CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s4

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

110

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

63.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2105

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0271

actual -0.0614

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.017143	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.016661	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.015996	-7.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.012561	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.012533	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.01305	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012277	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.012879	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.01363	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.012888	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012124	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012096	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.011793	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012005	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.011847	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.011924	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.011969	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012181	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012211	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011231	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.011588	-5.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012061	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.011767	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011247	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011501	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.011665	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011151	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011619	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.011919	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011757	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011567	-3.40%	0.018489	+54.41%	0.4931	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.010822	-4.49%	0.017857	+57.59%	0.4906	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.01102	-4.24%	0.017291	+50.24%	0.4469	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011248	-4.47%	0.013308	+13.02%	0.1612	✗	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.010934	-5.31%	0.013303	+15.20%	0.1621	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.010942	-5.17%	0.013935	+20.76%	0.2054	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011461	-5.58%	0.013058	+7.58%	0.0781	✗	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010515	-3.58%	0.013763	+26.20%	0.2374	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010088	-3.50%	0.014573	+39.39%	0.3088	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009598	-3.44%	0.013765	+38.49%	0.3182	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009461	-3.17%	0.012887	+31.89%	0.2486	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009024	-2.67%	0.012848	+38.58%	0.2950	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.009967	-2.86%	0.012519	+22.02%	0.1926	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.009901	-2.79%	0.012738	+25.06%	0.2241	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010141	-2.25%	0.012589	+21.34%	0.1790	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.00942	-0.32%	0.012659	+33.96%	0.2508	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009777	-0.90%	0.012707	+28.81%	0.2106	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009766	-1.05%	0.012899	+30.70%	0.2234	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010067	-0.10%	0.012956	+28.57%	0.2251	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.009805	-2.33%	0.011884	+18.38%	0.1101	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009505	-1.71%	0.012313	+27.33%	0.1732	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009448	-0.64%	0.012909	+35.76%	0.2569	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009274	-0.74%	0.012601	+34.87%	0.2403	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009558	-0.15%	0.012023	+25.60%	0.1731	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009454	+0.24%	0.012241	+29.80%	0.1882	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009431	+2.08%	0.012434	+34.59%	0.2312	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009514	+2.02%	0.011831	+26.87%	0.1618	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008838	+3.21%	0.012256	+43.14%	0.2653	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.0089	+4.04%	0.01249	+46.01%	0.2752	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.008228	+3.84%	0.01223	+54.33%	0.2995	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008405	+4.46%	0.011974	+48.82%	0.2444	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.009172	+5.18%	0.011331	+29.95%	0.1789	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008212	+0.23%	0.011508	+40.47%	0.2415	✓	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008188	-3.06%	0.011775	+39.42%	0.2071	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008095	-4.03%	0.011548	+36.91%	0.1617	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008063	-3.80%	0.011539	+37.68%	0.1647	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008424	-4.11%	0.012138	+38.17%	0.1365	✗	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008351	-4.05%	0.010906	+25.30%	0.0001	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008181	-3.71%	0.010455	+23.05%	0.0000	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008476	-3.74%	0.00994	+12.88%	0.0839	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008021	-3.01%	0.009771	+18.15%	0.0439	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008145	-2.68%	0.009272	+10.77%	0.0987	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007589	-2.45%	0.01026	+31.88%	0.0504	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.00789	-2.60%	0.010186	+25.75%	0.0209	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008095	-2.82%	0.010375	+24.54%	0.0045	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007694	-2.73%	0.00945	+19.47%	0.0565	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.0076	-2.81%	0.009865	+26.15%	0.0043	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007465	-3.05%	0.009869	+28.17%	0.0220	✓	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007071	-2.93%	0.010077	+38.33%	0.0679	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007024	-2.92%	0.010039	+38.76%	0.1204	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007141	-3.37%	0.00967	+30.85%	0.0655	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007075	-3.48%	0.009508	+29.72%	0.0267	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007217	-3.39%	0.009343	+25.07%	0.0041	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007251	-3.19%	0.009572	+27.80%	0.0414	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007238	-2.72%	0.009431	+26.76%	0.0189	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.00711	-2.13%	0.009239	+27.17%	0.0220	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007086	-1.65%	0.009325	+29.42%	0.0079	✓	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007783	-1.91%	0.008563	+7.91%	0.1226	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008011	-1.82%	0.008554	+4.83%	0.1842	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007584	-0.99%	0.007924	+3.45%	0.1871	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.00748	-0.73%	0.008046	+6.78%	0.1337	✓	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008164	-1.46%	0.00872	+5.25%	0.1354	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008128	-1.30%	0.008193	-0.51%	0.1028	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008242	-1.30%	0.008446	+1.15%	0.0493	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.00806	-1.29%	0.008435	+3.31%	0.0455	✗	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008211	-1.19%	0.008381	+0.85%	0.0264	✗	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007714	-1.17%	0.008785	+12.56%	0.1494	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007922	-1.59%	0.008704	+8.12%	0.1079	✗	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008171	-1.79%	0.008496	+2.12%	0.0706	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008172	-1.95%	0.008806	+5.64%	0.1029	✗	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.007958	-2.00%	0.00827	+1.85%	0.0169	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.007944	-2.04%	0.00837	+3.21%	0.0562	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008251	-2.24%	0.00778	-7.82%	0.0615	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008923	-2.58%	0.0081	-11.57%	0.1105	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008213	-2.28%	0.00833	-0.89%	0.0169	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008411	-2.14%	0.00791	-7.97%	0.1103	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.008988	-2.09%	0.00782	-14.81%	0.1562	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010079	-2.99%	0.0077	-25.89%	0.2797	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.01057	-3.12%	0.007285	-33.23%	0.3805	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010713	-3.23%	0.007235	-34.64%	0.3994	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010354	-2.96%	0.00739	-30.74%	0.3548	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.0107	-2.90%	0.00733	-33.48%	0.4025	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011576	-3.29%	0.00747	-37.59%	0.5020	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010837	-2.98%	0.00749	-32.95%	0.4992	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011034	-3.46%	0.00744	-34.91%	0.4733	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010371	-3.30%	0.007265	-32.26%	0.4443	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010366	-3.84%	0.007205	-33.16%	0.4396	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009738	-3.48%	0.007935	-21.36%	0.3082	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.01006	-3.64%	0.00816	-21.84%	0.3011	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.00989	-3.98%	0.00766	-25.63%	0.3051	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.010788	-4.74%	0.007535	-33.47%	0.3966	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.01067	-5.07%	0.008285	-26.29%	0.2858	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010168	-4.88%	0.008235	-22.97%	0.2615	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.010652	-5.32%	0.00835	-25.78%	0.2587	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010105	-5.11%	0.008165	-23.33%	0.2320	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.009969	-4.74%	0.00831	-20.59%	0.2121	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011183	-5.39%	0.007805	-33.97%	0.3510	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.010865	-5.44%	0.00805	-29.94%	0.2714	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011435	-5.50%	0.00832	-31.24%	0.2942	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.011884	-5.31%	0.008335	-33.59%	0.3437	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.011836	-5.12%	0.00812	-34.91%	0.3426	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012163	-4.94%	0.00811	-36.62%	0.4084	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012309	-5.03%	0.00844	-34.88%	0.3806	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.011942	-4.46%	0.00916	-26.72%	0.3079	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014442	-4.67%	0.008405	-44.52%	0.5652	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013386	-5.13%	0.008595	-39.09%	0.4299	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.01379	-5.09%	0.00918	-36.82%	0.4073	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014256	-4.71%	0.01039	-30.55%	0.3668	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013051	-4.46%	0.01091	-20.13%	0.2202	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016052	-4.91%	0.01107	-34.42%	0.3602	✓	1.00