CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +30d
assessed
80
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
13.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7460
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1020
actual +0.6173
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.069027 | 0.063498 | -8.01% | – | pending | – | – | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06897 | 0.064147 | -6.99% | – | pending | – | – | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.064057 | -6.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.06236 | -6.77% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.065438 | -7.15% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.068455 | -7.41% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.067258 | -7.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.072399 | -7.76% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.068074 | -7.70% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.081254 | -7.93% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.087861 | -9.48% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.084949 | -8.03% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.084251 | -8.82% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.079904 | -7.77% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.067759 | -7.36% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.065937 | -7.50% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.079647 | -9.47% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.068661 | -7.14% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.060706 | -7.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.064124 | -7.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.067791 | -8.43% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.063846 | -8.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.063192 | -8.82% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.054188 | -9.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.050684 | -10.15% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.047975 | -10.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.045797 | -11.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.046004 | -11.75% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.043678 | -12.56% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.046285 | -12.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.040828 | -12.78% | 0.069027 | +47.46% | 0.4996 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.039686 | -13.49% | 0.06897 | +50.35% | 0.5196 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.038892 | -13.07% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.5967 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.040961 | -14.25% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.4998 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.049296 | -11.67% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.3750 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.048761 | -11.32% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.5057 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.053109 | -11.52% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.4099 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.050749 | -11.47% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5529 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.056089 | -12.92% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.3432 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.042726 | -9.22% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.8676 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.040904 | -8.84% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 0.9653 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.04078 | -8.32% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 0.9620 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.041977 | -7.67% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9324 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.044021 | -7.22% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.7767 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.04376 | -6.47% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.5899 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.043917 | -5.80% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.5819 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.040459 | -5.82% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.8937 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.04226 | -5.47% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.6925 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.043292 | -4.31% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.5639 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.04614 | -5.41% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.4858 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.068269 | -6.09% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.2039 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.065978 | -6.49% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.1836 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.063696 | -6.86% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.1697 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.063208 | -7.27% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0478 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.063875 | -7.71% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0335 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.064307 | -8.04% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.0675 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.060336 | -8.64% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.0857 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.064386 | -8.82% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.1253 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.062822 | -9.52% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.1299 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.062261 | -9.53% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.0671 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.062548 | -9.83% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.1463 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.063033 | -10.08% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.1563 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.060792 | -9.36% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.2574 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.057794 | -10.75% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0024 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.059494 | -12.25% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.2292 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.059661 | -13.50% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.3314 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.060061 | -14.97% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.4126 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.057482 | -14.37% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.4996 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.053258 | -14.27% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.7721 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.053475 | -18.14% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.4086 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.048924 | -13.78% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.4298 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.047473 | -14.14% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.4498 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.045857 | -16.28% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.4792 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.039408 | -14.58% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.6958 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.035127 | -10.81% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.7305 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.032891 | -10.89% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.8067 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.031861 | -11.42% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.7929 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.02749 | -10.78% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 1.0186 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.025323 | -9.01% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.0820 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.023111 | -8.90% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3357 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.025059 | -9.20% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5429 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.026602 | -9.93% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.4580 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.024748 | -9.29% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.5899 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.033319 | -15.06% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.2767 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.029927 | -13.32% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.3128 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.023764 | -8.83% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6535 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.024705 | -9.50% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6509 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.022042 | -8.47% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.7947 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.020755 | -7.89% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7503 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.019269 | -8.19% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0673 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.024541 | -9.37% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8460 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.021714 | -7.94% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 1.0026 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.019572 | -7.58% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0618 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.018433 | -7.82% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1633 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.019397 | -7.77% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.1906 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.016889 | -8.65% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.4071 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.017316 | -8.32% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.4108 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.017176 | -7.99% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.3798 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.016933 | -8.05% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.3117 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.016854 | -8.16% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.3821 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.014747 | -10.37% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3719 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.017707 | -7.33% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.1204 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.015348 | -9.75% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2755 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.013995 | -12.23% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1907 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.018235 | -7.04% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7589 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.020495 | -5.76% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5613 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.02127 | -5.77% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.4836 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.019664 | -6.11% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4343 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.019971 | -5.98% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.3225 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.02186 | -6.04% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1416 | ✗ | 1.00 |