AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s4

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

58.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0600

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0171

actual -0.0043

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.021245	0.020754	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.021361	0.020844	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019319	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020182	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019071	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020111	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021559	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.02003	-2.50%	0.021245	+3.41%	0.0278	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018358	-1.55%	0.021361	+14.55%	0.1159	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019062	-1.62%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0349	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018527	-1.54%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1085	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020265	-1.93%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0192	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.021925	-2.43%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0438	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019578	-1.83%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1386	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019553	-1.91%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0436	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.021815	-2.33%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1360	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021256	-2.27%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0604	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.021953	-2.50%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1011	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022288	-2.61%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0389	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022242	-2.59%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0348	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022176	-2.67%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0797	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.02238	-2.49%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0731	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023028	-2.60%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0267	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.021986	-2.42%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0372	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021318	-2.43%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0229	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024239	-2.75%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0831	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.024786	-2.85%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.0861	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024088	-2.83%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0605	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023446	-2.70%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0268	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.02266	-2.66%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0522	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.023956	-2.63%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0311	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.022731	-2.54%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020591	-2.58%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1511	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.020843	-2.47%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1637	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021102	-2.31%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1220	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020025	-1.90%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0850	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020208	-1.79%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0388	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020896	-1.92%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0319	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020181	-1.28%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0424	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020039	-1.10%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021216	-1.64%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0429	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020365	-0.41%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0125	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018789	+0.81%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.0854	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.02025	+0.64%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0437	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020703	+0.98%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.02106	+1.38%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0181	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020995	+1.91%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020978	+1.87%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0605	✓	1.00