CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s4

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

139

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

56.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0408

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0012

actual -0.0012

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.018358	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017684	-0.97%	0.018489	+3.54%	0.0452	✗	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.017017	-1.58%	0.017857	+3.28%	0.0449	✗	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013271	-0.29%	0.017291	+29.92%	0.2652	✗	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013265	-0.29%	0.013308	+0.04%	0.0012	✓	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013886	-0.36%	0.013303	-4.53%	0.0424	✓	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.013021	-0.28%	0.013935	+6.72%	0.0702	✗	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013715	-0.35%	0.013058	-5.12%	0.0512	✓	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014508	-0.44%	0.013763	-5.55%	0.0472	✓	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013693	-0.52%	0.014573	+5.87%	0.0577	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.01284	-0.36%	0.013765	+6.81%	0.0775	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.0128	-0.37%	0.012887	+0.30%	0.0037	✓	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012477	-0.34%	0.012848	+2.62%	0.0278	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012694	-0.34%	0.012519	-1.71%	0.0176	✓	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012544	-0.36%	0.012738	+1.18%	0.0230	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012613	-0.36%	0.012589	-0.56%	0.0084	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012662	-0.36%	0.012659	-0.38%	0.0008	✓	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012854	-0.35%	0.012707	-1.49%	0.0074	✓	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012902	-0.41%	0.012899	-0.44%	0.0099	✓	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011847	-0.32%	0.012956	+9.01%	0.0881	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012269	-0.35%	0.011884	-3.48%	0.0299	✓	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012852	-0.44%	0.012313	-4.62%	0.0500	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012545	-0.44%	0.012909	+2.45%	0.0290	✗	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011976	-0.39%	0.012601	+4.80%	0.0499	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.012195	-0.38%	0.012023	-1.78%	0.0088	✓	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012382	-0.42%	0.012241	-1.56%	0.0117	✓	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.01179	-0.35%	0.012434	+5.10%	0.0515	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.012219	-0.30%	0.011831	-3.47%	0.0307	✓	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012451	-0.31%	0.012256	-1.87%	0.0159	✓	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.012197	-0.26%	0.01249	+2.13%	0.0334	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011944	-0.25%	0.01223	+2.13%	0.0261	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011302	-0.26%	0.011974	+5.67%	0.0272	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011482	-0.23%	0.011331	-1.54%	0.0127	✓	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011744	-0.26%	0.011508	-2.26%	0.0225	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011514	-0.29%	0.011775	+1.97%	0.0083	✓	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011505	-0.30%	0.011548	+0.08%	0.0023	✓	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.012058	-0.66%	0.011539	-4.93%	0.0487	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010881	-0.23%	0.012138	+11.30%	0.1346	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010416	-0.37%	0.010906	+4.32%	0.0327	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.00993	-0.10%	0.010455	+5.18%	0.0560	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009766	-0.05%	0.00994	+1.72%	0.0171	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009275	+0.04%	0.009771	+5.39%	0.0457	✓	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.01025	-0.10%	0.009272	-9.63%	0.0853	✓	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010177	-0.09%	0.01026	+0.73%	0.0096	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010364	-0.10%	0.010186	-1.82%	0.0115	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009467	+0.18%	0.010375	+9.78%	0.1027	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009871	+0.06%	0.00945	-4.21%	0.0481	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009871	+0.03%	0.009865	-0.04%	0.0020	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010083	+0.06%	0.009869	-2.06%	0.0087	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.010024	-0.15%	0.010077	+0.38%	0.0408	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009659	-0.11%	0.010039	+3.82%	0.0397	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009504	-0.05%	0.00967	+1.70%	0.0307	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009337	-0.06%	0.009508	+1.77%	0.0079	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009565	-0.08%	0.009343	-2.40%	0.0171	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009419	-0.12%	0.009572	+1.50%	0.0118	✗	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009238	-0.01%	0.009431	+2.08%	0.0484	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009317	-0.09%	0.009239	-0.92%	0.0226	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008565	+0.04%	0.009325	+8.91%	0.0795	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008561	+0.07%	0.008563	+0.09%	0.0058	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007938	+0.17%	0.008554	+7.96%	0.0599	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008064	+0.22%	0.007924	-1.52%	0.0256	✗	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008738	+0.21%	0.008046	-7.73%	0.0675	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008198	+0.07%	0.00872	+6.43%	0.0015	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008437	-0.11%	0.008193	-3.00%	0.0821	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008422	-0.16%	0.008446	+0.13%	0.0776	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.00837	-0.13%	0.008435	+0.64%	0.0041	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.00877	-0.17%	0.008381	-4.60%	0.0773	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.00869	-0.16%	0.008785	+0.93%	0.0145	✗	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008485	-0.13%	0.008704	+2.45%	0.0246	✗	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008792	-0.16%	0.008496	-3.51%	0.0254	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008262	-0.09%	0.008806	+6.48%	0.0634	✗	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.00836	-0.12%	0.00827	-1.19%	0.0085	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007777	-0.04%	0.00837	+7.58%	0.0808	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.008096	-0.05%	0.00778	-3.95%	0.0218	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008323	-0.08%	0.0081	-2.76%	0.0260	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007905	-0.06%	0.00833	+5.31%	0.0520	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007814	-0.08%	0.00791	+1.15%	0.0004	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007693	-0.10%	0.00782	+1.56%	0.0228	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.00728	-0.07%	0.0077	+5.70%	0.0458	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.00723	-0.06%	0.007285	+0.69%	0.0035	✓	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007382	-0.11%	0.007235	-2.10%	0.0195	✓	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007322	-0.10%	0.00739	+0.82%	0.0048	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007463	-0.10%	0.00733	-1.87%	0.0168	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007483	-0.09%	0.00747	-0.27%	0.0353	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007436	-0.05%	0.00749	+0.67%	0.0088	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007265	-0.00%	0.00744	+2.41%	0.0229	✗	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007208	+0.04%	0.007265	+0.83%	0.0049	✓	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007935	-0.01%	0.007205	-9.20%	0.0662	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008159	-0.01%	0.007935	-2.76%	0.0474	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007665	+0.07%	0.00816	+6.53%	0.0586	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007542	+0.10%	0.00766	+1.66%	0.0338	✓	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008287	+0.03%	0.007535	-9.05%	0.0765	✗	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008239	+0.04%	0.008285	+0.61%	0.0133	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008353	+0.04%	0.008235	-1.38%	0.0383	✗	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008169	+0.05%	0.00835	+2.27%	0.0121	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008313	+0.04%	0.008165	-1.74%	0.0159	✗	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007811	+0.08%	0.00831	+6.47%	0.0457	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.008054	+0.05%	0.007805	-3.04%	0.0336	✗	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008322	+0.02%	0.00805	-3.25%	0.0162	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008336	+0.02%	0.00832	-0.18%	0.0029	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008124	+0.05%	0.008335	+2.65%	0.0250	✗	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.008114	+0.05%	0.00812	+0.12%	0.0295	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008442	+0.03%	0.00811	-3.91%	0.0395	✗	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009157	-0.04%	0.00844	-7.86%	0.0747	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008409	+0.05%	0.00916	+8.98%	0.0683	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008601	+0.07%	0.008405	-2.21%	0.0406	✗	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009185	+0.05%	0.008595	-6.37%	0.0465	✗	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010387	-0.03%	0.00918	-11.65%	0.1116	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010905	-0.04%	0.01039	-4.77%	0.0559	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.011065	-0.05%	0.01091	-1.45%	0.0231	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010669	-0.01%	0.01107	+3.75%	0.0268	✗	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.01102	-0.00%	0.01067	-3.18%	0.0519	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011962	-0.07%	0.01102	-7.94%	0.1164	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.011169	-0.01%	0.01197	+7.16%	0.0380	✗	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011423	-0.06%	0.01117	-2.27%	0.0139	✗	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010724	-0.01%	0.01143	+6.57%	0.0494	✗	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010777	-0.03%	0.010725	-0.51%	0.0048	✗	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.010097	+0.07%	0.01078	+6.84%	0.0668	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010445	+0.05%	0.01009	-3.35%	0.0408	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010307	+0.07%	0.01044	+1.36%	0.0340	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011317	-0.07%	0.0103	-9.05%	0.0673	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.011229	-0.10%	0.011325	+0.76%	0.0291	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010691	+0.01%	0.01124	+5.14%	0.0388	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.01124	-0.09%	0.01069	-4.98%	0.0347	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010655	+0.05%	0.01125	+5.63%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.01048	+0.14%	0.01065	+1.77%	0.0067	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011812	-0.07%	0.010465	-11.46%	0.0964	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011486	-0.03%	0.01182	+2.87%	0.0466	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.012088	-0.10%	0.01149	-5.04%	0.0407	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012536	-0.11%	0.0121	-3.59%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.01247	-0.04%	0.01255	+0.60%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012792	-0.02%	0.012475	-2.50%	0.0390	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012958	-0.01%	0.012795	-1.27%	0.0123	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012522	+0.18%	0.01296	+3.68%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.015128	-0.15%	0.0125	-17.49%	0.1869	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.014106	-0.03%	0.01515	+7.37%	0.0935	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014524	-0.04%	0.01411	-2.89%	0.0252	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014967	+0.05%	0.01453	-2.87%	0.0691	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013687	+0.20%	0.01496	+9.52%	0.0919	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.01687	-0.06%	0.01366	-19.08%	0.1666	✓	1.00