CAP

Cap · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #71
symbol: CAP
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-26
predictions: 327

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

108

of 109 predictions shown

direction hit

38.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0826

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0055

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.066581	0.066228	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-20	oos	0.068735	0.06838	-0.52%	0.066581	-3.13%	0.0283	✓	-0.57
2026-10-19	oos	0.066889	0.06659	-0.45%	0.068735	+2.76%	0.0396	✗	-0.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.070477	0.070138	-0.48%	0.066889	-5.09%	0.0487	✓	-0.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.073935	0.073562	-0.50%	0.070477	-4.68%	0.0383	✓	-0.60
2026-10-16	oos	0.072748	0.072424	-0.44%	0.073935	+1.63%	0.0198	✗	-0.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.07849	0.078108	-0.49%	0.072748	-7.32%	0.0758	✓	-0.62
2026-10-14	oos	0.073752	0.073442	-0.42%	0.07849	+6.42%	0.0707	✗	-0.63
2026-10-13	oos	0.088248	0.087828	-0.48%	0.073752	-16.43%	0.1885	✓	-0.74
2026-10-12	oos	0.097059	0.096321	-0.76%	0.088248	-9.08%	0.0757	✓	-0.72
2026-10-11	oos	0.092361	0.091846	-0.56%	0.097059	+5.09%	0.0350	✗	-0.86
2026-10-10	oos	0.092402	0.091617	-0.85%	0.092361	-0.04%	0.0165	✗	-0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.086635	0.086061	-0.66%	0.092402	+6.66%	0.0752	✗	-0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.073139	0.072793	-0.47%	0.086635	+18.45%	0.1834	✗	-0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.07128	0.070961	-0.45%	0.073139	+2.61%	0.0122	✗	-0.94
2026-10-06	oos	0.087975	0.086865	-1.26%	0.07128	-18.98%	0.2291	✓	-1.17
2026-10-05	oos	0.073941	0.073529	-0.56%	0.087975	+18.98%	0.1765	✗	-1.17
2026-10-04	oos	0.065278	0.065012	-0.41%	0.073941	+13.27%	0.1189	✗	-1.12
2026-10-03	oos	0.069035	0.068761	-0.40%	0.065278	-5.44%	0.0293	✓	-1.10
2026-10-02	oos	0.074028	0.073642	-0.52%	0.069035	-6.74%	0.0615	✓	-1.10
2026-10-01	oos	0.069846	0.069523	-0.46%	0.074028	+5.99%	0.0584	✗	-1.08
2026-09-30	oos	0.069306	0.06898	-0.47%	0.069846	+0.78%	0.0296	✗	-1.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.059839	0.059639	-0.34%	0.069306	+15.82%	0.1491	✗	-1.12
2026-09-28	oos	0.056407	0.056227	-0.32%	0.059839	+6.09%	0.0649	✗	-1.20
2026-09-27	oos	0.053595	0.053448	-0.27%	0.056407	+5.25%	0.0394	✗	-1.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.051578	0.051457	-0.23%	0.053595	+3.91%	0.0414	✗	-1.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.052128	0.051995	-0.25%	0.051578	-1.05%	0.0036	✓	-1.17
2026-09-24	oos	0.049949	0.049839	-0.22%	0.052128	+4.36%	0.0409	✗	-1.15
2026-09-23	oos	0.053106	0.052839	-0.50%	0.049949	-5.94%	0.0562	✓	-1.16
2026-09-22	oos	0.046809	0.046712	-0.21%	0.053106	+13.45%	0.1048	✗	-1.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.045872	0.0458	-0.16%	0.046809	+2.04%	0.0167	✗	-1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.044741	0.044733	-0.02%	0.045872	+2.53%	0.1067	✗	-1.26
2026-09-19	oos	0.047769	0.04769	-0.17%	0.044741	-6.34%	0.0650	✓	-1.27
2026-09-18	oos	0.05581	0.055623	-0.34%	0.047769	-14.41%	0.1466	✓	-1.26
2026-09-17	oos	0.054984	0.054812	-0.31%	0.05581	+1.50%	0.0987	✗	-1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.060022	0.059591	-0.72%	0.054984	-8.39%	0.0767	✓	-1.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.057324	0.056873	-0.79%	0.060022	+4.71%	0.0643	✗	-1.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.064413	0.062578	-2.85%	0.057324	-11.01%	0.1428	✓	-1.64
2026-09-13	oos	0.047068	0.047152	+0.18%	0.064413	+36.85%	0.3439	✓	-1.80
2026-09-12	oos	0.044869	0.045026	+0.35%	0.047068	+4.90%	0.0336	✓	-1.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04448	0.044671	+0.43%	0.044869	+0.87%	0.0057	✓	-1.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.045466	0.045664	+0.44%	0.04448	-2.17%	0.0106	✗	-1.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.047448	0.047604	+0.33%	0.045466	-4.18%	0.0884	✗	-1.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.046785	0.046962	+0.38%	0.047448	+1.42%	0.0064	✓	-1.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.046622	0.046772	+0.32%	0.046785	+0.35%	0.0152	✗	-1.89
2026-09-06	oos	0.042957	0.043156	+0.46%	0.046622	+8.53%	0.0481	✓	-1.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.044706	0.044876	+0.38%	0.042957	-3.91%	0.0319	✗	-1.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.045241	0.045405	+0.36%	0.044706	-1.18%	0.0119	✗	-1.86
2026-09-03	oos	0.04878	0.048838	+0.12%	0.045241	-7.25%	0.1155	✗	-1.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.072695	0.07243	-0.36%	0.04878	-32.90%	0.3264	✓	-1.38
2026-09-01	oos	0.070557	0.070263	-0.42%	0.072695	+3.03%	0.0324	✗	-1.38
2026-08-31	oos	0.068387	0.068073	-0.46%	0.070557	+3.17%	0.0152	✗	-1.38
2026-08-30	oos	0.068164	0.067808	-0.52%	0.068387	+0.33%	0.0244	✗	-1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.069214	0.068808	-0.59%	0.068164	-1.52%	0.0197	✓	-1.41
2026-08-28	oos	0.069928	0.069473	-0.65%	0.069214	-1.02%	0.0034	✓	-1.40
2026-08-27	oos	0.066045	0.06559	-0.69%	0.069928	+5.88%	0.0205	✗	-1.41
2026-08-26	oos	0.070614	0.070107	-0.72%	0.066045	-6.47%	0.0380	✓	-1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.069435	0.068896	-0.78%	0.070614	+1.70%	0.0334	✗	-1.38
2026-08-24	oos	0.068823	0.068315	-0.74%	0.069435	+0.89%	0.0082	✗	-1.39
2026-08-23	oos	0.069367	0.06884	-0.76%	0.068823	-0.78%	0.0219	✗	-1.39
2026-08-22	oos	0.070097	0.069561	-0.77%	0.069367	-1.04%	0.0093	✗	-1.38
2026-08-21	oos	0.067073	0.066625	-0.67%	0.070097	+4.51%	0.0282	✗	-1.38
2026-08-20	oos	0.064753	0.064199	-0.86%	0.067073	+3.58%	0.1708	✗	-1.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.067798	0.067145	-0.96%	0.064753	-4.49%	0.0627	✗	-1.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.068975	0.068267	-1.03%	0.067798	-1.71%	0.1649	✗	-2.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.070634	0.069778	-1.21%	0.068975	-2.35%	0.0037	✓	-2.48
2026-08-16	oos	0.067132	0.066377	-1.12%	0.070634	+5.22%	0.1323	✗	-2.72
2026-08-15	oos	0.062121	0.061486	-1.02%	0.067132	+8.07%	0.0800	✗	-2.70
2026-08-14	oos	0.065324	0.063966	-2.08%	0.062121	-4.90%	0.0274	✓	-2.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.056743	0.056152	-1.04%	0.065324	+15.12%	0.1327	✗	-2.62
2026-08-12	oos	0.055292	0.054705	-1.06%	0.056743	+2.62%	0.0371	✗	-2.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.054776	0.053879	-1.64%	0.055292	+0.94%	0.0209	✗	-2.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.046134	0.045418	-1.55%	0.054776	+18.73%	0.1723	✗	-2.52
2026-08-09	oos	0.039386	0.039051	-0.85%	0.046134	+17.13%	0.1328	✗	-2.33
2026-08-08	oos	0.036911	0.036572	-0.92%	0.039386	+6.70%	0.0720	✗	-2.32
2026-08-07	oos	0.035967	0.03556	-1.13%	0.036911	+2.62%	0.0379	✗	-2.31
2026-08-06	oos	0.030811	0.030428	-1.24%	0.035967	+16.74%	0.1910	✗	-2.45
2026-08-05	oos	0.02783	0.02762	-0.75%	0.030811	+10.71%	0.0969	✗	-2.39
2026-08-04	oos	0.025369	0.025206	-0.64%	0.02783	+9.70%	0.1203	✗	-2.47
2026-08-03	oos	0.027598	0.027416	-0.66%	0.025369	-8.08%	0.0554	✓	-2.42
2026-08-02	oos	0.029535	0.029323	-0.71%	0.027598	-6.56%	0.0619	✓	-2.44
2026-08-01	oos	0.027282	0.027092	-0.70%	0.029535	+8.26%	0.1161	✗	-2.55
2026-07-31	oos	0.039226	0.038755	-1.20%	0.027282	-30.45%	0.3536	✓	-2.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.034526	0.034116	-1.19%	0.039226	+13.61%	0.0652	✗	-2.50
2026-07-29	oos	0.026065	0.025911	-0.59%	0.034526	+32.46%	0.3244	✗	-2.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.027298	0.027115	-0.67%	0.026065	-4.52%	0.0373	✓	-2.92
2026-07-27	oos	0.024081	0.023945	-0.57%	0.027298	+13.36%	0.1381	✗	-2.92
2026-07-26	oos	0.022534	0.022401	-0.59%	0.024081	+6.87%	0.0030	✓	-2.95
2026-07-25	oos	0.020987	0.020873	-0.55%	0.022534	+7.37%	0.0604	✗	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.02708	0.026893	-0.69%	0.020987	-22.50%	0.2513	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.023588	0.023445	-0.60%	0.02708	+14.81%	0.1591	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.021176	0.021055	-0.57%	0.023588	+11.39%	0.1294	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.019997	0.019883	-0.57%	0.021176	+5.90%	0.0695	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.02103	0.020905	-0.60%	0.019997	-4.91%	0.0642	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.018488	0.018387	-0.54%	0.02103	+13.75%	0.1261	✗	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.018888	0.018785	-0.54%	0.018488	-2.12%	0.0142	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.018668	0.018575	-0.49%	0.018888	+1.18%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.018416	0.018322	-0.51%	0.018668	+1.37%	0.0167	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.018352	0.018246	-0.58%	0.018416	+0.35%	0.0240	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.016452	0.01637	-0.50%	0.018352	+11.55%	0.1185	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.019108	0.019016	-0.48%	0.016452	-13.90%	0.1877	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.017007	0.016935	-0.43%	0.019108	+12.35%	0.1442	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.015945	0.015896	-0.31%	0.017007	+6.66%	0.0681	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.019616	0.019546	-0.36%	0.015945	-18.71%	0.1981	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.021747	0.02168	-0.31%	0.019616	-9.80%	0.1150	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.022573	0.022498	-0.33%	0.021747	-3.66%	0.0489	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.020944	0.020883	-0.29%	0.022573	+7.78%	0.0951	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.02124	0.02118	-0.28%	0.020944	-1.39%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.023265	0.023189	-0.33%	0.02124	-8.70%	0.0943	✓	1.00