CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s4

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +7d

assessed

77

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0923

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0267

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002226	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002225	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002163	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002244	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002314	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002311	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002283	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002415	-1.39%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0756	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.00246	-1.19%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0870	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002406	-1.20%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0950	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002457	-1.04%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0657	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002417	-1.08%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0184	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002468	-1.20%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0439	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002323	-0.86%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0079	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002409	-0.94%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0273	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002477	-0.88%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0197	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002571	-1.25%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0306	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.00255	-1.18%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0102	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002533	-1.45%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0253	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002502	-1.40%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0102	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002527	-1.40%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0563	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002604	-1.66%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0666	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.00267	-1.72%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0779	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002685	-1.71%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0445	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002748	-1.51%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0751	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002707	-1.31%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0537	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002678	-1.07%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0563	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002651	-0.87%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0367	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002701	-1.09%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0149	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002759	-1.06%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0004	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002761	-0.89%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0074	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.00262	-1.16%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0444	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.0028	-1.74%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0381	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002662	-1.28%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0009	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002557	-1.03%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0021	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002475	-0.66%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0544	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.00255	-1.12%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0319	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002823	-2.30%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0402	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002835	-2.29%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0823	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002956	-2.71%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0492	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002861	-2.46%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0709	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002897	-2.56%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1139	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002936	-2.73%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1578	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002821	-2.50%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0808	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002784	-2.45%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0401	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002745	-2.26%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0670	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002775	-2.45%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0990	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002605	-2.11%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1267	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002607	-1.87%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1470	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002607	-2.68%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1421	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002681	-2.76%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0718	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002698	-2.54%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0541	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002561	-2.64%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0818	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002798	-2.87%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0120	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002882	-2.72%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.0850	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002862	-1.90%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0776	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002707	-1.96%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0050	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002955	-2.72%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0658	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002791	-2.26%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0065	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002434	-1.86%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0782	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002577	-2.27%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.1079	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002769	-2.22%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0680	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002549	-3.59%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1517	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.00241	-5.16%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002609	-5.72%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0419	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002937	-5.74%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2313	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002537	-5.55%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2357	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.00264	-5.66%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2020	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002405	-5.42%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0548	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002245	-5.25%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002118	-5.02%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0937	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002092	-4.93%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2620	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001957	-4.78%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4565	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.00186	-4.82%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3995	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.00184	-4.72%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4488	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001916	-4.73%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.3130	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001755	-4.57%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.3133	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001756	-4.61%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2576	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001839	-4.54%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1874	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001809	-4.37%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1205	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001817	-4.24%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0517	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001851	-4.09%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001789	-3.84%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0850	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001758	-4.27%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0520	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.