CAP

Cap · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #71
symbol: CAP
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-26
predictions: 327

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

102

of 109 predictions shown

direction hit

38.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2584

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0305

actual +0.1246

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.066581	0.064912	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-20	oos	0.068735	0.067022	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.57
2026-10-19	oos	0.066889	0.065323	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.070477	0.068664	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.073935	0.071895	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.60
2026-10-16	oos	0.072748	0.070753	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.07849	0.076143	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.62
2026-10-14	oos	0.073752	0.071545	-2.99%	0.066581	-9.72%	0.0633	✓	-0.63
2026-10-13	oos	0.088248	0.08548	-3.14%	0.068735	-22.11%	0.2195	✓	-0.74
2026-10-12	oos	0.097059	0.093677	-3.48%	0.066889	-31.08%	0.3360	✓	-0.72
2026-10-11	oos	0.092361	0.089449	-3.15%	0.070477	-23.69%	0.2558	✓	-0.86
2026-10-10	oos	0.092402	0.089243	-3.42%	0.073935	-19.99%	0.2052	✓	-0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.086635	0.083838	-3.23%	0.072748	-16.03%	0.1536	✓	-0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.073139	0.070988	-2.94%	0.07849	+7.31%	0.1052	✗	-0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.07128	0.069239	-2.86%	0.073752	+3.47%	0.0436	✗	-0.94
2026-10-06	oos	0.087975	0.08469	-3.73%	0.088248	+0.31%	0.0074	✓	-1.17
2026-10-05	oos	0.073941	0.071705	-3.02%	0.097059	+31.27%	0.2470	✗	-1.17
2026-10-04	oos	0.065278	0.063412	-2.86%	0.092361	+41.49%	0.3390	✗	-1.12
2026-10-03	oos	0.069035	0.067056	-2.87%	0.092402	+33.85%	0.2966	✗	-1.10
2026-10-02	oos	0.074028	0.07187	-2.92%	0.086635	+17.03%	0.1611	✗	-1.10
2026-10-01	oos	0.069846	0.067892	-2.80%	0.073139	+4.72%	0.0337	✗	-1.08
2026-09-30	oos	0.069306	0.067349	-2.82%	0.07128	+2.85%	0.0530	✗	-1.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.059839	0.058369	-2.46%	0.087975	+47.02%	0.4354	✗	-1.12
2026-09-28	oos	0.056407	0.055073	-2.37%	0.073941	+31.08%	0.3271	✗	-1.20
2026-09-27	oos	0.053595	0.052374	-2.28%	0.065278	+21.80%	0.2492	✗	-1.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.051578	0.050462	-2.17%	0.069035	+33.85%	0.3180	✗	-1.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.052128	0.051014	-2.14%	0.074028	+42.01%	0.3781	✗	-1.17
2026-09-24	oos	0.049949	0.048964	-1.97%	0.069846	+39.83%	0.3615	✗	-1.15
2026-09-23	oos	0.053106	0.051826	-2.41%	0.069306	+30.50%	0.2793	✗	-1.16
2026-09-22	oos	0.046809	0.045906	-1.93%	0.059839	+27.84%	0.2319	✗	-1.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.045872	0.045033	-1.83%	0.056407	+22.97%	0.1847	✗	-1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.044741	0.044088	-1.46%	0.053595	+19.79%	0.2454	✗	-1.26
2026-09-19	oos	0.047769	0.046938	-1.74%	0.051578	+7.97%	0.1430	✗	-1.27
2026-09-18	oos	0.05581	0.054443	-2.45%	0.052128	-6.60%	0.0058	✓	-1.26
2026-09-17	oos	0.054984	0.05377	-2.21%	0.049949	-9.16%	0.0665	✗	-1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.060022	0.058274	-2.91%	0.053106	-11.52%	0.0510	✗	-1.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.057324	0.055786	-2.68%	0.046809	-18.34%	0.0096	✓	-1.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.064413	0.060746	-5.69%	0.045872	-28.78%	0.1135	✓	-1.64
2026-09-13	oos	0.047068	0.047133	+0.14%	0.044741	-4.94%	0.0475	✓	-1.80
2026-09-12	oos	0.044869	0.045301	+0.96%	0.047769	+6.46%	0.1430	✓	-1.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04448	0.045109	+1.41%	0.05581	+25.47%	0.2962	✓	-1.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.045466	0.046169	+1.55%	0.054984	+20.93%	0.1703	✓	-1.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.047448	0.048064	+1.30%	0.060022	+26.50%	0.1701	✓	-1.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.046785	0.047576	+1.69%	0.057324	+22.53%	0.1164	✓	-1.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.046622	0.047411	+1.69%	0.064413	+38.16%	0.2844	✓	-1.89
2026-09-06	oos	0.042957	0.043919	+2.24%	0.047068	+9.57%	0.0148	✓	-1.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.044706	0.045407	+1.57%	0.044869	+0.37%	0.0728	✗	-1.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.045241	0.045771	+1.17%	0.04448	-1.68%	0.0872	✗	-1.86
2026-09-03	oos	0.04878	0.048698	-0.17%	0.045466	-6.79%	0.1872	✓	-1.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.072695	0.071197	-2.06%	0.047448	-34.73%	0.3885	✓	-1.38
2026-09-01	oos	0.070557	0.068918	-2.32%	0.046785	-33.69%	0.3688	✓	-1.38
2026-08-31	oos	0.068387	0.066581	-2.64%	0.046622	-31.83%	0.3470	✓	-1.38
2026-08-30	oos	0.068164	0.066122	-3.00%	0.042957	-36.98%	0.3844	✓	-1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.069214	0.066888	-3.36%	0.044706	-35.41%	0.3745	✓	-1.41
2026-08-28	oos	0.069928	0.067317	-3.73%	0.045241	-35.30%	0.3647	✓	-1.40
2026-08-27	oos	0.066045	0.06337	-4.05%	0.04878	-26.14%	0.2444	✓	-1.41
2026-08-26	oos	0.070614	0.067701	-4.13%	0.072695	+2.95%	0.0408	✓	-1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.069435	0.06638	-4.40%	0.070557	+1.62%	0.0410	✓	-1.38
2026-08-24	oos	0.068823	0.065866	-4.30%	0.068387	-0.63%	0.0302	✓	-1.39
2026-08-23	oos	0.069367	0.066363	-4.33%	0.068164	-1.73%	0.0256	✓	-1.39
2026-08-22	oos	0.070097	0.067089	-4.29%	0.069214	-1.26%	0.0522	✗	-1.38
2026-08-21	oos	0.067073	0.064429	-3.94%	0.069928	+4.26%	0.0733	✗	-1.38
2026-08-20	oos	0.064753	0.061502	-5.02%	0.066045	+2.00%	0.2427	✗	-1.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.067798	0.064192	-5.32%	0.070614	+4.15%	0.3446	✗	-1.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.068975	0.065245	-5.41%	0.069435	+0.67%	0.5453	✗	-2.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.070634	0.066832	-5.38%	0.068823	-2.56%	0.5335	✗	-2.48
2026-08-16	oos	0.067132	0.063654	-5.18%	0.069367	+3.33%	0.6645	✗	-2.72
2026-08-15	oos	0.062121	0.059019	-4.99%	0.070097	+12.84%	0.7149	✗	-2.70
2026-08-14	oos	0.065324	0.06128	-6.19%	0.067073	+2.68%	0.6797	✗	-2.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.056743	0.053944	-4.93%	0.064753	+14.12%	0.5509	✗	-2.62
2026-08-12	oos	0.055292	0.052616	-4.84%	0.067798	+22.62%	0.4857	✗	-2.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.054776	0.05181	-5.42%	0.068975	+25.92%	0.3331	✗	-2.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.046134	0.043693	-5.29%	0.070634	+53.11%	0.5025	✗	-2.52
2026-08-09	oos	0.039386	0.037668	-4.36%	0.067132	+70.45%	0.5044	✗	-2.33
2026-08-08	oos	0.036911	0.035325	-4.30%	0.062121	+68.30%	0.4960	✗	-2.32
2026-08-07	oos	0.035967	0.034362	-4.46%	0.065324	+81.62%	0.5730	✗	-2.31
2026-08-06	oos	0.030811	0.029411	-4.54%	0.056743	+84.16%	0.6248	✗	-2.45
2026-08-05	oos	0.02783	0.026694	-4.08%	0.055292	+98.68%	0.6837	✗	-2.39
2026-08-04	oos	0.025369	0.02432	-4.13%	0.054776	+115.92%	0.7918	✗	-2.47
2026-08-03	oos	0.027598	0.026429	-4.23%	0.046134	+67.17%	0.5740	✗	-2.42
2026-08-02	oos	0.029535	0.028223	-4.44%	0.039386	+33.36%	0.3845	✗	-2.44
2026-08-01	oos	0.027282	0.026006	-4.68%	0.036911	+35.30%	0.4360	✗	-2.55
2026-07-31	oos	0.039226	0.037232	-5.08%	0.035967	-8.31%	0.0510	✓	-2.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.034526	0.032821	-4.94%	0.030811	-10.76%	0.0808	✓	-2.50
2026-07-29	oos	0.026065	0.025041	-3.93%	0.02783	+6.77%	0.1376	✗	-2.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.027298	0.026223	-3.94%	0.025369	-7.07%	0.0238	✓	-2.92
2026-07-27	oos	0.024081	0.023191	-3.70%	0.027598	+14.60%	0.1635	✗	-2.92
2026-07-26	oos	0.022534	0.021639	-3.97%	0.029535	+31.07%	0.2267	✗	-2.95
2026-07-25	oos	0.020987	0.02017	-3.89%	0.027282	+29.99%	0.3261	✗	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.02708	0.026012	-3.95%	0.039226	+44.85%	0.4306	✗	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.023588	0.022725	-3.66%	0.034526	+46.37%	0.4233	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.021176	0.020406	-3.64%	0.026065	+23.09%	0.2785	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.019997	0.019265	-3.66%	0.027298	+36.51%	0.3895	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.02103	0.020295	-3.49%	0.024081	+14.51%	0.1946	✗	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.018488	0.017868	-3.35%	0.022534	+21.89%	0.2219	✗	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.018888	0.018258	-3.33%	0.020987	+11.12%	0.1471	✗	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.018668	0.018091	-3.09%	0.02708	+45.06%	0.4004	✗	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.018416	0.017857	-3.04%	0.023588	+28.08%	0.2585	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.018352	0.017768	-3.18%	0.021176	+15.39%	0.1545	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.016452	0.01595	-3.05%	0.019997	+21.55%	0.2029	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.019108	0.018594	-2.69%	0.02103	+10.06%	0.0769	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.017007	0.016545	-2.72%	0.018488	+8.71%	0.0964	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.015945	0.015547	-2.50%	0.018888	+18.46%	0.1787	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.019616	0.01908	-2.73%	0.018668	-4.83%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.021747	0.02122	-2.42%	0.018416	-15.32%	0.1511	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.022573	0.022046	-2.34%	0.018352	-18.70%	0.2224	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.020944	0.020443	-2.39%	0.016452	-21.45%	0.2431	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.02124	0.020744	-2.34%	0.019108	-10.04%	0.0546	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.023265	0.022748	-2.22%	0.017007	-26.90%	0.2933	✓	1.00