CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s4

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +1d

assessed

83

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

48.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0385

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0048

actual +0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002254	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002251	-0.06%	0.002257	+0.17%	0.0039	✗	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002188	-0.04%	0.002253	+2.90%	0.0215	✗	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002273	-0.07%	0.002189	-3.76%	0.0365	✓	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002346	-0.11%	0.002275	-3.12%	0.0349	✓	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002343	-0.09%	0.002348	+0.14%	0.0032	✗	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002311	-0.03%	0.002345	+1.45%	0.0191	✗	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002447	-0.10%	0.002311	-5.62%	0.0607	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002488	-0.07%	0.002449	-1.64%	0.0054	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002433	-0.07%	0.00249	+2.24%	0.0137	✗	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002481	-0.06%	0.002435	-1.91%	0.0058	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002442	-0.05%	0.002483	+1.62%	0.0114	✗	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002495	-0.10%	0.002443	-2.19%	0.0236	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002344	+0.03%	0.002498	+6.59%	0.0579	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002432	+0.00%	0.002343	-3.63%	0.0270	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002499	-0.02%	0.002432	-2.70%	0.0136	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002601	-0.12%	0.002499	-4.02%	0.0387	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002578	-0.10%	0.002604	+0.91%	0.0145	✗	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002567	-0.15%	0.00258	+0.38%	0.0051	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002534	-0.12%	0.002571	+1.31%	0.0127	✗	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.00256	-0.12%	0.002537	-0.99%	0.0067	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002642	-0.22%	0.002563	-3.21%	0.0384	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002711	-0.22%	0.002648	-2.55%	0.0231	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002724	-0.26%	0.002717	-0.52%	0.0037	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002785	-0.19%	0.002731	-2.12%	0.0135	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002739	-0.13%	0.00279	+1.73%	0.0182	✗	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002705	-0.07%	0.002743	+1.34%	0.0120	✗	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002674	-0.03%	0.002707	+1.21%	0.0141	✗	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002727	-0.11%	0.002674	-2.05%	0.0197	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002785	-0.11%	0.00273	-2.07%	0.0094	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002783	-0.08%	0.002788	+0.09%	0.0040	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002648	-0.13%	0.002786	+5.08%	0.0207	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002841	-0.31%	0.002651	-6.98%	0.0688	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002691	-0.20%	0.00285	+5.68%	0.0553	✗	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.00258	-0.14%	0.002697	+4.38%	0.0196	✗	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.00249	-0.03%	0.002583	+3.71%	0.0355	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002575	-0.14%	0.002491	-3.40%	0.0364	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002878	-0.42%	0.002579	-10.76%	0.1008	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.00289	-0.40%	0.00289	-0.41%	0.0049	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.003023	-0.51%	0.002902	-4.50%	0.0394	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.00292	-0.43%	0.003038	+3.60%	0.0395	✗	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002959	-0.46%	0.002933	-1.36%	0.0113	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.003003	-0.50%	0.002973	-1.49%	0.0046	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002881	-0.45%	0.003018	+4.31%	0.0472	✗	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002841	-0.44%	0.002894	+1.39%	0.0202	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002797	-0.40%	0.002854	+1.62%	0.0240	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002832	-0.47%	0.002809	-1.29%	0.0098	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002651	-0.39%	0.002845	+6.90%	0.0700	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002648	-0.34%	0.002662	+0.18%	0.0104	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002664	-0.56%	0.002657	-0.83%	0.0198	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002741	-0.59%	0.002679	-2.83%	0.0224	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002753	-0.57%	0.002757	-0.40%	0.0064	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002615	-0.60%	0.002768	+5.22%	0.0534	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002859	-0.75%	0.002631	-8.66%	0.0813	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.00294	-0.76%	0.00288	-2.76%	0.0217	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.0029	-0.62%	0.002962	+1.53%	0.0293	✗	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002741	-0.71%	0.002917	+5.68%	0.0588	✗	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.003001	-1.19%	0.002761	-9.12%	0.0852	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.00283	-0.88%	0.003037	+6.39%	0.0724	✗	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002469	-0.42%	0.002855	+15.13%	0.1421	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002623	-0.55%	0.00248	-5.98%	0.0580	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002812	-0.70%	0.002637	-6.87%	0.0626	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002622	-0.83%	0.002832	+7.13%	0.0894	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002515	-1.03%	0.002643	+4.01%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002735	-1.16%	0.002541	-8.16%	0.1424	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.003072	-1.41%	0.002767	-11.20%	0.1078	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002656	-1.15%	0.003116	+15.99%	0.1341	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002762	-1.27%	0.002687	-3.98%	0.0250	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002515	-1.11%	0.002798	+10.03%	0.1060	✗	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002345	-1.03%	0.002543	+7.34%	0.0883	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002208	-0.95%	0.002369	+6.27%	0.0701	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002179	-0.96%	0.002229	+1.34%	0.0248	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.002036	-0.92%	0.0022	+7.05%	0.0834	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001937	-0.88%	0.002055	+5.18%	0.0739	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001914	-0.85%	0.001954	+1.19%	0.0212	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001992	-0.95%	0.001931	-4.01%	0.0316	✓	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001824	-0.82%	0.002011	+9.38%	0.0882	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001825	-0.81%	0.001839	-0.08%	0.0126	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.00191	-0.85%	0.00184	-4.46%	0.0457	✓	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001877	-0.79%	0.001926	+1.83%	0.0169	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001882	-0.78%	0.001892	-0.28%	0.0055	✓	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001914	-0.84%	0.001897	-1.69%	0.0203	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001846	-0.75%	0.00193	+3.74%	0.0452	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001812	-1.31%	0.00186	+1.29%	0.0558	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.