359	-0.78%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0255	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010217	-0.80%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.1752	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.01117	-1.37%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0680	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.011075	-1.47%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.0926	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010578	-1.04%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.0751	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.011094	-1.39%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0404	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010559	-0.85%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0108	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010415	-0.48%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0542	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011656	-1.38%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0685	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011339	-1.31%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0451	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011909	-1.57%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0221	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012356	-1.55%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.1065	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.01232	-1.24%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0877	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012654	-1.10%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1714	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012823	-1.06%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1923	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012476	-0.20%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.1016	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014963	-1.23%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3259	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013962	-1.05%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1929	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014367	-1.12%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1725	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014859	-0.67%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2321	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013639	-0.15%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.1041	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.01666	-1.30%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2473	✓	1.00