CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s4

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +30d

assessed

54

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

64.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1384

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0821

actual -0.0477

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002188	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002192	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002126	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002202	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002264	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002263	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002246	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002367	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002429	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002366	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002433	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002382	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002427	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002283	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002375	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002465	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.00254	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002526	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002482	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002446	-3.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002474	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002532	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002596	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002614	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002694	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002661	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002643	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002632	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002676	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.00275	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002768	-0.63%	0.002257	-18.99%	0.1817	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002562	-3.35%	0.002253	-15.02%	0.1388	✓	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002729	-4.24%	0.002189	-23.18%	0.2238	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002601	-3.53%	0.002275	-15.64%	0.1403	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002448	-5.22%	0.002348	-9.10%	0.0691	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002373	-4.73%	0.002345	-5.87%	0.0411	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002439	-5.40%	0.002311	-10.37%	0.0902	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002702	-6.50%	0.002449	-15.25%	0.1094	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002706	-6.75%	0.00249	-14.19%	0.1048	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002813	-7.40%	0.002435	-19.85%	0.1586	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.00273	-6.93%	0.002483	-15.35%	0.1154	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002758	-7.25%	0.002443	-17.83%	0.1422	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.00281	-6.90%	0.002498	-17.25%	0.1304	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002712	-6.26%	0.002343	-19.02%	0.1562	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002688	-5.81%	0.002432	-14.80%	0.1131	✓	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002675	-4.77%	0.002499	-11.02%	0.0839	✓	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002694	-5.32%	0.002604	-8.48%	0.0525	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002541	-4.54%	0.00258	-3.05%	0.0063	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.00257	-3.26%	0.002571	-3.24%	0.0107	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002501	-6.65%	0.002537	-5.29%	0.0160	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002574	-6.64%	0.002563	-7.05%	0.0348	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002613	-5.60%	0.002648	-4.36%	0.0066	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002473	-5.99%	0.002717	+3.27%	0.0714	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002692	-6.53%	0.002731	-5.17%	0.0011	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002785	-5.99%	0.00279	-5.80%	0.0176	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002839	-2.68%	0.002743	-5.98%	0.0475	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002709	-1.88%	0.002707	-1.95%	0.0153	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002943	-3.10%	0.002674	-11.95%	0.1133	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002787	-2.38%	0.00273	-4.36%	0.0387	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002414	-2.66%	0.002788	+12.44%	0.1246	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.00254	-3.67%	0.002786	+5.62%	0.0677	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002758	-2.60%	0.002651	-6.39%	0.0430	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002433	-7.98%	0.00285	+7.81%	0.1769	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002216	-12.82%	0.002697	+6.10%	0.0420	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002361	-14.70%	0.002583	-6.64%	0.0756	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002658	-14.70%	0.002491	-20.06%	0.2312	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002303	-14.29%	0.002579	-4.02%	0.0715	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002393	-14.48%	0.00289	+3.28%	0.0269	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002191	-13.85%	0.002902	+14.10%	0.0825	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002053	-13.34%	0.003038	+28.25%	0.1946	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.001946	-12.73%	0.002933	+31.55%	0.2135	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.001925	-12.47%	0.002973	+35.15%	0.2482	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001808	-12.00%	0.003018	+46.88%	0.3095	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.00172	-11.96%	0.002894	+48.11%	0.3298	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001705	-11.71%	0.002854	+47.82%	0.3177	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001776	-11.71%	0.002809	+39.63%	0.2449	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.00163	-11.38%	0.002845	+54.73%	0.3404	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001629	-11.46%	0.002662	+44.63%	0.2810	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001706	-11.44%	0.002657	+37.93%	0.2050	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.00168	-11.19%	0.002679	+41.63%	0.2694	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001689	-10.96%	0.002757	+45.33%	0.2920	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001723	-10.71%	0.002768	+43.46%	0.2497	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001672	-10.14%	0.002631	+41.44%	0.2416	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001653	-10.01%	0.00288	+56.85%	0.3660	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.